Demands for healthcare workforce will increase, says KPMG chief

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Dr. Mark Britnell, Global Chairman for Healthcare, KPMG
Dr. Mark Britnell, Global Chairman for Healthcare, KPMG

Demands for healthcare workforce will increase, says KPMG chief

Economy March 28, 2019 11:15

By The Nation

KPMG Global Chairman for Healthcare Dr. Mark Britnell has warned that a shortfall of 18 million health workers by 2030 will have a devastating impact on the world’s healthcare sector.

In a press release on Thursday, the company said there is not enough staff to care for patients, and if swift action is not taken, there will soon be a workforce crisis with severe implications on a global scale.

The increase in the elderly population and decrease in children population means that countries are faced with more strain and challenges in the care and support of not only the entire population, but significantly, the elderly, the company said.

Since 2014, Thailand has become an aging society with more than 10 million elderly people accounting for 10 per cent of the total population. On the other hand, children under the age of 15 accounts for only 18 percent of the total population, with a significant 2 per cent drop each year.

Thailand is predicted to become an ‘aged’ society in 2031 and a ‘super-aged’ society in 2050, with 20 and 30 per cent of the total population being aged citizens, respectively. This means that out of every three Thais, one will be a senior citizen.

This demographic shift appears in several countries around the world, particularly in developed countries, the company said. However, Thailand will be the first middle income, developing country to enter an aged society while other countries in this aging process will have already escaped the middle income stage. This translates to challenges with employability, lower economic growth, and care and support of senior people.

“Overcoming the health worker deficit and looming staffing crisis presents the single biggest challenge for healthcare during the next decade,” Britnell said. “The short-term fix of simply addressing headcount is too simple and short-sighted – seismic changes are needed across healthcare to avert this impending disaster. If we go about this the right way I believe we can grow the capacity to care by as much as 20 per cent to meet the anticipated staff shortfall.”

Thailand is already making efforts on health issues regarding senior citizens. The second National Plan on the Elderly (2002-2021) that was initiated by The National Committee on the Elderly indicates a key strategic plan to establish security and good living standards for seniors. This includes having access to healthy and friendly environment, having appropriate welfare and services, leading a valuable life and having access to data, information and news.

Further actions that Thailand and other countries need to explore is using digital and technological innovations to enhance healthcare and increase productivity, as well as explore new models of care outside of the traditional doctor-patient model.

“By reframing the productivity debate, reimagining clinical services, changing national investment strategies, empowering patients and harnessing the power of technology and AI, we can avoid the inevitably bleak future we face if we carry on as we are,” Britnell said.

Documents required under the new transfer pricing law

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Documents required under the new transfer pricing law

Economy March 28, 2019 01:00

By SPECIAL TO THE NATION

THAILAND’S new Transfer Pricing law, which enters into force for accounting periods starting on or after January 1 2019, may require entities with income not less than Bt200 million to prepare and submit information related to the related party transactions.

Section 71 Ter of the Revenue Code refers to two documents: 1 the report on relationship between companies and the value of related party transactions (referred to as ‘transfer pricing disclosure form’) to be submitted together with the annual corporate income tax return filing deadline, and 2 the documents or evidence showing information necessary for analysis of requirements of the related party transactions (referred to as ‘transfer pricing document’) to be submitted within 60 days after receiving the notice of request from the Thai Revenue Department (TRD).

The TRD is currently developing the transfer pricing disclosure form which is expected to be a short form to be completed and filed online. It is likely that the Bt200 million threshold should be assessed based on the amount of total revenue presented in the company’s statutory financial statements and also an entity may not be required to submit the transfer pricing disclosure form in a year when its total revenue is lower than Bt200 million. As you can expect, the purpose of the requirement for preparation and submission of the transfer pricing disclosure form is to provide the TRD with a summary of the entity’s related party transactions for an initial review and assessment of any risks that may arise from the transactions being concluded between the taxpayer and its related parties. With regard to the transfer pricing document, Section 71 Ter of the Revenue Code does not clearly mention the level of required information. Under BEPS Action 13, the OECD recommends a three-tiered approach to documentation that includes preparing a master file, a local file and country-by-country reports.

The master file contains standardised information relevant for the multinational enterprise group, while the local file provides additional details about the operations and transactions relevant to that jurisdiction and the economic analyses of the inter-company transactions.

Finally, the country-by-country reports (CbCR) contain summarised data by jurisdiction, including revenues, income, taxes, and indicators of economic activity. Based on the informal discussion with the tax officers, the transfer pricing document referred to under Section 71 Ter of the Revenue Code should cover the local file and the master files.

The master file should be prepared by the ultimate parent company whereby the local file is prepared by each entity which revenue falls within the threshold requirement. The CbCR which is also prepared by the ultimate parent company may be required under a separate law.

Apart from the purpose to prevent the shifting of profits through intercompany arrangements, the Transfer Pricing law aims to encourage taxpayers which have registered transactions with related parties to revisit their transfer price policies and the pricing being applied to such transactions so as to ensure that all related party transactions are conducted on an arm’s length basis.

Contributed by ABHISIT PINMANEEKUL, Partner, Transfer pricing service, KPMG Thailand

News Feed

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News Feed

Economy March 27, 2019 01:00

By The Nation

NBTC OFFERS FUNDING FOR TELEHEALTH SERVICE

The board of the National Broadcasting and Telecommunications Communications (NBTC) yesterday approved a grant of over Bt18.8 million to the Department of Corrections to support its plan to develop a pilot project for telehealth services to prisoners in two prisons.

The service will be provided remotely via the broadband Internet network connection to the Khaobin Prison in Ratchaburi province and the Chiang Rai Central Prison.

The grant is from the NBTC’s Broadcasting and Telecommunications Research and Development Fund, NBTC deputy secretary-general Korkij Danchaivichit said yesterday.

The project development and the telehealth service under the NBTC budget will cover 24 months. The move is aimed at improving the living quality of prisoners by allowing them access to telehealth service.

The telecom watchdog has already signed a collaboration agreement with the Health Ministry for a pilot project to provide telehealth services under the NBTC’s project to provide roadband Internet service to 3,920 villages in remote areas nationwide. Both the broadband Internet service for these villages and the telehealth service will commence in May this year.

In the first phase, eight provinces will join the initiative – Chiang Rai, Phetchabun, Kamphaeng phet, Kanchanaburi, Kalasin, Surin, Surat Thani and Songkhla.

Cross-business collaboration key to survival

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Cross-business collaboration key to survival

Economy March 27, 2019 01:00

By NOPHAKHUN LIMSAMARNPHUN
THE NATION

2,101 Viewed

Will your business still exist in three years? That’s probably the biggest question for top executives worldwide as a new research shows nearly four out of top-ten market leaders today will likely be displaced due to significant technology disruption.

The research was conducted by Digital Vortex, a book published by Digital Business Transformation (DBT) Centre, co-founded by US-based technology firm Cisco and Swiss business school IMD.

According to the publication, a vortex naturally pulls everything into its centre at great speed, resulting in chaos and, subsequently, recombination of businesses and industries.

Raz Mohamad, chief financial officer (CFO) of Cisco Asean, said intelligent business platforms, data and predictive analytics, artificial intelligence, and machine learning tools are among those currently used by enterprises to transform their organisations to survive the tech challenge.

Mohamad, who recently held a CFO roundtable discussion in Bangkok on the topic of financial implications of digital transformation, said cross-business collaboration is now a crucial factor for enterprises to stay relevant.

Banks, for example, can learn from adjacent markets such as e-commerce platforms to better serve their customers while real estate and other businesses can learn from many tech start-ups.

He cited the automobile insurance industry as another example which will face its existential threat due to the advent of autonomous cars and connected vehicles, resulting in less road accidents, especially those caused by human factors.

Vatsun Thirapatarapong, managing director of Cisco System Thailand, said enterprises need to adopt digital and other new technologies to grow new business with agility.

While many new ventures may not be successful, enterprises should fail quickly, move on and turn around, according to Mahamad.

Regarding CFOs, their role and skill sets are shifting due to digital disruption so they need to have additional skills, including those of programmer, statistician, data analyst, and machine learning expert.

According to the Digital Vortex book, 41 per cent of top executives surveyed see disruption as an existential threat, while only 25 per cent of companies are actively responding to the disruption despite the serious concern expressed by those who see disruption as the biggest threat.

In other words, the majority of company executives are still adopting a wait-and-see attitude due to a number of factors.

Based on the publication, financial services, tech products and services, media and entertainment, telecom, and retail are the top-five industries that will face the most disruption over the next five years as they are at the centre of vortex.

Amazon is a good example of this phenomenon in which the lines between industries and businesses have dissolved and then recombined over the past few years.

So far, Amazon, which started out as a retail e-commerce site in 1994, has moved to disrupt many businesses and industries from media and entertainment to the consumer goods industry, among others.

Grab and Uber are among the other examples which have disrupted and recombined businesses and industries, with better values on cost, experience and platform, the last of which is the key driving force of most disruptive companies.

In other words, disruption requires businesses to make money in new ways. Existing enterprises can also disrupt themselves or they can be displaced by a new business model.

This does not mean abandoning the businesses that have made them successful but they need to challenge the assumptions that previously supported their businesses and stress-test the ways in which they deliver value to customers.

Consequentially, this requires organisational, operational, cultural, revenue model and other fundamental changes on a perpetual basis.

Most importantly, the power of platforms is predominant in the digital age.

China’s Tencent is a good example in which the holding company started off with its Wechat platform for free services on mobile devices, including video calls, mobile finance and loans, social networking, among others.

The so-called freemium model drives steady user volume growth while monetisation improves with exponential revenue and profit growth.

In this context, Cisco supports the digital transformation process with agility, which means hyperawareness, informed decision-making, and fast execution.

TCEB sees strategic partnerships as top priority in moving business events forward

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TCEB sees strategic partnerships as top priority in moving business events forward

Economy March 27, 2019 01:00

By THE NATION

THAILAND Convention and Exhibition Bureau (TCEB) has named 2019 as “The Year of Partnership”, a new marketing strategy to drive the meeting, incentive and convention industry through strategic partnerships with the regional and international business events players.

Nichapa Yoswee, TCEB’s senior vice president – business, said the bureau is set to deepen partnerships with existing alliances and find new partners at the three global leading trade shows namely IMEX Frankfurt in May, IMEX America in September, and IBTM World, Spain in November this year.

At the IMEX Frankfurt, the TCEB would form a partnership with Asian Association of Conventions and Visitors Bureau (AACVB) members to develop an economic impact assessment model of the MICE industry. The objective is to provide the members a single platform to calculate the industry’s impact on economic growth.

Moreover, the model would enhance confidence and awareness of the governments, policymakers, business organisations, as well as academic institutes.

Meanwhile, the TCEB has created PCO Partnership project (Professional convention Organisers) bringing international PCOs who are members of the International Congress and Convention Association (ICCA), to match the local PCOs supported by Thailand Incentive and Convention Association (TICA).

In addition, the bureau is looking for partnerships with international PCOs related to 10 key industries based on Thailand 4.0, bringing the business events to be held in Thailand.

The TCEB and its strategic partner TICA are elevating the service standards through the value chain of business events industry covering every touchpoint.

For air transport service, the TCEB has formed a partnership with Thai International Airways to offer Asean MaxiMICE package for travellers in Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines and Singapore. While, the bureau has formed a partnership with Bangkok Airways to offer Fly and Meet Double Bonus for the CLMV market (Cambodia, Lao, Myanmar and Vietnam).

Since last year, the TCEB has launched a new branding, “Thailand Redefine Your Business Events”, reflecting its role as a thought leader. TCEB would act as a co-creator, partner and collaborator for the business events industry.

Two-month border trade climbs 0.92%

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Two-month border trade climbs 0.92%

Economy March 27, 2019 01:00

By THE NATION

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THE total value of Thailand’s cross-border trade, including transit trade, edged up 0.92 per cent year on year to Bt219.48 billion in the first two months of this year with the full year target set at Bt1.6 trillion, a 15-per cent growth from 2018 , according to the Department of Foreign Trade.

Adul Chotinisakorn, director-general of the department, said that of the two-month total, border exports declined 1.94 per cent to Bt121.27 billion while border imports rose 4.69 per cent to Bt98.21 billion, resulting in a surplus of Bt23.06 billion.

Thailand’s border trade with its four neighbouring countries dropped 1.65 per cent to a total of Bt178.88 billion with exports making up Bt101.33 billion, down 3.63 per cent while imports rose 1.06 per cent to Bt77.55 billion.

Malaysia was Thailand’s largest border trade partner, posting a total of Bt88.67 billion, followed by Laos (Bt31.74 billion), Myanmar (Bt31.18 billion), and Cambodia (Bt27.28 billion).

Transit trade with southern China, Vietnam and Singapore increased 14.06 per cent to Bt40.61 billion with exports rising 7.67 per cent to Bt19.95 billion and imports surging 21 per cent to Bt20.66 billion.

Thailand’s transit trade to southern China fetched the highest value at Bt16.81 billion with the highest growth of 55.99 per cent, followed by Vietnam at Bt12.86 billion and Singapore Bt10.94 billion.

The department expected all cross-border trade to expand further, supported by Thailand’s neighbouring countries’ measures to facilitate trade and reduce trade obstacles, the department’s Young Entrepreneur Network Development Programme, and its planned cross-border trade exhibitions in Narathiwat in late April and Tak in early June.

Malaysia’s business centre, IMT-GT Plaza, is currently under construction at Bukit Bunga, close to the Thailand-Malaysia border. The project is scheduled for completion in July this year.

Meanwhile, Cambodia has set up a joint committee for Thailand-Cambodia cross border trade to promote and facilitate both countries’ products and transpportation.

Myanmar has opened the second Thailand-Myanmar friendship bridge to facilitate product transport, travel and tourism with the East-West Economic Corridor on March 19.

HK steps up trade initiatives to boost ties with Thailand

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HK steps up trade  initiatives to boost ties with Thailand

Economy March 26, 2019 01:00

By The Nation

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The Hong Kong Trade Development Council (HKTDC) is continuing its initiatives to strengthen the economic relations between Thailand and Hong Kong with the founding of InnoSpace Thailand, Thai Access to International Markets Competition, and SME Idol – incubating projects for SMEs that profit from The Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC) Development Plan.

This is  the expansion of Hong Kong’s multilifestyle product brand, Design Gallery Studio (DG Studio), to Thailand.

The establishment of the Hong Kong Economic and Trade Office (HKETO) in February 2019 marked an important milestone between Thailand and Hong Kong economic relations. Based on the remark of Thai Deputy Prime Minister Somkid Jatusripitak, the office has opened a wide array of opportunities. For “Thailand Investment Year 2019”, the Board of Investment reported Hong Kong’s recognition of Thailand as a primary investment hub in the CLMVT and Asean regions while Hong Kong will be the gateway to the Greater Bay Area (GBA).

In 2018, a total of 44 projects worth Bt20.3 billion originated from Hong Kong investors, up from 41 projects worth Bt7.15 billion in 2017.

 Working hand in hand with HKETO, Hong Kong Trade Development Council (HKTDC) is an important organisation dedicated to promoting two-way trade between the two regions which benefited numerous Thai and Hong Kong companies , particularly small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).

Sunny Chau, HKTDC ‘s Director of Thailand and South Asia, said, “Since the establishment of our regional headquarters in Bangkok, HKTDC has brought more than 8,000 Thai businesspeople to Hong Kong every year, reflecting our motto ‘Your Business, Our Mission’.

An example of success was the SME Idol project where 20 Thai SMEs landed nearly 100 orders at the HKTDC Houseware Fair. HKTDC also bring Hong Kong companies to Thailand. Recently, we matched the Thai Ministry of Industry with Hong Kong Cyberport, leading to the founding of the Bt500 million InnoSpace Thailand. On the lifestyle front, we brought Hong Kong Asia Distribution (HKAD) to establish a multi-lifestyle product brand, DG Studio, in Thailand.”

Apart from various activities facilitated by HKTDC, such as international exhibitions, conferences, business missions, and research database, collaborative projects are key to a sustainable growth for Thai SMEs as listed below:

InnoSpace Thailand: a Bt500-million public-private venture with funds from PTT, Siam Cement Group, Charoen Pokphand Group, Thai Beverage, and Bangkok Bank. In collaboration with the Hong Kong Cyberport, both sides utilise strategic access to Asean market in Thailand, venture capital network in Hong Kong, talents and experiences of Hong Kong Cyberport project to groom start-ups from both regions. The project is located in the Eastern Economic Corridor of Innovation (EECi) in Rayong Province.

Thai Access to International Markets: Active since 2014, the joint project with Thailand’s Office of SMEs Promotion provides Thai designers an O2O platform to sell their products to over 50,000 international buyers. Short-listed designers, having won votes on Facebook, can sell their products at ZEN Department Store at CentralWorld, share experience at the Creative Economy Agency (CEA), and ultimately win a Cathay Pacific air ticket to DesignInspire in Hong Kong to interact with top designers from around the world.

SME Idol: Being held for the 2nd consecutive year, the project is a collaboration with Thailand’s Office of SMEs Promotion, SME Development Bank, and Community Development Department. It aims to coach SMEs on e-commerce, international sales contract, logistics, negotiation and sales in the China market as well as trade fair preparation. Target businesses are home decor, spa, scented and household products.

Eyeing Thailand as a tourism hub and a potential market for mass products, HKTDC worked with HKAD to launch a multi-lifestyle product brand with 100 per cent Hong Kong design, DG Studio, in Thailand in 2016 during the In Style Hong Kong event, held to celebrate the first anniversary of the Asean Economic Community (AEC).

DG Studio promotes Hong Kong design products, opening up distribution channels for Hong Kong products in Thailand and the region.

Michael Li Chi Fung, Managing Director, Hong Kong Asia Distribution Co Ltd (HKAD), said HKAD achieved 1,000 per cent sales growth within three years since its opening. Its product range began with gifts and mid-priced goods before expandingf to newer and more innovative products such as watches and action figures. Thais are the most stylish group of consumers in the Asean market, he said.

“We found that the key drivers for Thai consumers’ decisions are design and quality, with prices a lower priority. HKAD complements Thai retailers by offering value-added services such as product display, marketing, and events which resulted in significant sales growth in Thailand,” Fung said.

“Going forward, we hope to build a vibrant start-up ecosystem through the InnoSpace Thailand platform as well as bringing smart manufacturing to Thailand to be in line with the Thailand 4.0 aspiration. HKTDC hopes to serve more Thai companies in the future,” Sunny Chau concluded.

A perfect storm of financial services transformation

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A perfect storm of financial services transformation

Economy March 26, 2019 01:00

By   SPECIAL TO THE NATION

THE FINANCIAL services industry is undergoing a perfect storm of transformation caused by changes in the regulatory environment, intense competition from fintech startups and increased investments in digital tools by traditional players.

Predicting the future is a tough task and in an industry that’s changing as fast as financial services, that’s even harder, but as we look ahead through 2019, there are some cues we can take from the focus of banks, insurers and asset managers in Thailand and elsewhere in Asia Pacific to revamp their technology for smoother integration with tech giants.

The year ahead should also see financial firms making more use of big data to launch entirely new products and develop more tailored pricing, as well as increase their efforts on digital solutions for small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and corporate banking. This list is by no means exhaustive, but hopefully it’s a good start to get people excited about 2019. So, here are some of the top trends to keep an eye on this year:

1 Technology upgrades for better integration with digital giants

For established banks and insurers, it’s important to upgrade and elevate their enterprise technology and expertise to the same level of digital sophistication of Internet giants and platform players such as Line in Thailand and Japan, Alibaba in China or Flipkart in India. That will help them achieve breakthrough, more integrated financial services products. Nowadays, for example, you have leading insurance players in India, Singapore and other countries in Asia Pacific selling a number of protection products through e-commerce sites, ride-hailing apps or online travel companies. Banks in Thailand are also partnering with digital giants to make sure they are an integral part of their customers’ daily life. The question every bank and insurance chief information officer should now be asking is: how can I make sure we have the right technology and culture in place so that we can integrate our products and services and be nimble enough to partner with the big tech/digital players?

2 Enhanced pricing with digital tools and wider use of big data

Digitisation will need to move from optimising the overall customer experience to product design, and be more central in developing sophisticated pricing models. Financial services firms should make more use of Big Data for the purpose of pricing, especially for segments where structured data availability is very limited, and particularly where pricing is limited. Having that ready would help banks and insurers develop and offer structured bundled products: think having your car insurance, along with home insurance and a savings account as one offering. In Thailand, for example, we already have insurance companies using tools such as internet of things devices to collect more data in order to provide custom pricing, a trend that should become more prevalent as the technology and know-how around Big Data analytics gets more widespread.

3 Think small to make it big

There will be a greater focus on small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in Thailand and other Southeast Asian markets in the coming year, given the macro outlook for greater protectionism and rising nationalism around the world. Financial services firms should heed that call and focus on offering more banking and insurance products to SMEs. But in order to better service that segment they’ll have to use more Big Data for the purpose of underwriting policies, for example. They should also use digital channels for smarter and more efficient distribution of financial products to SMEs, which has been lacking in most countries in the region.

4 Direct-to-consumer links to improve governance pitfalls

In a world with increased scrutiny of conduct by financial service providers, insurance companies and wealth management firms will have to focus on building a more direct relationship with their customers. This would replace an over-reliance on commission-based relationships via agents, as these can be prone to poorer or weaker governance. Digital will be the fastest, most efficient way for financial firms to do that, given the prevalence of smartphones and other devices at the hands of millions of people in the region. Companies will likely begin to sell services and products through their apps directly to consumers, bypassing the middlemen and creating a more agile and efficient business.

5 The evolution of human-assisted “roboadvice”

Fully automated wealth management services and “roboadvice” tools have been all the rage the past years. We will see a much greater level of simplification and digitisation in the area of wealth management, with an increased focus and greater maturity in the area of robo-assisted manual advisers. This hybrid model will combine bid data that financial firms have been building and optimising the past years, with new analytics tools that human advisers can use to create smarter, more nimble and personalised solutions with the human touch that customers want.

Contributed by NONTAWAT POOMCHUSRI, country managing director and head of financial services practice, Accenture in Thailand

Dell shows impressive jump in data protection index

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Dell shows impressive jump in data protection index

Economy March 26, 2019 01:00

By The Nation

Dell EMC announced explosive growth in the Global Data Protection Index at 569 per cent and an impressive jump in data-protection “adopters” of nearly 50 percentage points since 2016.

The research, which surveyed 2,200 IT decision makers from both public and private organisations with 250-plus employees in 18 countries and 11 industries, provides a comprehensive understanding of the state of data protection and the maturity of data protection strategies.

Specifically, the index uncovered an increase in the average amount of data managed – from 1.45 petabytes (PB) in 2016 to 9.70PB in 2018 – and a high awareness of the value of data.

In fact, 92 per cent of respondents see the potential value of data and 36 per cent are already monetising their data. While this acknowledgement is positive, most respondents are struggling to properly protect their data.

Political instability expected to trouble economic policymaking

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File photo : Kriengkrai Thiennukul, vice chairman of the Federation of Thai Industries (FTI)
File photo : Kriengkrai Thiennukul, vice chairman of the Federation of Thai Industries (FTI)

Political instability expected to  trouble economic policymaking

Economy March 26, 2019 01:00

By   PHUWIT LIMVIPHUWAT
THE NATION

4,640 Viewed

THE new government is expected to face issues caused by political instability and will struggle to pursue its economic agenda.

“No matter which party manages to form the new government for the next four years, it will face a problem of political instability as there will be a strong opposition that will challenge its agenda,” Kriengkrai Thiennukul, vice chairman of the Federation of Thai Industries (FTI), said in an interview with The Nation.

Kriengkrai predicted that if Phalang Pracharat Party managed to form a government, its current projects might be pushed at a slower pace.

It is still unclear which party will be able to form a government, as Sunday’s poll threw up a fractured mandate with no party winning a clear majority. However, Phalang Pracharat, which has the highest number of votes nationwide, is likely to be able to form a government, despite having fewer constituency seats than its rival Pheu Thai Party, he noted.

In the past four years, the junta-led government has operated with little to no opposition regarding its economic agenda.

This means that key infrastructure projects and special economic zone developments were pushed fairly quickly, the FTI vice chairman said.

“But now that there is strong opposition to the Phalang Pracharat in Parliament, the road map and timeline of the key government projects may need to be adjusted,” he forecast.

“Furthermore, another key instrument, which the pre-election government used to push new policies and laws was Article 44, which allowed the government to override regulatory obstacles and act more swiftly,” Kriengkrai continued. “This instrument will no longer be available for the new government, meaning regulatory challenges may also slow down progress on new economic policies.”

Kriengkrai stated that the issue of political instability is worrying for both local businesses and foreign investors.

In a separate interview, Paiboon Nalinthrangkurn, chairman of the Federation of Thai Capital Market Organisations (Fetco), agreed with Kriengkrai, stating the closeness of the contest between Phalang Pracharat and Pheu Thai will likely lead to political instability for the incoming government.

SET down

Thai stocks closed 1,625.91 yesterday, down 20.38 points from Friday with trade valued at Bt47.06 billion.

Paiboon explained that the stock market dip was more likely a result of foreign factors, as the Dow Jones index had also fallen, adding the SET was still performing better than its neighbours.

Regarding the prospects of foreign capital inflow to the stock market, he said political instability poses the biggest challenge.

Kalin Sarasin, chairman of the Thai Chamber of Commerce, commented that the private sector wanted the new government to move forward swiftly with its economic policies so that foreign investors were confident in the economic and political stability of the Kingdom.

Kalin offered a different analysis, stating that even with strong opposition in Parliament, the new government should still be able to pursue key economic policies. This is because the political parties have proposed similar policies regarding the country’s key issues such as educational inequality and increasing competitiveness of the private sector, he said.

Thanawat Phonvichai, director of the Centre for Economic and Business Forecasting at the University, of the Thai Chamber of Commerce concurred with Kalin: “I believe the new government will be able to push out new economic policies, as there is little policy difference between the key rival parties, such as to reduce income inequality and increase government welfare.”

However, a similar policy outlook between parties does not mean the new government’s policy agenda will be implemented without any opposition, cautioned Piyanat Soikham, a lecturer in politics and international relations at Ubon Ratchathani University.

“Due to the lack of a clear majority, political instability will present a key challenge for the next government,” he continued. “Even if Phalang Pracharat and Pheu Thai have proposed similar policies, it is unlikely that Thai politics will witness bipartisanship.”

This is because the opposition party will want to obstruct the new government and prevent it from scoring a political victory by being able to push out new policies smoothly, he stated.

For example, both Phalang Pracharat and Pheu Thai have proposed to hike the minimum wage. However, when the policy is proposed in Parliament, the opposition party may vote against the move as it would not want the new government to take credit for hiking the minimum wage, he explained.

“Hence, progress on new policies in Thailand’s post-election political landscape will likely be slow,” he claimed.