Weekly jobless claims fall below 300,000 for first time amid pandemic #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007528


The number of Americans filing initial unemployment claims fell below 300,000 for the first time since the pandemic began, the Labor Department reported Thursday.

The 36,000 drop brought the weekly count to 293,000 and strikingly close to the pre-pandemic mark of 256,000. The four-week moving average fell by 10,500 to 334,250, its lowest level since March 2020.

The new numbers reflect an economy that has improved significantly from the pandemic-imposed doldrums of 2020, but remains racked by supply-chain bottlenecks, labor shortages and the coronavirus, which saw a resurgence this summer as the highly contagious delta variant took hold.

The White House lauded Thursday’s report as more progress on the heels of September jobs data showing the U.S. unemployment rate fell from 5.2% to 4.8%.

“With wages rising and our unemployment rate back below 5% for the first time since the pandemic struck, it is clear that our economy is getting back to normal despite the global challenges posed by the delta variant, President Joe Biden said in a prepared statement.

But the September report also revealed tepid job growth – just 194,000 positions were added, well below the 500,000 expected – and that the lower unemployment rate was partly due to the large number of people – primarily women – who left the labor force. Lingering safety concerns about the coronavirus, child-care worries, burnout and other factors are keeping many workers on the sidelines.

Still, having the weekly number fall below 300,000 is a key psychological threshold. Daniel Zhao, lead data scientist on Glassdoor’s economic research team, predicted on Twitter that the pre-pandemic low “could be reached later this year as the delta wave recedes and hiring improves.” Rep. Ted Lieu, D-Calif., tweeted that the jobless claims numbers show the country is “on the right track.”

The report added to the feel-good vibe on Wall Street, where strong earnings results from big banks lifted investors’ economic outlook. The Dow Jones industrial average jumped 534.75 points, or 1.6%, to close at 34,912.56. The S&P 500 added 74.46 points, or 1.7%, to settle at 4,438.26. The tech-heavy Nasdaq surged 251.79 points, or 1.7%, to end the session at 14,823.43.

Biden underscored the connection between coronavirus vaccination rates and the economy in his statement Thursday, noting that “we cannot fully bring our economy back unless we beat the pandemic.”

As vaccination requirements have gone into effect, he said, more Americans are getting coronavirus shots. Some 66 million people remain unvaccinated in the United States, compared with nearly 100 million in July. “We are making important progress against the delta variant, and our economy is gaining strength in turn,” Biden said.

Labor Secretary Marty Walsh said the last several Bureau of Labor Statistic reports show that the U.S. is still grappling with the pandemic-related head winds.

“I think we’re seeing people still living with the concern and maybe fear of the pandemic. Maybe their health is not necessarily the best and then they’re worried about their personal health,” Walsh told the Chicago Tribune.

Betsey Stevenson, an economist at University of Michigan, told CNBC that most economists “feel very comfortable saying that we’re going to see better news in the October jobs report than we did in the September jobs report, and these unemployment insurance claims numbers that we’re seeing today supports that idea.”

In March and April of 2020, more than 20 million U.S. workers lost their jobs ― at one point totaling more than a million a day ― as pandemic-inflicted closures took their toll on the country’s service-centric economy. In the 18 months since, the jobless ranks have shrunk significantly.

But the biggest economic driver of the labor market appears to be workers’ own decisions to leave their jobs. Americans are quitting their jobs at historically high rates, as about 4.3 million left their jobs in August, according to Labor Department data reported Tuesday. That makes about 2.9% of the total U.S. workforce.

Published : October 15, 2021

By : The Washington Post

SET drops despite country reopening and rising oil price

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007514


The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) Index closed at 1,640.97 on Thursday, down 2.67 points or 0.16 per cent. Transactions totalled 84.95 billion baht with an index high of 1,648.62 and a low of 1,637.42.

The index dropped after rising slightly by 0.62 per cent on Tuesday.

In the morning session, Krungsri Securities expected the day’s index would rise to the resistance line between 1,650 and 1,660 points on the government plan to reopen the country.

According to the government’s plan, fully vaccinated travellers from low-risk countries will be allowed to enter the country without mandatory quarantine from November 1 this year.


It added that the index also gained positive sentiment from the rising oil price of over US$80 per barrel.


“However, the index would be under pressure due to rising US September Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the US Federal Reserve signalling it would taper its quantitative easing programme this year,” Krungsri Securities said.

Related news:

The 10 stocks with the highest trade value today were AOT, U, TRUE, KBANK, CPALL, IRPC, PTT, BANPU, CPN and PTTEP.


Other Asian indices were up except Indexes in China:


Japan’s Nikkei Index closed at 28,550.93, up 410.65 points or 1.46 per cent.
China’s Shanghai SE Composite closed at 3,558.28, down 3.48 points or 0.10 per cent, while the Shenzhen SE Component closed at 14,341.38, down 11.70 points or 0.08 per cent.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index closed at 25,020.34, up 57.75 points or 0.23 per cent.
South Korea’s KOSPI Index closed at 2,988.64, up 44.23 points or 1.50 per cent.
Taiwan’s TAIEX Index closed at 16,387.28, up 39.29 points or 0.24 per cent.

Published : October 14, 2021

By : THE NATION

Tax collection of 3 departments misses target by over THB300 billion amid Covid crisis #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007510


The Revenue Department has collected THB1.87 trillion in taxes for fiscal year 2021 (ending September 2021), missing the target by approximately THB215 billion.

“The Finance Ministry had earlier this year set a collection target of THB2.085 trillion for the department,” said Ekniti Nitithanprapas, director-general of the Revenue Department. “However, this number was later adjusted down to THB1.75 trillion when factoring in the impact of Covid-19 that has escalated in Thailand since April.”

Ekniti said the department had been focusing on collecting taxes from businesses that were yet to be affected by the outbreak, such as hospitals and medical supplies.

“Furthermore, we have been using data analytics technology to tax those who were previously not included in the taxation system, which has helped revenue to surpass the adjusted target by about THB120 billion,” he added.

Meanwhile, the Excise Department has reported revenue collection of THB540 billion in fiscal year 2021, lower than the expected THB630 billion.

The department still could not achieve the Finance Ministry’s adjusted target due to the worsening Covid-19 situation, which has been lowered to THB550 billion.

Department director-general Lavaron Sangsnit said the government’s lockdown orders to prevent Covid-19 from spreading further have significantly reduced fuel consumption in the transport sector and therefore affected the collection of oil fuel tax, which is the department’s major source of revenue.

Customs Department director-general Patchara Anuntasilpa meanwhile said his department had collected THB102 billion in tariffs for fiscal year 2021, slightly lower than the original target of THB104 billion but higher than the adjusted target of THB100 billion.

“As for the next fiscal year, the department has been given the same target of THB100 billion, which we are confident we can achieve as the unlocking of economic activities in many parts of the country will lead to increased imports of capital goods,” Patchara said.

“Furthermore, Thailand is likely to import more agricultural products from neighbouring countries to supplement domestic supplies that have been affected by the flood situation,” he added.

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Revenue collection misses the target by 10% due to Covid-19

State enterprises, businesses deliver THB160 billion in revenue

Published : October 14, 2021

By : THE NATION

Baht strengthens after investors buy stocks, gold price rise #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007496


The baht opened at 33.17 to the US dollar on Thursday, strengthening from the previous closing rate of 33.45.

The Thai currency is likely to move between 33.10 and 33.30 during the day, Krungthai Bank market strategist Poon Panichpibool predicted.

Poon said that the baht might strengthen as foreign investors are buying Thai stocks because they expected the economy to recover after the country opening next month. 

Meanwhile, investors sold gold after the price increased caused the baht to strengthen in the short term.

Poon said that the baht might strengthen and the support level would be 33 to the US dollar. The baht will not strengthen much soon as the Covid-19 situation is still worrying and the basic factor was not fully recovered.

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Baht strengthens as Thailand prepares to reopen

Worse-than-expected NFP pulls down Thai baht

Baht unchanged, may strengthen after release of NFP report

Published : October 14, 2021

By : THE NATION

Gold price surges amid the US high inflation numbers #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007495


The price of gold rose sharply by THB250 in morning trade on Thursday, reported the Gold Trader Association.

Areport at 9.28am said the buying price of a gold bar was THB28,050 per baht weight and selling price THB28,150, while the buying and selling price of gold ornaments is THB27,545.72 and THB28,650, respectively.

At close on Wednesday, the buying price of a gold bar was THB27,800 per baht weight and selling price THB27,900, while gold ornaments were THB27,303.16 and THB28,400, respectively. 


The spot gold price on Thursday morning hovered around US$1,789 (THB59,376) per ounce after Comex gold at close on Wednesday surged by $35.4 to $1,794.7 per ounce due to support in buying gold as a safe-haven asset after the US released the inflation numbers which were higher than expected, and in addition, the gold market also gained positive factors driven by the depreciation of the US dollar and the lower US bond yields.

Related news:

Published : October 14, 2021

By : THE NATION

SET expected to rise on country reopening, rising oil price #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007492


Krungsri Securities expected the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) Index on Thursday would rise to the resistance line between 1,650 and 1,660 points on the government plan to reopen the country.

According to the government’s plan, ully vaccinated travellers from low-risk countries will be allowed to enter the country without mandatory quarantine from November 1 this year.

It added that the index also gained positive sentiment from the rising oil price of over US$80 per barrel.

“However, the index would be under pressure due to rising US September Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the US Federal Reserve signalling it would taper its quantitative easing programme this year,” Krungsri Securities said.

It also recommended buying of the following companies’ shares as an investment strategy:

▪︎ AOT, AAV, BA, MINT, KBANK, SCB, CPN, CRC, HMPRO, CPALL, AMATA, WHA, MAJOR, BTS and BEM, which benefit from the country reopening.

▪︎ PTT, PTTEP, TOP, PTTGC, SPRC and BCP, which benefit from rising oil price and gross refining margin.

Related stories:

The SET Index rose by 3.40 points or 0.21 per cent to 1,647.04 on Thursday morning, witnessing a high of 1,648.62 and a low of 1,643.74 in opening trade.

Published : October 14, 2021

By : THE NATION

Chamber of Commerce suggests increasing vaccination rate before reopening the country #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007491


The Thai Chamber of Commerce (TCC) has urged the government to increase vaccination rate against Covid-19 especially in second and third jabs before the planned reopening on November 1 using the help of private sector.

Prime Minister Gen Prayut Chan-o-cha announced on Monday that the country will be reopening next month, whereas tourists from initial 10 low-risk countries will be allowed to travel to Thailand without having to quarantine provided they are fully jabbed and test negative. The list will be expanded to cover more countries in the first week of December and then again in January 2022.

“Private entrepreneurs who have been serving as vaccination units outside the hospitals are ready to support the campaign to provide 2nd and 3rd jabs to as many people as possible,” said TCC chairman Sanan Angubolkul on Wednesday. “Furthermore, the government must push out Covid-free setting measures to help strengthen the confidence of foreign visitors in Thailand’s safety, such as providing free ATK testing periodically to detect new cluster cases before they escalate.”

TCC also proposed that the government uses the Digital Health Pass approach to increase the capacity in which we can welcome foreign visitors while creating positive travel experience. “More visitors mean faster economic recovery not only in the tourism industry, but in other related sectors as well,” he said. “To achieve this, Thailand needs systematic and effective disease control measures to make sure that new wave of infections will not happen.”

Sanan estimated that after the reopening, Thailand will be welcoming additional 100,000 foreign visitors per month, which will help contribute to the expansion of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2021, but will still be in the range of previously estimated 0-1 per cent.
 

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Published : October 14, 2021

By : THE NATION

U.S. Fed could start tapering asset purchases in mid-November or mid-December: minutes #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007480


“Participants noted that if a decision to begin tapering purchases occurred at the next meeting, the process of tapering could commence with the monthly purchase calendars beginning in either mid-November or mid-December,” the Fed said in its minutes.

U.S. Federal Reserve officials broadly agreed last month the central bank could start tapering asset purchases in mid-November or mid-December, according to the minutes of the Fed’s recent policy meeting released Wednesday.

“Participants noted that if a decision to begin tapering purchases occurred at the next meeting, the process of tapering could commence with the monthly purchase calendars beginning in either mid-November or mid-December,” the Fed said in the minutes of its Sept. 21-22 meeting.

“Participants generally assessed that, provided that the economic recovery remained broadly on track, a gradual tapering process that concluded around the middle of next year would likely be appropriate,” the minutes said.

Related Stories

The Fed has pledged to continue its asset purchase program at least at the current pace of 120 billion U.S. dollars per month until “substantial further progress” has been made on employment and inflation. The central bank will hold its next policy meeting on Nov. 2-3.

Under plans discussed last month, the Fed would taper its 80 billion dollars in monthly U.S. Treasury purchases by 10 billion dollars a month, and it would reduce its 40 billion dollars in mortgage-backed securities purchases by 5 billion dollars a month, according to the minutes.

“Participants generally commented that the illustrative path provided a straightforward and appropriate template that policymakers might follow, and a couple of participants observed that giving advance notice to the general public of a plan along these lines may reduce the risk of an adverse market reaction to a moderation in asset purchases,” the minutes said.

Published : October 14, 2021

By : Xinhua

Bitcoin ETF approval may actually disappoint the bulls #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007478


The long-awaited greenlight from U.S. regulators for a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund might turn into a sell-the-news event.

Building speculation that the Securities and Exchange Commission could approve a futures-backed product as soon as this week has been touted as a catalyst for bitcoin’s torrent resurgence, with a deadline for a decision fast approaching. Crypto promoters such as Anthony Pompliano of Morgan Creek Digital Assets have seized upon the idea, tweeting that things could “get insane.”

Other industry veterans aren’t so sure. Given the ease of access to cryptocurrency markets relative to previous years, it’s unclear that a bitcoin ETF launch would spark a flood of demand, according to Juthica Chou, head of over-the-counter trading at Kraken Digital Asset Exchange. Individuals can already buy and sell digital assets on crypto exchanges worldwide and through more retail-oriented platforms such as PayPal and Square. Meanwhile, institutional investors have been able to gain crypto exposure through vehicles such as the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust — though plagued by persistent discounts — for years.

“Onboarding for individual investors, for retail, for institutions is already a lot better and safer and more approachable than let’s say crypto was back in 2017,” Chou said on Bloomberg’s “QuickTake Stock” streaming program. “An ETF will definitely be a positive, it’ll expand the breadth of the participants that can start buying Bitcoin and taking part in the ecosystem but it won’t be as impactful as it would have been years ago because we’re already seeing the institutional demand.”

Nevertheless, the optimism helped the world’s largest cryptocurrency soar to almost $58,000 this week for the first time since May. Bitcoin has surged by over 80% since breaking below $30,000 in late July.

The speed of the rebound could be setting bulls up for disappointment, with Bitcoin briefly entering overbought territory on its 14-day relative strength index. Not to mention, the past few months are checkered with pop-and-fizzle happenings, from Coinbase Global Inc.’s direct listing in April to El Salvador’s rollout of Bitcoin as legal tender in September.

For Stephane Ouellette, chief executive officer of the crypto-focused platform FRNT Financial Inc., ETF approval would undoubtedly be good news but would be far from a “gamechanger” at this point.

“Ultimately, I’m not sure this incrementally adds much access for investors who are struggling to access the space,” Ouellette said. “That said, were an ETF to be approved every US-based trading platform would conceivably offer access to Bitcoin exposure where only some do now.”

It’s been a long road to ETF advocates, with Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, the twins best known for their part in the history of Facebook Inc., filing the first application for a Bitcoin ETF in 2013. In August, SEC Chair Gary Gensler signaled that policy makers may be more open to an ETF if it were based around futures rather than the cryptocurrency itself, setting the stage for a likely decision based on a deadline for approval or rejection of current futures-based ETF applications.

Even if approved, a futures-backed fund could limit the positive impact, according to Bloomberg Intelligence’s Eric Balchunas. Futures-linked ETFs are “not ideal” given that the ETF has to roll forward the futures contracts, which eats into performance, he said.

“Investors generally don’t like derivatives, and a lot of advisors don’t like derivatives,” Balchunas said on Bloomberg’s “QuickTake Stock” program. “A physically backed ETF would be a major catalyst. I see this as a very minor catalyst.”

Published : October 14, 2021

By : Bloomberg

Markets wrap: Megacap tech rallies as 10-year bond yield drops #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007476


Technology shares climbed amid lower Treasury yields after data showing inflation is running hot lifted companies seen as better equipped to pass on higher costs to consumers without harming their businesses.

Traders also assessed minutes of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting, with officials broadly agreeing they should start reducing stimulus in mid-November or mid-December amid increasing concern over inflation. Central bankers discussed an illustrative tapering path featuring “monthly reductions in the pace of asset purchases, by $10 billion in the case of Treasury securities and $5 billion in the case of agency mortgage-backed securities.”

The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 outperformed major equity benchmarks, while the NYSE FANG+ Index of giants such as Amazon.com Inc. and Google’s parent Alphabet Inc. climbed about 1%. The S&P 500 rebounded, following a three-day drop. Ten-year yields remained below 1.6%. The two-year rate — which is more sensitive to policy moves — rose. Delta Air Lines Inc. led losses in U.S. carriers after warning that rising fuel costs will threaten earnings this quarter.

Prices paid by U.S. consumers rose in September by more than forecast, underscoring inflationary pressures. The Biden administration is trying to relieve supply-chain bottlenecks ahead of the Christmas shopping season, but officials acknowledge their options are limited. Unprecedented shipping challenges, materials shortages, high commodities prices and rising wages have driven up costs for producers. Many have passed a portion of those costs to customers, leading to more persistent inflation.

“Wednesday’s still elevated consumer-price index marks about six-months worth of hot inflation data — suggesting that inflation is not as transitory as many investors previously expected,” said Nancy Davis, founder of the Greenwich, Connecticut-based firm Quadratic Capital Management. “The overall inflation story is being driven by supply-chain disruptions and a swift rise in prices, due to the labor shortage.”

Some corporate highlights:

– JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s dealmakers posted their best quarter yet, riding what’s on track to be a record year for mergers and acquisitions. Still, shares fell as consumer and commercial loan growth remained challenged.

– American Express Co. and other credit-card issuers tumbled as JPMorgan attributed weakness in its card business to rising costs on marketing and promotions, sparking concern over heightened competition.

Here are a few events to watch this week:

– Bank of America Corp., Morgan Stanley and Citigroup Inc. report earnings on Thursday

– U.S. initial jobless claims, PPI on Thursday

– Goldman Sachs Group Inc. reports earnings on Friday

– U.S. business inventories, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, retail sales on Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:

– – –

– The S&P 500 rose 0.3% as of 4 p.m. New York time

– The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.8%

– The Dow Jones industrial average was little changed

– The MSCI World index rose 0.5%

– The Russell 2000 index rose 0.3%

– – –

– The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.5%

– The euro rose 0.5% to $1.1593

– The British pound rose 0.5% to $1.3660

– The Japanese yen rose 0.3% to 113.29 per dollar

– – –

– The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined four basis points to 1.54%

– Germany’s 10-year yield declined four basis points to -0.13%

– Britain’s 10-year yield declined six basis points to 1.09%

– – –

– West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.1% to $80.54 a barrel

– Gold futures rose 1.9% to $1,793.30 an ounce

Published : October 14, 2021

By : Bloomberg