TSFC Securities gets BBB- rating

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TSFC Securities gets BBB- rating

Corporate December 17, 2018 10:47

By
The Nation

TRIS Rating has affirmed the company rating on TSFC Securities (TSFC) at “BBB-” with “stable” outlook.

The rating reflects TSFC’s improving market share and its efforts to expand to more diverse business lines. The rating also takes into account the company’s improving profitability, adequate asset quality, and its low leverage and adequate liquidity.

The rating is, however, constrained by its exposure to market volatility and limited profitability due to an increasing trend of interest rates and intense competition.

Oishi banks on innovation in wake of beverage setbacks

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http://www.nationmultimedia.com/detail/Corporate/30360505

Backed by solid business strategy, Oishi Group’s president and CEO Nongnuch Buranasetkul (second from left) and other top executives express confidence that Year 2019 will offer brighter prospects. 
Backed by solid business strategy, Oishi Group’s president and CEO Nongnuch Buranasetkul (second from left) and other top executives express confidence that Year 2019 will offer brighter prospects.

  Oishi banks on innovation in wake of beverage setbacks

Corporate December 17, 2018 01:00

By   CHULARAT SAENGPASSA
THE NATION
JAPAN

OISHI GROUP is preparing to ride the growing economy in the coming year, which will be spurred by elections, in pursuit of its goal to further expand business and remain the market leader.

Posting Bt12.59 billion in revenue for the 2018 fiscal year, Oishi prides itself as being No 1 in the Japanese Restaurant Food and Beverage Business despite the period’s challenging circumstances.

Its green tea business, after all, has faced heavy impacts from the increased excise tax, reduced purchasing power of customers and decline of the ready-to-drink green tea market.

Half of Oishi Group’s revenue for 2018 fiscal year, which concluded on September 30, came from the group’s restaurants with the remainder from its beverages business. Its beverage revenues sank by 15 per cent in 2018, while the restaurant food sales grew by 1.7 per cent.

Despite the significant revenue, data gathered by The Nielsen Company (Thailand) Ltd showed Oishi held strong with a 45.4 per cent market share in Thailand’s green-tea market between October 2017 and June 2018. It is also that sector’s market leader in Malaysia and Cambodia.

“We will expand further as we pursue our ‘Vision 2020’,” Oishi Group (PLC) president and CEO Nongnuch Buranasetkul reported at a press conference last week.

In pursuit of that vision, Oishi group plans to open 19 new restaurants in the coming year, enhance, enhance its delivery services, as well as strengthen its presence in overseas markets. Its products are now sold in at least 34 countries across the globe.

“Our strategy focuses on innovation that accommodates megatrends such as tech-dependent lifestyles, healthy eating, the aeging society and the ‘Asian Century’ on an ongoing-basis, and extends our reach into Asean through the application of synergy within our Group,” Nongnuch said.

Jesdakorn Ghosh, EVP, Beverage Business Group, said while Thailand’s green-tea market was hit hard, her firm’s exports of beverages grew by 59 per cent in the past fiscal year.

“We rolled out new products that were well accepted by local consumers, such as Oishi green tea [with] pomegranate flavour in Cambodia, and Oishi green tea [with] Kyoho grape flavour in Laos,” she pointed out.

The plan for 2019 is also solid, with Oishi Group already taking up a “young generation-centric” approach. It has recruited the hugely popular girls’ group BNK48 as its presenter.

The BNK48 band is a Thai sister-band in the style of popular Japanese idol band AKB48. “BNK48 represents the younger-generation group. They are known for being fun loving – the very brand DNA of Oishi, and they have quickly won the hearts and minds of our targeted customer group,” Jesdakorn said.

Oishi Group has also used BNK48 as presenters to promote its beverage products in Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar.

“We’ve set our sights on seriously tapping further into CLM plus Malaysia,” Jesdakorn added.

The group’s beverage business boasts a Bt700 million annual marketing budget to reach both Thai and overseas markets.

Paisarn Aowsathaporn, EVP, food business group, said that while |Oishi food business group had achieved all its objectives for the past fiscal year, it intended to work harder in 2019.

“We are improving our online and delivery system to reduce customers’ wait time from 45 to 30 minutes,” he said.

According to Paisarn, at least six branches have already succeeded in reducing waiting time for delivery services to below a half-hour.

“We’re focused on better delivery system to respond better to changing consumer behaviours,” Paisarn said.

Mekhala Nethipo, EVP, packaged food business group, said her unit also has an ambitious plan for 2019.

“We will do rebranding and restructuring,” she said.

That decision recognised the many potential business opportunities arising from the packaged food market becoming integral to urban people’s lifestyles.

“Oishi also has ready-to-cook and the ready-to-eat businesses. In 2019, we intend to rebrand the Oishi packaged food image to strengthen it and make it better-known among the public,” said Mekhala. “We should see results by the second quarter of fiscal year 2019.”

Bangchak sets $50m investment budget in bio, green-energy startups

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http://www.nationmultimedia.com/detail/Corporate/30360506

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Bangchak sets $50m investment budget in bio, green-energy startups

Corporate December 17, 2018 01:00

By   JIRAPAN BOONNOON,
THE NATION
MACAU SAR, CHINA

BANGCHAK will invest US$50 million in startups within the next five years in order to expand their core business and technologies with the goal to emerge as the leading innovative group of its kind in the Asean bloc.

The firm expects to generate revenue growth to more than double in the next five years. The firm also has plans to set up solar rooftops at 14 gas stations over the coming years.

Suwat Meemook, executive vice president of Bangchak Initiative and Innovation Centre (BIIC), a part of Bangchak Corporation, said the firm is heading toward a transformation its current “Green Energy Excellence” vision to one of ‘Evolving Greenovation’

He spoke to The Nation at the International Innovation Summit 2018 in Macau. To drive its transportation and new S-curve business, the firm will invest US$50 million (Bt1.64 billion) of corporate venture capital (CVC) during 2019-2024 targeting startups in the US, China and Europe, he said.

The firm will seek to invest in startups in two main areas – bio-based and green-energy startups. For bio-based investments, it is looking for startups developing innovative products such as bio-plastics, nutrition and batteries.

In the green energy sector, the firm will focus on solar roofs, wind-turbines and e-vehicle power plants.

“We want to expand businesses now in oil and gas into bio-based and green-energy businesses. Therefore, we will develop and produce high-value products to support both domestic and international market demand.

“We will also set up a corporate innovation framework, the Bangchak Innovation Culture Initiative and innovation activities, to support innovative business at every angle from the bottom to top management,” said Surawat.

Their approach has won Bangchak the “organisation and culture” award at the International Innovation Awards 2018 held by Enterprise Asia.

“I think that bio-based and green energy businesses will create new opportunities and have a high potential growth in the near future,” said Suwat.

However, the firm last year started to invest in four startups valued at $5 million in the US and South America, including a small wind-turbine that is able to produce green energy at home, and battery technology. The firm expects to come out new innovative and commercial products from its startups in the next couple of years.

Within the next five years, he said, the firm expects to double its current revenues.

Chokchai Atsawarangsalit, executive vice president for business marketing and oil terminal at Bangchak Corporation, said their strategy focuses on developing green experience and green innovation for customers of the modern generation.

To drive green energy and sustainability, the firm has invested Bt70 million to develop and pilot an unique smart modernised service station. The “green community energy management system” (GEMS) located at Bangchak Srinakarin, in Samuthprakarn province is a “greenergy” service station able to reduce building and retails costs as well as offering future promise for electricity trading.

The GEMS is composed of PV rooftop installations on the service station’s canopy, commercial buildings and carports. It has a combined capacity of 279 kW, as well as allowing 1MWh of storage using the largest operating lithium battery storage (NMC and LPF) and microgrid system.

The firm next year will invest to develop and implement solar rooftops at 14 gas stations, including Bang Bua Thong 2, Teparak km11 and AOT Suvarnabhumi.

Already, the firm has set up solar rooftops at 14 gas stations, including on Vibhavadi Rangsit Road, Ratchaphruek Road and Srinakarin Road.

KTC to issue Bt10 bn in debentures

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http://www.nationmultimedia.com/detail/Corporate/30360507

Rathian
Rathian

KTC to issue Bt10 bn in debentures

Corporate December 17, 2018 01:00

By  SOMLUCK SRIMALEE
THE NATION

KRUNGTHAI Card Plc (KTC), the credit-card arm of Krungthai Bank, plans to issue Bt10 billion in debentures next year, aimed at capping the interest rate at 3.3 per cent in view of an uptrend, according to the company’s chief financial officer, Chutidej Chayuti.

Up to Bt5.3 billion of the proceeds from the planned issuances will go towards re-payment for issued debentures expiring in 2019. The balance will be invested in business expansion to boost its net profit by 10 per cent next year from an estimate of Bt5 billion this year, Chutidej said.

The company reported a total revenue of Bt15.74 billion and Bt3.91 billion in net profit for the first nine months, up nine per cent and 65 per cent respectively from the same period last year, according to the company’s report to the Stock Exchange of Thailand.

“We will issue one to five-year debentures next year as we believe the Bank of Thailand will soon raise the interest rate by at least 0.50 per cent. The new issuances will carry an interest rate of no more than 3.3 per cent, compared with the current level of 3.1 per cent,” he said.

The company has so far issued Bt45 billion in debentures, of which Bt5.3 billion will expire in 2019. Krungthai Card’s debt to equity ratio currently stands at 3:1 and the company expected a rise to no more than 4:1 next year with issuances of the new debentures, Chutidej said.

It will invest up to Bt30 million, from 2019 to 2021, in the development of robotic process automation (RPA) to streamline the company’s operation. It will first be implemented in the accounting department before other areas to speed up the overall business process by up to 70 per cent, as part of the company’s drive for sustainable growth, Chutidej said.

With plans set for next year, the company expects a 15-per-cent rise in card spending among its customers, partly through the launch of new marketing activities and credit card products, said president and chief executive officer Rathian Srimongkol. The company also aims to expand the base for personal loan to over one million customers and targets a 10 per cent growth in new lending next year, he said.

“Despite the general election in February, we are confident that the next government will continue the current policy on investments in infrastructure projects and boost domestic spending to push the country’s economy growth,” he said.

To further drive business growth, the company plans to enter the nano-pico finance segment and has submitted a proposal to Krungthai Bank and the Bank of Thailand. It is looking to a licence from the central bank, Rathian said adding that Krungthai Card is ready to intensify marketing efforts in all business areas.

CP Group ahead in bid for Bt224-bn high-speed rail link project

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http://www.nationmultimedia.com/detail/Corporate/30360461

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CP Group ahead in bid for Bt224-bn high-speed rail link project

Corporate December 15, 2018 12:22

By The Nation

A joint venture led by CP Group may be the front-runner in bidding for the Bt224 billion project to build a high-speed rail link between three international airports with the best offer in the third stage of bidding.

Warawut Mala, acting governor of the State Railway of Thailand (SRT), said CP Holding’s joint venture proposes to seek government subsidy for the construction cost of less than Bt119 billion, while the BSR Group, led by Bangkok Mass Transit System (BTS), sought a subsidy higher than Bt119 billion.

The high-speed rail link is to connect Don Mueang, Suvarnabhumi and U-tapao airports.

Warawut said the BSR Group has not been ruled out of the bidding yet as the third-stage offer from the CP joint venture still has some questions regarding to financial affairs that need to be clarified.

Warawut added that the offer from BSR Group was clear and did not need clarification, although it asked for a construction cost subsidy higher than the ceiling.

Warawut said the SRT summoned the CP Group to clarify the financial information. But since the joint venture has China Railway Construction Corp as a major partner, CP has yet to consult the Chinese firm before meeting the SRT.

Warawut said the CP group has asked for time to meet SRT no later than December 21.

Warawut added that if the CP joint venture fails to clarify the financial information and if the SRT fails to negotiate with BSR Group to lower the demanded subsidy, the bidding will be reopened.

However, if the CP Group manages to clarify the information, it will be allowed to proceed to the fourth-stage of bidding.

Fit to LEAD

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http://www.nationmultimedia.com/detail/Corporate/30360416

Songtham Phianpattanawit
Songtham Phianpattanawit

Fit to LEAD

Corporate December 15, 2018 01:00

By JIRAPAN BOONNOON
THE NATION WEEKEND

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SONGTHAM Phianpattanawit’s many years on the badminton court taught him the importance of keeping on his toes. And so it was when the aspiring national team representative missed the cut on selection, he made a strategic pivot from the net to the classroom.

Songtham put behind him that disappointment of not realising his childhood dreams on the national stage of badminton and opted to study computer science in the United States.

It was a decision that has paid off for Songtham, who has since risen to become executive director of IOT Business Group at True Corporation.

Songtham, who had enjoyed success for many —years on the court with his badminton club in Chon Buri, left for Alabama to make good on his ambitions for a career in technology. After graduating with a bachelor of science (computer science) from the University of South Alabama, he returned to Thailand looking for an entry-level job.

“I had chosen to study computer science since I did not want to read textbooks all that much,” he recalls. “I always liked mathematics more than reading textbooks. After I graduated and came back to Thailand, I submitted application forms for work with every IT business located in Silom Road and other areas.”

IBM invited him in for an interview and his salary expectations for a raw recruit had been low, at around Bt10,000 a month. He was pleasantly surprised when he was told that the starting salary at the US technology giant was Bt15,000 a month.

What followed was a two-decade rise through the ranks that saw Songtham serve as country general manager and managing director at IBM Thailand from 2001 to 2003.

He says that during his time at IBM – working as an “IBMer” as he and his colleagues called themselves – he gained experience in every department and business unit. He had been keen to gain an understanding of how every business department worked as took on increasingly senior executive roles in the organisation.

Songtham went on to work his way up over 20 years to reach the post of managing director at IBM Thailand. It was then that Suphachai Chearavanont, group chairman of the executive committee of True Corporation, invited him to join True Multimedia as a director in 2003.

“I had worked at an international company for 20 years. I thought that, as I am Thai, I should create value for a Thai company or Thai business. I also thought of it as a challenge for me to manage and reorganise the business at True,” Songtham says. “I am an athlete that likes a challenge and joining True presented just such a challenge.”

In his first year at the company, Songtham served as a director at True Multimedia, which provides IT services and solutions to support private sector, state enterprises and government agencies. The firm had gained revenue of around Bt6 billion. For this year, with him serving as executive director of IOT Business Group at True Corporation, he says the company has pulled in around Bt13 billion from about 5,000 businesses.

“I have been working at True for many years and the revenue from IT services and IT solutions is still enjoying continuous growth,” Songtham says. “We also set up a new S-curve business to support the private sector, state enterprises and public sector in their efforts to transform themselves and improve their businesses and organisation in the digital era.”

He says the company has also set up True digital group to run the S-curve business, which covers seven areas: Big Data and analytics, Internet of Things (IoT) platform, cyber security, blockchain, digital advertising, smart retail with smart vending machine to be rolled out nationwide and robotics.

Songtham says the company is on the lookout for promising startup and other businesses in Thailand and abroad for possible investment in terms of mergers and acquisitions and joint ventures in order to expand the business.

As part of his efforts to better get to know his team, Songtham takes his lunch at the staff canteen every day. He also either rides the MRT system to work or drives in by himself. Throughout his career he has never neglected exercise and keeps up a fit

ness routine in the morning at the office as well as playing guitar to help relax before his hectic schedule of meetings.

On the weekends you can find him riding his bicycle with his two children and friends.

As for the secrets to his success, Songtham has utilised transfer knowledge as well as other forms of know-how such as those relating to commissions, process management, mobile office and a creed of business ethics from his time at IBM. He has implemented these practices at True.

Songtham, looking back on his time at IBM, says he had been responsible for 20 middle-level executives and had created a business with revenue of Bt500 million. He recalls with pride how that made him feel happy and successful.

Now, he is responsible for more than 1,000 employees. He says he will step down when the True Digital Group businesses have bedded down sustained growth and when business such as the IoT operation can achieve revenue of Bt500 million and True digital group can reach Bt1 billion. He expects this to happen by the end of next year.

“True is a big company and covers various business areas. It is stimulating to collaborate with people in each of the business areas as we support each other,’ Songtham says. “I also have a passion to give opportunities to my staff and the new generation of workers.

“I am happy when my workers and team members enjoy success and rise up. This means that I have to manage the business and the organisation in the right way. I think that I have had the kind of success that has exceeded my expectations.”

As for the future, he will pursue a dream to set up an academy for the transfer of knowledge and know-how in order to enhance IT literacy and support the goals of the technology-boosting Thailand 4.0 scheme.

Bangchak Corporation gets ‘A’ rating

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http://www.nationmultimedia.com/detail/Corporate/30360406

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Bangchak Corporation gets ‘A’ rating

Corporate December 14, 2018 17:36

By The Nation

TRIS Rating has assigned an “A” rating to Bangchak Corporation (BCP) and BCP’s existing senior unsecured debentures, the company said in a press release on Friday.

At the same time, TRIS Rating has assigned the “A” rating to BCP’s proposed issue of up to Bt7,000 million in senior unsecured debentures. The assigned issue rating has replaced the rating of the proposed issue of up to Bt5,000 million announced on December 6, 2018, as the company decided to increase the bond size.

The proceeds from the new debentures will be used for refinancing, working capital, and business expansion.

The company said the ratings continue to reflect BCP’s long track record in oil refining and marketing businesses, its leading market position in the oil retailing business, and its diversification into green energy businesses. The ratings are partially offset by increasing leverage due to the company’s investment plan for the upgrade of its refinery and the expansion into new businesses.

SEAC plans to invest Bt600m to help drive Thailand forward

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Arinya Talerngsri, Chief Capability Officer
Arinya Talerngsri, Chief Capability Officer

SEAC plans to invest Bt600m to help drive Thailand forward

Corporate December 14, 2018 16:39

By The Nation

2,069 Viewed

SEAC, a leading executive, leadership and innovation education center, plans to invest more than Bt600 million in marketing strategies that focus on the use of data for the development of services, the company said in a press release on Friday.

The company also said it is focusing on “4Line Learning” which is considered to be the most effective learning approach with the launch of its first model “YourNextU”.

The company believes it can increase its customer base by 300 per cent by year-end and the business growth of over 100 per cent.

Arinya Talerngsri, Chief Capability Officer & Managing Director of SEAC (South East Asia Center), Asean’s first and only lifelong learning centre, said: “With our determination to develop and elevate modern organisations in order to catch up with the changes in the new millennium through our programmes and thinking process related to Leadership and Innovation, we have received positive feedbacks from both public and private leading organisations in the country which also include banking and finance, real estate, FMCG, energy and healthcare businesses, to name only a few.

“Altogether there are 30,000 people taking up the programmes with 40 service offerings. Currently, SEAC has a major business plan to bring us to the next level by becoming Asean’s first and only lifelong learning centre under the belief that every human being has a potential to develop and learn at any stage in their life. This is an important step for SEAC to infuse people with a lifelong learning mindset and curiosity to discover boundless possibilities and build lifelong learning ecosystem and culture for Thailand and Asean.

“With 27 years of experience, we are aware that many people do not fully understand and are not able to distinguish between the context of learning and studying, making it difficult for them to access true learning methods that could help them reach their potential. Some are entangled in their own traps to the point that they believe they do not require further learning and development. Therefore, it is the responsibility of SEAC to create a turning point by offering a new “learning” alternative and to go full speed towards building public awareness and setting a strong foundation to change people’s mindset.

“We are to change people’s attitude that once associated life success only with high academic degrees and turn such a thought into a New Learning Mindset under the Lifelong Learning Concept wherein learning continues at all stages in their life. The world is changing rapidly, so people should never stop learning new things or acquiring new skills.

“Our programmes are to expand to more people, whether they’re in the work force looking to developing new skills to advance their careers, fresh graduates discovering their own selves to build their own future, or even operators of small- and medium-sized businesses looking for stability.”

Arinya added: “With our experiences in learning and human development, SEAC has created a highly effective learning approach called “4Line Learning” in order to meet the requirements of each individual while at the same time, to stimulate their desire to learn and apply what they learned to their life and work amidst aggressive changes.

“The learning approach comprises of four major components. First is ‘online learning’ which focuses on learning through video clips and visuals. Second is ‘Inline learning’ where learners are encouraged to participate in classes and courses, arranged at a suitable duration – mostly short – of no longer than half a day. Third is ‘Beeline learning’, underlining experience and data exchange with experts, speakers, prominent business operators, thought leaders as well as through special activities that best suit each learning topic, and fourth, ‘Frontline learning’ where learners are allowed a full access to downloadable materials and data.

“In this initial step, SEAC is collaborating with the world’s leading institutes in setting up a learning curriculum entitled “YourNextU” which comprises over 100 Online Learning courses, 40 Inline Learning programmes, 40 Beeline Learning activities and Frontline data archive allowing unlimited downloads. The programmes include, but not limit to, Design Thinking: Empathising to Discover Opportunities, Creative Connection: 7 Creative Problem-Solving Strategies, New Me New Land: Overcoming Change Resistance, The Outward Mindset: Seeing Beyond Yourself, Strategic Thinking: Business Modeling, Step In Leader: Problem Solving & Decision-Making or HR Academy.

“Also, there are courses that have been set up to catch up with the world such as Business Management 4.0, Data Analysis, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning, Cloud computing and Web Service, to name only a few. All these are expected to be officially implemented by February 2019.”

In terms of investment, SEAC has invested in over Bt600 million covering the development of a learning platform which incorporates the “4Line Learning” approach that will be consecutively updated over the course of 3-5 years, the search for world-class partners for the development of the courses and curriculum to fulfil all aspects of learning for all age groups, translations of contents into Thai and selected Asean languages as well as the construction of the lifelong learning centre.

The company said its marketing strategies embody Personalised Marketing, paying attention to data and the development of Learner Persona so that courses created perfectly meet the demand of learners and at the same time are able to catch up with the fast moving world. “At the beginning, we will target towards the organisational level both in Thailand and Asean and will also spread out our message to create perception and awareness to draw attention from those who are interested and have the passion for learning and development to join SEAC in the future. We are certain that SEAC will generate 90,000 clients and a business growth of over 100 per cent by 2020,” the company said.

LoxSim enters Mekong Subregion market

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http://www.nationmultimedia.com/detail/Corporate/30360399

  • Wansit

LoxSim enters Mekong Subregion market

Corporate December 14, 2018 16:15

Loxley Simulation Technology(LoxSim) and Mekong Institute (MI) joined in a new collaboration which aims to promote the usage of “Green Logistics” through utilization of a new environmental friendly state of the art training technology for the Greater Mekong Subregion.

Wansit Chatikavanij , chief executive officer of LoxSim, unveiled a new collaboration between Loxsim) and MI on developing truck drivers, logistic, and supply chain managers knowledge development on economic driving and green freight in the GMS; Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Vietnam, Thailand and Yunnan of China.

The new Memorandum of Understanding is a two-year collaboration of knowledge sharing and research collaboration on Truck Driving Simulator to enhance logistics and supply chain knowledge for companies focusing on “Fuel-efficient driving” “safe driving” and “environmentally friendly” concepts, according to its press release.

“Fuel-efficient driving techniques” will allow fleet managers and drivers to understand different ways to become more efficient and environmental friendly especially in reductions of fuel consumption and the release of carbon dioxide through better driving habits and mindset.

In keeping with the principle of eco-driving and green logistics, change in driving behaviours, operating within the speed limit to avoid harsh acceleration and specifically harsh braking will ultimately result in more efficient fuel consumption and fewer damages to the vehicle. In addition, this techniques and mindset, green logistics education will in turn help to support the environment through reductions of excessive carbon emissions.

Wansit said the current collaboration with MI will serve also as the first step towards regional market opening, which includes encouragement and education for entrepreneurs in Thailand and neighboring countries on awareness regarding to Green Logistics.

“Most operators focus on the technology of their vehicles, but forget that the key factor is the driver. Driving simulator can exposed drivers to dangerous driving conditions in a realistic, simulated virtual environment which would not be possible in real life. Thus, this solution is seen as a convenient tool for trainers to train at any time in a safe virtual environment”.

Wansit said, “Next year, LoxSim will begin to look at the medical emergency and disaster management market. Moreover, Loxsim will emphasize cooperation with various educational institutes by bringing in new simulator technologies to produce research for further improvement of both professional training and education.

Hike in BoT policy rate likely

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http://www.nationmultimedia.com/detail/Economy/30360548

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Hike in BoT policy rate likely

Breaking News December 17, 2018 10:45

By The Nation

HSBC Global Research expects the Bank of Thailand (BoT) to hike its policy rate by 25 basis points (bp) at the upcoming meeting on December, 19 after holding it unchanged for more than three years.

At the meeting on 14 November, three members voted for a 25bp hike. Only one more vote is needed to tip the balance in favour of a hike. It is also anticipated that the central bank will revise down 2018 and 2019 growth forecasts, to 4.2 per cent and 4.0 per cent respectively, from 4.4 per cent and 4.2 per cent in the previous assessment, due largely to the downside surprise in the 3Q GDP reading.

Growth and inflation this year are set to meet the preconditions that the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) set for policy normalisation this year, HSBC Global Research noted.

Despite the slowdown in 3Q growth, the central bank maintained a positive view on the economic outlook, suggesting that growth will rebound in 4Q. The annual growth rate will likely average above the potential growth rate of 4 per cent. Moreover, headline inflation is likely to average within the central bank’s target range of 1-4 per cent in 2018, and to continue to trend within the range in 2019, barring any further slides in global oil prices.

“We believe growth and inflation conditions are strong enough to support the start of monetary policy normalisation,” the statement added.

That said, the policy decision is unlikely to a unanimous one as some MPC members maintain a dovish view on growth. Somchai Jitsuchon, for example, has struck a dovish tone recently, citing an upsurge in trade protectionism and uneven domestic demand as risks to the economic outlook next year.

HSBC Global Research also said it that it would be important to look out for any guidance on the following path of policy normalisation path.

“We currently expect one 25bp rate hike in 2019, likely to occur in 2Q. But we also see the possibility that the central bank may signal a more dovish stance at next week’s meeting, guiding the markets towards a long pause following any rate hike.”