Great Wall Motors aims to start producing cars from early 2021 #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Great Wall Motors aims to start producing cars from early 2021

EconSep 02. 2020

By The Nation

China’s Great Wall Motors is in discussion with the Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC) authorities about the process of taking over the General Motors (GM) production facilities in Rayong and starting automobile production by early next year.

Great Wall is also discussing investment plans with the Board of Investment and related benefits.

Zhang Jia Ming, president of Great Wall Motors’ Asean operations, told the EEC board that his company was planning to produce several models in Thailand, including 100-per-cent electric vehicles, in line with the government’s policy to focus on the automotive industry – one of the 12 target industries in the EEC.

“The company is currently in talks with GM about its actions for the Rayong factor, which should be completed this year and should start production by early next year. The aim is to make Thailand a production base for Great Wall Motors in Asean,” Zhang said.

He added that Great Wall Motors will try to use as many domestic parts as possible and was ready to make deals with domestic electric car parts manufacturers.

It is also planning to have a subsidiary set up a manufacturing plant in Thailand to produce other parts, such as electric batteries and parts for electric vehicles. Great Wall Motors will also launch a training centre to support the production of new vehicles.

Study finds most Thais prefer digital payments #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Study finds most Thais prefer digital payments

EconSep 02. 2020

By The Nation

Visa, a world leader in digital payments, said on Wednesday (September 2) that nearly nine in 10 Thai consumers are interested in transacting through digital platforms.

The Visa Consumer Payment Attitudes Study tracked payment habits, attitudes and explored emerging topics related to payments across Southeast Asia including Thailand. The study also found that four out of five Thai consumers (80 per cent) were interested in making payments with biometric authentication.

Suripong Tantiyanon, country manager for Visa Thailand, said: “Thai consumers are becoming tech savvy, quickly adopting digital behaviour in their daily lives. The results of our recent study reaffirms our observation. We are encouraged to see Thai consumers adopting digital financial services, which would lend a hand in building a strong foundation for the country’s digital economy.”

Based on the findings, four in five (81 per cent) are aware of the concept of digital banking –online or mobile services that allow users to access bank accounts, transfer money, pay bills etc without having to visit a bank or use cash.

The respondents cited convenience as their top motivation in adopting digital banking (61 per cent), followed by not having to wait in line at banks (60 per cent) and finding it to be a faster way of banking (57 per cent).

The top five services Thai consumers are looking to receive from digital banks are deposits and withdrawals (72 per cent), paying bills (70 per cent), transferring money to family and friends (69 per cent), payment at retail locations (67 per cent) and investments (58 per cent).

The study also gauged Thai consumers’ interest in the emerging technology of biometric payments and found that four out of five (80 per cent) Thai consumers are interested in this payment method. More specifically, those of Gen-Y (25-39 years old) exhibited higher interest than Gen-X (40-54 years old) in biometric authentication (85 per cent vs 76 per cent).

The top drivers of interest in biometric payments are speed and convenience (53 per cent), followed by the convenience of not having to carry card or cash (50 per cent) and security (48 per cent).

Additionally, respondents also cited paying by finger scan as their most preferred biometric payment method (80 per cent), whilst consumers also feel comfortable using retina scan to make payments while travelling overseas (52 per cent) or for education (42 per cent) and health & fitness (40 per cent).

The study was conducted by ENGINE insights on behalf of Visa in August last year in Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, the Philippines and Myanmar. Total sample size was 5,102, including 505 working adults in Thailand aged 18-65, with a minimum monthly income of Bt15,000.

52 former franchisees accuse McDonald’s of racial discrimination in lawsuit #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

52 former franchisees accuse McDonald’s of racial discrimination in lawsuit

CorporateSep 02. 2020

By The Washington Post · Hannah Denham · NATIONAL, BUSINESS, COURTSLAW, RACE, HISTORY, US-GLOBAL-MARKETS 

More than four dozen former franchise owners, all Black, have accused McDonald’s of “systematic and covert racial discrimination” and of setting them up to fail, despite the company’s public commitment to racial equality.

In a federal lawsuit filed late Monday, the 52 plaintiffs allege the company intentionally placed their restaurants in economically depressed and high-crime locations that had higher operating costs, frequent employee turnover and lower sales. The conditions positioned them for lower profits and failure – a “financial suicide mission” – the lawsuit said.

The plaintiffs, whose franchises date to 1981 and who left the company within the past decade, also allege that McDonald’s retaliated against Black franchisees who rejected being placed in high-crime communities; denied them financial support and assistance often afforded to White franchise owners; unfairly graded Black-owned operations, which led to poor internal reviews and pushed out those franchisees; and misled Black entrepreneurs into purchasing franchises in challenging locations.

McDonald’s denied the allegations, saying they “fly in the face of everything we stand for as an organization and as a partner to communities and small business owners around the world.”

“Not only do we categorically deny the allegations that these franchisees were unable to succeed because of any form of discrimination by McDonald’s, we are confident that the facts will show how committed we are to the diversity and equal opportunity of the McDonald’s System, including across our franchisees, suppliers and employees,” the company said in an emailed statement.

McDonald’s is among the corporate giants that pledged to play a bigger role in combating systemic racism following the death of George Floyd, a Black man who was killed May 25 in police custody in Minneapolis. The ensuing protests galvanized a national moment amid a pandemic that has taken an outsize toll on Black Americans. At the end of July, McDonald’s updated its corporate values with a statement of commitment to diversity and inclusion, including plans to attract and recruit “diverse franchisees,” without defining the terms of diversity.

James Ferraro, the Florida-based lawyer representing the plaintiffs, said the “notion that McDonald’s is a friend of the Black entrepreneur is complete fiction,” according to a news release. “McDonald’s has been hemorrhaging Black franchisees for decades due to blatant and implicit racial discrimination. The company will now be held accountable.”

The complaint alleges the plaintiffs averaged $2 million a year in sales – $700,000 less than the company’s national average from 2011 to 2016 and $900,000 less than the 2019 average. That led to an exodus of Black franchisees, the suit says, from 400 in 1998 to less than 200 today, even as the number of McDonald’s franchises doubled.

The plaintiffs are seeking compensatory damages from $4 million to $5 million per store for the more than 200 locations operated by the former franchisees. The complaint, which seeks a jury trial, was filed in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois Eastern Division, where McDonald’s is based. The plaintiffs operated franchises in Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia, according to the complaint.

“The world will soon see how these 52 people of color risked everything on the Golden Arches only to be kept down, marginalized and driven to ruin,” Ferraro said. “Black lives matter on the streets, in our communities and they matter in Corporate America.”

McDonald’s said in its statement that it places Black franchisees in all types of communities and denied allegations that it forces franchise owners into underperforming markets or that franchisees do not have a say in what locations they purchase. The company also contends it treats Black franchisees no differently from other franchisees and does not offer less financial support.

In a video sent to McDonald’s employees and suppliers, chief executive Chris Kempczinski said the company focuses on recruiting franchisees and suppliers from diverse backgrounds.

“Based upon our review, we disagree with the claims in this lawsuit and we intend to strongly defend against it,” Kempczinski said. “But I think it’s important in moments like this to remind ourselves what we do stand for. And as CEO, that’s a tone I intend to continuously set from the top. McDonald’s stands for diversity, equity and inclusion. I’m proud of the work we’ve done as a company to foster entrepreneurship, economic growth and mobility.”

McDonald’s also is in the midst of a legal fight with its former chief executive, Steve Easterbrook, who was fired in November for violating corporate policy that forbids managers from having relationships with subordinates. Last month, the company filed a lawsuit to recover Easterbrook’s multimillion-dollar exit package, alleging that he lied about having multiple affairs with employees and covered up the evidence, according to a regulatory filing.

Shell Thailand maintains investment with plan for 30 stations per year #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Shell Thailand maintains investment with plan for 30 stations per year

CorporateSep 02. 2020Country chairman Panun PrachuabmohCountry chairman Panun Prachuabmoh

By The Nation

The Shell Company of Thailand Ltd is still focused on investing in Thailand and other Asean countries, according to the company’s country chairman Panun Prachuabmoh.

He added that the company has continued to allocate budget for investment in Thailand and plans to open another 30 petrol stations per year in the Kingdom. Shell Thailand currently has 639 stations across the country.

It will also continue to expand its non-oil business, he added.

Shell will also continue installing solar rooftops at its stations to cover another 100 stations next year and more after that.

Investors scratch their heads as Finance Minister Predee quits #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Investors scratch their heads as Finance Minister Predee quits

EconSep 02. 2020

By The Nation

The resignation of Finance Minister Predee Daochai has caused uncertainty among investors, UOB Kay Hian strategist Kitpon Pripisankit said.

He said the situation has caused uncertainty among investors over treasury reserves, Gross Domestic Product growth and the roll-out of economic stimulus measures after the Bank of Thailand’s measures expired.

“We believe this is a good decision because the finance minister should receive support to move on policy, but the conflict at a Cabinet meeting showed that outsiders do not have any political power,” Kitpon said.

“With Predee tendering his resignation, the roll-out of economic stimulus measures may not benefit the country much or may be delayed, causing the country’s economy to slow during the rest of the year,” he stated.

Kitpon also said the index would not fall sharply as liquidity is still at a high level, but stocks would come under pressure from a slow economic recovery as most listed companies’ performance still rely on economic activities, with the exception being technology stocks, which have been able to escape the impact of the economic slowdown.

“Investors should pay attention to stocks that have performed well during the Covid-19 pandemic, such as those to do with electronic parts, agriculture, food, and insurance, and stocks whose performance will improve even though the stock market is still unable to rise to the 1,500-point level as seen before the pandemic emerged,” he added.

SET falls after foreign investors dump Thai shares #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

SET falls after foreign investors dump Thai shares

EconSep 02. 2020

By The Nation

The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) Index dropped by 1.68 points, or 0.13 per cent, to 1,303.89 in the morning session today (September 2) after foreign investors resorted to mass sell-offs of Thai shares.

An analyst at Krungsri Securities expected the index to rebound between 1,310 and 1,315 points before falling in response to a rise in the US manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) in August.

“The US PMI in August rose to 53.1, the highest in a year,” the analyst said.

“The market did gain positive sentiment after the US moved to consider new Covid-19 relief measures.”

However, he warned investors to beware of market volatility because foreign investors’ funds continued to flow out.

He recommended that investors buy stocks whose third-quarter performance would improve, such as CPF, GFPT, TU, Asian, KCE, Hana, Delta, HMPro, Global, DoHome, Com7, JMT, CHG, BCH, PTG, PlanB, CBG and Tasco.

The SET Index closed at 1,305.57 yesterday, down 5.09 points, or 0.39 per cent. Total transactions amounted to Bt48.63 billion, with an index high of 1,316.68 points and a low of 1,301.014.

The index fell into negative territory following news that Finance Minister Predee Daochai had tendered his resignation less than a month after taking the post, citing health problems.

Gold price falls on strengthening dollar #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Gold price falls on strengthening dollar

EconSep 02. 2020

By The Nation

The price of gold dropped by Bt100 per baht weight in morning trade today (September 2), the Gold Traders Association reported.

As of 9.28am, the buying price of a gold bar was Bt28,950 per baht weight and selling price Bt29,050, while gold ornaments cost Bt28,425 and Bt29,550, respectively.

At close yesterday, the buying price of a gold bar was Bt29,050 per baht weight and selling price Bt29,150, while gold ornaments cost Bt28,531.12 and Bt29,650, respectively.

The Comex (Commodity Exchange) gold price to be delivered in December rose by 30 cents, or 0.02 per cent, closing at US$1,978.90 (Bt61,849) per ounce yesterday, the highest in two weeks since August 18 this year.

The gold price rose slightly due to a strengthening dollar. However, analysts expected the price to rise further from the US Federal Reserve’s policy to maintain a low interest rate.

Significant aid package is needed to help economy recover from coronavirus, Mnuchin says #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Significant aid package is needed to help economy recover from coronavirus, Mnuchin says

EconSep 02. 2020Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin/ File photoTreasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin/ File photo

By The Washington Post · Erica Werner, Jonathan O’Connell · NATIONAL, BUSINESS, POLITICS, CONGRESS 
WASHINGTON – Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Tuesday that a new stimulus package is still needed to help the economy recover from the ravages of the coronavirus, and he committed to calling Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., right away to try to restart talks.

Mnuchin’s comments came in testimony before the select subcommittee on the coronavirus crisis, which convened on Capitol Hill in the final week of Congress’s summer recess. Mnuchin and the panel’s chairman, Rep. James Clyburn, D-S.C., appeared in person along with a handful of lawmakers, while others spoke through a video link.

“While we continue to see signs of a strong economic recovery, we are sensitive to the fact that there is more work to be done, and certain areas of the economy require additional relief,” Mnuchin testified in his opening statement. “I believe a bipartisan agreement still should be reached and would provide substantial funds” for areas including schools, testing, vaccines, small businesses, enhanced unemployment benefits and the U.S. Postal Service. President Donald Trump, meanwhile, said on Tuesday that the struggling airline industry would also need more assistance.

Clyburn chided Mnuchin for not making a deal with Democrats months after the House passed a sweeping $3.4 trillion bill in May called the Heroes Act.

“Additional economic stimulus is urgently needed . . . as the pandemic drags on, states, cities and businesses are warning that more layoffs may be coming,” Clyburn said. “Secretary Mnuchin, I hope you will return to the negotiating table prepared to find common cause.”

Mnuchin was involved in talks last month with Pelosi, Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer, D-N.Y., and White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows aimed at producing a new economic relief package. But those talks collapsed amid partisan rancor, and Trump moved forward on his own with executive actions aimed at providing some relief in areas including unemployment assistance.

Those executive actions have had limited impact, but Meadows reiterated in a television interview Tuesday that more such unilateral moves were under consideration.

Efforts at restarting the talks have sputtered. Pelosi and Meadows spoke last week, with Pelosi saying Democrats would agree to a $2.2 trillion package. But that figure is still too high for Republicans.

“I do not support $2.2 trillion,” Mnuchin said Tuesday. “But what is more important is what is the breakdown of getting money to American workers, American families, kids . . . there are tremendous areas of agreement and that’s what we should be doing right away.”

“I don’t think the right outcome is zero. No one thinks the right outcome is zero,” Mnuchin said.

Rep. Maxine Waters, D-Calif., asked Mnuchin if he would commit to calling Pelosi on Tuesday to restart talks.

“Can I tell her you suggested I call her right after the hearing?” Mnuchin asked.

“Yes, yes, yes,” Waters said.

“Done, I will call her right after the hearing,” Mnuchin said.

The treasury secretary did reach out to the House speaker following the hearing, according to a person familiar with the call who requested anonymity to discuss private communications. However, it was unclear if they actually connected, and there was no public sign of movement in the negotiations.

The administration has pushed Democrats to agree to a slimmed-down package addressing areas of common ground, but Democrats have refused to abandon their goal of a comprehensive package.

Senate Republicans have been working to agree on what they’re calling a “skinny” or “targeted” package with a price tag under $1 trillion that they may try to move forward on the Senate floor as soon as next week. Democrats would probably block this, but Republicans have been trying to put the focus on what they view as Democrats’ unreasonable refusal to compromise in the talks. Senate GOP incumbents in tight races are also eager to be able to vote on some additional recovery measures.

Some 27 million Americans are receiving some form of unemployment aid. On Thursday, the Labor Department said another 1 million Americans filed jobless claims the prior week.

The stock market has made strong gains, and the economy has recovered slightly less than half of the jobs that were initially lost during the pandemic in March and April. Trump has been talking bullishly about the economy’s revival, focusing on things like the stock market, as he and some other White House advisers insist that the economy is poised for a strong “V-shaped” recovery.

Democrats and some liberal economists, however, have expressed concerns about a “K-shaped” recovery, in which the economically advantaged bounce back, while people who are on the lower levels of the income scale fare poorly.

Rep. Andy Kim, D-N.J., asked Mnuchin if he agreed the economy was poised for a strong “V-shaped” recovery.

“I think we are set for a very strong recovery but let me just say, there are many businesses, many industries that have been destroyed by this, and that’s why I urge Congress, the House and the Senate, to move forward and let us provide help especially for those hardest-hit businesses,” Mnuchin said.

“Let’s not get lost on different letters of the alphabet, let’s move forward in a bipartisan basis on areas we can agree on,” he said.

Some House Democrats in tough reelection races have also grown uneasy about the inaction on additional coronavirus aid, as the stimulus checks, enhanced unemployment aid and other programs Congress agreed to in a $3 trillion spate of spending in March and April expire. Even as Pelosi has held out for a comprehensive package, some in her caucus have sounded open to the incremental approach pushed by Mnuchin.

At Tuesday’s hearing, Kim, a freshman Democrat up for reelection in a contested race, told Mnuchin that moving forward on areas of agreement was “a great sentiment” – although he went on to highlight some Democratic priorities such as health insurance assistance that Republicans have not embraced.

Ahead of the hearing, Democrats on the subcommittee released a report showing the potential for significant waste in the small-business Paycheck Protection Program Congress created in March. The program distributed $530 billion to small businesses in an effort to keep their workers on payroll. The report found that more than $1 billion went to companies that may have improperly received multiple loans, nearly $100 million went to companies that have been barred from doing business with the government, and nearly $200 million went to companies that staffers found had been previously flagged by the federal government for performance or integrity issues.

The amount of potential waste identified in the report still constitutes a small fraction of the entire program, and Treasury and Small Business Administration officials have committed to auditing loans of more than $2 million. But the staffers behind the report said the loans to be audited constitute less than 1 percent of the total and wrote that “the Administration appears to lack the appropriate oversight mechanisms to identify and root out these problems.”

Mnuchin disputed this allegation in his testimony Tuesday, and Republicans on the subcommittee issued a competing report that praised the administration for demonstrating “how the government can work with the private sector to quickly and efficiently get aid to those in need” by dispensing an unprecedented volume of loans in a short period of time to prevent catastrophic job losses at small businesses.

There continues to be disagreement over how effective the program has been in reducing unemployment. Trump and other administration officials still claim that the program helped small businesses retain or support 50 million jobs – something Trump again boasted during his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention – despite agreement among many experts that the number was likely far smaller due to the government’s faulty data collection methods.

A Post analysis of data on 4.9 million PPP loans released shows that many companies are reported to have “retained” far more workers than they employ. In other cases, the SBA’s jobs claim for entire industries surpasses the total number of workers in those sectors.

Stocks climb to records with tech leading advance #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Stocks climb to records with tech leading advance

EconSep 02. 2020

By  Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg · Vildana Hajric · BUSINESS 
U.S. stocks notched fresh records with tech shares in the lead as investors snapped up work-from-home winners.

Zoom Video Communications led a rally in companies well positioned for stay-at-home orders, while Apple pulled the S&P 500 Index to a fresh high after August’s blowout gain. The dollar erased losses as data showed U.S. manufacturing expanded last month at the fastest pace since 2018. Treasury yields dipped.

Stocks have churned ever higher as investors anticipate a flood of cash coming into the market, with last week’s announcement from the Federal Reserve that the central bank will maintain an easy-money policy adding fuel to the trade. Meanwhile, Chinese factory data Tuesday signaled rising global demand for exports after the initial shock of the pandemic, a good sign for the world economy.

“The big theme right now is the unrelenting, record-breaking rally in tech stocks,” said Candice Bangsund, portfolio manager of global asset allocation at Fiera Capital Corp. “The landscape for stocks is great but there’s still, from a macro perspective, a lot of unknowns as to the progression of the virus and, of course, the implications for global growth.”

Oil climbed toward $43 a barrel as the pickup in economic activity in the U.S. and China signaled a pronounced recovery in crude consumption.

The Stoxx Europe 600 slumped, with travel and leisure shares among the worst performers.

In Asia, equity indexes were mixed. South Korean shares rose, while Australia’s stock benchmark dropped to the lowest since early August.

Here are the main market moves:

Stocks

–The S&P 500 Index rose 0.8% as of 4 p.m. EDT.

–The Stoxx Europe 600 Index fell 0.3%.

–The MSCI Asia Pacific Index increased 0.5%.

–The MSCI Emerging Market Index increased 1.5%.

Currencies

–The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose less than 0.1%.

–The euro fell 0.2% to $1.1908.

–The Japanese yen was little changed at 105.95 per dollar.

Bonds

–The yield on 10-year Treasurys fell three basis points to 0.67%.

–Germany’s 10-year yield fell two basis points to -0.42%.

–Britain’s 10-year yield fell two basis points to 0.29%.

Commodities

–West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.6% to $42.88 a barrel.

–Copper fell 1.4% to $3.019 a pound.

–Gold rose 0.1% to $1,969.56 an ounce.

Germany cushions pandemic blow by weaning itself off exports #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Germany cushions pandemic blow by weaning itself off exports

EconSep 02. 2020The bear and bull statue stands outside the Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, on Aug. 31, 2020. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by Alex Kraus.
Photo by: Alex Kraus — Bloomberg
Location: Frankfurt, GermanyThe bear and bull statue stands outside the Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, on Aug. 31, 2020. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by Alex Kraus. Photo by: Alex Kraus — Bloomberg Location: Frankfurt, Germany

By Syndication The Washington Post, Bloomberg · Birgit Jennen, Raymond Colitt 

Germany expects the blow from the coronavirus crisis to be less severe than feared, as the country reduces its traditional reliance on exports.

Chancellor Angela Merkel’s administration forecast that national output will shrink by 5.8% this year. While that still marks one of the worst recessions since the end of World War II, it’s a smaller contraction than an April prediction of 6.3%, as efforts to shore up domestic demand bear fruit.

The relatively moderate decline is “an important sign that we have managed to stabilize domestic demand and decouple to a great extent from global economic developments,” Economy Minister Peter Altmaier said Tuesday at a press conference in Berlin. “We are looking at an unexpectedly fast V-shaped recovery,” and the worst is over, he said.

The government forecast a 12.1% drop in exports this year, compared with a decline of 8.1% for imports and 3.6% for domestic consumption. Germany’s trade surplus was one of the sources of tensions with President Donald Trump, and U.S. trade conflicts with China have hit Germany, even before the pandemic decimated economies across the world.

Germany’s domestic shift may continue. While the country can avoid another nationwide shutdown despite a recent upsurge in infections, its trading partners may need to rein in activity, Altmaier said.

“The global economic environment could remain difficult for a longer time,” he said. “The global recession will be significantly stronger” than during the financial crisis in 2008 and 2009.

Still, Germany’s recovery will be less robust, with 2021 growth of 4.4%. That’s lower than the previous projection of a 5.2% expansion, and pre-crisis levels won’t likely be reached until 2022, Altmaier said.

Activity in Europe’s biggest economy has staged a strong rebound after collapsing in the second quarter, and German companies have turned slightly more optimistic that the economy will continue on its long road to recovery.

Reports on Tuesday showed that German unemployment declined in August and a gauge of factory activity rose to a 22-month high. Still, the manufacturing report from IHS Markit wasn’t all positive. The machinery and equipment sectors — which are more exposed to global demand — remain weak, and businesses continued to cut jobs.

To soften the blow from the pandemic, Merkel’s government suspended constitutional debt limits as part of a massive stimulus program, including cutting value-added taxes and providing money to families. The efforts were mainly focused on getting Germans to spend.

Altmaier said Germany will emerge stronger from the crisis, and his optimistic assessment marks a stark contrast to Merkel’s stern warning last week. The chancellor said the coronavirus crisis will get worse before it gets better, defending her government’s move to abandon its balanced-budget policy.

“I am firmly convinced that it is a good decision to take on a high degree of debt because anything else would mean we would be in the grip of the pandemic for a lot longer,” Merkel said in her annual summer press conference on Friday.