JPMorgan to unlock trillions in liquidity with tech partnership #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30386819?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

JPMorgan to unlock trillions in liquidity with tech partnership

Apr 27. 2020
File Photo by Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg

File Photo by Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg
By Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg · Molly Smith, Michelle F. Davis · BUSINESS, US-GLOBAL-MARKETS 

JPMorgan Chase is looking to help blue-chip companies untether trillions of dollars locked up in corporate supply chains globally through a new technology partnership.

The bank is working with Taulia, a platform that provides working capital solutions, to redistribute liquidity to smaller suppliers of large, investment-grade companies. The multinational firms will have the option to pay suppliers earlier with their own cash, or lean on JPMorgan’s balance sheet to keep money flowing through the network of providers.

While the partnership has been in the works since last fall, it comes at a compelling time now as global supply chains have been upended by the coronavirus pandemic, forcing governments to take unprecedented actions to prop up large and small businesses alike. Through Taulia’s network, JPMorgan will be able to help smaller firms access capital at a cheaper rate and in less time than otherwise possible, said Stuart Roberts, the bank’s global head of trade.

“We’re taking a relatively short-term risk on larger companies,” Roberts said. “I couldn’t think of a safer way to inject liquidity into a credit-stressed small- or medium-sized business right now.”

Businesses complete more than $120 trillion worth of transactions a year, but at any point, $20 trillion of that total is waiting in the supply chain to be paid, said Taulia Chief Executive Officer Cedric Bru. Clients can get on-boarded within 90 seconds, compared to the days or even weeks it takes small businesses to access credit from local banks at expensive interest rates, Bru said.

Over the past two months, investment-grade companies globally have accessed hundreds of billions of dollars through bond markets and credit lines at a relatively low cost, but smaller firms have fewer – and more expensive – options. While the U.S. high-yield bond market has opened up, it’s still quiet in Europe. In leveraged loans, the few that have come are marketing, and often pricing at double-digit interest rates. Private credit markets have been dormant.

U.S. junk bond spreads have compressed to 775 basis points from a peak of 1,100 basis points in March, but current levels are still more than double what they were in February. The widening gap caused many companies to lose access to capital, said James Fraser, JPMorgan’s global head of structured solutions within global trade.

“Being able to leverage the strength of a large, investment-grade buyer for a small supplier went from an attractive financing option to a lifeline,” he said.

JPMorgan had a legacy tech platform that was due for an upgrade. The bank looked at various other partners, and also considered building its own. It opted for San Francisco-based Taulia instead, given its AI capabilities, Roberts said.

The partnership, expected to be announced formally this week, will help JPMorgan become the biggest global supply chain finance bank, he said.

DraftKings jumps 18% in public debut during freeze on sports #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30386738?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

DraftKings jumps 18% in public debut during freeze on sports

Apr 25. 2020
The DraftKings Inc. logo in an arranged photograph. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by Andrew Harrer.

The DraftKings Inc. logo in an arranged photograph. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by Andrew Harrer.
By  Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg · Crystal Tse, Eben Novy-Williams · BUSINESS, SPORTS, US-GLOBAL-MARKETS 

A stalled initial public offering, a failed merger, and one pandemic later, DraftKings Inc. is public.

The Boston-based sports-betting company jumped as much as 18% on its first trading day after completing a reverse merger with Diamond Eagle Acquisition Corp., a special purpose acquisition company. The $3.3 billion deal combining DraftKings and the gaming technology firm SBTech was approved Thursday.

Its shares were trading 7% higher at $18.68 on 11:01 a.m. in New York, giving the company a market value of $5.8 billion.

The DraftKings debut shows the continuing lure of both sports and public markets, even as both have been hit by the coronavirus pandemic like a 300-pound NFL lineman. And the company took plenty of hits on its road to victory.

In 2015, the company was in talks with investment banks about a potential IPO only to face a market selloff that quashed its plans. After flooding the market with advertising, it became the target of regulators and investigations that shuttered its business in many states. Two years later, it tried to merge with rival FanDuel but the transaction fell apart after pressure from the Federal Trade Commission.

From the beginning, DraftKings, along with FanDuel, also faced state regulators’ questions about the legality of their pay-to-play games.

Legal sports betting was always DraftKings’ long-term plan, though, and victory came with a 2018 U.S. Supreme Court ruling striking down a 1992 law that barred commercial sports betting in most states. DraftKings was well positioned to capitalize on the new market as states moved to allow sports gambling. In New Jersey alone, DraftKings took in almost $80 million in sports-betting revenue last year.

After last year’s rise and fall of IPOs by tech unicorns led by Uber Technologies Inc., SPACs took on a new sheen. Special purpose acquisition companies, once a last resort for owners looking to exit an investment, become a popular choice for private companies spooked by the swings in the regular IPO market. Richard Branson’s Virgin Galactic Holdings’s merger with one so-called blank-check company set up by venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya was a high-profile example.

Diamond Eagle, founded by former Hollywood executive Jeff Sagansky and Eli Baker, raised $400 million in an IPO in May. In December, it announced a deal to buy DraftKings, with funds managed by Capital Research and Management Co., Wellington Management Co. and Franklin Templeton committed to a private investment of $304 million. Before the deal could close, the pandemic hit, putting major sports in the U.S. and around the world in limbo as well as throwing equity markets into a panic.

The decision to pursue a reverse merger with a SPAC instead of a traditional IPO may have been the clutch play that put DraftKings across the public company goal line despite this year’s stock market rout.

Chief Executive Officer Jason Robins said that when they discussed potential avenues for going public, his team talked about the possibility of a downturn in the market. The discussion didn’t include prospects for a global pandemic. Still, at the time the market had been on an 11-year bull run, and with the 2020 U.S. presidential election approaching, some were projecting an economic dip.

“Now, looking at this in hindsight, that’s a pretty big deal,” Robins said. “Had we chosen a traditional IPO structure, odds are we wouldn’t be closing it right now.”

The DraftKings debut might encourage other companies to follow in its footsteps.

“The reason people invest in SPACs is that they have full downside protection and optionality on the upside,” said Niron Stabinsky, head of SPACs at Credit Suisse Group AG. “There’s no question that a lot of companies out there that want to and need to go public now want to look at if there’re other ways to do it that’s less risky.”

Credit Suisse, along with Goldman Sachs, Raine Group and Stifel Financial Corp., advised on the reverse merger.

Robins said it’s too early to know how or if the coronavirus pandemic will affect the company’s long-term future. He said the economic downturn could spur more states to accelerate their legalization of sports betting and online casino games, which would expand the company’s market. Consumer behavior around betting and discretionary spending could also change, which would be bad for the company if that includes tightening household purse strings.

DraftKings was founded in 2011 by Robins, Matt Kalish and Paul Liberman, all of whom will remain in its senior management.

DraftKings’ list of investors was, at one time, full of sports leagues and prominent team owners. Some, like Major League Baseball have unloaded their equity. Others, including New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft and Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones have kept their stakes. The company’s stakeholders also include Walt Disney Co., which acquired its interest through its $71 billion 20th Century Fox deal completed last year that covered an array of assets.

The combined company was projected to have $540 million in revenue this year, with $400 million of that coming from DraftKings and $140 million from SBTech, Robins said last year. Robins said that was expected to grow to $700 million in 2021, with $550 million coming from DraftKings.

DraftKings shares are trading on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbol DKNG.

Ryanair chief rules out Boeing Max arrival until next summer #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30386737?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Ryanair chief rules out Boeing Max arrival until next summer

Apr 25. 2020
Passenger aircraft operated by Ryanair sit parked at London Luton Airport in Luton, England, on March 30, 2020. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by Chris Ratcliffe.

Passenger aircraft operated by Ryanair sit parked at London Luton Airport in Luton, England, on March 30, 2020. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by Chris Ratcliffe.
By Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg · Siddharth Philip · BUSINESS, WORLD, TRANSPORTATION, US-GLOBAL-MARKETS, EUROPE

Ryanair Holdings Chief Executive Officer Michael O’Leary said he won’t take delivery of Boeing’s 737 Max jetliner until summer 2021 as air travel claws its way back from the coronavirus outbreak.

Europe’s biggest discount airline is one of the main customers for the Max with 210 orders. The jet had been grounded for a year after two fatal crashes by the time the pandemic hit European flights, and O’Leary said in an interview Friday that Ryanair doesn’t now want the planes until markets return to normal.

The Irish carrier is banking on the collapse of weaker rivals to drive growth, O’Leary said. Its flights should reach about 40% of the usual schedule in the month they resume, most likely late June or early July, increasing to 60% by September, the last month of the summer season, he predicted.

The winter timetable may operate at more-usual levels as price wars prompt people to make up for missed summer vacations.

“It would be stimulated by very aggressive airline pricing, hotel pricing, package holiday pricing,” the CEO said. Fares should return to normal by summer 2021, providing “significant growth opportunities” in a market opened up by the collapse of Britain’s Flybe Plc and Deutsche Lufthansa’s decision to close Germanwings, on top of the 2019 failure of Thomas Cook Group.

Fleet discussions with Boeing have had to take a back seat as covid-19 has roiled the travel industry, but will “return pretty rapidly” once the crisis eases, O’Leary said. He said he expects the Max to win re-certification and return to the skies for the first time since its grounding in July or August.

Ryanair is waiting on the higher capacity Max 200 variant which will take a few more months to gain clearance. The CEO said at the start of March that he expected to take his first planes in September or October, a prediction he said now sounds like “a century ago.”

O’Leary didn’t rule out switching to jets from Boeing’s arch-rival Airbus SE, but said the European company would need to cut its prices.

Ryanair doesn’t plan to raise cash by selling and leasing back aircraft, he said, unlike other carriers that are looking at the option to increase liquidity.

“The problem is that if you’re trying to do sale and leaseback now, you’re doing it at distressed prices and high interest rates,” the CEO said. “We don’t need the money and we wouldn’t want those kinds of high costs.”

THAI and Wunderman Thompson launch ‘Stay Home Miles Exchange’ campaign #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30386702?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

THAI and Wunderman Thompson launch ‘Stay Home Miles Exchange’ campaign

Apr 24. 2020
By THE NATION

Thai Airways International Pcl (THAI) in collaboration with creative agency Wunderman Thompson has launched “THAI Stay Home Miles Exchange” Royal Orchid Plus (ROP) campaign.

This follows the government’s policy requesting Thais to stay home. ROP members will be rewarded with one mile for every four hours of staying indoors from April 24 to May 26.

The campaign will offer a total of 1,000,000 miles for ROP members in Thailand, Priyasiri Juathes, THAI vice president, Product and Guest Experience Department, said.

The earned miles can be redeemed for award tickets, accommodation, and other facilities. Terms and conditions may apply. To join the campaign, download the THAI Stay Home Miles Exchange application. For Android users, download via https://bit.ly/THAIStayHome and join the campaign from April 24 to May 23 while- iOS users: download via App Store and join the campaign from April 27 to May 26.

With ridership down 95% and losses of $700 million, Amtrak looks to pandemic’s recovery phase #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30386665?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

With ridership down 95% and losses of $700 million, Amtrak looks to pandemic’s recovery phase

Apr 24. 2020
Photo credit: Amtrak

Photo credit: Amtrak
By The Washington Post · Luz Lazo · NATIONAL, BUSINESS, TRANSPORTATION 

Amtrak is projecting losses of about $700 million this year, following a 95% drop in ridership amid the coronavirus crisis, officials said Thursday.

New Chief Executive William Flynn said it is unclear how long recovery may take, but the passenger railroad is developing a plan with several potential scenarios from “a very modest level of return through the summer” to a turnaround in the fall or into the next year.

“A clear and first view of what that’s going to look like, we don’t have right now,” said Flynn, who officially joined the railroad last week.

“Ridership is down substantially today and that’s going to continue for some time,” Flynn said during a Thursday afternoon conference call with reporters. “Part of our efforts right now, and focus is to think about recovery and what does recovery look like . . . This is going to have a have a major impact on our business. We’re working through analyzing what that might be and in some extent it’s hard to estimate at this point.”

Amtrak’s research so far, Flynn said, indicates that more than half of people surveyed say it may be more than three months before they begin to travel again. The railroad is studying what a service comeback might look like, including the potential need to maintain social distancing aboard trains and adding more contactless services, he said.

Amtrak soon will be rolling out new ticket kiosks at stations that would make it easier for riders to obtain tickets, and the company and is looking at expanding options for preordering meals aboard trains and using more texting and mobile app communication to reduce passenger interactions with staff.

“What we can certainly do is mark seats available to be occupied,” Flynn said, and leave others that are not available to maintain distance between riders. He said the company is also looking at continuing the strict coronavirus cleaning and disinfecting protocols when the transition to ramp up services comes to provide, “some level of assurance” to passengers.

Flynn, a seasoned business leader with decades of experience in transportation and logistics, takes over Amtrak at one of the most unsettling times in its history. Ridership has been plummeting since early March and is down 95 percent systemwide. Future bookings are also down 95 percent year-over-year

The company has reduced or suspended service on many routes across its network, implemented pay reductions and voluntary furloughs, and suspended the 401(k) match for employees through the end of the year. Flynn himself has deferred his salary. The Northeast Regional train from Boston to Virginia is operating on a reduced schedule, and the popular Acela service has been suspended.

Amtrak received just over $1 billion in federal relief money this month to keep the railroad system running and its front-line workers on the job during the pandemic. The funding, part of the bailout package approved by Congress in late March, will help offset the loss in ticket revenue, which pays for operations, including employee salaries, federal officials said.

“Continuing to provide the service is perhaps the most significant contribution that we can make at this time of crisis,” Flynn said Thursday.

The pandemic comes as a major setback for Amtrak, which according to officials as recent as late February was on its way to breaking even for the first time it its history.

The railroad carried 32.5 million passengers last year, a record in the company’s 40-year history, and saw significant growth in both its Northeast and state-sponsored service.

Flynn said despite the setback, Amtrak will continue to aspire to make money.

“I think it is important for us as a company to have a goal to break even or do better, and I believe we can,” he said.

“The foundation was built over the last several years, the operations capability, the commitment and dedication of all of our employees . . . that foundation is still there. That foundation is solid,” he said. “And I believe that as we move forward, as ridership returns, as we can trigger the network to meet the initial level of demand and plan for growth, thinking about the vital role that our company can play in our society, in mobility and in intercity transport, yes, I believe we should aspire to break even or better over the long term.”

Public companies received $1 billion in stimulus funds meant for small businesses #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30387153?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Public companies received $1 billion in stimulus funds meant for small businesses

May 02. 2020
By The Washington Post · Jonathan O’Connell, Steven Rich, Peter Whoriskey · NATIONAL, BUSINESS, POLITICS, CONGRESS, WHITEHOUSE, US-GLOBAL-MARKETS

WASHINGTON – Publicly traded companies have received more than $1 billion in funds meant for small businesses from the federal government’s economic stimulus package, according to data from securities filings compiled by The Washington Post.

Nearly 300 public companies have reported receiving money from the fund, called the Paycheck Protection Program, according to the data compiled by The Post. Recipients include 43 companies with more than 500 workers, the maximum typically allowed by the program. Several other recipients were prosperous enough to pay executives $2 million or more.

After the first pool of $349 billion ran dry, leaving more than 80% of applicants without funding, outrage over the millions of dollars that went to larger firms prompted some companies to return the money. As of Thursday, public companies had reported returning more than $125 million, according to a Post analysis of filings.

Other companies have said they plan to keep the funds, saying the loans had been awarded according to the program’s rules and that they would use most of it to pay workers, as required, in order for the loans to be forgiven.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has defended the program as a success, saying three-quarters of the loans were for totals of under $150,000. But after the first batch of loans was issued, the administration also scrambled to release new guidance for the program to discourage large public companies from applying.

Officials have urged publicly traded firms with access to other capital to return the money by May 7. Mnuchin said this week that all loans of more than $2 million would be audited with potential penalties for those who don’t comply.

“I want to be very clear it’s the borrowers who have criminal liability if they made this certification,” of being a small business he said on CNBC.

The Small Business Administration has refused to release the names of companies that have received the loans, despite having released such information on its loan programs for years.

Some of the companies that received the loans were large in another way: Their CEOs have been making millions.

Veritone, a company based in Costa Mesa, California, that provides artificial intelligence technology, paid chief executive Chad Steelberg $18.7 million in total compensation in 2018, the last year for which data is available. His brother, Ryan Steelberg, the company’s president, made $13.9 million. The company received $6.5 million in funding from the program. The company did not respond to a request for comment.

At least two other companies with highly paid CEOs have said they will return the money. Each changed its stance on the loans after the Treasury Department issued guidelines discouraging companies “with substantial market value and access to capital markets” from accepting the money.

Aquestive Therapeutics, a New Jersey pharmaceutical company, paid CEO Keith J. Kendall $2.6 million in 2019. That company received $4.8 million from the program but has said it will return it.

“As a small business, we were happy to qualify for a PPP loan, as it was originally written and intended, to continue to employ and provide health coverage to our 219 employees located around the country and provide important medicines to these patients during this period of crisis,” the company said in a statement. “However, the new guidance issued on April 23 by the Federal Government appears to change the criteria for small businesses to qualify for the PPP loans.”

Wave Life Sciences, a genetic medicine company, paid CEO Paul B. Bolno $5.8 million in total compensation in 2018. The company received $7.2 million from the program but has decided to return it, too.

“We made this decision after the SBA issued new guidance that states, in effect, that public companies are not appropriate recipients of these loans,” the company said in a statement.

Chain restaurants and hotels were able to obtain tens of millions of dollars from the first pool of $349 billion in forgivable loans because Congress and the administration allowed multiple subsidiaries of large owners to each apply separately.

Those recipients include a group of hotel companies chaired by Monty Bennett, a Dallas executive and Republican donor, including Ashford Hospitality Trust and Braemar Hotels & Resorts. The companies used more than 100 filings to seek $126 million total and received $76 million.

On Friday, Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer, D-N.Y., questioned how companies such as Ashford had received so much funding, writing to Jovita Carranzak, administrator of the Small Business Administration, to say that such companies “may be exploiting the Program to the detriment of small businesses around the country currently struggling to survive the COVID-19 pandemic.”

Some chains that have returned funds have done so at the expense of their workers. AutoNation, the Fortune 500 network of auto dealers, said last week that it would return the $77 million it received. The same day of the announcement, employees there said AutoNation put some workers back on furlough and rescinded wage guarantee deals to commission-based employees.

Marc Cannon, AutoNation executive vice president, issued a statement to The Post saying the pandemic had reduced sales by half and stores had rehired employees based on commitments of the federal program.

“It is regrettable that we must continue to mitigate the financial impact of COVID-19,” the company said. “Those employees who were being funded by PPP are being re-furloughed. There is no FORGIVABLE loan available anywhere to rehire 7,000 employees.”

Lindblad Expeditions, an operator of high-end cruises, also returned its PPP funds. The company initially said it planned to keep the money because it qualified for the loan and planned to use it to retain employees. On an earnings conference call Friday, chief executive Sven-Olof Lindblad repeated that the company met the application requirements, but said it would return the $6.6 million loan.

“We wanted to protect our employees for as long as possible,” he said, but added there had been “much negativity” around public companies that received the loans.

While much of the program’s criticism has focused on the relatively large companies that received the money intended for small businesses, there is some evidence that the program missed its target in other ways, too.

Research by academics at the University of Chicago and MIT indicates that the areas where small businesses have been most affected – New York and New Jersey, for example – were less likely to see loans from the program. The authors defined “most affected” using small-business employment data, cases of covid-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus, and other factors.

According to the research, only about 15% of businesses in the congressional districts most affected by business losses were able to obtain PPP help; by contrast, in the least affected congressional districts, 30% were able to obtain them.

“The loans were disproportionately allocated to areas least affected by the crisis,” according to authors Joao Granja, Christos Makridis, Constantine Yannelis and Eric Zwick.

Boris Johnson pledges lockdown exit plan with U.K. past peak #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30387137?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Boris Johnson pledges lockdown exit plan with U.K. past peak

May 01. 2020
By Syndication The Washington Post, Bloomberg · Tim Ross, Alex Morales, Joe Mayes

Prime Minister Boris Johnson pledged a “comprehensive plan” to lift the lockdown that has crippled the economy, as he declared the U.K. has now passed the peak of the coronavirus outbreak.

In his first press conference since recovering from covid-19, Johnson promised to set out details next week on how businesses can get back to work, suggesting that people will be encouraged to wear face masks as the restrictions are lifted.

“For the first time we are past the peak of this disease,” Johnson said. “We are past the peak, and we are on the downward slope.”

The prime minister’s words show the government is preparing the pathway for the swathes of the economy that have been shuttered to begin operating again, amid concern that millions of people are facing the loss of their jobs and companies are collapsing. Ministers are due to review the restrictions — unprecedented in peacetime — on May 7.

“I will be setting out a comprehensive plan next week to explain first how we get our economy moving, how we can get our children back to school, back into childcare, second, and thirdly how we can travel to work and how we can make life in the workplace safer,” Johnson said. “In short, how we can continue to suppress the disease and at the same time restart the economy.”

The premier, who hasn’t held a press conference since before he tested positive for coronavirus on March 26, predicted the economy “will bounce back strongly,” but also repeatedly stressed the need to avoid a second spike in virus cases that overwhelms the National Health Service while lifting the curbs.

“We’ve come through the peak, or rather we have come under what could have been a vast peak, as though we have been going through some huge alpine tunnel,” Johnson said. “And we can now see sunlight and the pasture ahead of us, and so it is vital that we do not now lose control and run slap into a second and even bigger mountain.”

Official figures released Thursday showed the total number of deaths in the U.K. rising to 26,771 from 26,097, up 674 on the previous day.

England’s Chief Medical Officer Chris Whitty cautioned that, while the first phase of the outbreak is coming to an end, there remains “a very long way to run” in the fight against the virus.

The prime minister promised a “menu of options” for the lockdown, which will be deployed at different times, depending on the development of the outbreak.

“As part of coming out of the lockdown, I do think face coverings will be useful both for epidemiological reasons and giving people confidence it’s safe to go back to work,” Johnson said. “We will be saying a lot more next week and in the coming weeks about how and when we propose to unlock the various parts of the U.K. economy.”

Johnson’s spokesman, James Slack, on Friday told reporters ministers are “still considering” what advice they give the public on face coverings, adding that scientific evidence suggests a “weak but positive effect in reducing the transmission of coronavirus from asymptomatic members of the public, where social distancing isn’t possible.”

Speaking on LBC Radio on Friday, Communities Secretary Robert Jenrick said the government is taking scientific advice on easing the lockdown, which could be done on a regional basis if transmission rates vary across the country — though he said the “strong preference” is for the whole country to move together. Officials have regularly talked up the benefits of a unified approach.

Jenrick also said construction and building firms should resume operations.

The government has announced more than 60 billion pounds ($75 billion) of direct aid to companies and individuals to help them weather the pandemic, and offered 330 billion pounds of loan guarantees. The Office for Budget Responsibility on Thursday said the government’s virus response has cost almost 105 billion pounds in the current fiscal year.

Asked whether the government would need a new period of austerity, including cuts to public services in order to restore the country’s finances, Johnson rejected the approach.

“I think the economy will bounce back strongly, I think that this government will want to encourage that bounce back in all kinds of ways,” he said. He added that he’d “never particularly liked” the term “austerity,” saying “it will certainly not be part of our approach.”

The Treasury is considering allowing companies to claim support from the government’s furlough program for staff returning to work part-time once lockdown measures are eased, the Financial Times reported on Friday, citing a person familiar with the matter.

Earlier Thursday, Johnson’s spokesman, James Slack, shot down Justice Secretary Robert Buckland’s earlier comments to Sky News that it’s “probable” the government would miss a goal to carry out 100,000 coronavirus tests per day by the end of April, saying the target remained. Johnson said 81,611 tests had been carried out Wednesday.

Ministers are under fire for abandoning the tracing and testing of contacts of positive cases in March, as capacity was overrun by the rate of infections.

Now, they’re working to develop a program to test track and trace contacts that’s seen as vital to containing the virus as the country comes out of lockdown. Similar systems are credited with reducing the pandemic’s spread in countries including South Korea, Taiwan and Vietnam.

Work is ongoing to recruit 18,000 contact tracers, 15,000 of whom will do tasks like staffing telephones and giving advice, and 3,000 who will work in the field, Slack said. The government is also working on developing its contact-tracing app, he said. It is due to be trialed next week.

Another measure that’s under consideration is quarantining U.K. arrivals, according to Transport Secretary Grant Shapps. He said that at current transmission rates of the virus in the U.K., such a policy “makes no great difference,” but as the domestic caseload becomes lower, it could be a useful policy.

“It’s something that very much as we get to the smaller numbers and not wanting to see a repeat of the infection, it’s something very much there’s a live discussion” about, Shapps told BBC’s ‘Question Time’ program late Thursday.

The pandemic’s long-term pain is just becoming clear to markets #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30387136?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

The pandemic’s long-term pain is just becoming clear to markets

May 01. 2020
A customer at a drive-through seafood stall in Seoul, South Korea, holds South Korean 10,000 won banknotes. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by SeongJoon Cho.

A customer at a drive-through seafood stall in Seoul, South Korea, holds South Korean 10,000 won banknotes. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by SeongJoon Cho.
By Syndication The Washington Post, Bloomberg · Christopher Anstey

The best month for global equities in almost a decade may be enough to convince investors the light at the end of the coronavirus tunnel isn’t a train, but the debate on what comes next is only just beginning as they adjust their focus to a financial landscape utterly changed by the pandemic.

An indisputable takeaway from the crisis is a massive expansion in global debt — given the more than $8 trillion in fiscal measures worldwide, according to a Bloomberg compilation. Corporate balance sheets will have changed, as CFOs seek to bolster their capital through equity and debt raisings. Millions will have lost their jobs at least for a time, and labor mobility between nations may be impaired. And supply lines will be reshaped, at least in some fashion.

Depending on how it all shakes out, there will be implications for corporate earnings and interest rates that will affect investment decisions for years if not decades to come, some analysts are now saying. Should the epidemic continue to ebb, that’s set to become the key debate in markets as the year progresses.

“The high debt levels across all sectors and large-scale nationalization of the economy will, in absence of an exit plan, restrain investment and reduce productivity in the long run, giving rise to secular stagnation or at some point stagflation,” said Commerzbank strategist Christoph Rieger. “Corporates will have to shoulder a large part of the bill.”

Even as they cheer news about economies reopening and progress on medical solutions for the coronavirus, investors are being diluted by corporate capital raising. And the biggest source of demand for shares in recent years — companies themselves — are unlikely to return to their previous pace of buybacks for years, if ever, according to Inigo Fraser-Jenkins and fellow analysts at Sanford C. Bernstein.

A deeper change could be sustained support for payments to portions of the labor force that have been severely affected by the crisis or at the fringes of economic prosperity in recent decades. As Stephen King, senior economic adviser at HSBC Holdings, put it, there could be “pressure to deliver new domestic ‘social contracts,'” not unlike occurred after World War II — when Europe built welfare systems and the U.S. enacted the GI Bill.

A new broad set of commitments “would be affordable only with a sizeable increase in the tax burden on corporations, high earners and the wealthy,” King wrote in an April 23 note. “To raise such taxes may require worldwide income-tax regimes for a country’s citizens (in line with existing U.S. tax policy) and significant restrictions on the mobility of wealth and capital.”

A stronger long-term role for the state is emerging in other aspects, as well. The long-term trend of privatizing public-sector enterprises “could now be slowed or even reversed,” Deutsche Bank wealth-management investment chiefs say.

“State ownership of industry will force a new debate on the role of competition and profit margins,” Christian Nolting and Markus Muller wrote in an April 29 note. “All this will create major challenges for economies and investors, but also opportunities.”

As for investors in government bonds, given how debt levels will have expanded versus GDP — the Congressional Budget Office says the U.S. government’s ratio could hit 101% by the end of this fiscal year, from 79% last year — it’s unlikely policymakers will let interest rates exceed inflation. So-called financial repression also helped major nations run down debt after WWII.

The surge in borrowing has also revived the debate about central banks directly monetizing government financing. At the end of the day, however, that simply swaps one type of obligation — government bonds — for another: reserves deposited with the central bank, as Commerzbank’s Rieger puts it.

“In the end, the asset side of central bank balance sheets will consist of giant quantities of low-yielding debt — inhibiting rate increases for decades,” he wrote.

Net-net, lower borrowing costs ought to be good for companies, and equity valuations in particular. Stephen Jen, who runs hedge fund and advisory firm Eurizon SLJ Capital, argues it “ought to be a major tailwind” for strong firms with good balance sheets. But his take suggests not all will benefit — something Deutsche Bank AG wealth-management investment chiefs agree with.

“Those sectors better able to innovate and adapt to the new post-coronavirus world will fare better; ‘creative destruction’ could force corporate failure and defaults elsewhere,” Nolting and Muller wrote. “Corporate earnings are likely to fall further than current consensus estimates.”

The bottom line: the debate on long-term effects for investors is just beginning.

Oil in first weekly gain in a month with output cuts starting #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30387133?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Oil in first weekly gain in a month with output cuts starting

May 01. 2020
An automobile drives along an overpass past oil storage silos at an oil and gas storage facility in Belgrade, Serbia, on April 28, 2020. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by Oliver Bunic.

An automobile drives along an overpass past oil storage silos at an oil and gas storage facility in Belgrade, Serbia, on April 28, 2020. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by Oliver Bunic.
By Synidcation The Washington Post, Bloomberg · Elizabeth Low, Alex Longley

Oil headed for its first weekly gain in a month as global production cuts start to lift physical markets and demand shows tentative signs of recovery.

Futures in New York traded above $18 a barrel and are up 9% this week. OPEC+ is officially starting its unprecedented 9.7 million barrels a day of output reductions from Friday. The price of real crude is reacting to the curbs, with key grades from the Caspian to the North Sea trending higher in recent days.

There are also signals that the peak of the demand destruction may have passed. U.S. government data showed gasoline consumption rose by the most in almost a year last week, while rush-hour traffic in some of the biggest cities in China has recovered to pre-virus levels.

“We started last month with a focus on demand destruction and now we’re starting this month with a focus on the supply reduction,” said Olivier Jakob, managing director of consultant Petromatrix.

Still, the industry is nowhere close to being out of the woods as a massive glut persists. Royal Dutch Shell on Thursday forecast that its refineries won’t run at more than 70% of their capacity in the current quarter. Turkey will halt a 238,000 barrels a day plant as a result of a slowdown in demand. Global storage is also close to filling up and Citigroup warned the worst is likely yet to come for the oil market.

Since crude plunged into negative territory last week, investments have been fleeing the nearest futures contracts, increasing volatility. The United States Oil Fund LP, which came under pressure from regulators last month due to the size of its WTI position, said on Friday that it will halve its holdings in the July contract. It earlier said it may expand investments to include products beyond the benchmark New York crude grade.

There will be some respite from the big oversupply starting Friday as OPEC+ begins its cuts and producers from outside the group join them. Norway will curb output for the first time since 2002, while ConocoPhillips said it will cut more than 400,000 barrels a day in June. Shell said its upstream oil and gas production could fall by as much as a third.

Indonesia opens door to Thai butterfly pea exports #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30387130?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Indonesia opens door to Thai butterfly pea exports

May 01. 2020
By The Nation

Thai growers have been given the green light to export butterfly pea flowers to Indonesia, where they can fetch Bt4,000 per kilogram.

The Department of Agriculture (DoA) requested access to the Indonesian market at the end of December, also asking the Indonesian Agricultural Quarantine Agency (IAQA) for technical information on pest-risk analysis for the flowers.

DoA director-general Sermsuk Salakphet confirmed on Friday (May 1) that Indonesia will accept shipments of Thai dried butterfly pea flowers from this month onwards.

Interested businesses must have a phytosanitary certificate issued by the Department of Agriculture attached with the product for export. Products must not be contaminated with live insects, pests, weeds, soil, roots, or materials that can carry pests. They must be oven-dried at a temperature of 50-60 degrees Celsius for 8-10 hours and packaged in a labelled container for verification.

Thailand already exports dried butterfly pea flowers to countries including Taiwan, Hong Kong, South Korea and Malaysia. In Australia, Thai butterfly pea flowers have an export value of up to Bt4,000 per kilo. The blue and purple flowers are mainly used to make tea and to dye sticky rice.