Consumer confidence dips again

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

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CONFIDENCE INDEX

ALTHOUGH consumer confidence has declined for five consecutive months, it is expected to recover in the second half of this year, thanks to the government’s infrastructure-development projects and recovering crop prices, particularly rubber, according to the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce (UTCC).

The Consumer Confidence Index has been sliding for five straight months, and inched down from 72.7 points in April to 72.6 last month. A level below 100 reflects weak consumer sentiment.

“The small decline in consumer confidence is a good sign, reflecting that consumers are not highly concerned about negative factors affecting the economy and expect it to grow steadily, resulting in higher consumer confidence in the near future,” Thanavath Phonvichai, director of the university’s Economic and Business Forecasting Centre, said yesterday.

The UTCC has retained its forecast that gross domestic product will grow by 2.5-3.5 per cent this year.

Thanavath said key factors shoring up confidence would be the government’s infrastructure investment projects and rising crop prices, mainly of rubber, benefiting local economies.

Last month, the negative factors hitting confidence were weakening export growth, rising fuel prices, concerns about uncertain global economic growth, and the impact of drought on economic expansion. Based on a survey of 2,248 respondents, the confidence index for the future rose from 88.5 in April to 89 in May.

Continued low confidence is bad news for the retail industry, as consumers believe it is the worst time in four months to buy a new house and the worst in six months to buy a new car.

Last month, people also did not want to invest in or start up a business or even go anywhere, as confidence in those activities was at its lowest level in six and a half years.

The UTCC found the index on future income outlook increased slightly from 88.5 points in April to 89 in May, but the index on future employment opportunity decreased from 68 to 67.7.

Meanwhile, a separate survey by the UTCC found that spending during the upcoming Euro 2016 soccer tournament would decrease by 19.6 per cent from Euro 2014 to Bt76.54 billion because of the sluggish economy and fewer purchases of electrical appliances.

Wachara Kuntaweethep, assistant director of the Economic and Business Forecasting Centre, said the spending would be mainly on gambling, estimated at nearly Bt58 billion, and the rest for food and partying (Bt14.8 billion), for electrical appliances and satellite television fees (Bt2.38 billion), and other expenses (Bt1.45 billion).

He said that as most of the spending during the soccer tournament would be on betting, this entailed high risk as it would cause more indebtedness to loan sharks and crime.

New Myanmar commission to facilitate FDI

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

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INVESTMENT

Aung Niang Oo

Aung Niang Oo

YANGON – With Planning and Finance Minister Kyaw Win to serve as chairman of the newly-formed Myanmar Investment Commission and Commerce Minister Than Myint as vice chairman, economists see the move as the country’s efforts to boost both trade and investment.

Maung Aung, an economist and senior adviser to the Commerce Ministry, welcomed the change, saying that the commission is apparently expanding its role to boost the trade sector. Yet, he said economists should also be appointed to the commission, instead of just political appointees and civil servants.

“It is important to have right people in the right place. I have no doubt that the new MIC is comprised of the right people. But I think adding some economists like Dr.Aung Tun Thet will make the commission perfect. Anyway, the MIC reestablishment will increase foreign investors’ trust and confidence. I am sure MIC will work hard to promote FDI as well as local citizens’ investment,” he said.

Maung Aung believes that the new MIC will take Myanmar’s trade policy into serious consideration, as trade and investment are correlated and the key drivers of the nation’s growth. He said that efforts to produce value-added products are as important as attempts to attract foreign direct investment (FDI).

The economist said that the new MIC should focus on easing restrictions on the capital investment in some sectors to alleviate the trade deficit. He also urged the commission to focus on quick approvals of businesses which encourage job creation for Myanmar nationals such as infrastructure projects, construction and telecommunication.

The Myanmar President’s Office announced the MIC establishment order on Wednesday. It will consist of 11 members, two lower than the previous commission set up on May 28, 2014. Other members are Union Attorney General Tun Tun Oo; permanent secretaries from three ministries – Natural Resources and Environment Conservation, Commerce, as well as Planning and Finance; a retired official from the Directorate of Investment and Company Administration (DICA); Securities and Exchange Commiss-ion’s Htay Chun; General Administration Department’s retired director U Kyaw, and joint secretary general of the Union of Myanmar Federation of Chambers of Commerce and Industry Aye Lwin.

DICA director general Aung Naing Oo, serving as the commission secretary, said MIC would soon hold an internal meeting to review and approve more than100 investment proposals. More than half of them belongs to foreign investors. He said that in the past two months, no proposal was submitted.

The commission will focus on pushing to set effective rules and regulations including the consolidation of the two investment laws and the modification of the century-old Burma Companies’ Act, he said.

“There are three phases to approve these two important laws – a review at the ministerial level, a review by the Cabinet, and final discussion in the parliament. We are at the second phase. Hopefully, these laws will be submitted to Parliament in two or three months,” he said.

“We have requested the parliament to prioritise on approving these two laws as soon as possible, as they are of vital importance to the future of our country. Both the government and the parliament are aware of the importance of these laws. If things go properly, these laws may be approved later this year.”

Several business laws are being revised as Myanmar has set its sights on attracting US$140 billion (Bt4.9 trillion) in foreign direct investment (FDI) from now until 2030. Holding a degree in economics, MIC Chairman Kyaw Win pursued post-grad education in the United States. MP Than Myint represents Hlaing Thar Yar constituency, where most of Yangon’s factories are located.

Myanmar, US businesses call for sanctions waiver, GSP reinstatement

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

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THE MYANMAR and US private sectors repeated their calls for |the complete lifting of all the sanctions against Myanmar as well as the reinstatement of the Generalised System of Preferences (GSP), saying only those moves would help Myanmar reach its full economic potential.

At a conference on Monday called “US-Myanmar Economic Relations: The Next Phase”, Maung Maung |Lay, vice president of the Union of Myanmar Federation of Chambers of Commerce and Industry (UMFCCI), said Myanmar was in a new era. A newly elected government is now setting people-centred policies, promoting good governance and transparency.

“The long wait is now over. Now we can proactively engage with the US business community. Our new government is making efforts for inclusive economic growth. In this regard, it is really important to undertake the reforms freely without any barrier. We want sanctions to be completely lifted and the trade preferences back,” he said.

“We would like to regain our past glory. We understand engagement with the US is crucial. The UMFCCI is committed to ensuring all possible assistance to promote bilateral economic cooperation.”

John Goyer, the US Chamber of Commerce’s senior director for Southeast Asia, said the US business community fully supported Myanmar’s efforts to modernise and open the economy, and was willing to be a partner in these efforts.

“There is great potential for trade and investment between Myanmar and the US. But the potential is just a potential. It is yet to be realised. We want to realise that potential,” he said.

“Myanmar has an ambitious and daunting economic-reform agenda. For our part, we will continue to advocate for the normalisation of the US-Myanmar relationship.”

A white paper that includes policy recommendations for both the US and Myanmar governments was released at the event. The paper calls for the lifting of economic sanctions under the International Economic Emergency Powers Act, the law that underlies most US sanctions against Myanmar.

It also calls for the inclusion of Myanmar in the GSP, a duty-free programme meant to support economic growth in developing countries, as well as exploratory talks on a bilateral investment treaty and various types of technical and capacity building support.

Their calls were met with a positive response.

US Ambassa-dor to Myanmar Scot Marciel reiterated his country’s support for Myanmar’s transition to democracy and the government’s efforts to promote inclusive economic growth.

He said he saw huge opportunities for US companies in power, transport, services, telecommunications and many other sectors. He said US companies could bring the best practices to Myanmar and help it fight corruption and promote transparency and the rule of law.

Marciel said the sanctions were being discussed in Washington, taking Myanmar’s mining sector into serious consideration.

“US companies have a lot of opportunities here and a lot of things [they] can contribute to Myanmar. That is why our colleagues in Washington are reviewing the GSP opportunities for Myanmar. We are eager to support and encourage our companies [that] are already here or that are considering coming here. We want more American companies here.”

Goyer said US businesses had invested more than US$226 billion (Bt8 trillion) in Southeast Asia to date and less than 1 per cent had been directed to Myanmar.

According to the Myanmar Directorate of Investment and Company Administration, the country has approved $248 million in US investment as of June 7. Last year, US exports to Myanmar were worth $227 million while imports from the country reached $144 million.

A report notes seven key challenges for US companies looking to invest in Myanmar – access to finance, access to land and the uncertainty of who actually has title to the land, access to electricity, access to skilled and healthy workers, the rule of law and corruption, regulatory and taxation uncertainty, and severely underdeveloped infrastructure.

In each of those areas, the report provides actionable, specific recommendations to encourage reforms and promote sustainable economic growth.

No imports of GM plants allowed if Thailand joins TPP: vice minister

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

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THAILAND would neither allow the import of genetically modified (GM) plants nor the registration of longan as a new plant variety in other countries if the Kingdom were to join the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), the Commerce Ministry clarified recently.

During a meeting with farmers in Chiang Mai and other provinces in the North, Winichai Chaemchaeng, vice commerce minister, said the government understood their concerns and would not allow any imports of GM plants or the registration of Thai plant varieties by TPP signatory states.

Before reaching a final decision on whether to join the TPP, the government would continue to conduct public hearings to learn about the concerns over potential membership among involved sectors, he said.

The Commerce Ministry and the Agriculture Department’s meeting with around 300 northern farmers was part of the hearing process, he added.

Allowing the import of GM plants is the top issue of concern among farmers in the North, mainly from the provinces of Chiang Mai, Mae Hong Son, Lampang, Lamphun, Nan, Prayao, Chiang Rai and Phrae.

“The ministry has stressed to farmers that the government will not allow GM plant imports, as some might have feared. The TPP pact only aims [for member states] to learn about each other’s farming policy, and to exchange information.

“Thailand already has a specific law to control GM plant imports. If we joined the TPP, GM plants would not be allowed into the country,” Winichai reaffirmed.

As to longan farmers’ concerns about the registration of the plant variety in other countries, the government would not allow any country to go down such a path as the Thai fruit variety is protected under the Plant Variety Act, he added.

The vice minister also explained that the international ISDS (investor-state dispute settlement) mechanism should benefit Thai investors overseas in the event of any dispute.

During the hearing in the North, farmers also called for the government to help prepare them and develop their competitiveness for future liberalisation.

They requested help in reducing the cost of production, promoting the use of solar energy, the development of plant varieties and the handling of residual substances, and the mutual-recognition arrangement on product standards in order to facilitate trade growth and reduce inspection costs, Winichai said.

Moreover, in response to farmers’ concern about the rising cost of seeds, he said the government would help develop good-quality, affordable seeds.

Private sector told to get on board with govt’s investment programme

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

http://www.nationmultimedia.com/business/Private-sector-told-to-get-on-board-with-govts-inv-30287699.html

Somkid

Somkid

THE PRIVATE sector must pull its weight in investing in the country’s future while the government tries to reform the country through a triple-pronged strategy, Deputy Prime Minister Somkid Jatusripitak said yesterday.

In his keynote address to the EIC Conference on the “Future of Thailand under the New Era of Infrastructure Investment”, Somkid said the private sector had been reluctant to pull the investment trigger because it did not have confidence in the speed of the government’s investment measures to revive the economy.

“But they must dare to invest, because overseas, private companies dare to invest even though their economies are also not showing a recovery. Those companies look at long-term investment, while Thai companies need a sure [bet], so private investment has not happened,” he said.

Private companies park their cash in banks instead of spending it until liquidity in the banking system overflows, forcing banks to lower their deposit interest rates.

The ratio of private investment to gross domestic product at present is only 19 per cent, against 35 per cent before the 1997 financial crisis, Somkid said.

Injecting money to boost the economy is not the right solution for the current military-led regime, he said. Reform to boost competitiveness is essential.

The government is well aware that what it is doing may not bring the economy to recovery, but it wants to ensure that the momentum of the economy does not fizzle out, he said.

To sustain the economy, the government has relied on three points.

The first is major reform with the aim of reducing social inequality and strengthen competitiveness.

The second is investment in both physical and social infrastructure.

Thailand has not made much investment in its physical infrastructure for a long time, Somkid said.

Now, there are the projects of the Energy Ministry, which has a budget of Bt2.5 trillion until 2022. The Transport Ministry has a similar budget.

A Bt500-billion budget for digital infrastructure over five years will help the economy grow, he said, so the private sector should prepare to get involved with those government investments.

Pracha Rath

The third point is the support of external factors, which in this context is the Pracha Rath project, by collaborating with big private companies.

From now on, the government’s projects will be launched gradually. For example, three mass-transit lines are ready to open bidding this month. Somkid will start to follow the progress of the tendering process tomorrow with Transport Minister Arkhom Termpittayapaisith.

PTT and the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand have huge budgets for investment – PTTwith more than Bt300 billion and Egat with Bt200 billion, Somkid noted.

Vichit Suraphongchai, executive chairman of Siam Commercial Bank, said the uncertain recovery of the global market was challenging to all countries including Thailand.

Quantitative-easing policies have not proved as efficient as expected.

The key for Thailand right now is government and private investment.

The government has attempted to encourage private investment by incentives and the public-private partnership fast track, Vichit said. Infrastructure investment is not only reviving the economy but also nurturing a new normal for Thailand, which is shifting to domestic consumption from exports.

Keeree Kanjanapas, chairman of Bangkok Mass Transit System (BTS), said during the panel discussion on “Investment Potential – Leverage the New Infrastructure” that the private sector should not leave the role of investor to the government, because it is too slow in making investments to revive the economy.

For example, in China, the private and public sectors have invested jointly for 30 years until China today has become a high-growth market.

However, to encourage the private sector to speed up investment with the government, the terms of reference (ToR) must be fair to them.

In his experience from joining the bidding for a subway project in Beijing, which his company failed to win, the ToR guaranteed a certain income to the bid winners.

Under the ToR, the Chinese government said the number of passengers per day must reach 850,000 in the first year of operation and go to 1.3 million in the following years.

He said he was happy that the Thai government was lending importance to the private sector joining in investing in infrastructure. BTS is interested in bidding for mass-transit projects including the Pink Line.

The government should be careful about the arrival of foreign investors to join the infrastructure projects, as their intention might only be to sell raw materials, Keeree said.

Japanese hotel-supply firm expects to source products from Thailand

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

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SUPPLY CHAIN

WORLD SERVICE CO, a Japanese supplier of amenities and products for hotels, sees Thailand as a source of amenities, decorative items |and furniture to serve more |than 800 of its member hotels |in Japan.

Chantira Jimreivat Vivatrat, deputy director-general of the Commerce Ministry’s International Trade Promotion Department, said yesterday |that from June 20-22, World Service would send a team to Thailand for business matching and trade negotiations to select Thai products to supply 800 hotels under its service supply chain.

The visit is set for Bangkok and Chiang Mai.

Potential Thai products are furniture, kitchenware, household textiles, candles, shampoo, soap and spa products.

The visit is a result of the department’s business-matching strategy for Thai enterprises to penetrate Japan.

World Service has shown strong interest in many Thai products as they show good quality and design, Chantira said.

Many local manufacturers, especially small and medium-sized enterprises, should get a chance to start shipping products overseas. This will be a great opportunity for them to sell to five- to six-star hotels in Japan, she said.

The company is also an organiser of semi-annual wedding fairs. Thai souvenirs should also have a better chance to become premiums for weddings in the future.

Govt revenue in first 8 months of fiscal year totals Bt2.69 tn

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

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GOVT REVENUE

FOR THE FIRST eight months of fiscal 2016, collections of revenue from state agencies and contributions from state-owned enterprises via the Government Financial Management Information |System totalled Bt2.69 trillion as of May 3.

Overall government spending from October to May was Bt1.79 trillion, or 65.77 per cent of the Bt2.72-trillion budget, Manas Jamveha, director-general of the Comptroller-General’s Department, said yesterday.

The largest proportion of the revenue came from value-added tax at Bt50.81 billion, or 17.36 per cent of all tax revenue received, followed by corporate income tax at Bt30.44 billion or 10.40 per cent, personal income tax at Bt24.67 billion or 8.43 per cent, and tax on oil and oil products at Bt12.99 billion or 4.44 per cent.

Other non-tax revenue comprised Bt27.71 billion in contributions from state enterprises and Bt30.13 billion in off-budget funds.

The department expects tax revenue last month will exceed that of May last year thanks to the slight improvement in the economy.

State disbursements in the period accumulated to Bt1.79 trillion, or 65.77 per cent of the Bt2.72-trillion budget.

State agencies expedited their spending to help boost the economy in line with the government’s economic stimulus measures.

Manas said the stimulus measures were raising the standard of living in sub-districts (tambon) and at the village level, investing in small stimulus schemes nationwide and upgrading villages’ potential to help expand the economy.

The higher tax revenue via the information system and state spending in the period over the same period last year helped stimulate the economy in line with the government’s objective to ensure sustainable economic growth and stability, he said.

JSCCIB calls for work skills-based visas, work permits in bid to boost foreign ‘s-curve’ investment

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

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MACORECONOMIC

THE JOINT Standing Committee on Commerce, Industry and Banking (JSCCIB) is to propose a change to immigration policy, urging the government to consider issuing visas and work permits to foreigners based on their work skills in order to accommodate foreign investment under the “Thailand 4.0” master plan.

The proposal will be submitted to the Joint Government-Private Sector Committee, which is headed by the prime minister.

Predee Daochai, chairman of the Thai Bankers’ Association and chair of yesterday’s JSCCIB meeting, said the panel had agreed that the country should have a clearer framework for immigration policy.

This is because under the strategy to develop super-clusters and 10 targeted industries under the “new S-curve”, Thailand needs experts such as skilled young talent and research and development specialists from overseas, he explained.

To encourage such expatriates to work in the Kingdom, visa and work permits should be issued based on the type of work involved and a person’s skills to perform that work, he said.

A revamping of immigration policy in this way would boost confidence among foreign investors, apart from the ease of doing business, the banker said, adding that the government would be holding a meeting on the ease of doing business next Monday.

However, a Supreme Court ruling on May 16 on corporate-tax exemption, in which it dismissed a Board of Investment-promoted company’s arguments against tax assessment by the Revenue Department, could reduce confidence among Thai and foreign investors, and the JSCCIB therefore wants the government to take action over the case, he said.

Although the Investment Promotion Act prescribes the exemption from tax on a company’s BoI-promoted project profits, this does not override the prescription under the Revenue Code concerning the method of tax computation for companies with BoI-promoted projects.

The unclear picture in regard to private investment and the year-on-year drop in the country’s exports in April were matters of concern highlighted at yesterday’s meeting, the chairman said.

Moreover, despite positive signs for domestic consumption due to rising car sales, sluggish incomes in the agricultural sector and ongoing caution in the household spending sector are still putting pressure on the country’s economic growth.

The JSCCIB decided to maintain its forecast for gross-domestic-product growth this year at 3 per cent-3.5 per cent, but it will closely monitor the export situation and the progress of mega-projects based on the private sector’s own review in these key areas, Predee said.

Isara Vongkusolkit, chairman of the Thai Chamber of Commerce, said investors were beginning to adjust their own investment plans following the government’s move on its mega-projects, whereas normally, private investment lagged state investment by six months.

The picture for private investment will improve from the second half of the year onwards, he predicted.

Cabinet set to contemplate land and buildings tax bill

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

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THE CABINET will consider the draft bill on the land and buildings tax today, permanent secretary for finance Somchai Sujjapongse said.

Expected to come into force in 2017, the bill sets the tax-ceiling rates at 0.2 per cent of the appraisal value for land used for agriculture purposes, 0.5 per cent for residences, 2 per cent for commercial uses and 5 per cent for undeveloped land.

The land and building tax is designed to expand the national tax bases, especially asset-based taxation, in a bid to reduce inequality and improve land distribution and increase the use of land nationwide.

The tax would be levied only on homes and land used for agriculture, with the appraisal price starting from Bt50 million, and they would be taxed on the amount exceeding that figure.

The tax would cost payers around Bt1,000 per Bt1 million over Bt50 million.

For real estate companies, land banks awaiting development would be exempt from the tax for the first three to four years.

Somchai said only 1 per cent of farmers would have to pay the tax as most owned on average 30 rai (4.8 hectares) of land each worth only Bt1 million on average.

The tax charged on residences would be progressive, so homes appraised at Bt60 million would be taxed at a higher rate than those valued at Bt50 million. Common areas in all housing projects would be exempt from the tax.

Issara Boonyoung, Business Housing Association adviser and chief executive of Kanda Group, said 90 per cent of homeowners would be unaffected by the latest version of Land and Building Tax Act. The tax’s focus was the rich, he said.

Impact on homeowners

And he said the impact of the tax on homeowners would be lessened by the maximum tax rate being 0.5 per cent.

“This will be better for undeveloped land nationwide because this Act will force land owners to develop their land or sell it,” he said. “If they still hold onto the land, they will have to shoulder the tax cost.

“This [the Act] is also better for land developers, who will have more choice to develop land in the future.”

Nod to new govt PR station likely

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

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THE broadcasting regulator is likely to look favourably on the government’s request for a digital-TV licence to launch a station to promote its Pracha Rath grass-roots-economy policy.

“The broadcasting committee has not yet concluded this matter but we intend to support essential national policies,” Pakdee Manaves, deputy secretary-general of the National Broadcasting and Telecommunications Commission, said yesterday.

The NBTC has received the letter from the Prime Minister’s Office.

The station would also air public relations campaigns aimed at deepening the government’s engagement with the public.

In the application, the government asked to use a national radio frequency to broadcast TV programmes related to key national policies.

However, the broadcasting committee needs more details about the plan, so it is expected to ask the government within 30 days explaining how to acquire a free-to-air digital-TV licence.

According to broadcasting rules, the NBTC has reserved 12 of the 48 digital-TV licences for public service, of which four have been granted to public stations in this category.

National security

They are the Army’s TV5 for national-security purposes, the Public Relations Department’s NBT, Thai Public Broadcasting Service, and Thai Parliament Television Station.

The broadcasting regulator has also reserved eight spectrum slots for other purposes, such as a public channel for democratic promotion, under the categories for public broadcasting service.

The NBTC will hold a “beauty contest” bid for each four-year TV licence.

Pakdee suggested that in this case, the request could be made for Category 3, which is related to government communications.

However, Supinya Klangnarong, a vocal member of the broadcasting committee, said that instead of acquiring the digital-TV licence for public purpose, there were other media the Cabinet could use to communicate and promote its key policies to the people.

For example, the government can use its existing public TV networks such as NBT and Thai Parliament TV or coordinate with commercial free-to-air TV stations to help support its PR blitzes.