Global insider-trading ring linked to trial of pharma CEO’s son #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30380222?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Global insider-trading ring linked to trial of pharma CEO’s son

Jan 07. 2020
By Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg · Bob Van Voris 

The criminal trial of a New York man may help explain how tens of millions of dollars in illicit profits were allegedly generated by a global insider-trading network that included a Greek pharmaceutical executive, a Goldman Sachs banker, a Monaco poker player, a Swiss trader and a Manhattan restaurant owner.

Telemaque Lavidas is the first of the accused to go before a jury in the U.S., where prosecutors say he was one of the people feeding information into a network of traders on several continents. His trial starts Monday in federal court.

In a scheme that stretched for years and included dozens of trades, participants cultivated ties to bankers, made bets based on information gleaned from them and shared leaks in face-to-face meetings or over encrypted social media apps such as Signal or WhatsApp, the government claims. The network was based on location and affinity, with some of the European traders saying they hung out together in clubs and in posh locales.

“The investigation to date has identified over 50 deals where the subject traders have engaged in suspicious trading, as a result of which the participants in the scheme have collectively made over $100 million in profits,” an FBI agent said in a 2017 affidavit made public last month.

Lavidas allegedly played a small role in the wider plot. He is accused of providing non-public, market-moving tips about Ariad Pharmaceuticals Inc. that he got from his father, Athanase Lavidas, a former Ariad board member and the chief executive officer of the family-owned Lavipharm SA. The younger Lavidas passed the tips to Georgios Nikas, a Greek businessman who owns restaurants in New York and used the information to make trades before big share moves, prosecutors said.

In exchange, the U.S. claims Lavidas got a $500,000 investment from Nikas’s wife in his fruit-bar company, Mediterra Inc.

Lavidas was among six people charged in October, when the U.S. announced a series of cases alleging insider trading by a loosely organized network of bankers, traders and entrepreneurs. Links also emerged between suspects in probes in the U.K. and France.

A key witness in Lavidas’s trial is expected to be Marc Demane-Debih, a Geneva-based trader arrested in Serbia last year. He pleaded guilty to 38 counts in a secret hearing in October. Demane-Debih agreed to cooperate with prosecutors in hopes of leniency when he’s sentenced.

Demane-Debih claims that Nikas told him at a 2011 dinner party that he had inside information about Ariad that he got from Lavidas and his father, the government said. Nikas has also been charged, but he remains in Greece and is considered a fugitive.

Lavidas’s lawyer, Jonathan Streeter, didn’t respond to an email seeking comment on the trial.

At a hearing in December, Streeter told U.S. District Judge Denise Cote that one defense will be that the Ariad tips that Nikas allegedly used to make his trades didn’t come from Lavidas, but from Darina Windsor, a former Centerview Partners LLC investment banker in London who is charged but not in U.S. custody.

While Lavidas is charged only with giving tips to Nikas about Ariad, prosecutors claim Demane-Debih provided Nikas with inside information about many companies. That suggests the Swiss banker may be a link to others accused of being in the ring.

FBI Special Agent Shannon Bieniek said in the 2017 affidavit that the government has been investigating an insider-trading network that involved residents of the U.S., U.K., France, Switzerland, Israel, Cyprus, Greece and Hong Kong since 2013. Shares of pharmaceutical companies were bought and sold before important news releases were issued, Bieniek said. Some media reports were “manufactured by the participants in the scheme,” she said.

In addition to Lavidas, Nikas and Windsor, U.S. authorities have charged Goldman Sachs investment banker Bryan Cohen with passing confidential information. Cohen, who’s free on bail and on leave from the bank, is scheduled to go on trial in Manhattan Feb. 4. He denies wrongdoing.

The U.S. also charged Joseph El-Khouri, a securities trader and avid poker player who lives in London and Monaco. He’s free on bail in London while fighting extradition to the U.S. Another defendant is Benjamin Taylor, a former Moelis & Co. investment banker who lived with Windsor in London.

Lavidas, a U.S. citizen, has been in jail since his arrest. Cote considered him a flight risk and rejected an elaborate $26 million bail package.

Trading in Ariad was based around four stock-moving events, which helped generate the illicit profit for Nikas, according to the government.

In June 2013, Lavidas allegedly told Nikas that the Ariad board had learned that one of its drugs, Iclusig, was going to be approved by the European Commission. Nikas bought thousands of shares and profited when the news was made public and Ariad shares surged 12%.

In September and early October 2013, Lavidas told Nikas that the Food and Drug Administration had concerns about Iclusig’s safety, according to the government. The stock fell 67% when the FDA’s concerns were reported.

Then, in November or December 2013, Lavidas gave Nikas a heads-up on an FDA decision to let Iclusig back on the market, which touched off a 16% increase, the U.S. claims. In July 2015, Nikas traded before public reports of a potential acquisition of Ariad that sent its stock up 41%, prosecutors said.

The case is U.S. v. Lavidas, 19-cr-716, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York (Manhattan).

Saudi Aramco faces tough test less than a month after IPO #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30380220?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Saudi Aramco faces tough test less than a month after IPO

Jan 07. 2020
Yasir Al-Rumayyan, chairman of Saudi Arabian Oil Co. (Aramco), speaks during a news conference in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, on Nov. 3, 2019. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by Mohammed Al-Nemer.

Yasir Al-Rumayyan, chairman of Saudi Arabian Oil Co. (Aramco), speaks during a news conference in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, on Nov. 3, 2019. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by Mohammed Al-Nemer.
By Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg · Filipe Pacheco

Saudi Aramco’s status as an oil-producing behemoth located in one of the world’s most turbulent regions always marked it as likely to suffer bouts of volatility.

But few could have expected the stock to face so stern a test less than a month after the company’s historic $25.6 billion initial offering.

The world’s most profitable company extended declines Monday after dropping to its lowest closing price yet a day earlier, as the U.S. killing of Iran’s most prominent general last week triggered fresh concern of a wider conflict in the Gulf region. The move suggests that rising oil prices — Brent crude has climbed above $70 a barrel for the first time since May on a closing basis — aren’t necessarily a boon for the energy giant.

Aramco fell 0.1% to 34.50 riyals on Monday, narrowing its gain since it listed on Dec. 11 at 32 riyals to 7.8%. It tumbled 1.7% Sunday.

While Aramco has performed better than Saudi Arabia’s benchmark Tadawul index this week, the sudden rise in geopolitical tension comes just as the end of the stabilization period for the shares nears.

“The risks will remain over the near term as both the United States and Iran aim threats at one another,” said Jameel Ahmad, a markets analyst at FXTM in London. The drop in Aramco shares “is a natural reaction to the coordinated risk aversion that has swept global sentiment since the events at the end of last week.”

The missile attack that killed Iran’s General Qassem Soleimani in Iraq, ordered by U.S. President Donald Trump, was a reminder of the risks of investing in the region. In September, Saudi Arabia’s oil production was cut by half after a swarm of explosive drones struck some of its most important production facilities. The U.S. and Saudi Arabia blamed Iran for the attack, while Yemen’s Houthi rebels claimed responsibility.

Aramco was back pumping 9.9 million barrels a day just one month after the attacks and the company pressed ahead with what was to be the world’s biggest IPO.

At the time of the sale, many foreign investors cited geopolitical risk as reasons to stay away from the shares, and considered them too expensive. Even after this week’s fall, Aramco has a valuation of $1.8 trillion, easily the highest among listed companies.

Aramco still has some built-in protection because the shares are mostly in the hands of those used to regional politics, mitigating selling pressure at times of tension. Saudi government institutions invested almost $2.3 billion in the IPO. The government also relied heavily on ordinary Saudis and funds from neighboring Gulf Arab monarchies to ensure the success of the offering.

On top of that, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is acting as share-stabilizing manager for the offering until the end of this week and can buy shares as part of that. It also has the right to exercise a so-called greenshoe option of 450 million shares, which would normally be used if the stock was rising too fast. No price-stabilization transactions had been executed as of Dec. 31, according to a statement from Aramco.

“Very few active managers are in the stock and most shareholders are either government-related entities, quasi-passive or passive,” said Marwan Haddad, senior portfolio manager at Emirates NBD Asset Management in Dubai. “Therefore volatility would be low unless an actual attack takes place, which we believe has a low probability. Moreover, as the oil price goes up, downside risk falls.”

Citi’s investment bank plans to hire 2,500 coders this year #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30380218?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Citi’s investment bank plans to hire 2,500 coders this year

Jan 06. 2020
Signage is displayed outside a Citigroup Citibank branch in Chicago on Oct. 12, 2019. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by Daniel Acker.

Signage is displayed outside a Citigroup Citibank branch in Chicago on Oct. 12, 2019. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by Daniel Acker.
By Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg · Viren Vaghela, Jenny Surane 

Citigroup plans to recruit 2,500 programmers this year for the unit that houses its traders and investment bankers, bulking up on coders and data scientists as technology reshapes the business.

Roughly three-quarters of the company’s trade orders last year were electronic, according to Stuart Riley, global head of operations and technology for the bank’s Institutional Clients Group. The ICG arm will add programmers in locations from New York to Chennai, India.

The hires reflect “what we are building in technology and why we are focused on making salespeople and traders more effective at servicing our clients,” Riley said in an interview at Citigroup’s Canary Wharf office in London. “Technology is augmenting what humans do by making better use of data.”

Global banks are investing billions in a race to apply technologies that make front-office staff more efficient and keep clients trading. Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase are among other firms that are hiring as computer specialists change the face of trading floors across Wall Street.

JPMorgan spends $11 billion on technology every year, while New York-based Citigroup budgets roughly $8.5 billion, or about 20% of total expenses. Bank of America Corp. has said it spends approximately $10 billion on technology, with about $3 billion of that going to new projects.

Citigroup has started reaping the benefits of those investments in recent years, saying they’ll help save as much as $600 million in 2020. The bank, which already has 23,000 technology specialists in its ICG business globally, said the new roles will be in London, New York, Shanghai, Toronto, Dublin, Tel Aviv, Pune and Chennai in India, and Tampa, Florida.

Tech giants are already waging a battle for talent in Citigroup’s hometown. Facebook Inc. said it’s planning to hire more than 3,000 people over the next three to five years in New York City, while Amazon.com Inc. announced plans to lease space in Manhattan that will house 1,500 workers.

Citigroup’s new recruits will work on projects including solutions in equities and fixed income, according to Riley. The bank has already used its tech teams to automate news, analytics, pricing and trade ideas for salespeople by drawing on their message exchanges with clients, Riley said.

About two years ago, the bank had 30 spaces for a Python coding class and was inundated with requests, according to Riley. It now has 1,600 front-office staff trained in the computer language.

Lalin looks to fifth consecutive year of outperforming market #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30380203?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Lalin looks to fifth consecutive year of outperforming market

Jan 06. 2020
Chaiyan Chakarakul, the company's executive chairman

Chaiyan Chakarakul, the company’s executive chairman
By THE NATION

Lalin Property announced today (January 6) its 2020 business plan, aiming to outgrow the industry’s average performance for the 5th consecutive year.

Lalin Property announced today (January 6) its 2020 business plan, aiming to outgrow the industry’s average performance for the 5th consecutive year.

The company plans to launch 9 to 11 projects this year with a total value of Bt5 billion to Bt5.5 billion.

Sales target is set at Bt6.2 billion with Bt5.25 billion in estimated revenue realisation, or a 13-per cent growth year on year.

In 2019, Lalin achieved revenue recognition of approximately Bt4.64 billion, a 13.2 per cent increase from the previous year.

Chaiyan Chakarakul, the company’s executive chairman, shared his views on the overall situation of the residential property market in Thailand last year, saying that the market, especially that of the vertical housing property, had been sluggish due to a slowdown of the global and local economies, high level of household debt, and the loan-to-value (LTV) measure of the Bank of Thailand to rein in speculation.

These factors negatively affected the vertical market of which demand came from investors and speculators, more than the horizontal market.

However, Lalin has always been assessing the market and has long foreseen this risk. The company, therefore, stopped developing condominium projects two years ago and is now focusing on horizontal projects which are a source of real demand.

This timely adaptation allows the company to grow amid the stagnant real estate market.

In 2020, it expected the Thai economy to expand by the same rate as last year or slightly better, or plus or minus 3 per cent.

The supporting factors are stable low interest rate, larger government investment after the delay in 2019, various measures to stimulate the property market, and policies to encourage Thai people to buy their residences through low-interest loans from government banks.

The company is hopeful that these factors will boost the residential property market in the first quarter of 2020 while entrepreneurs will stimulate purchases through intensive marketing activities.

It is estimated that the horizontal real estate market in 2020 will grow by 2-4 per cent.

The company’s business direction in 2020 will focus on ‘real demand’ of the residential horizontal market with plans to launch more projects in new high-potential locations and to replace existing projects that will gradually be closed down.

Churat Chakarakul, Deputy Managing Director, added that Lalin strives to be one of the top 3 brands in consumers’ mind when it comes to low-rise housing in the price range of Bt2–6 million.

The company has set a land acquisition budget of Bt1 billion to Bt1.2 billion, coming from company cash flow and accumulated profits. The working capital, aside from the cash flow, will come from the issuance of debentures and short-term loans from financial institutions.

Most CEOs downbeat on Thai economy 2020, survey finds #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30380196?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Most CEOs downbeat on Thai economy 2020, survey finds

Jan 06. 2020
By THE NATION

Many chief executive officers did not expect Thailand’s economy would improve this year, citing global economic uncertainties, according to the “CEO Survey” of 100 individuals, conducted by Krungthep Thurakit newspaper in December last year.

Around 68.4 per cent of the respondents did not expect the economy to improve this year, while 31.6 per cent was of the opinion that the economy would fare better this year.

Of those who did not expect an improvement, 29.6 per cent said the economy was expected to slow down, while 25.5 per cent expected flat growth.

Meanwhile, 40.2 per cent of the respondents said the digital disruption would pose a challenge to business this year.

Of the total, 81.6 per cent said they would go ahead with business plans while 51.5 per cent would focus on developing business platforms for new revenue sources.

Why 2020 is harder to predict than 2019 was #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30380219?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Why 2020 is harder to predict than 2019 was

Jan 07. 2020
Whatever your view, recent trends are not necessarily helpful in making predictions.

Whatever your view, recent trends are not necessarily helpful in making predictions.
By Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg Opinion · Tyler Cowen · OPINION, OP-ED 

My main prediction for 2020, if it can be called a prediction, is trend exhaustion: For the first time in a long while, several important trends have come to an end.

What do I mean by that? Trends ebb and flow, of course, but at any given moment many of them embody one of two distinct states: momentum, or reversion to the mean. The first is a continuation of past progress, either upward or downward. The second is a movement back toward “normal,” however that may be defined.

Now, in an especially wide variety of areas, neither of these conditions is prevalent. Start with the U.S. job market. Since the end of the recession, employment has been improving quite steadily. That has been great for the country, but with unemployment now at 3.5%, does that trend have much further to run? I am not pessimistic about the U.S. economy, but I would say that the direction of the next jobs report is now harder to predict than it used to be.

How about relations with China? For the last few years, it has been fairly easy to predict that U.S.-China relations will continue to get worse. But with a new U.S.-China trade deal due to be signed later this month, this is no longer such a sure bet. I tend to think the deal will not stick, and perhaps could create new terms for intensified conflict, but there is a decent chance the negative momentum has been reversed. Whatever your view, recent trends are not necessarily helpful in making predictions.

Chinese economic growth is yet another major issue where past trends seem to have been drained of their informative value. For a long time, a good and indeed continually verified prediction was this: “The Chinese economy will continue to grow at a rapid clip.” After that, “Chinese economic growth will slow down” did well for a number of years.

Today there are mixed signals. On one hand, corporate debt problems seem to be getting worse. On the other, there are signs the Chinese economy may be stabilizing. You could argue this one either way, but looking at recent trends isn’t going to settle it.

Or you might have thought that India was the obvious new candidate for economy on the rise. And maybe it still is. But it turns out a lot of Indian economic data was falsified or exaggerated, and the true Indian growth rate may be closer to 4% than 6% or 8%. Once again, the (ostensible) past trend turns out not to be so informative.

Similarly, the potential trend of Africa as the “next big thing” has not (yet?) been crystallized into a consistent series of economic growth numbers. The economies of Ghana and Ethiopia are doing quite well, but elsewhere on the continent growth rates have disappointed; the largest African economy, Nigeria, grew at only about 2% last year.

Another big trend has been the rise of right-wing populist parties in many countries. That has been a pretty solid prediction for a few years, but now there is evidence that those parties are no longer growing more popular. Will they retreat, as mainstream parties adopt their agendas, or is this just a slight pause? Again, I would say the previous trend has been exhausted and this is a new and hard-to-predict moment.

Another recent trend, the proliferation of new #MeToo cases and an accompanying rise in publicity, may also be losing momentum. Figures such as Jeffrey Epstein and Harvey Weinstein have receded from the news. Could this issue come back with another major celebrity-linked scandal? Absolutely – but it also might have cooled off for a while. The prediction that there will be more #MeToo cases is no longer so easy.

Are there examples of contrary cases, where an important preexisting trend still seems very much in force? Well, carbon emissions will almost certainly get worse before they get better. When it comes to temperatures, however, the global data have exhibited periodic flat periods or even declines before renewed rises. So at least in the short run, predictability there is not so great either.

One implication is that the coming year may hold an especially large number of surprises. Alternatively, rational people (and readers of Philip Tetlock, who has studied the difficulty of forecasting the future) might discard their hubris and not be very surprised at all.

In any case, it is a scary moment. Past performance is not indicative of future results, as they say on Wall Street, and that may be even more true in 2020. Don’t throw out your history books, but you may want to open your mind about what happens next.

– – –

Tyler Cowen is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist. He is a professor of economics at George Mason University and writes for the blog Marginal Revolution. His books include “Big Business: A Love Letter to an American Anti-Hero.”

Stocks advance; Treasuries, dollar decline #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30380224?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Stocks advance; Treasuries, dollar decline

Jan 07. 2020
File Photo: Getty Images/ The S&P 500 rose for the third time in four sessions, erasing early losses, as investors looked past geopolitical tensions and toward the resilience of the U.S. economy. Amazon Inc. and Google-parent Alphabet Inc. paced the advance.

File Photo: Getty Images/ The S&P 500 rose for the third time in four sessions, erasing early losses, as investors looked past geopolitical tensions and toward the resilience of the U.S. economy. Amazon Inc. and Google-parent Alphabet Inc. paced the advance.
By Bloomberg · Randall Jensen, Vildana Hajric 

U.S. stocks advanced as heavyweight technology companies led a rebound. Treasuries and the dollar dropped.

The S&P 500 rose for the third time in four sessions, erasing early losses, as investors looked past geopolitical tensions and toward the resilience of the U.S. economy. Amazon Inc. and Google-parent Alphabet Inc. paced the advance.

The risk-off rally that started Friday, sparked by the U.S.-Iran conflict, lost momentum Monday. Gold retreated from the highest in more than six years and the yen fell from a three-month high versus the dollar, while 10-year Treasury yields rose to above 1.80%.

Oil also pared gains, which reached the highest since April, to trade below $63 a barrel in New York.

“It’s wait-and-see mode here,” said Steve Chiavarone, a portfolio manager with Federated Investors. “How much, if at all, do things escalate with Iran and does it ultimately impact the global economic outlook? Right now, not so much. Could it change? Sure.”

The risk-off sentiment spurred by the sudden escalation of tensions in the Middle East last week ebbed Monday as investors refocused on improving trade and better economic numbers. But the uncertainty surrounding Iran’s potential reaction to the U.S. airstrike still hung over markets.

Here are some events to watch for this week:

–Federal Reserve officials Richard Clarida, John Williams, James Bullard and Charles Evans speak on Thursday.

–The U.S. monthly employment report is due Friday.

These are moves in major markets:

Stocks

–The S&P 500 index rose 0.4% as of 4 p.m. New York time.

–The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.6%.

–The Stoxx Europe 600 index sank 0.4%.

–The MSCI Asia Pacific index fell 1.2%.

–The MSCI Emerging Market index dropped 1%.

Currencies

–The Bloomberg Dollar Spot index declined 0.2%.

–The euro increased 0.3% to $1.1192.

–The British pound gained 0.6% to $1.3163.

–The Japanese yen fell 0.3% to 108.37 per dollar.

Bonds

–The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose one basis point to 1.80%.

–The yield on two-year Treasuries increased one basis point to 1.53%.

–Germany’s 10-year yield sank less than one basis point to -0.28%.

–Britain’s 10-year yield advanced four basis points to 0.777%.

Commodities

–West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.5% to $62.71 a barrel.

–Gold gained 1% to $1,567.60 an ounce.

Commerce minister to lead trade delegation to India #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30380205?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Commerce minister to lead trade delegation to India

Jan 07. 2020
Jurin Laksanawisit

Jurin Laksanawisit
By The Nation

Thailand’s commerce minister will lead a private-sector trade delegation to India from January 16 to 20 to increase exports and expand trade channels since the large Asian country is an essential market for the kingdom.

International Trade Promotion Department director-general Somdet Susomboon said Commerce Minister Jurin Laksanawisit will take private sector representatives to Bengaluru and Hyderabad to expand trade opportunities there and seek channels for export. The trade delegation visited Mumbai and Chennai in September, helping to successfully expand trade and other activities.

With a huge population of more than 1.3 billion, India is one of the most important markets for Thailand, second only to China. According to the United Nations World Population Prospects 2019 report, by 2030, or in just 10 years, India will have a population of 1.5 billion, surpassing China. By 2040, it will have a population of 1.59 billion people. Importantly, India is a market that relies on its domestic economy and is barely affected by the trade war between the United States and China.

The department has come up with a strategic plan to continually promote exports and services to the Indian market. This is in line with the Commerce Ministry’s policy to find new markets that have the potential to replace current export markets during a global economic slowdown.

Jurin’s policy is proactive in expanding the Indian market by penetrating eight states – Maharashtra, Gujarat, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Talangana, New Delhi, West Bengal and the “Seven Sisters” states, or the northeast states.

Karnataka and Talangana are both considered India’s information technology centres, elevating businesses dealing with residences, hotels, shopping malls, and tourism, leading to increased demand for various goods and services to support the growth of urban society, as well as foreign investors.

This visit, which will see the opening of the first TopThai store on Bigbasket, the largest online grocery store in India, is also expected to witness business match-ups dealing with agricultural and industrial products such as cassava flour, rubber wood, food, fruit, construction materials, cosmetics, and more.

Euro zone edges away from stagnation as services improve #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30380223?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Euro zone edges away from stagnation as services improve

Jan 07. 2020
File Photo: Washington Post/The euro-zone economy edged gradually away from stagnation at the end of 2019 as services picked up to counter moribund manufacturing.

File Photo: Washington Post/The euro-zone economy edged gradually away from stagnation at the end of 2019 as services picked up to counter moribund manufacturing.
By Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg · Paul Gordon 

The euro-zone economy edged gradually away from stagnation at the end of 2019 as services picked up to counter moribund manufacturing.

A gauge of private-sector activity by IHS Markit climbed to 50.9 in December, slightly better than a flash estimate and holding above the 50 level between expansion and contraction. While that’s the highest in four months, it still signals the economy is floundering, with growth at the weakest in six years and manufacturing shrinking.

IHS Markit estimates that GDP rose about 0.1% in the final quarter.

An upward revision to Germany’s services measure gave the euro a boost. The single currency extended its gain and was up 0.3% to $1.1195 as of 11:14 a.m. Frankfurt time. Other markets continued to take their lead from Middle East concerns, with stocks down, and oil and gold up amid fallout from a U.S. airstrike that killed powerful Iranian general Qassem Soleimani.

The euro area has increasingly relied on spending on services to support its expansion, offsetting the slump in manufacturing that is partly due to the U.S.-China trade war and Brexit. The risk is that factory job losses will undermine the economy as a whole.

Investors have become more confident, and are the most optimistic on the euro-region economy since the end of 2018, a separate survey by Sentix on Monday showed. “The specter of recession seems to have been dispelled,” it said, though predicts only a “slight upswing” in growth.

“In the absence of any major adverse developments we expect to see growth starting to improve as 2020 proceeds,” said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at IHS Markit. “Downside risks to growth in the year ahead nevertheless remain notable.”

The PMI report had some relative bright spots. Germany returned to marginal growth after three months of contraction. Spain and France both registered solid expansions. New work increased for the first time in four months, and business optimism improved.

There was also better news from the U.K., where December’s services measure was revised up, and new orders rose the most in five months.

Italy’s private sector shrank for a second month though, registering its worst performance in almost a year. Euro-area exports fell for a 15th successive month. Payroll numbers grew at the weakest pace in five years.

Closely monitor escalating US-Iran conflict, Prayut tells state agencies #ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย

#ศาสตร์เกษตรดินปุ๋ย : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation

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Closely monitor escalating US-Iran conflict, Prayut tells state agencies

Jan 07. 2020
By THE NATION

Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha on Monday (January 6) ordered related state agencies to keep a close watch on the escalating conflict between the United States and Iran amid concern of a possible impact on the Thai economy.

Prayut is worried the conflict could affect Thailand’s energy sector.

Finance Minister Uttama Savanayana on Monday asked all the ministry’s agencies to keep a close watch on the tense situation.

He said that if need be, the government would launch a measure to cushion the impact. Therefore, the ministry’s agencies have to stay alert to the developing situation.

On Monday, Prayut ordered the Defence Ministry and Army to closely monitor and evaluate the situation between the US and Iran.

This follows a US drone strike that killed Maj-General Qasem Soleimani, the commander of Iran’s elite Quds Force, as he travelled in a convoy near Baghdad airport on Friday.

Prayut, who is also Defence Minister, ordered responsible agencies to beef up security at potential attack targets. They must also be ready to evacuate Thais overseas if the situation deteriorated, he instructed.

Labour Minister MR Chatumongol Sonakul said on Monday that he ordered Thai minister-counsellors of labour in the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia to monitor developments both in Iran and Iraq.