#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Gold rises slightly on the back of weak US economic data

EconOct 02. 2020

By The Nation

The price of gold rose by Bt50 per baht weight in morning trade on Friday, the Gold Traders Association reported.

As of 9.26am, the buying price of a gold bar was Bt28,300 per baht weight and selling price Bt28,400, while gold ornaments were priced at Bt27,788.28 and Bt28,900, respectively.

At close on Thursday, the buying price of a gold bar was Bt28,250 per baht weight and selling price Bt28,350, while gold ornaments were Bt27,742.80 and Bt28,850, respectively.

Spot gold price moved to US$1,897 (Bt59,949.44) per ounce on Friday morning after the price rose by $20.8 to $1,916.3 per ounce at Thursday’s close.

Gold price closed in positive territory from investors’ mass buy-ups of the precious metal in response to weak US economic data, especially the manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index in September that was worse than expected.

Meanwhile, investors are waiting for the US non-farm payroll in September, which will be announced on Friday.

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

SET falls due to sharp plunge in oil price, exodus of foreign investors

EconOct 02. 2020

By The Nation

The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) Index fell by 5.73 points, or 0.46 per cent, to 1,241.86 in the morning session on Friday.

An analyst at Krungsri Securities expected the index to fluctuate between 1,240 and 1,255 despite positive sentiment from the ongoing process of the US$2.2-trillion US economic stimulus bill.

“The sharp fall in oil price due to uncertainty over fuel demand and foreign investors’ mass sell-offs of Thai shares would pressure the index,” he said.

As an investment strategy, he recommended that investors buy:

▪︎ Banpu and AGE that will benefit from rising coal price in response to China’s strong demand.

▪︎ PSL, TTA and RCL that benefit from the sharp rise in Baltic Dry Index

▪︎ Delta, Hana, KCE and SMT that benefit from the weakening baht.

The SET Index closed at 1,247 on Thursday, up 10.55 points or 0.85 per cent, while the volume of total transactions was Bt44 billion from hopes of US lawmakers reaching an agreement on new economic stimulus measures and mass buy-ups of SCC and BANPU shares.

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Stocks climb, led by Big Tech

EconOct 02. 2020

By Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg · Vildana Hajric · BUSINESS

U.S. stocks advanced, led by gains in the biggest technology companies, as investors weighed the chances Democratic lawmakers and the White House will reach a deal for a fiscal-stimulus package. Oil tumbled on concern the market may be oversupplied.

The Nasdaq 100 reached the highest in almost a month as Amazon.com, Microsoft and Tesla rose. The S&P 500 Index’s advance was limited by declines in energy producers. Trading was volatile, with stocks pushed around by the latest developments in efforts to forge a stimulus bill acceptable to Democrats and Republicans. Talks were set to continue Thursday as officials sought a breakthrough.

European stocks closed slightly higher. Gold advanced, while Treasury yields dipped. Oil tumbled to about $39 a barrel on concern about oversupply amid sluggish economic growth.

U.S. stock markets have been whipsawed this week by speculation over whether lawmakers will agree to provide new pandemic-relief aid amid high unemployment and growing rates of infection in some areas. While the S&P 500 Index is up more than 50% from its March low, it’s still down more than 5% from a record high reached last month.

In Asia, the Tokyo Stock Exchange halted trading for the entire day Thursday because of technical problems. The exchange will replace hardware and restart its system, aiming to resume trading Friday.

These are the main moves in markets:

Stocks

– The S&P 500 Index rose 0.5% as of 4 p.m. EDT.

– The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.2%.

– The MSCI Emerging Market Index rose 0.3%.

Currencies

– The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index declined 0.3%.

– The British pound fell 0.2% to $1.2889.

– The Japanese yen fell 0.1% to 105.56 per dollar.

Bonds

– The yield on 10-year Treasurys fell one basis point to 0.68%.

– Germany’s 10-year yield fell one basis point to -0.54%.

– Britain’s 10-year yield climbed less than one basis point to 0.23%.

– New Zealand’s 10-year yield climbed two basis points to 0.505%.

Commodities

– West Texas Intermediate crude tumbled 3.8% to $38.70 a barrel.

– Gold strengthened 1% to $1,905.27 an ounce.

– Silver rose 2.5% to $23.81 per ounce.

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

EEC firms urge Prayut to boost public-private collaboration

EconOct 02. 2020PM Prayut Chan-o-cha (Photo credit: Government House) 

By The Nation

Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha received proposals from companies in the Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC) to draw more investment to the zone on Thursday.

The suggestions were made during the premier’s visit to survey progress of EEC projects and listen to private-sector ideas for its further development.

WHA Corporation chief executive officer Jareeporn Jarukornsakul said the  formation of a joint private sector-government team to woo foreign investment via roadshows overseas was among the proposals. The team should include Board of Investment and EEC executives, she added. 

Businesses also urged closer cooperation between  government and the private sector to develop the zone. 

Government spokesman Anucha Burapachaisri said that the combined value of  projects applying to invest in the EEC over the past eight months was Bt85 billion.

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Stimulus measures under consideration to lift property sector, consumption

EconOct 02. 2020Permanent secretary at the Finance Ministry, Krisada Chinavicharana 

By The Nation

The Finance Ministry is considering more stimulus packages to support the property sector and increase consumption.

The newly appointed permanent secretary at the Finance Ministry, Krisada Chinavicharana, said on Thursday that he would meet with senior officials to discuss ways to help the economy recover from the Covid-19 impact.

There are signs of recovery, but the ministry wants to look into how to stimulate the economy in the short and medium term, he said on Thursday, his first day in office as permanent secretary. Krisada is a former director-general of the Customs Department.

The ministry will look into which businesses or groups of people need more support. The government has been implementing Covid-19 relief packages, assisting small businesses and low-income groups.

He said some real estate segments, such as low-rise property, are doing well, while some segments may face difficulty, referring to high-rise or condominium developers who are hit by oversupply of residential units and a decrease in people’s purchasing power.

The ministry will also look into whether to resume the shopping package, known as “Eat, Shop and Spend”, which subsidised people shopping for goods, travel and dinning at restaurants.

The latest economic indicators in August have shown signs of recovery since July, but the economy is expected to see a close to 10 per cent contraction this year as exports and tourism — the two main engines of the Thai economy — have not recovered yet due to the persistence of the Covid-19 pandemic worldwide.

The Bank of Thailand reported that business confidence in September rose for the fifth consecutive month to 47.5 while the manufacturing confidence index touched 50 for the first time since the virus outbreak early this year.

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Layoffs continue as jobless claims remain high

EconOct 02. 2020

By The Washington Post · Eli Rosenberg · BUSINESS, US-GLOBAL-MARKETS 

WASHINGTON – A cascade of new layoffs announced this week is putting pressure on an already strained labor market as numerous large companies have said they plan to shed thousands of workers in the final months of 2020.

The Labor Department on Thursday painted a grim picture of the jobs market even before these new layoffs were reported: 837,000 initial claims for unemployment insurance were processed last week. That’s down from a peak in late March and April, but it is still higher than any other period before the coronavirus pandemic.

Another 650,000 people had new claims processed last week for Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA), the program for self-employed and gig workers, up slightly from 630,000 the week before.

The total number of people claiming unemployment insurance ticked up slightly, to 26.5 million for the week ending Sept. 12.

The unemployment rate was 3.5% in February and jumped to nearly 15% in April as U.S. employers laid off more than 20 million people due to the coronavirus pandemic. Employers have added back about half the lost jobs since, but many Americans remain unemployed. President Donald Trump has said the economy is roaring back to life, but new layoff announcements show how some companies are struggling to adjust to the uneven economic recovery, particularly as some industries remain weak.

Several companies in recent days have announced sizable corporate layoffs, including 28,000 people at Disney from its theme park division, 3,800 people at the insurance company Allstate, and tens of thousands of additional furloughs at American Airlines and United Airlines. Numerous industries are under severe strain. Continental, the German tire company, announced plans to cut as many as 30,000 jobs worldwide, and Marathon Petroleum has begun a new round of layoffs.

“There is clearly a stalling out in the improvement in the domestic labor force,” said Joseph Brusuelas, the chief economist at RSM. “In particular, the rise in the number of persons on unemployment insurance and the increase in the number of people on PUA need to be monitored, because that signals we’re likely to have a sustained issue over the next couple of years inside the labor market, particularly pertaining to transportation, leisure, hospitality in general, aviation and hotels in particular.”

There are several reasons for the new rounds of layoffs. 

Americans have not resumed traveling at the pace they did before the pandemic, putting a lot of pressure on airlines and companies that rely on tourism and visitors. Also, emergency government aid programs for businesses and households have mostly expired, leaving Americans with less money for spending.

The Commerce Department on Thursday reported that personal incomes fell $543.5 billion, or 2.7%, in August and that disposable personal income also fell. Consumer spending, meanwhile, grew 1% in August. Consumer spending is typically seen as the biggest engine in the U.S. economy. 

U.S. employers announced another 118,000 job cuts in August, according to the employment firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, bringing the yearly total to more than 2 million – the highest ever recorded by the firm.

Economists have started talking less about returning to a pre-pandemic normal and more about what the new economy will look like. 

“Clearly the covid shocks have led to an economy in transition,” Chester Spatt, an economist at Carnegie Mellon University, said, referring to covid-19, the illness caused by the novel coronavirus. “Even once we get back to full employment, the jobs aren’t going to be the same as the old jobs. People talk a lot about when we return to normal, but I don’t think normal is defined as the way we did things before.”

The White House and congressional Democrats are trying to negotiate another economic relief package, with talks continuing Thursday. Both sides say they want more small-business aid, joblessness benefits and stimulus checks, but they remain far apart on other issues. A deal does not appear imminent.

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Thai stock gurus weight impact of US presidential election

EconOct 02. 2020

By The Nation

Experts advise that Thai investors diversify their portfolios to escape market volatility before and after the US presidential election.

Wednesday’s opening presidential debate between Donald Trump and Joe Biden focused on personal attacks rather than policy and was unlikely to affect voters’ decisions much, according to most observers.

Thai fund managers assess that Biden has more credibility than Trump, but say the election’s outcome is far from certain, pointing to Trump’s win in 2016 despite Hillary Clinton gaining the majority of votes. The uncertainty will fuel stock market volatility both before and after the election, they add.

Thanavut Pornrojnangkool, deputy managing director at Bangkok Capital Asset Management, said that if Trump wins the election, the market will be buoyed by his existing policies which benefit big business, but also nervous over any new and unexpected policies.

“Investors should beware of stocks linked with China because Trump may impose policies that could trigger a US-China trade war at any time,” he said.

Meanwhile a Biden win would affect listed companies’ profits because he has policies to collect more tax from companies and middle- and upper-class citizens in order to reduce inequality.

“Certain businesses, such as renewable energy companies, would receive Biden’s support, but others, such as pharmaceutical and technology companies, would be under pressure from his policies [as president],” he said.

However, a Biden’s presidency would be more predictable, meaning investors could focus on sectors that benefit from Biden’s policies and avoid sectors that would not, he added.

To deal with volatility before the presidential election, he advised investors to diversify and buy assets amid market corrections for good returns in the long term.

Win Phromphaet, chief investment officer at Principal Asset Management, said investors needn’t worry about the presidential election because it would not strongly affect the direction of US stocks.

“Records show the US stock market has risen for 17 out of 19 US presidential elections. The market has fallen only twice at this time, due to the Dot-com bubble crisis in 2000 and the Hamburger crisis in 2008, so we expect it to rise despite the Covid-19 crisis this year,” he said.

Market volatility before the election was a chance to increase investments in stocks with growth potential and also technology shares, which are currently popular, he added.

Somchai Amornthum, of the Strategic Asset Allocation & Fund Marketing Department at Krung Thai Asset Management, said the US stock market will fall if there is a political change but rise if Trump is re-elected.

“The US-China trade war will pressure the market if Trump wins, while risks of increasing tariffs will pressure it if Biden wins, but we believe the market has already priced in the negative sentiment, as seen from the fall in September,” he said.

“So whoever wins the election, stocks are still an interesting choice for long-term investment to generate returns amid low-level interest.”

He added that investors should hedge between US and China stocks to manage market volatility before and after the presidential election, as well as keeping an eye on both the domestic and international situation before investing in Thai shares.

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

SET rises over hopes of US economic stimulus package

EconOct 01. 2020

By The Nation

The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) Index closed at 1,247.59 on Thursday, up 10.55 points or 0.85 per cent. The volume of total transactions was Bt44.86 billion with an index high of 1,251.11 and a low of 1,232.81.

During the morning session, an analyst at Krungsri Securities said he expected the index to rebound to 1,245 points before falling from hopes that US lawmakers will reach an agreement on further economic stimulus measures and also a rise in the price of oil.

“US Treasury secretary Steven Mnuchin and House speaker Nancy Pelosi have indicated that Republicans and Democrats will reach an agreement soon,” the analyst said.

“However, investors should beware of high market volatility after the expiration of SET’s ceiling-floor adjustment, uptick rules and a circuit breaker, as well as a mass sell-off of Thai shares by foreign investors,” he said.

The top 10 stocks with the highest trade value today were MICRO, SCC, BANPU, KBANK, AOT, PTT, STGT, CPF, CPALL and MINT.

As of 4.30pm, the price of oil dropped by US$0.13 or 0.32 per cent to $40.09 per barrel, while gold rose by $4.10 or 0.22 per cent, to $1,899.60 per ounce.

Among other Asian Indices, Japan’s Nikkei Index closed at 23,184.93, down 0.19 points or 0.00082 per cent.

China and Hong Kong stock indices were closed for National Day, South Korea’s KOSPI Index was closed for Chuseok festival, and Taiwan’s TAIEX Index was closed for the Moon festival.