Loan guarantee Joint programme in support of SMEs

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Loan guarantee Joint programme in support of SMEs

Economy November 07, 2018 01:00

By The Nation

Thai Credit Guarantee Corporation (TCG) is collaborating with Krung Thai Bank to launch a loan guarantee programme for Small and Medium Enterprises(SMEs) worth a total of Bt10 billion, chairman Surachai Danaitangtrakul said at press conference yesterday.

The loan guarantee covers Krung Thai Mini Bus, SMEs EEC 4.0, SMEs Blue flag Pracharat, a swell as tourism and related business.

The loan guarantee will waive guarantee fee for the first three years, he said.

How customer service is being digitally transformed

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How customer service is being digitally transformed

Economy November 07, 2018 01:00

By   SPECIAL TO THE NATION

A RECENT study conducted by WBR indicates that the service industry is at an inflection point. Over the next 24 months, technology will drive digital transformation in many companies striving to improve and predict revenue streams while also improving operational efficiency.

 The study shows that nearly three quarters of respondents provide service on equipment that is sensor-enabled. The ability to collect usage patterns and document asset performance can move the service business towards a predictive model, facilitating their ability to sell assets as a service and not just a capital equipment sale with aftermarket service delivery.

Customers may in many cases want the predictability that comes from paying for a defined outcome. But for the services organisation, profits will drive this trend. Data collected by IFS reveals that more advanced servitisation can increase service profitability by almost 20 percent. But some investments in technology are needed to enable this transformation. What kind of technology? The WBR report also delves into the specifics of how technology can lead to more effective management of the workforce.

Big results from big data: Any sensor enabled device can generate huge amounts of data points. Big Data is a term used to describe the analysis of this data and its dissemination to other systems for action. The ability to gather, analyze, distill, and communicate this data can reap huge financial and operational rewards.

When sensor-enabled equipment detects a failure, a diagnostic code can be generated. Knowledge systems can be incorporated into the process to determine the part or component failure involved, recommend a part replacement, perhaps even downloading to the field technician repair instructions, asset drawings, and part location on the equipment. I recently saw this in action at a WBR trade show. It was a standalone IoT reporting system, but a very effective real world implementation of digital transformation that empowers their technicians and service partners with useful repair information prior to a visit for repair.

Cloud based: Done properly, the incorporation of AI techniques and machine learning can determine the operational health of an asset. The ability to predict failure or degradation of asset performance over time can prescribe a proactive maintenance, service call, part replacement or recalibration of a device. This allows the equipment provider or the authorised service agent, to sell performance contracts that can be managed to margin, with a high level of confidence.

These sensors can also harvest usage of the asset, including asset throughput, procedures performed, or hours of operation. Once again, performance-based contracts can be generated that guarantee what the customer will receive from the asset. These usage contracts require continual update on asset usage and asset health as the asset performance directly correlates to anticipated revenue.

Mobile technology will then push this information to the technician, or to a team that is assigned to a job. All of this data will be distilled so that it can be disseminated directly to the people that need it most. Service managers will monitor activity and service technicians can use this data to do their jobs better. The data may take different forms, from prescriptive analytics that suggest how a problem should be dealt with to visual representations of what is going on inside the equipment. The ability to use augmented reality for repair purposes is one example of how a technician may visually interact with data—by viewing an overlay of parts or components as they look at the physical machine. Team collaboration may also give a subject matter expert in a central location visibility into what a technician in the field is seeing, and can use augmented reality to advise his associate remotely. This will enable a service organizations to do more with less and smooth the transition from a shrinking, aging workforce to a newer, younger but less experienced workforce.

Right technician, right job, right time: Finally, intelligent scheduling tools will put people in the right place at the right time. Once again, using artificial intelligence (AI) techniques, these scheduling systems will position technician in the right place to be more successful in service delivery. Why is AI necessary here? Because identifying and dispatching the right technician given fluctuating demand is too complex a problem for any human dispatcher.

Lacking AI-driven scheduling, emergent jobs coming in that should take precedent over those already scheduled will probably be pushed further out. Dispatchers will struggle to make scheduling decisions based on SLAs and other contractual re    quirements, and will not be certain which technician has the skills, tools and materials to handle which job. The location of the technician is constantly changing, so identifying the closest one to an emergent service call is difficult.

When intelligent algorithms make these decisions, the service business can make commitments to customers, utilize technicians in the best way possible and improve the customer experience.

Contributed by TOM DEVROY, Product Evangelist – Enterprise Service Management, IFS

GDP growth forecast to stay despite Q3 setbacks

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 Kalin Sarasin(right), chairman of the Thai Chamber of Commerce and Board of Trade of Thailand, speaks at a press conference yesterday on the Thai economy in the third quarter. 
 Kalin Sarasin(right), chairman of the Thai Chamber of Commerce and Board of Trade of Thailand, speaks at a press conference yesterday on the Thai economy in the third quarter.

GDP growth forecast to stay despite Q3 setbacks

Economy November 07, 2018 01:00

By PHUWIT LIMVIPHUWAT
THE NATION

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The Joint Standing Committee on Commerce, Industry and Banking (JSCCIB) is sticking to its GDP growth forecast of 4.4 to 4.8 per cent despite a difficult third quarter, insisting the setbacks are only temporary.

“Despite economic setbacks in the third quarter of this year, we expect the annual GDP and exports for 2018 to grow at a satisfying rate,” chairman of the Thai Chamber of Commerce and Board of Trade of Thailand, Kalin Sarasin, said yesterday at a JSCCIB press conference.

The JSCCIB has forecast GDP growth at 4.4 to 4.8 per cent this year, compared to 3.9 per cent in 2017. Export growth is predicted at 8 to 10 per cent, compared to 9.9 per cent last year. Inflation is set to increase from 0.9 to 1.5 per cent compared to a 0.7 per cent in 2017.

“Economic growth in the third quarter has slowed compared to the first half of this year. Exports, tourism, agriculture and manufacturing sectors have also seen a slump in growth rates in the third quarter,” says Kalin.

He pointed to an alarming decrease in the number of Chinese tourists visiting the Kingdom since the middle of this year.

In August, 867,000 visited the Kingdom, down 11.77 per cent month on month. In September, only 648,000 Chinese tourists visited, another 14.89 per cent fall month on month, according to the JSCCIB.

“One of the key contributors to this slump in Thailand’s third quarter economic growth is the ongoing US-China trade war,” he says.

“The trade war has led to the depreciation of the Chinese yuan in the past few months,” he said. “This has led to a reduction in the purchasing power of Chinese tourists and businesses, a key reason contributing to the declining rate of Chinese tourists visiting Thailand.”

“The Thai government aims to stimulate tourism by exempting visa application fees for tourists from 21 countries. Furthermore, the JSCCIB has urged the government to prioritise its regulatory guillotine project to target unnecessary legislation which hinders the convenience of tourists coming to Thailand,” Kalin said.

“Furthermore, we expect the Thai government to increase spending to stimulate the economy through its various projects such as investing in the infrastructure of the Eastern Economic Corridor [EEC],” he said.

Kalin dismissed concerns over the US decision to remove 11 Thai items from its Generalised System of Preferences (GSP), a US tariff-exemption programme.

“The 11 GSP items make up a very small portion of Thai exports to the US and a fraction of total Thai exports,” he says.

In 2017, the 11 GSP items had a total value of US$46 million or 1.11 per cent of total GSP exports with a total value of $4.2 billion. Furthermore, the GSP products only make up 16 per cent of total Thai-US exports.

“Despite these setbacks, we expect the GDP and exports for 2018 to grow at a satisfying rate,” he said.

Thailand’s exports in September were valued at $ 20.7 billion, down 5.2 per cent year on year. When converted to Thai baht, it was valued at Bt676.410 billion, down 6.2 per cent year on year, Ghanyapad Tantipipatpong, chairman of the Thai National Shippers’ Council (TNSC), said yesterday at a separate event.

Despite the decline in exports, the TNSC still predicts export growth of 8 per cent for 2018. However, export growth for 2019 has been cut to 5 per cent due to the impacts of the US-China trade war, according to Ghanyapad.

Finland woos Thai tourists, seeks closer business ties

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http://www.nationmultimedia.com/detail/Economy/30358012

Satu Suikkari-Kleven, Finland ambassador to Thailand 
Satu Suikkari-Kleven, Finland ambassador to Thailand

Finland woos Thai tourists, seeks closer business ties

Economy November 07, 2018 01:00

By WICHIT CHAITRONG
THE NATION

2,258 Viewed

Finland is wooing more Thai tourists as well as business deals and collaboration in education, the country’s ambassador to Thailand, Satu Suikkari-Kleven, said.

The ambassador pointed to the air quality in Finland as something really special. “After a long flight … it’s amazing how you feel when you inhale pure air,” she said.

Finland is among the largest countries in Europe, but with just 5.5 million people, is the most sparsely populated country in the European Union.

About 75 per cent of its area is covered by forests, and nearly 10 per cent is covered by lakes and rivers. Finland has around 188,000 lakes. The Embassy of Finland in Bangkok issued 2,687 tourist visas from January to September this year and about 125,000 Finns visited Thailand in that period.

Patchaya Teerawatsakul, author of a tour guide book entitled “Finland 101”, said that compared to other European countries such as France, Britain and Germany, Finland offers a unique serenity.

“I love to walk in the forests there,” she said of her experience visiting national parks. “Finns are very nice and humble,” she said.

Finland is also well known for having one of the best education systems in the world. The ambassador foresees more collaboration in this area. Currently, some schools in Bangkok have teacher-training programmes with their Finn counterparts, she said.

Tero Salonen, chief executives officer and founder of “funzi.mobi”, a training company based in Finland, said that he was seeking business deals in Thailand.

“I would like to focus on food-safety training in Thailand. It looks promising. The market is very active,” he said, referring to Thailand’s large food sector.

He provides tele-training service, as his philosophy of doing business is to facilitate mobile learning for everyone. Trainees can be taught via mobile phone or other computer devices.

He said he is currently working with the United Nations to provide training services for people in the Middle East.

There are many people in Iraq and Syria who have subscribed to mobile training, he said. Civil war and political violence in many countries in the region make it hard for people to come to the classrooms. He said he has worked with local partners to provide training courses.

“So, mobile can reach out to the people where they cannot move,” he said. It is not only via smartphones but even US$20 phones can access mobile training as long as they have access to the Internet, he said.

His business model was also suitable for small and medium-sized enterprises that do not have training facilities due to the high cost, he said. So far over 6 million people use “funzi” applications, he said.

“Most of the users, about 3 million, are in the Middle East, followed by Africa, and half the users are women,” he said. The most popular courses are entrepreneurship and job preparation or how to get jobs. It takes about three to four weeks for each training course, he added.

Cabinet nod for draft law setting up Digital Economy and Society Council

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http://www.nationmultimedia.com/detail/Economy/30358039

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Cabinet nod for draft law setting up Digital Economy and Society Council

Economy November 06, 2018 21:00

By The Nation

The Cabinet on Tuesday approved in principle the draft law establishing the Digital Economy and Society Council.

The council will be under the Digital Economy and Society Ministry.

Its roles include steering the development of human resources, using digital technology to ensure social equality, working with the government to create the digital society, and promoting the use of digital technology to foster the country’s competitiveness.

Council members will include representatives from companies in the digital-business sector, as well as from companies using digital products and honoured persons in the digital sector.

War hits investor confidence index

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http://www.nationmultimedia.com/detail/Economy/30357942

Somprawin Manprasert, chief economist of Bank of Ayudhya Plc, left, and Paiboon Nalinthrangkurn, chairman of Fetco, right, at a press conference yesterday addressing the Fetco Investor Confidence Index Report for November 2018.
Somprawin Manprasert, chief economist of Bank of Ayudhya Plc, left, and Paiboon Nalinthrangkurn, chairman of Fetco, right, at a press conference yesterday addressing the Fetco Investor Confidence Index Report for November 2018.

War hits investor confidence index

Economy November 06, 2018 01:00

By PHUWIT LIMVIPHUWAT
THE NATION

INVESTOR CONFIDENCE has fallen for the first time in five months amid the ongoing US-China trade war and rising US interest rates.

The Federation of Thai Capital Market Organisations’ (Fetco) Investor Confidence Index (ICI) for the next three months (through to January 2019) fell into the neutral zone, decreasing by 7.23 per cent to 113.73.

This marks the first fall in the ICI in five months with the impact of the US-China trade war and US monetary policy cited as key factors eroding investor confidence.

The trends in investor confidence by type of investor shows that the ICI for retail investors took the sharpest hit, falling by 17.66 per cent from 131.46 in September to 108.24 in October. The ICI for foreign investors, however, rose by 4.17 per cent, from 120 in September to 125 in October.

“The ICI for the next three months fell into neutral territory as investors are worried about the impact of the ongoing US-China trade war, which has negatively impacted the global stock markets,” Fetco chairman Paiboon Nalinthrangkurn said yesterday at a press conference. “This certainly has negatively impacted Thai trade, as seen in the fall in export growth in September,” he said.

In September, Thailand’s exports fell for the first time in 19 months, shrinking by 5.2 per cent compared to the same period last year, according to the Commerce Ministry.

“However, it is the uncertainty which comes with the trade war that has dragged down investor confidence,” said Paiboon.

The latest round of tariffs imposed by the US and China occurred on September 24 when both parties hiked tariffs by 5 to 10 per cent. There is a possibility that if the current trade war escalates, tariffs may rise to 25 per cent between the two countries in January next year, according to Somprawin Manprasert, chief economist at Bank of Ayudhya Plc.

“The uncertainty from the trade war mainly concerns to what extent US and Chinese companies can cope with the rising tariffs, as well as the impact on Thai manufacturing and exports as a result of the shifting supply chain,” Paiboon added.

“Another issue that has dragged the ICI down are concerns over the US monetary policy,” he said. “The Fed has signalled it will hike US interest rates once again before the end of this year.

“Investors are concerned that the rise in interest rates may damage the economic growth of the US and lead to negative impacts on the global stock market,” he said.

Despite these concerns, developments in Thailand’s domestic market are what investors see as the most influential positive factors driving Thai stocks. The ICI found that industrial sectors most attractive to investors are energy, banking and tourism, according to Paiboon.

“Despite capital outflows from the stock market, Thailand is still an outperformer compared to other countries in Asia,” he explained.

The global stock market index in 2018 averaged at minus 8.98 per cent. Meanwhile, the Thai stock market sits at an average of minus 5.7 per cent, performing better than other Asian countries such as China (-21.7 per cent), Singapore (-12.3 per cent), Philippines (-17.3 per cent) and Indonesia (-9 per cent), according to Paiboon.

Although the SET Index dropped to a low of 1,596 points in October, it is expected to rebound to the 1630-1640 range next month, according to the ICI.

State enterprises invest heavily in infrastructure

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State enterprises invest heavily in infrastructure

Economy November 05, 2018 12:21

By The Nation

Forty-five state enterprises have invested a total of Bt310.92 billion in the first nine months of this year, up 45 per cent from the same period last year, State Enterprise Policy Office (SEPO) director-general Prapas Kong-led said on Monday.

He added that most of the investment was earmarked for developing the country’s infrastructure in projects being implemented by the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand, Mass Rapid Transit Authority of Thailand, the Provincial Electricity Authority and the Metropolitan Electricity Authority,

SEPO will continue to push all state enterprises to expand their investment to boost economic growth, he added

SET VOLATILITY TO STAY, RESISTANCE AT 1,700 POINTS

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http://www.nationmultimedia.com/detail/Economy/30357851

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SET VOLATILITY TO STAY, RESISTANCE AT 1,700 POINTS

Economy November 05, 2018 01:00

The market rebounded by three per cent last week, driven by net purchases by local institutional investors. Others, particularly foreign investors, were net sellers.

Market volatility is expected to continue, dependent on further purchases by local institutional investors. Previously, profit-taking usually followed accumulative net purchases of about Bt20 billion in 10-15 days. The followings are major issues of the week:

The US mid-term elections will take place on November 6. The latest poll indicated the Democrat Party leading the Republicans by 50.2 per cent to 42 per cent. If the Democrats managed to take control of either the House or the Senate, it could have an impact on Trump’s policies including world trade.

Global interest rates are on the upward trend, led by eight Fed rate hikes since December 2015 in the US.

The Thai policy rate is expected to remain at 1.5 per cent after the Monetary Policy Committee meeting on November 14, in view of the 5.3-per-cent contraction year on year in September exports and slowdown in inflation. The SET Index will fluctuate with resistance set at 1,700 points. Short-term trading poses high risks but investors could gradually buy stocks with strong fundamental for long-term investment.

Investment theme: Stocks which will gain from activites of the Eastern Economic Corridor. Two mega-infrastructure projects are expected to take off this month, the high-speed train connecting three airports and the Eastern aviation city (U-tapao). Stock picks are AMATA (fair value@Bt35.70), WHA (FV@Bt4.89) and EASTW (FV@Bt13). – Therdsak Thaveeteeratham, Executive Vice President/Research, Asia Plus Securities

Insurance in Asean states to grow but at own pace: Moody’s Investors Service

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http://www.nationmultimedia.com/detail/Economy/30357680

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Insurance in Asean states to grow but at own pace: Moody’s Investors Service

Economy November 02, 2018 01:00

By   THE NATION

MOODY’S Investors Service says that the growth prospects for insurance in six major Asean markets are supported by strong socio-economic fundamentals, but the pace and quality of growth will vary by geography.

Moody’s report “Insurers – Asean: Growth comes through new policies and innovations” is available on http://www.moodys.com. The markets include Singapore, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Vietnam and the Philippines.

Moody’s subscribers can access this report via the link provided at the end of this press release. The rating agency’s report is an update to the markets and does not constitute a rating action.

“The strong fundamentals include urbanisation, a growing middle class, low insurance penetration, and the lack of a sufficiently-funded welfare system,” says Frank Yuen, a Moody’s Assistant Vice President and Analyst.

However, the pace and quality of such growth will vary to reflect differences in market maturity, financial depth, demographics and policies, and the insurance industry in these countries are finding different ways to overcome common growth bottlenecks, says Yuen.

The bottlenecks include difficulties in expanding and enhancing distribution capabilities, low protection content in mainstream products, shallow bond markets that limit investment options, and an increasing need to improve the capacity of industries to withstand shocks and support growth through tightening risk-based capital (RBC) regimes.

Asean governments are also aware of the widening protection gaps in the region, in particular among underserved segments, and have addressed these concerns through policies.

The report notes that economic incentives for insurance coverage are emerging throughout the region, particularly in medical and retirement coverage.

The markets examined provide some health coverage, but their ability to sustain such coverage varies, leading to opportunities for commercial insurers to fill gaps.

In that regard, Thailand and Malaysia have witnessed strong premium growth for critical illness and medical products, while Singapore’s aging working population supports the steady growth in retirement annuity policies.

Similarly, economic developments in the region will continue to support the growth of non-life premiums. Rising infrastructure investment in Indonesia supports demand for property and fire insurance, while the Philippines’ high exposure to natural disasters has fueled its demand for catastrophic loss coverage.

In Vietnam, the continued economic development and increasing risk management awareness would support premium growth.

Throughout Asean, insurance distribution is dominated by agencies and brokers, which are uneven in quality, coverage and geographical reach.

In addition, there has also been a growing number of regional bank partnerships to expand client reach. Nonetheless, Moody’s expects that it will still take time and investment for insurers to strengthen the distribution capabilities of their banking partners to offer higher value products.

INFLATION RISE IN OCTOBER FOR 16TH MONTH IN A ROW

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http://www.nationmultimedia.com/detail/Economy/30357681

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INFLATION RISE IN OCTOBER FOR 16TH MONTH IN A ROW

Economy November 02, 2018 01:00

By The Nation

Thailand’s inflation rose 1.23 per cent in October for the 16th month in a row, director-general Pimchanok Vonkorpon of the Trade Policy and Strategy Office under the Commerce Ministry said yesterday.

 She added that the higher inflation rate in October followed price increases of energy and food prices in the first ten months with an average inflation rate of 1.15 per cent.

However, the country’s inflation has been kept below 1.25 per cent as targeted, she said.