Frothing trade war could shrink Thai exports 3 per cent, academic warns

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30375335

Frothing trade war could shrink Thai exports 3 per cent, academic warns

Aug 26. 2019
Anusorn Tamajai

Anusorn Tamajai
By Wichit Chaitron
The Nation

630 Viewed

Thai exports could contract by more than 3 per cent overall this year now that US President Donald Trump has vowed to boost tariffs on $250 billion worth of Chinese goods by a further 5 per cent, a Rangsit University academic has warned.

Anusorn Tamajai, director of the school’s Economic and Business Research Centre for Reform, noted Trump’s threat on Friday to raise tariffs up to 30 per cent by September 1 on Chinese goods currently being taxed at 25 per cent.

The president’s pledge came in prompt retaliation for Beijing’s decision to increase tariffs between 5 and 10 per cent on $75 billion worth American imports, covering 5,078 items.

Washington will also increase tariffs on several other items from 10 to 15 per cent, Trump said.

Anusorn believes the latest escalation in the US-China trade war could tip the global economy into a recession due to the damage caused to trade and investment.

Thai exports would be hit hard if there were a sharp slowdown in global trade, he said, despite showing signs of improved strength last month.

“Thailand’s exports could fall more than 3 per cent since exports to China would be affected significantly,” he warned.

Excluding gold and oil products, Thai exports in dollar terms grew by 1.6 per cent in July, while exports to the US rose 9.8 per cent. Exports to the US between January and July rose sharply by 16.3 per cent.

Imports of capital goods increased 11.9 per cent and machinery by 23.9 per cent, indicating an increase in private investment. The escalating trade dispute, however, would dampen the investment outlook, Anusorn said.

Some companies have relocated plants to Thailand in order to avoid high tariff rates, Anusorn noted, but it’s chiefly been only low- or medium-level tech firms like Sharp, Besser, Western Digital and Delta Electronics moving here from China. Higher-tech firms have tended to prefer Vietnam and Malaysia, he said.

He estimates the widening trade war will cut Chinese growth by 1 percentage point and that of the US by half a percentage point.

The result could be investors around the world delaying their plans, hampering the global economy for 3-5 years, he warned.

Anusorn expects Thai tourism to fall short of projections by 200,000-300,000 visitor arrivals this year, while Chinese postpone planned purchases of condo units here, creating a domino effect afflicting the overall property sector.

Prolonged trade tensions between the US and China, the US and Europe or China and Europe involving technology could adversely affect development in that field due to rising costs and narrowed trade.

The National Economic and Social Development Council, a state think-tank, previously forecast that Thai exports would contract by 1.2 per cent this year, while the economy would expand only between 2.7 and 3.2 per cent.

The Thai economy has been largely driven by exports, so any harsh impacts would translate into slower growth, Anusorn said. The GDP in the second quarter grew only 2.3 per cent, its slowest rate in 19 quarters.

To mitigate the harm, he recommended that the government focus on productive investment and increase transparency regarding its investments, such as by making its procurement information public, thus placing a curb on corruption.

Meanwhile, Kobsidthi Silpachai, head of capital markets research at Kasikornbank, said Jerome Powell, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, had indicated that rate cuts could “not always” compensate for loss of confidence stemming from Trump’s trade war.

“While monetary policy is a powerful tool to support consumer spending, business investment and public confidence, it cannot provide a settled rulebook for international trade,” the New York Times quoted Powell as saying on Friday .

Powell’s remarks suggested that the Fed, which cut interest rates in July for the first time in more than a decade, remained willing to do so again to keep the economy growing, the New York Times said.

Energy minister ties up with PTT to lower energy costs

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30375258

Energy minister ties up with PTT to lower energy costs

Aug 26. 2019
Sontirat

Sontirat
By The Nation

767 Viewed

Energy Minister Sontirat Sontijirawong is collaborating with PTT Plc to find ways of reducing the cost of electricity for small and medium enterprises (SMEs).

“We believe we should be able to announce some measures in September,” the minister said, adding that the aim will be to make electricity cheaper for SMEs, so they are not burdened by high production costs.

“We cannot say what kind of measure it will be, but we have an idea and it has to be discussed with PTT before we decide how to implement it,” he said.

The Energy Ministry is also working with the Finance Ministry on special measures for the low-income strata that will be implemented through the state welfare card.

Under these measures, welfare card holders will be divided into two groups: disabled people who cannot work, and people employed as taxi drivers, motorcycle taxi drivers and chauffeurs. The first group will require a subsidy on electricity, while the second group will require a reduction in energy costs, he said.

PTT Plc is currently helping the second group by reducing the price of natural gas for vehicles (NGV), he said.

Standards upgrade coming for farm exports

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30375290

Standards upgrade coming for farm exports

Aug 25. 2019
By THE NATION

764 Viewed

The Cooperatives Promotion Department will next year impose two protocols for food standards on livestock and crop farmers to prepare them for production upgrades demanded by key importers including China.

Good Agricultural Practice (GAP) and Good Manufacturing Practice (GMP) will become mandatory, Director-general Phichet Wiriyapaha said on Friday, noting that most large-scale retailers in China sell only products thus certified.

Other policies Phichet unveiled for next year included storing agricultural produce at the department’s 824 provincial and district offices for up to three years.

Produce standards must be upgraded to increase farmers’ bargaining power with buyers, he said, and traditional or environmentally friendly croplands and livestock ranches will be assessed for their potential as tourist attractions as part of an Industry Ministry project.

Phichet said there are 8,097 cooperatives across the country, 4,547 of which are associated with agriculture involving 6.7 million people. Nearly 1,600 cooperatives buy or guarantee the quality of 5.5 tonnes of farm products each year.

Another 55 agriculture-related cooperatives directly export products to 28 countries, generating a combined Bt1.888 billion from the sale of 45,869 tonnes annually, he said.

No return of bubble crisis in property market, developers say

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/property/30375269

No return of bubble crisis in property market, developers say

Aug 23. 2019
By The Nation

150 Viewed

Sansiri Plc’s property agency arm Plus Property sees continued momentum for properties in the Phloenchit-Chitlom-Lang Suan central business district, where the absorption rate had risen by 53 per cent compared to the past 5 years.

The absorption rate in and around Rama 3, meanwhile, was about 5 units per project per month and Minburi in Outer Bangkok zone has earned a ‘safe’ label with remaining units expected to be sold within 9 months – faster than the average rate. These areas were still seeing healthy demand growth and balanced absorption of stock, and oversupplying was still limited to specific locations. At the same time, property developers were exercising caution when launching new projects, and have been adjusting their planning to better suit the economic condition.

The company’s deputy managing director, business strategies and asset management Suwannee Mahanarongchai said that the tightening of regulatory measures by the public sector and the constant monitoring of the real estate market by the Bank of Thailand have resulted in stringent loan approval criteria by commercial banks. This strictness meant that the percentage of non-performing loans over the past 5 years stood at about 3 per cent, which was not high.

“Our view is that there is very little chance of a bubble crisis occurring in the real estate sector, in a manner similar to that in 1997. Nonetheless, the current situation of real estate has given rise to concerns about oversupply at some locations. Certain localities have seen a continuously increasing number of project launches over the previous 4-5 years, and the number of unsold units in the market increased accordingly. Developers have tried to rebalance their investments by placing emphasis on selling and transferring ownerships at projects that were completed from late last year until the first quarter of this year. As a result, sales figures from these projects outperformed the average figure for the past 4-5 years,” said Suwannee.

Based on surveys of the condominium market in Greater Bangkok by Plus’s research and development division, which took into consideration and made comparisons of data on demand, supply, time required to make sale, and the number of unsold units over the past 5 years, it was determined that only certain localities were experiencing oversupply.

A survey of the market over the first 6 months of 2019 discovered that 77,379 units of residential properties remained unsold, whereas the figure in 2018 was 79,671 units. Zone-based classification of figures, based on market surveys in the first half of 2019, reveals that 10,453 units remain unsold within the Inner Bangkok zone. These units are expected to take 12 months to be sold off (assuming no additional project launches within this zone). The locality whose property market was still balanced was the Phloenchit-Chitlom-Lang Suan area, with only 645 units remaining unsold, and they are expected to take 10 months to be sold off. The Middle Bangkok zone has 14,662 unsold unit and the expectation is for all the rooms to be sold off within 16 months (assuming no additional project launches within this zone). The absorption rate at the Rama 3 locality – where 1,981 units remained unsold – was 5 units per project per month. The absorption rate was an improvement of 17 per cent compared to the past 5 years’ average.

For the Outer Bangkok zone, 52,264 units remained unsold. The units are expected to take 21 months to be sold off (assuming no additional project launches within this zone). Demand growth was found at the Min Buri area where 8,690 units remained unsold; these are expected to be sold off within 9 months – faster than the average rate for the Outer Bangkok zone.

“Developers have been analysing data and making tactical revisions to reduce running the risk of oversupplying in the condo market. It has been observed that, overall, supply was being balanced with demand, in the zones with new products injection. It is believed that the market will reach a balanced condition in the long-term if developers exercise caution by placing emphasis on releasing their old stock and take the care to evaluate the situation in order to properly determine the correct timing for new project launches. The government’s recent relaxation of the LTV measure, by means of loosening the criterion for co-borrowing, should enable the property market to proceed into a brighter direction. The situation warrants monitoring and possible economic stimulus measures by the government in this latter half of the year must be watched for,” Suwannee said.

Chinese Thai subsidiary moves into WHA estate

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/property/30375266

Chinese Thai subsidiary moves into WHA estate

Aug 23. 2019
Jareeporn

Jareeporn
By The Nation

188 Viewed

WHA Industrial Development Plc, a subsidiary of WHA Group, announced on Friday it had signed a double agreement with Golden Egret Cement Carbide (Thailand) Co Ltd, a subsidiary of China-based and state-owned Xiamen Golden Egret Special Alloy Co Ltd (GESAC).

The agreement covers the purchase by GESAC of 56 rai and a three-year lease on a 4,700-square-metre ready-built-factory at WHA ESIE 1 where it can start production while its own plant is under construction on the purchased land.

GESAC’s total investment will be Bt2.5 billion over the next three or four years.

Established in 1989, GESAC is one of the Xiamen Tungsten Group’s core subsidiary corporations. It specialises in the manufacture and sale of various kinds of tungsten powder, cemented carbide and cutting tools.

“This double agreement is the perfect illustration of WHA Group’s ability to offer a total solution package to local and international investors,” said Jareeporn Jarukornsakul, WHA Group’s chairman and group chief executive.

“Our collaboration with WHA Group is a significant step in our company’s international development,” said GESAC general manager Jiang Tao. “WHA ID’s valuable expertise in industrial management and operations, great customer service and reliability, coupled with WHA ESIE 1’s excellent infrastructure with state-of-the-art utilities and power supply, were instrumental in our decision to establish our presence in Thailand.

“Being at the centre of the Eastern Economic Corridor makes it the perfect location for our operations.”

WHA Eastern Seaboard Industrial Estate 1 (WHA ESIE 1) is located in Chonburi and Rayong provinces.

Thirty kilometres from the Laem Chabang deep seaport and Sri Racha city, it has 8,003 rai (1,280 hectares) with easy access from Highway 3574.

Opened in 2006, WHA ESIE 1 now counts over 103 customers representing 164 contracts, for a total investment topping US$6.5 billion. As one of the corridor’s industrial promotion zones, it embraces automotive manufacture, plastics and polymers, metal fabrication, electronics, building materials, agricultural and consumer products and logistics.

Frasers Property secures majority stake in Golden Land

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/property/30375260

Frasers Property secures majority stake in Golden Land

Aug 23. 2019
Sopon

Sopon
By The Nation

179 Viewed

Frasers Property (Thailand) Plc (FPT), an integrated real-estate platform, announced its successful acquisition of 94.5 per cent stake at Golden Land Property Development Plc (GOLD) at Bt8.50 per share.

The company’s president Sopon Racharaksa said this marks the coming together of two leading real-estate developers, adding that FPT now possesses a full range of capabilities across multiple-asset classes, giving it an added competitive edge with a bigger network of customer touchpoints and greater flexibility to optimise the use of its land and properties.

“We look forward to achieving synergies between both companies to extend our horizon of long-term sustainable growth. With enhanced access to the enlarged talent pool and reputable partners, we are confident of turning FPT into Thailand’s leading provider of integrated real-estate platform,” he said.

In addition to this, FPT recently announced the first nine months of the 2019 fiscal year (October 1, 2018 to June 30, 2019) hit a new high since the injection of new capital by Frasers Property in 2016. The nine-month revenue of Bt4.707 billion exceeded its past record, rising Bt2.419 billion or 106 per cent from the same period of the previous fiscal year. Net profit also grew to Bt1.038 billion, an increase of Bt474 million or 84 per cent year on year. The occupancy rate of FPT’s factory and warehouse spaces currently stand at 81 per cent, he said.

Apart from this, FPT is the sponsor and manager of Thailand’s largest industrial real-estate investment trust (REIT), Frasers Property Thailand Industrial Freehold and Leasehold REIT (FTREIT), which is focused on industrial and logistics properties in Thailand. Currently, FTREIT has assets worth over Bt36 billion.

In July 2019, FPT raised Bt3.269 billion in a private placement, which boosted its investor base, improved its free float, and more importantly, strengthened its balance sheet flexibility for future expansion.

As digital banking rises, GSB aims to stand out

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30375291

As digital banking rises, GSB aims to stand out

Aug 23. 2019
By THE NATION

541 Viewed

Digital banking is on the rise in Thailand, said the Government Savings Bank president, pointing to the example of the Mymo GSB app reaching 7 million users, up from last year’s 5-5 million users.

Chatchai Payuhanaveechai said the number of users is expected to increase to 8.5 million users by year’s end, and to rocket to 13 million users in 2020 while becoming the most used app in the digital banking market.

Ultimately, Chatchai said, the application has the potential to expand the market and reach 22 million customers for digital banking.

The behaviour of digital banking customers shows a strong skew to digital financial transactions at 83 per cent, while traditional transactions have decreased to 17 per cent. The trend will reach 90-95 of digital financial transactions in three years, he said.

The behaviour of banking customers is changing, with the future business strategy expected to focus on digital platforms such as digital lending, personal loan services and credit card services.

Overall bank loan will continue to increase. In the last seven months, total loans grew by 4 per cent, with outstanding loan at nearly Bt2.19 trillion. It is expected that the rest of this year should see 2 per cent growth in total loans, reaching the targeted 4-6 per cent growth, and with outstanding loans at Bt2.2 million. New loans should grow to approximately Bt4-5 billion.

Moreover, GSB Research will launch a project to publish research reports of the microeconomic economy, the foundations economy, and the industrial economy. The project aims to be a source of information for the country’s researchers.

AXA launches premium car insurance service

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30375275

AXA launches premium car insurance service

Aug 23. 2019
By THE NATION

528 Viewed

AXA Insurance, a major general insurance provider in Thailand, has launched the ‘AXA Preferred Garage’ programme featuring a collection of high-quality garages to better serve its car insurance customers.

The company has been named one of the Number ONE Global Insurance Brands for the 10th consecutive year.

AXA car insurance holders are offered immediate service without queuing, car delivery within 10 kilometres, one-year warranty of repair quality, guarantee of high-quality body paint, and complimentary car cleaning service. In addition, the company offers AXA Roadside Service, a 24-hour nationwide emergency assistance and AXA Sure, a 30-minute guaranteed arrival time at the scene of an accident.

Somjate Khunsriuchen, chief operations officer, said “AXA’s Preferred Garage programme aims to deliver the best service. It also ensures the same premium service at its partners’ garages”.

The five garages selected for the AXA Preferred Garage programme are: 148 Tepharak at Tepharak, Samutprakarn; Pho Thong Body Paint & Service at Suan Luang, Bangkok; Tong Charoen Yont Garage at Bang Bon, Bangkok; MBK Japan Garage at Sathorn, Bangkok; and Nam Samai Garage at Pakkred, Nonthaburi.

Bangkok Bank okays interim dividend

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30375270

Bangkok Bank okays interim dividend

Aug 23. 2019
By The Nation

535 Viewed

Bangkok Bank has approved an interim dividend to be paid on September 20 at the rate of Bt2 per ordinary share.

Bank president Chartsiri Sophonpanich said the board of directors, at a meeting on Thursday, adopted a resolution that the interim dividend of Bt2 per ordinary share from operational profit in the first half of 2019 be paid on September 20.

The dividend was derived from retained earnings, which were subject to corporate income tax of 23 per cent.

The record date for determining shareholders’ rights to receive the dividend will be September 5, he said.

Thanachart Bank launches ‘Ultra Savings Account’ at 1.6% interest per annum

ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30375268

Thanachart Bank launches ‘Ultra Savings Account’ at 1.6% interest per annum

Aug 23. 2019
Komchalat Piteeprom, senior director of the bank’s deposit and unit trust product development division

Komchalat Piteeprom, senior director of the bank’s deposit and unit trust product development division
By THE NATION

355 Viewed

Thanachart Bank has launched a mid-year deposit campaign aimed at enticing customers to open an “Ultra Savings Account”, which offers a fixed deposit rate of up to 1.6 per cent per annum.

Calculated on a daily basis, the interest will be paid every month for deposits of at least Bt20,000 but no more than Bt50 million. Depositors can also make withdrawals twice a month free of charge.

Komchalat Piteeprom, senior director of the bank’s deposit and unit trust product development division, said: “The Ultra Savings Account become popular among consumers as it incorporates the strong feature of savings deposits in terms of flexibility as well as the strong feature of fixed deposits in terms of high interest rates. The objective of the campaign is to encourage members of the public to grow their savings. Depositors can withdraw cash twice monthly free of charge, after which a service fee of Bt50 will be charged for each withdrawal.

“One of Ultra Savings’ key customer groups includes working people who want to start saving or have excess cash. They not only get a good rate of return but can also avoid high-risk or complex investments. It also serves as the first milestone for growing their savings. Ultra Savings also offers flexibility as depositors can withdraw cash in case of emergency with no impact on the interest. Another key group includes SME operators and business owners who are looking for a deposit product which not only offers a higher interest rate than the conventional savings account, but also gives a higher level of liquidity than fixed deposits. The product provides depositors with the power to better manage their cash in line with the changing business environment.”