Baht appreciation squeezes exporters’ margins

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

http://www.nationmultimedia.com/business/Baht-appreciation-squeezes-exporters-margins-30293162.html

CURRENCY

US dollar banknotes./AFP

US dollar banknotes./AFP

Thai exporters’ margins are being squeezed due to the sharp appreciation in the Thai baht against US dollar, said Paiboon Ponsuwanna, advisor to the Thai National Shippers Council (TNCS).

He acknowledged that inflows to Thailand in the past weeks have driven up the baht value.

He noted that the appreciation hurts exporters, particularly those in the food industry which operates on small margins. The impacts will be huge for those relying on locally-sourced raw materials.

He said that the strong baht effect would be felt the most during September and October, the period when Thai exporters usually receive the biggest chunk of their annual orders.

At 5.31pm, the baht stayed at Bt34.68 per dollar, gaining 0.77 per cent from the previous month. It gained over 3 per cent in the past 12 months.

According to the Bank of Thailand, the Kingdom attracted foreign funds worth nearly US$6 billion in the first seven months of this year.

Prayut touts ‘value-added’ economic model

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

http://www.nationmultimedia.com/business/Prayut-touts-value-added-economic-model-30293094.html

BLUE OCEAN STRATEGY

Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha, fifth left, and Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak, fifth right, pose for photos with senior officials of both countries before the International Conference on Blue Ocean Strategy in Putrajaya, Malaysia, yesterday.

Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha, fifth left, and Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak, fifth right, pose for photos with senior officials of both countries before the International Conference on Blue Ocean Strategy in Putrajaya, Malaysia, yesterday.

Thailand is gearing itself towards the Blue Ocean Strategy for Asean countries by moving up to the “Thailand 4.0” value-added economic model, the government says.

Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha said yesterday that Thailand would upgrade to a value-based economy through its 20-year strategic plan (2017-36) and 12th National Economic and Social Development Plan (2017-21).

He was speaking during the leaders’ discussion on “Transforming Nations through Creativity and Innovation” at the International Conference on Blue Ocean Strategy in Putrajaya, Malaysia.

Thailand’s current economic model – Thailand 3.0 – focuses on heavy manufacturing. The earlier models were 1.0 for agriculture and 2.0 for light manufacturing.

Now, Thailand is facing challenges in labour shortages and an ageing society, lagging labour-efficiency improvement and the difficulty new businesses face accessing financing, Prayut said.

Others include trading countries’ economic slowdowns, the shift of manufacturing bases to lower-wage countries, social gaps, healthcare, natural disasters and environmental deterioration, he said.

Amid the uncertainty and globalisation, countries need to think out of the box, moving themselves from fierce competition in the Red Ocean to growing together in the Blue Ocean through innovation, aiming to satisfy demand in new markets.

Based on the Thailand 4.0 model, the country will advance to a high-income society through economic restructuring based on research and development in science and technology and on innovation, while encouraging people in all sectors to participate and take gains for an inclusive society, he said.

Sustainable growth and development will also be focuses.

The Thai government will increase R&D investment to 1 per cent of gross domestic product, while investing in digital infrastructure, he said.

Amid high competition, countries should join forces for the peaceful, plentiful and wealthy Blue Ocean of hope and opportunities, Prayut said.

Searching for each country’s strengths should be done with mutual support in R&D and the creative economy, such as joint development for Asean-branded products and services for markets in tourism, health, food, the environment, energy and lifestyle products, he said.

Thailand is proceeding with Thailand plus one, while promoting tripartite cooperation among high-income, middle-income and low-income countries to help partners in the region and others achieve sustainable growth, he said.

KPMG shows way to turn disruption into opportunity

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

http://www.nationmultimedia.com/business/KPMG-shows-way-to-turn-disruption-into-opportunity-30293091.html

DIGITAL DISRUPTION

TO TURN “digital disruption” into opportunity, companies must focus on customers’ needs and the government should ensure light regulation, KPMG’s Asia-Pacific chairman said yesterday.

“We’re living in a huge industrial revolution. For businesses, this is an opportunity for the next 200 years,” Tham Sai Choy said during an executive-briefing session held by the consulting firm in Bangkok.

While digital disruption can be devastating to incumbents, Tham said companies could thrive at disruptive times if they understood the needs of their existing and future customers.

“Loss of opportunity will be if you focus [solely] on doing existing business better. Opportunity is [focusing] on new customers’ needs,” he added.

Digitisation will help unlock many opportunities as companies can turn data into customer knowledge, which is a true form of intellectual property, but to tap new opportunity, companies also need an ability to “uberise”, or to disrupt themselves, he stressed.

“If you don’t break the rules, you can’t innovate. If you don’t innovate, you can’t disrupt. And someone else will disrupt you because they don’t have the same rules that you have,” the executive explained.

Tham said an electricity company, for example, could think about competing with Google, which essentially sells advertisements to shops based on its knowledge about their customers, as such a utility business knows when its customers leave their homes.

“If you are an electricity company, you have the most customers in the world. Why don’t you think about competing with Google? Google sells ads. It tries to predict what your needs are and get you to go to shops, and it makes these shops pay for that,” he told the executive briefing.

Winid Silamongkol, chief executive officer of KPMG in Thailand, Myanmar and Laos, said that while Thai organisations were aware of the digital-disruption trend, their actual intention to respond to and resolve issues such as cyber-crime was a bit behind that of their peers in the region, especially in Malaysia and Singapore.

“Another thing that we have noticed is regulations, which to some extent are a bit slower to accommodate changes in the business environment. The Computer Act is one example that we still need to revisit, not only because of cyber-crime, but also to de-bottleneck regulations in order to pave the way for businesses to operate in a more liquid way,” he said.

While the Bank of Thailand has already set up a working team to look into the regulatory issue to accommodate fintech (financial technology) and other innovative financial instruments, there is still a gap between that and the execution stage when compared to neighbouring countries, the CEO said.

“Governments are good at regulating. Innovations happen when regulation is light. It is [in the context of] the least regulation that you get the chance to innovate,” Tham added.

Based on the past record of disruption in the music, media and travel industries, in which newcomers have grown from nothing to take dominant market positions from incumbents within a 10-year period, KPMG believes companies in other industries will have a similar time frame to transform themselves into successful businesses in disruptive times.

Meanwhile, Winid said KPMG would bring in IBM Watson’s artificial intelligence and cognitive computing technology for use in its auditing work in Thailand by the end of this year, in order to help improve the quality of its auditing services in the Kingdom.

This follows IBM Watson’s successful deployment by the firm in the US, Europe and other countries in Asia, he added, stressing that there would however be no job reductions among its Thai staff because of the move.

US business in Asean optimistic about increased profits

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

http://www.nationmultimedia.com/business/US-business-in-Asean-optimistic-about-increased-pr-30293069.html

SURVEY

US companies remain generally optimistic about business prospects in Asean, even in the face of global economic headwinds and challenges, according to the annual Asean Business Outlook Survey released by the US Chamber of Commerce and the US chambers in Asean member countries.

In a poll of senior executives representing US companies in all 10 Asean countries, 78 per cent said they expected their profits to increase next year, with more than half (53 per cent) reporting thatAsean markets had become more important for their companies’ global bottom line.

Close to half of the surveyed companies (49 per cent) expect to increase their Asean workforce by the end of this year.

The overwhelming majority of respondents (87 per cent) expect that their companies’ level of trade and investment in Asean will increase over the next five years.

In Thailand, seven in 10 executives expect profits in the region to increase next year, up from the 50 per cent who were optimistic about increased profits in last year’s survey.

In a worrying trend, however, 35 per cent of respondents described the overall investment environment in this country as deteriorating. By contrast, a significant majority of those surveyed in Cambodia (65 per cent), Myanmar (70 per cent), the Philippines (77 per cent) and Vietnam (72 per cent) characterised the investment environment in their respective countries as improving.

Respondents in Thailand identify corruption, local protectionism, lack of a stable government and political system, and the difficulty of moving goods through customs as the biggest impediments to doing business here.

“The Royal Thai Government understands that due to regional development trends and global free-trade agreements, the region is becoming increasingly competitive, and has consequently made efforts to improve the business environment and attract foreign direct investment,” said Brad Middleton, president of AMCHAM Thailand.

“The government’s measures and strategies range from providing incentives for regional headquarters and start-ups to developing the country’s digital economy. We applaud these measures and urge the government to do more to stimulate the economy and encourage investment, such as relax visa rules, improve protection of intellectual-property rights, and synchronise customs rules with international best practices.

“AMCHAM is at the government’s disposal to provide consultation [and] expertise and share best business practices.”

American executives in Thailand are of the opinion that increased political stability and regional and global integration will have a positive impact on the ease of doing business in Thailand.

Some 82 per cent of those surveyed reported that the ongoing political stalemate was affecting their business, while 83 per cent believe that Thailand should join the Trans-Pacific Partnership.

Thailand risks losing 200,000 visitors after blasts, TAT fears

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

http://www.nationmultimedia.com/business/Thailand-risks-losing-200000-visitors-after-blasts-30293028.html

THE country could lose up to 200,000 foreign visitors and Bt10.16 billion in tourism revenue this year, the head of the Tourism Authority of Thailand said yesterday, after a series of deadly blasts in tourist towns last week.

The wave of attacks in places including the seaside town of Hua Hin and the island of Phuket is the biggest challenge to an industry that has weathered more than a decade of instability and bounced back from violence over recent years.

Meanwhile, the Stock Exchange of Thailand’s index closed at 1,549.11 yesterday, down 0.23 per cent from the previous closing on Thursday.

TAT governor Yuthasak Supasorn said the attacks could result in long-term losses in terms of tourist revenue and arrivals, mainly from other Asian countries.

“By year-end, there could be about 100,000 to 200,000 travel cancellations,” he said in a statement. “That would cost about Bt5.08 billion to Bt10.16 billion.”

Tourism accounts for 10 per cent of Thai gross domestic product and is one of the few bright spots in an economy that has struggled under the stewardship of a military-led government that seized power in a bloodless coup two years ago.

The Kingdom had been expecting a record 32 million visitors in 2016, with expected revenue of Bt2.41 trillion.

Tim Leelahaphan, Maybank Kim Eng Securities’ Thailand economist, said the tourism sector would probably not be severely affected by the bomb blasts that hit seven provinces last week.

“We cannot say the situation has fully stabilised. Economically, however, it is not the tourist high season, while other destinations will continue to attract tourists,” he said.

He noted that the Erawan Shrine bombing in Bangkok on August 17 last year had only a short-term adverse impact, with tourism affected by no more than one month.

National Economic and Social Development Board secretary-general Porame-tee Vimolsiri said last week’s bombings should not affect economic growth as everything was getting back to normal quickly, while tourism seemed not to be affected yet.

Vichai Assarasakorn, vice chairman of the Board of Trade of Thailand and the Thai Chamber of Commerce, said after soliciting opinions from provincial chambers of commerce nationwide that most were still confident in the Thai economy and not worried by the events.

GDP is still expected to grow by 3 per cent this year, while the acceptance of the draft charter in the August 7 referendum should ensure that the junta will keep its promise and set up a general election next year. As a result, consumers and foreigners will have confidence in the country’s economic growth, he said.

Stern warning to factories violating health, environment laws

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

http://www.nationmultimedia.com/business/Stern-warning-to-factories-violating-health-enviro-30293020.html

FACTORIES found to be in violation of environmental and health laws will be charged swiftly and harshly, the Industrial Works Department warned during a factory inspection in Samut Sakhon.

The department, Military Circle 16 and local authorities yesterday conducted a random inspection of 1,082 factories in the province to ensure that factories that polluted the environment or had unhealthy working conditions would be punished under the Factory Act.

Industry Ministry deputy permanent secretary Sukda Punkla said it had been found earlier that many factories, especially in Samut Sakhon, did not follow the laws and caused severe environmental and health problems in nearby communities.

“The ministry has set up a committee on factory inspection and law enforcement, which consists of the Industrial Works Department, Military Circle 16 and local authorities, to proceed with this task, as the ministry was informed earlier that the local authorities did not have enough manpower to inspect all the factories in the province,” Sukda said.

He emphasised that this inspection aimed to enforce the Factory Act, so the officers would mainly check on factory registrations, environmental impacts, and working conditions.

However, if the officers found other law violations such as on human trafficking, child labour, or illegal migrant workers, the committee would notify the relevant agencies such as the Labour Ministry or the Fisheries Department.

Military Circle 16 Commander Maj-General Chaowalit Phongpitak disclosed that since the operation was first implemented from November 2015 to March this year, 109 factories had been inspected. Of that number, 85 had been found in violation of the law and had been ordered to fix the problems, and 24 had been temporarily shut down.

“It was the National Council for Peace and Order’s policy to prioritise the law enforcement, so the military has taken part in this operation in order to ensure that all factory owners follow the law strictly,” Chaowalit said.

Industrial Cluster 4 Bureau director Thaned Juntaklin said the committee would continue its work until August 25 for this term of implementation and the operation would conclude on August 30.

To get rid of small, illegal seafood-processing plants, Sukda said the ministry was considering amending the Factory Act to modernise the law to suit the current situation.

“The small seafood-processing plants are our major concern because it is hard to keep monitoring them and make sure they follow the law, so we are considering [whether] the Factory Act should be changes to make these small plants larger and easier for inspection,” he said.

He explained that currently a seafood-processing plant can legally register if it has more than seven employees, but the new amendment would raise that minimum to 50 workers and force a more systematic working pattern.

Acting Samut Sakhon Governor Narong Clalermkiat said the province was one of the biggest industrial cores of Thailand and a bustling centre for the seafood industry.

It has more than 5,000 factories of all kinds, around 300 of which are in the fishery and seafood-processing industries, and 67 per cent of the province’s annual revenue, or Bt335 billion, came from the industrial sector.

NESDB more upbeat on GDP growth

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

http://www.nationmultimedia.com/business/NESDB-more-upbeat-on-GDP-growth-30293012.html

THE THAI ECONOMY is expected to grow by 3.3-3.5 per cent this year, thanks to the passage of the referendum on the draft constitution, recovering crop prices, higher spending by the private sector, and government investment, the Office of the National Economic and Social Development Board forecast yesterday.

The NESDB had previously forecast growth in the range of 3-3.5 per cent, but it now believes there is high potential for growth in the upper part of that range, which is more optimistic than May’s forecast.

Another reason for the more positive outlook is rising tourist numbers, NESDB secretary-general Porame-tee Vimolsiri said.

He said last week’s bomb blasts should not affect economic growth as they were one-off incidents, and was confident that everything would get back to normal soon.

Moreover, with the majority vote in favour of the draft charter, the NESDB foresees stable politics and high foreign-investor confidence, as the junta now will follow its “road map to democracy”. As a result, growth of gross domestic product in the remaining months of 2016 should be stable.

However, the persistently sluggish global economy and fluctuation of the baht are major negative factors that could hold back the Thai economy.

Porame-tee said the baht was expected to continue appreciating in the current second half of the year, which could be a damper on exports.

The baht will average 35-36 against the US dollar this year, the NESDB says. The global oil price is projected in the range of $35-$45 per barrel.

Based on the assumption of 3.3-per-cent GDP growth, the NESDB projects that investment will grow by 3.3 per cent this year. Investment by the private sector will increase 1.5 per cent, with the government sector’s rising by 10 per cent.

Private consumption is expected to expand by 2.7 per cent this year, and government consumption expenditure by 3.9 per cent.

Export is expected to shrink by 1.9 per cent, while inflation will average 0.1-0.6 per cent this year.

The NESDB reported that in the second quarter, year-on-year GDP growth was 3.5 per cent, compared with 3.2 per cent in the first quarter.

On the production side, the non-agricultural sector expanded by 3.7 per cent in the second quarter, while the drought-affected agricultural sector declined slightly by 0.1 per cent. However, the agricultural sector is expected to grow in the third and fourth quarters after the end |of the drought and higher crop prices.

Domestic demand grew in the second quarter, mainly attributed to strong private consumption, which was up 3.8 per cent year on year. Government spending was up by 2.2 per cent, and gross fixed capital formation by 2.7 per cent.

Thai GDP expands 3.5% in Q2

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http://www.nationmultimedia.com/business/Thai-GDP-expands-3-5-in-Q2-30292987.html

ECONOMY

Porametee Vimolsiri, left, secretary-general of the Office of National Economic and Social Development Board (NESDB), at the press conference today.

Porametee Vimolsiri, left, secretary-general of the Office of National Economic and Social Development Board (NESDB), at the press conference today.

The Thai economy in the second quarter expanded by 3.5 per cent, convincing the national think tank that the full-year economic growth would reach 3-3.5 per cent.

The figures released by the Office of National Economic and Social Development Board (NESDB) showed that that the second-quarter economy expanded by 0.8 per cent from the first quarter, boosting the first-half growth rate to 3.4 per cent.

The growth rate in the first quarter was 3.2 per cent compared to the same period a year earlier.

An improvement in the agricultural sector raised farm income by 3.7 per cent in the second quarter – the first increase in ten quarters, said NESDB Secretary-General Porametee Vimolsiri at the press conference today.

In the second quarter, the economy was driven exports of services and public investment, while merchandise exports continued to contract. The hotel and restaurant as well as construction sectors continued to grow at high rates, while the agricultural output and prices improved.

While household consumption expanded by 3.8 per cent year on year, the number of international visitors increased by 8.2 per cent. Tourism receipts rose by 14.7 per cent. NESDB remains confident that at the end of this year, the arrival figures would reach the target of 33 million.

For the full year, the think tank pinned hopes on the expansion of government expenditure, additional stimulus packages, and improvement in farm income. Headwinds include merchandise exports which could contract 1.9 per cent on year, while private consumption and total investment should expand by only 2.7 per cent and 3.3 per cent, respectively. While inflation is expected to stay between 0.1 – 0.6 per cent, the current account surplus is forecasted to reach 9.8 per cent of GDP.

Myanmar offers indefinite tax waiver to export businesses

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

http://www.nationmultimedia.com/business/Myanmar-offers-indefinite-tax-waiver-to-export-bus-30292927.html

MYANMAR’S EXPORT

MYANMAR plans to offer an indefinite tax exemption to businesses that export 100 per cent of output, in a bid to boost the country’s exports and tackle a widening current-account deficit.

Aung Naing Oo, director-general of the Directorate of Investment and Company Administration (DICA), announced that the waiver would be for life under new investment policies. According to Aung Naing Oo, any business approved by the Myanmar Investment Commission would be allowed to enjoy multiple tax exemptions, regardless of their nature. “The new regulations look to support the current national objectives, which means refining those privileges to better suit exporters,” the director-general said.

“It’s not going to be three years. If they want 10 years, 20 years or 50 years, they will get full tax exemptions as long as all of their products are for export. For example, other businesses that import raw materials will need to pay customs duties. But exporters that have found a place in the international market will get refunds equivalent to the amount they paid [in taxes] while importing raw materials,” said Aung Naing Oo.

An official at DICA disclosed that the exemptions would be extended to both local and foreign-owned businesses. “Regardless of the location of factories and ownership, whether locally- or foreign-owned, the factories are entitled to enjoy tax exemptions for an unlimited period, as long as they export all the products from their factories,” said the official who asked not to be named.

Myanmar is in the process of enacting a new investment law, which will combine the Myanmar Citizens Investment Law and the Foreign Investment Law. Titled “The Investment Law of the Republic of the Union of Myanmar”, the law was drafted in cooperation with the World Bank’s financial arm, the International Finance Corporation.

One of its main aims is to facilitate investment in the country where the per-capita income of US$1,200 (Bt41,700) in 2014, was below that of most countries. To achieve that, investment constraints must be cleared so more investment leads to the creation of new jobs.

Myanmar is in dire need of export-oriented investment, as its current account deficit has kept widening due to growing imports.

In the 2015-16 fiscal year, Myanmar’s exports increased only marginally but imports grew more than 10 per cent as vigorous economic growth spurred demand for consumer and capital goods. Due to the huge trade deficit, the current account deficit widened to 8.3 per cent of GDP. Asian Development Bank expects the deficit to stay as high as 7.7 per cent in the 2016-17 fiscal year despite an increase in foreign direct investment. The widening current account deficit contributed to a 26-per-cent depreciation of the kyat against US dollar during April-December 2015. In the first seven months of this year, the kyat appreciated by nearly 11 per cent.

Ministry unveils growth plan

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

http://www.nationmultimedia.com/business/Ministry-unveils-growth-plan-30292926.html

COMMERCE 4.0

THE Commerce Ministry has unveiled a “Commerce 4.0” strategy as part of the broader government effort to drive economic growth, emphasising plans to promote service-business growth, as well as increase farmers’ incomes.

Commerce Minister Apiradi Tantraporn said on Friday that the strategy would start to be implemented next year.

The goal was to promote and back service-business growth, as well as encourage farmers’ development under the “Farmers 4.0” model, which involves them not only growing crops, but also distributing them and drawing up marketing plans for their own produce, she said.

The “Commerce 4.0” strategy was also aimed at increasing efficiency in the ministry’s various works, in accordance with the 20-year national development strategy, she added.

Priority tasks for the ministry would be to stress a trading revolution, such as by developing trading in the service sector; solve export problems; promote trade growth through international negotiations; create and develop small and medium-sized enterprises into modern business operators; solve problems related to copyright and patent registration; and support the ministry’s One Stop Service.

It will also drive a “One Roof” policy for regional growth; amend business laws and enforce the Secured Transactions Act; control the cost of living; monitor the prices of agricultural goods; develop products to serve varied demand; and build community markets.

Trade in services was a key focus in the ministry’s plan, as the sector had grown strongly despite the global slowdown, Apiradi said.

The International Monetary Fund has projected that the value of trade in services in the world market will grow by 2.5 per cent this year, in line with the expansion of the sector in the first quarter, which was up strongly by 8.1 per cent, compared with 0.9-per-cent year-on-year expansion during the first quarter of 2015.

The service sector contributes 60.8 per cent of the Kingdom’s gross domestic product.

To promote trade in services, the ministry has divided service businesses into three categories.

The first comprises support-service businesses, such as for engineering, architecture, research and development, and logistics, as they could increase value added for the manufacturing sector. The second category covers services that can generate income by themselves, including tourism, recreation, construction and healthcare.

The final category is modern services, which covers service businesses that focus on technology and innovation, while helping to increase the value added to Thai products and services.

The Commerce Ministry will also support service-business growth by amending rules and regulations as well as laws, in order to facilitate service-business growth, Apiradi said.

In the agricultural sector, meanwhile, the ministry plans to promote farmers under the “Farmers 4.0” model, which will focus on increasing farmers’ competency in trading and marketing and turning them into “smart” farmers, the minister said.

Community markets, trading villages and farm outlets will be developed as distribution channels, so that farmers do not have to rely solely on the export market, which offers uncertain returns. This strategy would help cut risks and balance trading channels for farmers, as well as boost local economic growth, she added.