SET rises, but escalating tensions between US and China a worry #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

SET rises, but escalating tensions between US and China a worry

EconJul 23. 2020

By The Nation

The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) Index rose by 0.96 points, or 0.07 per cent, to 1,358 in the morning session on Thursday (July 23).

A stock analyst at Krungsri Securities expected the index to fluctuate between 1,350 and 1,365 due to a lack of new positive sentiments to stimulate investment.

“The index would be under pressure from the conflict between US and China after the US ordered China to close its consulate in Houston within 72 hours to protect American intellectual property and personal information, while China will close the US consulate in Wuhan to counter the US move as well,” the analyst said.

“Besides, the increasing number of Covid-19 cases, especially in the US that increased by approximately 70,000 people per day would pressure the index.”

The analyst added that the index would rebound from mass buy-ups in stocks whose second-quarter performance will improve.

He recommended that investors buy:

▪︎ Food and electronics stocks that benefit from the weakening baht, such as TU, CPF, GFPT, TFG, ASIAN, KCE, DELTA, HANA and SVI.

▪︎ Stocks whose second-quarter performance will improve, such as TOP, PTTGC, SPRC, SCC, BGRIM, CKP, CPF, TU, TASCO, STA, STGT, SPALI, AP, PRM, PTL, AJ, STARK, CBG and TQM.

▪︎ Energy stocks that benefit from rising crude oil price, such as PTT, PTTEP, TOP, PTTGC, IRPC, SPRC and IVL.

The SET Index closed on Wednesday (July 22) at 1,357.04, down 19.96 points or 1.45 per cent. Total transactions amounted to Bt63.863 billion with an index high of 1,382.29 and a low of 1,356.86.

Increasing US-China tensions push gold price up #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Increasing US-China tensions push gold price up

EconJul 23. 2020

By The Nation

The price of gold rose by Bt150 per baht weight in morning trade on Thursday (July 23), the Gold Traders Association reported.

As of 9.30am, the buying price of a gold bar was Bt27,750 per baht weight and selling price Bt27,850, while gold ornaments cost Bt27,257.68 and Bt28,350, respectively.

At close on Wednesday (July 22), the buying price of a gold bar was Bt27,600 per baht weight and selling price Bt27,700, while gold ornaments cost Bt27,106.08 and Bt28,200, respectively.

The COMEX (Commodity Exchange) gold price to be delivered in August rose by US$21.2, or 1.15 per cent, to US$1,865.1 (Bt58,986) per ounce at close on Wednesday, the highest since September 2011.

Uncertainty following tensions between the US and China and the weakening dollar have caused investors to buy gold as a safe-haven asset.

Chinese Gold and Silver Exchange Society said that Hong Kong gold price rose by HK$200, opening at $17,320 (US$2,234.40 or Bt70,748) per tael Thursday morning.

Aviation authority expects sector to recover in the fourth quarter #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Aviation authority expects sector to recover in the fourth quarter

EconJul 23. 2020File photoFile photo

By The Nation

The Civil Aviation Authority of Thailand (CAAT) has predicted that the aviation business will recover during the high tourist season, especially when international flights allow the return of Chinese tourists, even as domestic flights are on a positive trend.

Overall, the impact of the Covid-19 has caused all airlines to lose about 70 per cent of passengers because of the reduced travel demand. Airlines must also comply with social distancing measures by leaving one seat empty between passengers, said CAAT director-general Chula Sukmanop.

The CAAT estimates that in the fourth quarter of the year, airlines will see recovery duing the high season. Also, if there is no second outbreak of Covid-19, international travel should begin at the end of the year which will enable recovery of the aviation business.

“Many airlines are now focusing on increasing domestic flights and opening new flight paths to new markets. If the end of the year tourist season can return to normal, overall Thai aviation this year is likely to recover,” said Chula

He said international visitors may have a chance to return to Thailand and the first will be an Asian group, such as South Korea, Japan and China, especially from China who are currently unable to travel abroad. If the Covid-19 situation is resolved and Thailand can open the country for the travellers, he believes the Chinese will be the first group of potential tourists returning to Thailand with high purchasing power as the economy in China is not much affected by Covid-19.

During the week July 12-18, the number of international passengers was 13,422, a 5.7-per-cent decrease from the previous week while there were 845 international flights, an increase of 6 per cent.

Domestic passenger volume during the said period was 510,505 people, down 5.7 per cent as it was a normal working week after a long break. However, the number of domestic passengers during the third week of July is likely to increase when compared to the number during the week before the long holiday. This is in line with the increasing number of domestic flights –5,680 flights, an increase of 2.6 per cent — from the previous week’s 5,535 flights, as more airlines are operating on domestic routes.

International air freight volume in the third week of July was 13,673 tons, an increase of 11.3 per cent from the previous week in line with the domestic air freight volume of 409 tons, up by 7.3 per cent from the previous week.

High reserve for doubtful debts leaves Exim Bank with Bt1.4-billion loss #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

High reserve for doubtful debts leaves Exim Bank with Bt1.4-billion loss

CorporateJul 23. 2020Phisit SareewiwatthanaPhisit Sareewiwatthana

By THE NATION

The Export-Import Bank of Thailand (Exim Bank) has reported a loss of Bt1.4 billion in the first half of the year after setting aside Bt5.4 billion as reserve for doubtful debts.

“If the reserve were to be excluded, the bank would have recorded a profit of Bt1.1 billion in the first half of 2020,” Phisit Sareewiwatthana, Exim Bank president, said.

It is possible that the bank would increase the reserve in the second half of the year, depending on the export situation, he said.

“We estimate that by the fourth quarter, the situation would improve with around 70-80 per cent of customers being able to continue their businesses,” he said. “We also estimate annual operation revenue to contract, which is expected in the current economic situation.”

Exim Bank’s non-performing loans (NPLs) in the first half of 2020 rose to 6.37 per cent from 4.6 per cent at the end of 2019, up by roughly 30 per cent. Outstanding loans were Bt126 billion, up 18 per cent from the same period last year which had recorded at Bt107 billion.

“It is notable that the export insurance rate has jumped 70 per cent, from Bt37 billion in the same period last year to Bt97 billion,” added Phisit. “The reason is, exporters are uncertain about importers’ paying ability so they are opting to get an insurance.

He said the bank has provided three packages to its customers, especially those rejected by commercial banks:

1. Export insurance package for small and medium-sized enterprises that have annual income less than Bt100 million or fewer than 50 employees, starting at only Bt100,000 with maximum coverage of Bt2 million.

2. Loan package for medium-sized entrepreneurs at maximum Bt80 million per customer and interest rate of 3.75 per cent annually.

3. The Thai Keng Exim package, which aims to support rotating fund at Bt3 million per customer for entrepreneurs in competitive industries such as industrial agriculture, biotechnology, food processing and cosmetics. The loan will have a fixed interest rate of 4.75 per cent annually, and will be reduced to 4 per cent in case the entrepreneurs export to Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar or Vietnam.

Banks extend helping hand to over 10 million debtors #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Banks extend helping hand to over 10 million debtors

CorporateJul 23. 2020

By The Nation

Banks have provided financial aid worth a total of Bt6.7 trillion to more than 10 million debtors suffering from the impact of Covid-19, while some believe 70 per cent of the borrowers will repay their debts once the aid package comes to an end. 

As per the Bank of Thailand, 12.62 million bank accounts with debts worth a total of Bt6.74 trillion have been given financial support in the form of debt restructuring or moratorium on principal or interest repayment. Banks have also given out new soft loans worth Bt103 billion. 

Arthid Nanthawithaya, chief executive officer and chair of Siam Commercial Bank’s executive committee, said his bank has provided aid to 1.1 million individual borrowers and to 13,000 corporate clients. As of the end of June, the bank assisted borrowers whose combined loans worth  Bt840 billion, or 39 per cent of its total lending. SCB also gave out new loans worth Bt36 billion under the central bank’s soft loan scheme. 

The rate of bank clients seeking help slowed down in late May and has stabilised recently, especially since some aid packages started expiring in June, he said. 

“As per our preliminary assessment, some 60 to 70 per cent of debtors should be able to repay their debts once their aid packages expire, though the rest may need additional support,” he said.

Owing to the debt holiday, SCB’s non-performing loans will not rise significantly in the next two years, he said, adding that financial support provided by the government and central bank have eased the impact on debtors. 

Patchara Samalapa, president of Kasikornbank, said his bank had provided financial support to 650,000 debtors, both retail and corporate clients, with outstanding loans worth Bt828 billion. Kasikornbank has granted 293,000 borrowers owing a total of Bt746 billion a repayment moratorium. The bank has also given Bt143 billion in loans to 60,000 borrowers. 

“We are assessing debtors’ potential to see which groups can return to normal once the support comes to an end, and which will need more support. Accordingly, we are making preparations to handle any issue,” he said. 

Seiichiro Akita, president and chief executive officer for Krungsri, said his bank has helped 1,792,820 retail clients and 36,490 corporate clients, who hold about 29 per cent of its outstanding loans. The bank has also granted new soft loans worth Bt18.3 billion to 5,709 borrowers.

Akita said that though the government has been successful in containing the spread of Covid-19, the Thai economy remains fragile. Hence, he said, the bank is bracing for any emerging risks and will provide support to debtors if necessary. 

Meanwhile, Tisco Bank has said it will help its clients restructure their debts worth about 10 per cent of total loans. So far, debtors accounting for 3 per cent of the bank’s total outstanding loans have been given a moratorium on principal and interest repayment.

Tisco recommends mutual funds that ride the mega-trend wave #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Tisco recommends mutual funds that ride the mega-trend wave

CorporateJul 23. 2020Vorasinee Sethabutr, head of wealth product development at Tisco bankVorasinee Sethabutr, head of wealth product development at Tisco bank

By Wichit Chaitrong
The Nation

Tech, healthcare stocks and digital learning platforms are the winners in this present situation, the head of wealth product development at Tisco bank, Vorasinee Sethabutr, said, recommending the firm’s mutual funds that invest in such companies.

She revealed that Tisco has an investment strategy on mega trends, which show that as many countries have an ageing society, people want to live longer, leading to advances in healthcare technology. Meanwhile, in this information and communications technology era, the cloud computing business is reaching new heights.

Tisco launched 12 mutual funds this year for investors, with tech and healthcare funds being the top performers, she said.

For instance, the Tisco Cloud Computing Equity Fund invests in shares of potential high-growth companies such as Netflix, Twilio, Zoom Video Communications, Paycom Software and Shopify.

Tisco also advises investors to purchase the One Global E-Commerce Fund, which invests in e-commerce giants Amazon and Alibaba as well as in others such as Netflix, online TV shows and movies and Delivery Hero, a food delivery service.

It also recommends the United Education Technology Fund, which invests in online innovative education services and the CS (Lux) Edutainment Equity Fund. Potential high-growth firms in the investment portfolio include 2U. 2U has cooperated with 30 universities across the globe to create digital content for e-learning. It provides both degree programmes and short courses. 

GSX Techedu, a leading online tutoring service in China, is another. The company applies artificial intelligence and data analytics to support students. This technology can analyse student behaviour on “15,000 dimensions”. 

There is also the Chegg online education service, which not only provides students rented textbooks as new ones are very expensive, but also has other educational services. The company has 36 million university and high school student subscribers in the US and 18 million secondary school and tertiary student subscribers in Canada, Australia and the United Kingdom. 

Instructure is yet another worthy online e-learning firm that provides learning management system services via website and application to kids and university students. Its Canvas online learning has been used by as many as 3,000 schools and universities. It currently has 9 million users.

Meanwhile, advancements in biotechnology have led to improving therapy including for cancer. The Tisco Biotech Healthcare Fund, for example, has invested in advanced medical technology, with the Biotech fund having invested in CS (Lux) Global Digital Health Equity, Vorasinee added.

Stocks climb to five-month high; dollar slumps #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Stocks climb to five-month high; dollar slumps

EconJul 23. 2020

By Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg · Amena Saad, Sarah Ponczek · BUSINESS, US-GLOBAL-MARKETS 

U.S. stocks rose for a fourth day as investor optimism over the likelihood for a new spending bill and potential coronavirus vaccines outweighed concern about an escalation of tensions with China. The dollar weakened to the lowest level since March.

The S&P 500 jumped to a five-month high, with utilities, real estate and industrial shares leading the gains. Trump administration officials are said to be discussing a short-term extension of unemployment insurance before the benefits lapse. Futures had retreated overnight on news that the U.S. ordered China’s Houston consulate to quickly close. Shares of Microsoft slumped and Tesla surged after the companies released earnings following the close of regular trading.

“You are going to have that volatility, but people are looking through a lot of it,” said Victoria Fernandez, chief market strategist for Crossmark Global Investments. “People are doing that now for just about everything.”

Progress on combating the virus’s impact also contributed to sentiment. Pfizer shares rallied after saying the government ordered up to 600 million doses of its vaccine candidate against covid-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus. Treasuries were little changed, while silver continued its tear, climbing to the highest level in almost seven years.

Fresh Sino-U.S. tension including new charges of Chinese hacking had added to potential risks weighing on investors who recently drove global equities to a five-month high. After the success of a European rescue package this week, Senate Republicans and the Trump administration are struggling to reach consensus on another stimulus plan.

“I’m more concerned going into the August-September period: what’s going to then be the next catalyst to take the broader market higher,” Andrew Sheets, a cross-asset strategist at Morgan Stanley, said on Bloomberg TV. It’s going to be “a tougher period for stocks,” he said.

Earnings remained in focus. Texas Instruments dropped after urging caution. Snap tumbled after a miss on its user-growth targets.

Elsewhere, oil in New York dropped from a four-month high on signs of a surprise gain in U.S. crude stockpiles.

– – –

Here are some key events coming up:

– Quarterly earnings gather steam, with reports due from Blackstone , Roche, Intel, Unilever, Canadian Pacific, Daimler, Hyundai and Mattel.

– U.S. weekly jobless claims come Thursday.

– – –

These are the main moves in markets:

Stocks

– The S&P 500 index increased 0.6%, to 3,276.08, at close, the highest in five months.

– The Dow Jones industrial average advanced 0.6%, to 27,005.66, the highest in six weeks on the biggest gain in a week.

– The Nasdaq composite index climbed 0.2%, to 10,706.13.

– The Stoxx Europe 600 index decreased 0.9%, to 373.44, the biggest dip in four weeks.

Currencies

– The Bloomberg Dollar Spot index decreased 0.3%, to 1,191.97, the lowest in more than 19 weeks.

– The euro gained 0.4%, to $1.1574, the strongest in about 21 months.

– The Japanese yen dropped 0.4%, to 107.20 per dollar, the largest dip in four weeks.

Rayong’s 10MW waste-fuelled power plant will be up and running by next year #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Rayong’s 10MW waste-fuelled power plant will be up and running by next year

EconJul 23. 2020

By The Nation

The Rayong provincial administration organisation is expected to complete the 10-megawatt waste-fuelled power plant within next year, the organisation’s head Piya Pitutecha said.

Construction of the plant began last year.

Rayong authorities will begin constructing the second plant next year, which is expected to be completed in 2022, after which construction of the third plant will begin and that is estimated to be completed in 2023.

All three plants will be able to treat 1,500 tonnes of waste daily and have a combined power-generation capacity of 30MW.

The organisation has teamed up with PTT Plc subsidiary Global Power Synergy Plc for the project.

Thai rice exports drop 32% #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Thai rice exports drop 32%

EconJul 23. 2020

By The Nation

Thailand’s rice exports in the first half of this year dropped 32 per cent year on year to 3.14 million tonnes, worth US$2.2 billion, said Thai Rice Exporters Association president Charoen Laothamatas on Wednesday.

He attributed the decline to drought conditions as well as the Covid-19 pandemic, which has disrupted customers’ purchasing power in export markets.

Another factor is the strengthening baht which has affected the competitiveness of Thai rice exports.

Thai rice exporters have also faced tougher competition from China’s exporters, who have already secured some of Thailand’s share of the South African market.

Charoen added that China can offer cheaper rice as well as more varieties and higher yield per rai.

The association recently revised down its forecast for rice exports this year from 7.5 million tonnes to 6.5 million tonnes – the lowest target for the past 20 years.

Five reasons why gold has surged to its highest price in 9 years #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

Five reasons why gold has surged to its highest price in 9 years

EconJul 23. 2020

By The Nation

The current surge in gold prices recalls the last gold rush in 2009 to 2011, when the price skyrocketed from $1,000 to $1,920 per ounce as central banks worldwide fought the global economic crisis with stimulus measures.

This time, the rise in gold prices since 2019 is being driven by five factors:

Weak economies: Central banks are easing monetary policy to stimulate their economies. The resulting liquidity injections and interest rate cuts have caused investors to switch from government bonds with declining yields to gold.

Tensions between countries: Uncertainty following tensions between the US and China in 2019 and between US and Iraq at the start of 2020 caused investors to seek “safe haven” assets that maintain value during market volatility.

Covid-19 outbreak: This unexpected factor boosted the gold price to over $1,600 per ounce at the beginning of this year. Meanwhile, it caused the global economy to shrink further, forcing central banks to inject more liquidity into the economic system.

Recently, the European Central Bank (ECB) injected €750 billion into the economic system as part of recovery efforts, triggering fears of inflation.

Weakened dollar: When the dollar as a major world currency weakens, the price of gold will increase to compensate for the decline in currency value. The dollar is weakening because US public debt has increased continuously, sparking concern that the US may not able to repay the mounting debt.

Increasing gold demand: Investment funds and central banks decided to hold more gold as a “safe haven” asset.

Recently, SPDR Gold Trust, the largest gold fund, increased its holding by 0.7 per cent to 1,219.75 tonnes. Meanwhile Russia’s central bank has bought over $40 billion in gold over the past five years, building a huge gold reserve of $120 billion.