IBM’s decision to abandon facial recognition technology fueled by years of debate #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30389479?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

IBM’s decision to abandon facial recognition technology fueled by years of debate

Jun 12. 2020
By The Washington Post · Hannah Denham · NATIONAL, BUSINESS, TECHNOLOGY, COURTSLAW, RACE, US-GLOBAL-MARKETS 

When IBM’s newly promoted chief executive announced the company would abandon its facial recognition technology, it did so amid a national reckoning over race and justice, foreshadowing similar re-evaluations among its peers.

In his letter Monday to members of Congress, CEO Arvind Krishna cited the potential for police to use the technology to violate “basic human rights and freedoms” in its decision to end all research, development and production. A person familiar with the matter said Krishna’s move wasn’t made overnight, but had been the culmination of more than two years of criticism about such technology from human rights and privacy advocates over accuracy, racial profiling and mass surveillance concerns.

Two days later, Amazon announced in a company blog post that it would suspend police use of its facial recognition software, Rekognition, for one year. Microsoft followed suit on Thursday, and said it would suspend sales to law enforcement agencies until federal regulations are in place. (Amazon founder Jeff Bezos owns The Washington Post.)

The company’s move has received positive responses from members of Congress, civil liberty defenders and IBM employees. But Morningstar equity analyst Julie Bhusal Sharma noted that facial recognition technology comprises just a sliver of its business. IBM is one of the world’s biggest technology and consulting companies, with a market cap of $105 billion.

“I think partially, from an equity point of view, IBM is such a massive company so even within their AI realm, they don’t break out, even in their facial recognition revenue,” she said. “Financially, I don’t think it’s going to have much of an impact.”

IBM will retain other kinds of recognition technology, a person familiar with the company’s thinking said, such as using a facial scan to authenticate a device, as well as object detection, like crop inspection for farmers or security staff identifying an abandoned suitcase in an airport.

Questions about the use of facial recognition and other technologies in law enforcement have attracted renewed attention since George Floyd’s death last month in police custody sparked calls for wholesale police reform. Researchers Joy Buolamwini and Timnit Gebru first dove into the issue in 2018 with Gender Shades, revealing that facial-recognition systems by IBM, Microsoft and Face ++ misidentify people of color and women more often than white men. More studies followed that confirmed the results, including a federal study by the NIST in 2019.

Last year, the ACLU sued the FBI, the Department of Justice and other agencies that contract with facial-recognition providers to block its use.

Former 2020 U.S. presidential candidate Julián Castro called the use of facial recognition software for mass surveillance a “dangerous violation of human rights” in a tweet on Tuesday. Rep. Jimmy Gomez, D-Calif., echoed the sentiment, noting in a tweet that he and other members of Congress were misidentified by Amazon facial recognition software in 2018.

“This tech needs legislative guardrails NOW,” Gomez wrote in the tweet.

Government and law enforcement officials contend the technology is worth reforming because it provides powerful aid in quickly identifying criminal suspects. Ultimately, by this week, the company joined the side of digital rights activists like those at Algorithmic Justice League that the technology couldn’t be reformed.

National Police Foundation President Jim Burch said in an email that the foundation applauds IBM’s decision and hopes that the company will continue to work with law enforcement in developing infrastructure for accountability and evaluating performance.

“We applaud IBM for making decisions that they feel are best to protect the rights and equity of all people and certainly they would best know if their technology was being used in ways counter to this message,” Burch said. “We also applaud IBM’s statement and support for police reform and hope that IBM will work to ensure that its solutions and capabilities are able to be used by police organizations attempting to do the right thing and pursue pathways to reform.”

Krishna’s letter was addressed to Congressional Black Caucus Chair Karen Bass, D-Calif., Senators Cory Booker, D-N.J., and Kamala Harris, D-Calif., House Judiciary Committee Chair Jerry Nadler, D-N.Y., and Rep. Hakeem Bass, D-N.Y., who introduced and co-sponsored the Justice in Policing Act of 2020 on Monday to enforce law enforcement accountability.

Krishna, who became CEO in April, expressed support for the Justice in Policing Act in his letter and said IBM hopes to work with Congress on police reform, responsible technology use and the expansion educational opportunities and skills-based trainings for communities of color.

“What we are witnessing is the birth of a new movement in our country with thousands coming together in every state marching to demand a change that ends police brutality, holds police officers accountable, and calls for transparency,” Bass said in a news release about the proposed legislation. “Never again should the world be subjected to witnessing what we saw on the streets in Minnesota with George Floyd.”

Bangchak Corp projects 10% dip in 2020 oil sales volume #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30389463?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Bangchak Corp projects 10% dip in 2020 oil sales volume

Jun 12. 2020
Chaiwat Kovavisarach

Chaiwat Kovavisarach
By The Nation

Bangchak Corporation (BCP) expects its fuel sales volume this year to drop by up to 10 per cent, but said that the government’s tourism stimulus package would help increase demand.

Chaiwat Kovavisarach, president and chief executive officer at BCP, said fuel sales volume in the first quarter dropped 6 per cent, year on year, and forecast a 10-per-cent drop in the second quarter due to the Covid-19 outbreak.

Fuel sales volume in April dropped sharply by 20 per cent,” he said. “However, the sales volume at the beginning of June dropped by only 5 per cent, year on year, after the government announced the third phase of lockdown relaxation.”

He expected the company’s performance in the second half of 2020 to improve as the Covid-19 outbreak is resolved and countries ease lockdown measures.

“BCP’s fuel sales volume was 400 million to 500 million litres per month, 340 million-350 million litres was sold at filling stations,” he said, adding that the government’s moves to promote domestic tourism would help increase fuel demand.

He said that the Covid-19 impact meant BCP would open only 54-55 new filling stations this year, instead of the original plan of 60.

“Also, we have adjusted the plan to maintain liquidity, by reducing investment costs, and postponing investment in unnecessary projects and the annual maintenance plan,” he said.

He added that there were no changes to the investment to upgrade oil refineries to Euro 5 standard.

“We are currently studying the types of investment, with results expected by the end of this year,” he added. “After finishing the study, we will seek a contractor and begin construction to ensure that it is completed in 2023, as per the government’s plan.”

Outgoing GSB president proud of his legacy #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30389461?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Outgoing GSB president proud of his legacy

Jun 11. 2020
GSB president Chatchai Payuhanaveechai

GSB president Chatchai Payuhanaveechai
By THE NATION

The Government Savings Bank (GSB)’s outgoing president Chatchai Payuhanaveechai said he is proud of his role at the bank, which has provided financial relief to individuals and businesses to help them pull through the Covid-19 crisis.

He said GSB has launched many loan packages and relief measures over the past five months to help customers suffering from the impact of the outbreak.

The packages include low-interest loans for non-banking institutions, financial institutes and small- and medium businesses for which the bank earmarked Bt150 billion. So far, there have been 13,093 applicants and Bt108 billion worth of loans has already been approved.

As of the first half of this year, the bank’s net profit was Bt5 billion, with deposits worth Bt2.47 trillion and total assets of Bt2.8 trillion.

GSB has continued to upgrade itself in all aspects to better serve customers in response to the fast-changing digital era and the impact of the outbreak, he added.

Currently, 7.9 million of GSB customers use the bank’s mobile application.

He said in line with the “new normal”, the bank has embraced the “delivery banking” concept, which means customers do not need to travel to its branches for basic services that can be accessed via different channels such as a mobile bank or online.

Krungsri and Grab launch personal loans for partner restaurants #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30389453?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Krungsri and Grab launch personal loans for partner restaurants

Jun 11. 2020
By The Nation

Krungsri (Bank of Ayudhya) and Grab Thailand have collaborated to launch personal loans for GrabFood merchant-partners, offering a maximum of Bt500,000 on 12-month installment plans, with no collateral or guarantor needed and with interest rates from 14.99 per cent per annum.

The loans are aimed at easing financial strains faced by GrabFood merchant-partners during the Covid-19 crisis, by providing additional working capital and liquidity.

“Krungsri and Grab have worked together to develop a new credit scoring system, where the customer data is incorporated into the credit line approval. This is a superior financial experience offered via a digital platform, directly to targeted consumers. The bank is expecting to attract a large number of GrabFood merchant-partners,” said Phonganant Thanattrai, Krungsri head of Retail Banking and Distribution Group.

Said Worachat Luxkanalode, country head of Grab Financial Group (Thailand): “Grab Financial Group is committed to delivering full-service FinTech solutions for the underbanked population, aiming to elevate the life quality of Thai people by expanding financial access for the entire nation. Amidst the current economic hardship, Grab believes loan products with repayment plans that correspond well with the capability of business operators will play a major role in keeping the business afloat, leading to the collaboration with Krungsri. Launching a short-term loan product for our merchant-partners with daily repayment installment plans … will allow our merchant-partners to manage their financial resources with greater convenience and efficiency. The loan will be initially available to medium-sized chain restaurants with healthy sales and expanded to other segments in the future.”

GrabFood merchant-partners can apply for the personal loan until June 30 at http://www.krungsri.com or https://bit.ly/2zBlZJ4. No loan management fee is charged. Apply from now to 30 June 2020.

For more details, contact the Krungsri call centre on 1572 or http://www.krungsri.com.

SET falls due to uncertainty about second wave of Covid-19 cases #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30389506?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

SET falls due to uncertainty about second wave of Covid-19 cases

Jun 12. 2020
By The Nation

The Stock Exchange of Thailand Index slid to 1,361.62, down 35.15 points, or 2.52 per cent, on Friday morning (June 12).

A stock analyst at Krungsri Securities expected the index to fall to between 1,350 and 1,365 due to uncertainty following the second wave of Covid-19 outbreak after several countries eased lockdown measures.

“Investors are also worried about the US economy after the Federal Reserve forecast US gross domestic product this year would contract by 6.5 per cent and the unemployment rate would be 9.3 per cent,” the analyst said.

“In addition, energy stocks would be under pressure after the price of crude oil dropped sharply due to uncertainty following the decline in demand for petrol if the second wave of Covid-19 outbreak emerges.”

He recommended investors buy:

▪ Stocks that would be added to the SET50 and SET100 calculation, such as BPP, TTW, ACE, DOHOME, RBF, SIRI, SISB, TVO and WHAUP.

▪ Stocks whose second-quarter performance will improve, such as CKP, TASCO, STA and RS.

▪ Defensive stocks, such as INTUCH, TTW and DIF.

The SET Index on Thursday fell by 22 points, or 1.55 per cent, closing at 1,397 the same as other Asian indices due to uncertainty following the second wave of Covid-19 cases.

Total transactions were worth Bt8.3 billion. Foreign investors made net sell of Bt753 million in stocks, but also net buy of Bt1.951 billion in the bond market. There were 3,210 Net Short TFEX SET50 contracts.

CAT, Symphony sign MoU to leverage their telecom strengths #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30389505?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

CAT, Symphony sign MoU to leverage their telecom strengths

Jun 12. 2020
By The Nation

State telecom firm CAT has joined hands with Symphony to provide telecommunication networks and services to meet the needs of customers in the digital age.

CAT Telecom Pcl has signed a memorandum of understanding in business cooperation with Symphony Communication Pcl to integrate current and future telecommunication networks and services of both parties to enhance services to customers and also to maximise the potential for telecommunication network usage and services, the companies said.

Dhanant Subhadrabandhu, senior executive vice president, marketing and service, at CAT Telecom said in a joint statement with Symphony that CAT’s mission is not only providing telecommunications network services infrastructure with the highest efficiency of landing and submarine cable systems, CAT also seeks cooperation with telecommunications operators both locally and internationally to increase the potential of telecommunications to meet the needs of customers at all levels, including the exchange of technology and knowledge to jointly push Thailand to the centre of telecommunications technology in the Asean region.

The scope of the MoU is to consolidate both companies’ expertise towards leveraging, sharing and collaborating the existing systems and networks to effectively provide services such as Metro Ethernet, Direct Internet, Voice Service and other services.

Alex Loh, chief operating officer of Symphony, said: “I am delighted to have this strategic collaboration with CAT Telecom, one of the leading national telecommunication and digital service provider in Thailand. “This collaboration intends to have both providers to leverage and optimise our network infrastructure together and expand more services throughout the country. Both companies are also able to share and leverage our strengths in our resources, expertise and infrastructures that will maximise our business growth in the future,” he said.

Dow slides more than 1,800 points on fears of coronavirus resurgence, more economic pain #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30389476?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Dow slides more than 1,800 points on fears of coronavirus resurgence, more economic pain

Jun 12. 2020
By The Washington Post · Rachel Siegel, Thomas Heath, Jeff Stein · BUSINESS, US-GLOBAL-MARKETS 

The stock market slid sharply Thursday, with the Dow Jones industrial average shedding 1,861.82 points, or 6.9%, as suddenly renewed fears about the coronavirus’s impact on the economy startled Wall Street and the White House.

President Donald Trump and his top economic aides fanned out quickly to try to beat back the growing concern. They assailed the Federal Reserve for its recent projection that the unemployment rate will remain elevated well into next year. The Trump administration also pushed back on the idea that it would allow the economy to shut down again in the face of rising cases.

Over three days, the Dow has lost roughly 9%. The index peaked in mid-February at 29,551 before falling sharply to 18,592 over more than a month. It had rebounded strongly before this week’s slide, and there was a sense Thursday that perhaps the stock market had come back too far, too fast, without the economic underpinnings to justify such a climb.

“The market had become more optimistic and more enamored over a V-shaped recovery in recent weeks,” said Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab. “Anything that would disrupt that view was a vulnerability. And that’s exactly what we’ve seen in the last day and a half. The potential for a second virus wave and another lockdown is a worry. And there is concern over a possible slower pace of recovery.”

The stock market has risen sharply since late March in part because of extraordinary assistance from the Fed and Congress to flood the U.S. economy with money in an attempt to arrest the downturn caused by the coronavirus pandemic. Trump follows the stock market closely and views it as a measure of his presidency’s success, and he had recently dubbed Fed Chair Jerome Powell, whom he had derided, as the “most improved player.”

Trump turned on the Fed on Thursday after the stock market’s slide picked up in velocity. He tried to dispute Powell’s assertion Wednesday that the economy could take a long time to heal and need substantial government help.

“The Federal Reserve is wrong so often,” he tweeted. “I see the numbers also, and do MUCH better than they do. We will have a very good Third Quarter, a great Fourth Quarter, and one of our best ever years in 2021.”

His top economic adviser, Larry Kudlow, during remarks in a Fox News interview, attacked the manner in which Powell spoke about the economy.

“I do think Mr. Powell could lighten up a little when he has these press offerings. You know, a smile now and then, a little bit of optimism, OK?” he said. “I’ll talk with him, and we’ll have some media training at some point.”

Trying to push back on fears that the White House might have to urge some businesses to close again, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin on Thursday said there was very little chance that would ever happen.

“It’s my expectation we will make medical progress between now and the end of the year,” Mnuchin told reporters. “I don’t expect we will need to shut down the economy again. Could there be some rare extreme scenario that occurs that based upon medical advice the president does [shut down the economy]? I think that’s extremely unlikely.”

There are concrete signs that the U.S. economy has stabilized from the worst of the recession, but economists are split in terms of where it will go from here. The U.S. economy added 2.5 million jobs in May, the Labor Department said last week, but the unemployment rate remains higher than at any point since the Great Depression. There are also signs that consumers are spending more as more businesses are reopening, but many remain closed or are open at only partial capacity, and some have no plans to reopen.

Some of the stock market’s biggest losers Thursday were companies that would be negatively affected if the virus’s grip on the U.S. economy tightened again. United Airlines, American Airlines and Delta all dropped more than 14% Thursday. Boeing led the Dow slide, falling 16%. Norwegian Cruise Line tumbled 16%, and Carnival Corp. sank 15%. Walt Disney Co., which is preparing to open some parks, was down nearly 8%.

The retreat began Tuesday but picked up steam Wednesday after Powell made plain that the recovery would be slow and that more aid would be needed from Congress and the central bank to lessen the pain, particularly as jobs for millions of Americans may never return. The Fed plans to keep the benchmark U.S. interest rate at zero, most likely through 2022. But critics say that approach widens economic inequality and lifts Wall Street over Main Street.

Concerns about a second surge of infections have taken on new urgency since states have begun easing restrictions on gatherings and commercial business. Hospitalizations rose sharply in several states after Memorial Day, and more than 2 million total cases have been reported in the United States.

“Fears of a second wave are beginning to cause anxiety in the stock market,” said Torsten Slok, chief economist at Deutsche Bank Securities. “Powell did what he could to be dovish, but there is nothing the Fed can do about the risk of a second wave of the virus.”

Coronavirus hospitalization and infection rates have jumped in many parts of the country, with more than a dozen states setting new highs this week, according to Washington Post data. Coronavirus-related hospitalizations have risen by at least 35% since Memorial Day in Arizona, Arkansas, Montana, Texas and Utah. Other states – including Nevada and North Carolina – also reached new highs in their seven-day case averages, the Post data shows.

The seven-day moving average of deaths has fallen steadily from its peak in April, but it has not halted as some White House officials had predicted. As of Thursday, 112,000 people in the United States had died of covid-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus, including more than 2,600 over three days this week.

Wayne Wicker, chief investment officer at Vantagepoint Investment Advisers, noted that the latest jobs report – which unexpectedly showed that the economy added 2.5 million jobs in May – boosted confidence that the economy was plowing ahead. But those hopes “ignored the fact that the issues with coronavirus responsible for the market decline in the first quarter have not been resolved.”

“With rapid escalation of transmission rates in several states this week, investors are beginning to recognize that their enthusiasm for a rapid return to normal is premature,” Wicker said.

Oil prices fell more than 8% Thursday, taking major U.S. companies with them. Dow components Chevron and ExxonMobil were down more than 8%. Oil fell after Powell’s outlook and reports of record inventories in U.S. petroleum reserves in the week ending June 5. The U.S. Energy Information Administration also reported that gasoline stockpiles grew. Stocks in the energy and industrial sectors, which are often pegged to the health of the economy, also dropped.

The Fed predicts that the unemployment rate will fall to 9.3% by the end of this year and to 6.5% by the end of 2021. An additional 1.5 million workers filed for unemployment insurance for the first time last week as pandemic-era totals topped 40 million.

Powell has pledged to do everything within the central bank’s power to steer the economy toward recovery, and the Fed’s unprecedented response could expand its balance sheet to $10 trillion by the end of the year. But he acknowledged that the tools at Congress’s disposal may be more designed to directly help individuals, households and companies desperate to stay afloat.

“My assumption is there will be a significant chunk . . . well into the millions of people, who don’t get to go back to their old job . . . and there may not be a job in that industry for them for some time,” Powell said Wednesday.

Stocks were down around the world. In Europe, Britain’s FTSE 100 dropped 4%, and Germany’s DAX fell 4.5%. In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 closed the day down 2.8%, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng closed 2.3% in the red.

Sukhumvit Line extension keeps BTS financially strong despite Covid crisis #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30389466?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Sukhumvit Line extension keeps BTS financially strong despite Covid crisis

Jun 12. 2020
By The Nation

BTS Group Holdings expects its operating revenue this year to rise by 40 per cent from the previous year thanks to the extension of the Green (Sukhumvit) Line.

The group’s total revenue is expected to hit Bt38.8 billion this year.

Surayut Thavikulwat, the group’s chief financial officer, said the Mo Chit-Khu Khot extension, which is due to open in full by the end of this year, will boost the company’s operating revenue by 40 per cent from Bt3.7 billion last year to Bt5.2 billion.

The company also expects to generate approximately Bt6 billion from additional carriages, as well as interest revenue from the Bt2.6 billion investment in the BTS Rail Mass Transit Growth Infrastructure Fund (BTSGIF).

However, the company has suffered an immediate impact from the Covid-19 crisis, with income from passengers dropping by about 10 per cent. The number of passengers in April stood at 100,000 people per day, believed to be the lowest ever. However, numbers rose to 350,000 to 400,000 passengers per day and is expected to rise once schools open and people start going to work.

“We expect passenger numbers for this year to be 170 million, or a 20 per cent drop from the previous year. Also, BTS Group’s media arm, VGI, and real-estate business U City Plc, will be affected by a drop in outdoor media advertising as well as the closure of hotels and delays in the opening of new real-estate projects,” he said.

He went on to say that the company does not have any confirmed plans to purchase shares in Kerry Express (Thailand) Co, as VGI already has a 23-per-cent stake in the company.

EEC panel comes up with guidelines on letting foreign investors back in #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

EEC panel comes up with guidelines on letting foreign investors back in

Jun 12. 2020
By THE NATION

The Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC) Policy subcommittee on Thursday (June 11) produced guidelines on relaxing rules governing the entry of foreign businesses that have invested in the EEC, said Kanit Sangsubhan, EEC Office secretary-general.

The subcommittee will seek approval from the Public Health Ministry and the EEC Policy Committee, which is chaired by Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha.

Foreign chambers of commerce that are related to investments in the EEC have called on the government to relax rules governing their entry into Thailand on business purposes. This includes the dispatch of staff to conduct maintenance on machines used in their EEC-based businesses.

Meanwhile, the EEC Office is talking to the Foreign Ministry about creating a medical network in foreign countries so businesspeople wanting to come to Thailand can be tested and issued a “fit to fly” certificate.

Kanit added that many foreigners wanted to come and work in the EEC projects and they are willing to adhere to related regulations such as the 14-day quarantine. However, he said, they want to be quarantined in Bangkok’s Sukhumvit zone and are willing to shoulder related costs.

Related story: Japan considers entry of up to 250 business travelers per day

Gold set for biggest gain in a month #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30389473?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Gold set for biggest gain in a month

Jun 12. 2020
Freshly cast gold ingot bars sit in the foundry at the JSC Krastsvetmet non-ferrous metals plant in Krasnoyarsk, Russia, on Nov. 5, 2019. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by Andrey Rudakov.

Freshly cast gold ingot bars sit in the foundry at the JSC Krastsvetmet non-ferrous metals plant in Krasnoyarsk, Russia, on Nov. 5, 2019. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by Andrey Rudakov.
By Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg · Justina Vasquez, Ranjeetha Pakiam, Elena Mazneva · BUSINESS, US-GLOBAL-MARKETS 

Gold futures headed for the biggest gain in more than a month after the Federal Reserve vowed to hold interest rates lower for longer and investors tracked signs of a resurgence in infections in some U.S. states.

The haven pushed higher after Chairman Jerome Powell said Wednesday the Fed is committed to “do whatever we can, for as long as it takes” to help the economy mend from the coronavirus pandemic. Almost all officials forecast keeping rates near zero through 2022, and the central bank also said it will at least maintain the current rate of bond purchases.

“You almost couldn’t come up with a better script for a strong fundamental environment for gold than what we saw from the Fed yesterday,” Matt Weller, global head of market research at Gain Capital Group, said by phone. “It’s really an environment of rampant monetary stimulus, and historically that’s exactly the type of environment in which gold has thrived.”

Comex gold futures for August delivery rose 1.8% to $1,752.10 an ounce at 10:46 a.m. in New York. A close at the price would mark the biggest gain since May 7.

Holdings in exchanged-traded funds backed by gold advanced for the first time in five sessions on Wednesday.

The metal is also getting support as alarm grows over the possibility of a second wave of coronavirus cases in the U.S. Localized surges of new infections in states including Texas, Florida and California have raised concern among health experts even as the nation’s overall case count early this week rose just under 1%, the smallest increase since March.

“Gold prices are going to steadily climb higher as we see more political headlines, unrest and Covid-19 headlines,” George Gero, a managing director at RBC Wealth Management, said by phone.

Ahead of the Fed gathering, Goldman Sachs forecast bullion would rise to $1,800 an ounce over 12 months and may even see a breakout beyond $2,000 if inflation expectations outpace a rise in nominal rates — similar to what happened in the third quarter of 2009.

“The conditions are here for gold still going to $1,800,” Dominic Schnider, head of commodities & Asia Pacific currencies at UBS Group, told Bloomberg Television. The metal has support “with rates staying where they are for longer, and real rates expectations potentially shifting more negative,” he said.

Even with recent advances, futures haven’t yet reached this year’s peak of about $1,789 seen in April, which was the highest since 2012. There’s probably some disappointment among investors that the Fed stopped short of embracing the yield-curve control, which would be a strong trigger for gold, according to Ole Hansen at Saxo Bank, who is still bullish on gold.

“So being the devil’s advocate, I worry a bit why the metal hasn’t responded better than it did,” Hansen said.