Catwoman Serena back in business as Nadal, Sharapova survive scares

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Serena Williams of the US plays a forehand return to Czech Republic's Kristyna Pliskova during their women's singles first round match on day three of The Roland Garros 2018 French Open tennis tournament in Paris on May 29, 2018. / AFP PHOTO / CHRIST
Serena Williams of the US plays a forehand return to Czech Republic’s Kristyna Pliskova during their women’s singles first round match on day three of The Roland Garros 2018 French Open tennis tournament in Paris on May 29, 2018. / AFP PHOTO / CHRIST

Catwoman Serena back in business as Nadal, Sharapova survive scares

sports May 30, 2018 06:42

By AFP

Serena Williams made a winning return to Grand Slam tennis which was as memorable as her body-hugging black catsuit when she reached the Roland Garros second round on Tuesday.

The 36-year-old downed Kristyna Pliskova of the Czech Republic 7-6 (7/4), 6-4 to register her first victory at the majors since her 2017 Australian Open triumph.

“I missed Roland Garros so much, I missed the battle,” Williams, the 2002, 2013 and 2015 champion, said after playing her first clay court match since finishing runner-up to Garbine Muguruza in the 2016 final on the same Philippe Chatrier Court.

“It’s been two years since I played here. It wasn’t easy but I have been training really hard. I feel good and just so happy to be back here.”

As Williams — and her eye-catching outfit — grabbed the headlines, there were wins but a few scares for 10-time champion Rafael Nadal and two-time winner Maria Sharapova.

Nadal racked up his 80th win in Paris by seeing off Italian lucky loser Simone Bolelli 6-4, 6-3, 7-6 (11/9).

Sharapova, playing the tournament for the first time in three years after missing 2016 through a doping ban and last year when she was refused a wildcard, battled from a 0-3 deficit in the final set to beat Dutch qualifier Richel Hogenkamp 6-1, 4-6, 6-3.

Williams, the winner of an Open era record 23 Grand Slam titles, had arrived at Roland Garros with just four matches under her belt in 2018, the last of which was in Miami in March.

Having been off the tour to give birth to daughter Alexis Olympia Ohanian in September, many in the sport wondered if she would still be a contender at the majors especially with her ranking at 451.

However, she gave a stinging response to the doubters on Tuesday even if her win over the 70th-ranked Pliskova tested the American.

Arriving on Philippe Chatrier Court in a black catsuit, offset with a pinkish-red waistband, Williams trailed 0/3 in the first-set tiebreaker.

The three-time champion champion then fell 0-2 behind in the second set and was forced to retrieve another break to level at 4-4.

She saved three break points in an eight-minute-plus 10th game before taking victory, setting up a second-round clash with Australia’s Ashleigh Barty.

The only consolation for Pliskova, the twin sister of world number six Karolina, was finishing with 15 aces, the most hit against Williams since such records began to be kept in 2008.

 

– Nadal ‘suffered’ –

 

World number one Nadal had been two sets up but 0-3 down in the third to Bolelli when rain caused the tie to be suspended late Monday.

He quickly levelled at 3-3 on Tuesday, saved four break points in the eighth game before saving four set points in the breaker.

The top seed eventually claimed victory on a third match point when Bolelli dumped a forehand into the net.

Nadal, bidding for an 11th title in Paris and his 17th major, next faces Argentina’s Guido Pella for a place in the last 32.

“I really suffered today but it was a good test,” said Nadal who had been in danger of dropping his first set at Roland Garros since his 2015 quarter-final loss to Novak Djokovic.

Sharapova also survived a serious scare to claim a 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 victory over Hogenkamp, ranked 133.

Sharapova, the 28th seed, will face Croatia’s Donna Vekic in the second round.

“I love the challenge of being in a Grand Slam draw and figuring out a way to win,” Sharapova said after a match that was pushed back from Monday due to thunderstorms.

The 31-year-old, five-time major champion, took just 24 minutes to win the first set of a match which was delayed from Monday due to thunderstorms, but threw away a 3-1 lead in the second.

Sharapova was staring down the barrel of falling at first hurdle in a Grand Slam tournament for the first time since the 2010 Australian Open when trailing 3-0 in the third, but the former world number one dug deep and reeled off six straight games to edge into round two.

The Russian, who was Paris champion in 2012 and 2014, fired 35 winners in her victory on Court Suzanne Lenglen.

Third seed Marin Cilic reached the second round with a 6-3, 7-5, 7-6 (7/4) win over Australia’s James Duckworth.

Fellow former US Open champion, and Argentine fifth seed, Juan Martin del Potro, a semi-finalist in 2009, recovered from a poor first set to beat Frenchman Nicolas Mahut 1-6, 6-1, 6-2, 6-4.

Canadian teenager Denis Shapovalov eased to a 7-5, 6-4, 6-2 victory over Australian John Millman in his first ever main-draw French Open match.

Third seed and 2016 champion Garbine Muguruza defeated 2009 winner Svetlana Kuznetsova 7-6 (7/0), 6-2.

World number one Simona Halep, twice a runner-up, had her opener against Alison Riske, the 83rd-ranked American, put back to Wednesday.

World champion US women unstoppable again in Bangkok

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Marie Sholzel smashes the ball to US defenders. / Nation Photo by Wanchai Kraisornkhajit
Marie Sholzel smashes the ball to US defenders. / Nation Photo by Wanchai Kraisornkhajit

World champion US women unstoppable again in Bangkok

sports May 30, 2018 01:00

By Lerpong Amsa-ngiam
The Nation

Reigning world champions United States overpowered Germany 3-0 to remain on top of the standings after the opening day of the FIVB Women’s Nations League pool 11 at the Hua Mark Indoor Stadium on Tuesday.

The tournament, previously known as the World Grand Prix, came to the third of its five week period and the US team still proved in splendid form, beating Germany 25–18 25-17 25-17 to rock up a 6-1 win-loss record in the tournament.

“We have had great relationships with the German staff for a number of years but also go into each match trying to show great respects to our opponents and execute our game plan. It doesn’t matter who is across the net as we try to play clean volleyball,” said American head coach Karch Kiraly.

German coach Felix Koslowski said: “They are really showing attractive volleyball. It’s s not so much fun playing against them but so much fun to watch. They are our idols.”

Next up for Germany in today’s night session are Thailand, who were playing the Dominican Republic at press time last night.

Louisa Lippmann of Germany 

Heading into that match Thailand had two wins and four losses from the first six of their 15 matches and were in 12th place among the 16 teams.

“Thailand has good teamwork with good serves and defence. They really deserve to play at this level,” Koslowski said.

The competition is taking place from May to July 2018 and the final round will take place in Nanjing, China.

The 16 teams are competing in a round-robin format, with every one hosting a pool at least once.

The teams are each week divided into 4 pools of 4 and play a total of 120 matches over the five weeks.

The top five teams after the round-robin will join the hosts of the final round to compete in the knockout stages.

The relegation takes in consideration only the 4 challenger teams.

The lowest-ranked challenger team plays a promotion playoff against the Challenger Cup winners. The winners of the playoff will qualify for the next edition as a challenger team.

Thailand’s dismal start at home continues losing streak to Dominicans

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Pluemjit Thinkaow attacks Dominican defenders. / Nation Photo by Wanchai Kraisornkhajit
Pluemjit Thinkaow attacks Dominican defenders. / Nation Photo by Wanchai Kraisornkhajit

Thailand’s dismal start at home continues losing streak to Dominicans

sports May 29, 2018 20:24

By Lerpong Amsa-ngiam
The Nation

Dominican Republic defied the energetic support of 4,000 fans at the Hua Mark Indoor Stadium as they thrashed the home team 3-0 in the evening session of the  FIVB Women’s Nations League pool 11  on Tuesday.

The 2015 Pan American Games bronze medalists bombarded the home team with thundering smashes and fast pace to win the match 25-21 25-22 25-20.

Thailand has won only two out of seven matches. They will play Germany on Wednesday and face a tough encounter with the US in the last match of Pool 11 on Thursday.

Thailand ‘s national coach said: “Dominican succeeded in blocking and digging. That made it hard for us to win. We had to fight hard for every point but we made too many errors.”

Dominican coach Marcos Kwiek said: “It’s important that we win three points. We have good services and defences.”

Domnican have beaten Thailand three times in a row. They also beat Thailand in last year’s World Grand Prix in the Netherlands and in Bangkok.

Russia comes under fire at UN over MH17 downing

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In this file photo taken on September 09, 2014 (FILES) In this file photo taken on September 09, 2014 shows part of the Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17 at the crash site in the village of Hrabove (Grabovo), some 80km east of Donetsk./AFP
In this file photo taken on September 09, 2014 (FILES) In this file photo taken on September 09, 2014 shows part of the Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17 at the crash site in the village of Hrabove (Grabovo), some 80km east of Donetsk./AFP

Russia comes under fire at UN over MH17 downing

Breaking News May 30, 2018 08:09

By Agence France-Presse
United Nations, United States

Russia on Tuesday rejected calls at the United Nations to accept responsibility for the downing of Flight MH17 over Ukraine after an investigation found that a Russian army missile was used in the attack.

At a Security Council meeting on Ukraine, Dutch Foreign Minister Stef Blok called on Moscow to accept the findings that the airliner was shot down by a Russian-made BUK missile provided by a brigade based in the Russian city of Kursk.

“The language of ultimatums is not something that anyone will be allowed to use when speaking to Russia,” Ambassador Vassily Nebenzia told the council meeting.

“We cannot accept the unfounded conclusion of the JIT”, the Dutch-led Joint investigation Team, he added.

All 298 people on the Malaysia Airlines flight en route from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur were killed when the missile slammed into the plane as it flew over territory held by pro-Russian rebels in eastern Ukraine in July 2014.

Responding to Nebenzia, the Dutch foreign minister said his arguments were “nothing new” and again urged Russia to work with the Netherlands and Australia to identify the perpetrators.

US Ambassador Nikki Haley voiced strong support for the Dutch and Australian call on Russia to acknowledge its role in the tragedy and help bring to account those responsible for the shooting down.

“Despite its transparent denials, there is no doubt Russia is driving the Ukrainian conflict,” said Haley.

More than 10,000 people have been killed since the Moscow-backed insurgency broke out in April 2014 following Russia’s annexation of Crimea from Ukraine.

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Pavlo Klimkin told the council that Russia’s rejection of the findings “did not surprise me at all.”

“We have no doubt that the downing of MH17 flight is a terrorist act,” he said.

Ukraine will present documents to the International Court of Justice next month showing that Russia is violating anti-terrorism agreements, he said.

Polish Foreign Minister Jacek Czaputowicz renewed his call for a peacekeeping mission to be deployed to east Ukraine and urged Secretary-General Antonio Guterres to appoint a UN special envoy for Ukraine.

Diplomats say Russia, a veto-wielding power at the council, has blocked attempts to step up UN involvement in efforts to end the conflict.

US to keep confronting Beijing in S. China Sea: Mattis

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US to keep confronting Beijing in S. China Sea: Mattis

ASEAN+ May 30, 2018 06:48

By Agence France-Presse
Aboard a US military aircraft

Defense Secretary Jim Mattis vowed Tuesday that the US would keep confronting China over its territorial claims in the South China Sea, where Beijing has established a significant military presence on contested islands.

Mattis’s remarks came after Beijing voiced “strong dissatisfaction” Sunday after two US warships sailed by an island in the disputed Paracel Island chain.

“You’ll notice there’s only one country that seems to take active steps to rebuff (such operations) or state their resentment of them, but it’s international waters and a lot of nations want to see freedom of navigation, so we will continue that,” Mattis told reporters as he flew to Hawaii.

The US Navy periodically conducts “freedom of navigation” operations in the contested waterway, where it sails close to island features China has built into military facilities as a way of showing it rejects any territorial claims.

“We are going out of our way to cooperate with Pacific nations, that’s the way we do business in the world, but we are also going to confront what we believe is out of step with international law,” Mattis said.

Sunday’s operation was conducted just over a week after Beijing flew nuclear-capable bombers to a disputed island, drawing immediate criticism from the US.

Last week, the Pentagon pulled its invitation to China to join maritime exercises in the Pacific over Beijing’s “continued militarization” of the South China Sea.

Beijing has been building artificial islands to reinforce its claim over most of the resource-rich South China Sea, despite protests from Southeast Asian countries.

Its neighbors, particularly some of those involved in maritime disputes over the waters, have expressed fears China could eventually restrict freedom of navigation and overflight.

“Our diplomats are robustly engaged on this,” Mattis said.

“The concerns have come to me not just from American government circles, but also from foreign nations that are concerned, very concerned about this continued militarization of features in the South China Sea.”

Mattis was heading to Hawaii to attend a change-of-command ceremony for the US military’s Pacific Command.

The current head, Admiral Harry Harris, has been nominated to be the new ambassador to South Korea. He will be replaced by Admiral Philip Davidson.

Mattis is then due to attend a regional security conference in Singapore.

UNGA chief upbeat, despite challenging times

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UNGA chief upbeat, despite challenging times

ASEAN+ May 30, 2018 01:00

By The Nation

As if overseeing sessions involving more than 100 nations is not challenging enough, the President of the United Nations General Assembly (PGA) Miroslav Lajcak also has to manage it within a one-year term amid a fast-changing global trend of multilateralism. The Nation’s Wasamon Audjarint spoke to Lajcak about how he saw his duty – as it has been and as it will be.

 THE HUMANITARIAN CRISIS AGAINST THE ROHINGYA IN MYANMAR’S RAKHINE STATE HAS BEEN AT THE CENTRE OF INTERNATIONAL ATTENTION IN RECENT YEARS. WHAT ROLE DOES THE UN HAVE, HOW DOES IT PLAN TO SORT IT OUT AND WHAT DO YOU THINK REGIONAL COUNTRIES SUCH AS THAILAND HAVE DONE TO REMEDY THE CRISIS?

Indeed, it is a huge human tragedy followed by everyone. It is being dealt with in the UN system as well as by the UN Security Council, whose envoys paid a four-day visit in April to Myanmar and Bangladesh, where refugee camps house hundreds of thousands of fleeing Rohingya. They talked to key people in Myanmar and stressed their [the envoys] priority was for the safe return of the refugees and guarantees about the lives of [Rohingya] people.

While Thailand has tried to be helpful by providing humanitarian assistance to the troubled area, addressing this sensitive issue is always the most important thing. The knowledge of this situation should help the UN define the right, constructive strategy. It is better to have problems based on, not from, situations.

MOVING UP TO THE KOREAN PENINSULA, WHILE POSITIVE SIGNS HAVE EMERGED AMID THE NUCLEAR TENSIONS, THE UNSC IS ALSO KNOWN TO AGREE ON RESOLUTIONS THAT SOMETIMES RESULT IN SANCTIONS AGAINST NORTH KOREA. HOW DO YOU SEE THE UN ROLE FROM NOW ON?

I’m not a big fan of sanctions. They are an instrument of last resource – sometimes inevitable and obligatory. If the process continues in the current spirit, [positive talks] could be on the table but first, we’ll have to see the results. I just hope that this moment will last and turn into a credible peace process.

TURNING TO YOURSELF, HOW HAVE YOUR EIGHT MONTHS AS THE PGA BEEN SO FAR? WHAT HAVE BEEN THE OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES, ESPECIALLY AMID A SHIFT AWAY FROM MULTILATERALISM ACROSS THE GLOBE?

I count pursuing peace, resolving conflict, migration and sustainable development goals as working opportunities for me, as the PGA. On the more challenging multilateralism, the UN, for instance, is very universal when dealing with issues and we do our best to address it in comprehensive ways as well as setting global standards.

The UN is, and should be, strong even when multilateralism is challenging. Multilateralism, to me, should determine that if there is any problem occurring between or among countries, we must be sure we are able to meet and talk to avoid conflicts.

WHAT ABOUT THE SHIFT THAT HAS SEEN EASTERN POWERS RISING TOWARDS THE LEVEL OF THEIR WESTERN COUNTERPARTS IN TERMS OF POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC INFLUENCE? HAS THIS BEEN A FACTOR IN DECISION-MAKING IN UNGA-RELATED MEETINGS?

What makes up the UNGA are five regional groups and it is up to each member state, whether small or big countries, to propose intiatives and present ideas to be agreed upon so that a formal approach can be launched and supported. While it is true that the United States is a member of the UNSC and is biggest in terms of financial support and the fact it houses the UN headquarters, it is still [currently concerned] by global migration issues and we hope that it will only be temporary.

Three dead in suspected ‘terror’ shooting in Belgian city

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  • Photo : AFP
  • Photo : AFP
  • Photo : AFP

Three dead in suspected ‘terror’ shooting in Belgian city

ASEAN+ May 29, 2018 18:19

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Liege, Belgium – A gunman shot dead three people, two of them police officers, in a suspected terror attack in the eastern Belgian city of Liege on Tuesday before being killed by elite officers, prosecutors told AFP.

The shooting occurred around 10:30 am (0830 GMT) near a high school on a major artery in the city, which lies some 90 kilometres (55 miles) east of Brussels.

Federal prosecutors took charge of the incident, which comes with Belgium on high alert after a string of attacks including twin suicide bombings in Brussels in 2016 claimed by the Islamic State group.

“There are elements that point in the direction that this is a terrorist act,” said Eric Van Der Sypt, spokesman for the Belgian federal prosecutors office.

After shooting the two police officers outside a cafe, the gunman fled to the Lycee Waha school, where he briefly took a hostage, according to officials.

The third victim was a “passerby in a vehicle” who was driving in the area, Liege prosecutors’ spokeswoman Catherine Collignon told AFP.

According to Belgian broadcaster RTBF, the shooter was released from prison on Monday and was only known for minor infractions with no known links to extremism.

Prime Minister Charles Michel said his thoughts were with the families of the victims after what he called a “serious incident”, adding that he would not give further details at this stage.

 

– ‘Horrible act’ –

 

Belgian Interior Minister Jan Jambon said Belgium’s Federal Crisis Centre was monitoring the situation.

“Our thoughts are with the victims of this horrible act. We are in the process of establishing an overview of exactly what happened,” Jambon wrote on Twitter.

The crisis centre said a security cordon had been set up around the area and urged people to stay away.

The governor of Liege province, Herve Jamar, said on Twitter that no-one was injured during the high school hostage-taking and all students were safe.

Belgium has been on high alert since the smashing of a terror cell in the town of Verviers in January 2015 that was planning an attack on police.

The Verviers cell also had links to Abdelhamid Abaaoud, the mastermind of the November 2015 Islamic State attacks on Paris that killed 130 people.

Belgium further raised its terror alert level after the Paris attack, and placed the capital Brussels on lockdown for a week.

Belgium was then hit by its own IS suicide attacks on Brussels airport and a metro station which killed 32 people in 2016.

In August of 2016 a machete-wielding man shouting “Allahu Akbar” (God is greatest)  attacked two policewomen in the industrial town of Charleroi, before being shot dead.

The country’s law enforcement agencies and intelligence services came under intense scrutiny for apparently missing a series of leads after the Paris attacks that could have led to the Brussels bombers.//AFP

Alleged mastermind of brutal petrol station murder caught in Thailand

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Alleged mastermind of brutal petrol station murder caught in Thailand

ASEAN+ May 29, 2018 17:00

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BANGKOK: After being on the run for several months, the alleged mastermind behind the brutal murder of a man at a petrol station in Johor Baaru in December last year was finally caught in Thailand.

The suspect, who is in his 40s and spotted with a large tattoo on his right arm, was apprehended by a team of Thai police officers in Chaiyaphum province, about 260km northeast of Bangkok around 7am on Tuesday (May 29).

“The man is the most sought-after suspect in the murder case. He is the alleged mastermind,” Royal Malaysian Police assistant liaison officer in Thailand Supt Ridzuan Abdul Aziz told Bernama here.

His capture by Thai following a request for assistance from their Malaysian counterpart several months ago, finally brought an end to an extensive hunt by authorities of both neighbouring countries which stretches two borders and several thousand kilometres.

They will also explain issues on the man’s impending extradition to Malaysia to face justice for his alleged crime.

In an interview with Bernama in Bangkok last January, Bukit Aman’s Criminal Investigation Department chief Datuk Seri Wan Ahmad Najmuddin Mohd disclosed that several of the suspects involved in the high-profile petrol station murder case had escaped and gone into hiding in Thailand.

The police he said, had sought cooperation from Thai police to track down the suspects and mastermind.

During the interview, the CID chief also expressed the police’s confidence on tracking down the suspects and bringing them home to Malaysia to face justice for the grisly murder.

The police according to him, got the suspects’ photos and other records of their entry into Thailand.

A video clip of the incident went viral on social media.

In the Dec 17 brutal incident, a 44-year-old man known as “Ah Chiu” was stabbed and run over by a white BMW car at Taman Pelangi petrol station.

The police swung into action and arrested several men and women suspected to be linked to the case.

The police have also charged two suspects last January, while maintaining a hunt for several other suspects who remained on the run.

Buriram United denies profiting from Bt300-m junta budget allocation

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File photo: Prime Minister General Prayut Chan-o-cha receives grand reception at the Buriram International Circuit earlier this month.
File photo: Prime Minister General Prayut Chan-o-cha receives grand reception at the Buriram International Circuit earlier this month.

Buriram United denies profiting from Bt300-m junta budget allocation

Breaking News May 30, 2018 09:12

By The Nation

Buriram’s sports racing powerhouse on Tuesday brushed aside allegations that it had agreed to receive Bt300 million in budget approved by the junta-led Cabinet.

Buriram gave a grand reception to Prime Minister General Prayut Chan-o-cha earlier this month, and the junta premier walked out on to the Buriram International Circuit to the cheers of about 30,000 people.

The scene was followed the next day by a mobile Cabinet meeting at which billions of baht worth of local development project proposals were considered.

According to a petition to Prayut from the Pheu Thai Party’s lawyer, Ruangkrai Leekitwattana, the Cabinet approved Bt100 million budget annually to support the Buriram United company to host the MotoGP World Championship from 2018 to 2020.

Buriram United denied that a single baht from this budget would go into its pockets.

“The MotoGP is held by the government with a company as a sponsor, not organiser,” the company said in a statement. “The approved budget would go to the Sports Authority to purchase the licence fee for the racing programme directly from the licence owner.”

Buriram United said that its support to the race would include providing the racing venue, staff and equipment, worth around Bt20 million per year.

SPECIAL REPORT: Reform a failure, but junta’s grip still strong

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SPECIAL REPORT: Reform a failure, but junta’s grip still strong

politics May 30, 2018 01:00

By JINTANA PANYAARVUDH
SUPALAK GANJANAKHUNDEE
THE NATION

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WITH BOTH TROOPS AND POLITICIANS FIRMLY BEHIND HIM, PRAYUT FACES FEW CHALLENGES TO HIS LONG-TERM VISION FOR THAILAND

THAILAND, after four years of junta rule, is at a historic crossroads. Opinion in the country is divided between those who want the military to retain its hold on power and those who want to send them back to the barracks.

While new political parties have spawned to back General Prayut Chan-o-cha becoming prime minister after the election, many people are adamant that the coup-maker and his military apparatus must now quit politics altogether.

The junta has exploited all means to lengthen its stay in power, but the popularity of its leaders, notably Prayut himself, is now in visible decline. Reform agendas have failed to yield positive results over the four years, either for desperately needed social reconciliation or for an ailing economy.

Reform has done nothing to alter the country’s lopsided distribution of wealth. Multiple polls have indicated that the government’s economic management has not delivered results, especially for medium- to low-income groups.

On the other hand, the rich appear to be getting richer, thanks to an uneven distribution of economic growth that has averaged nearly 4 percentage points per annum since 2014.

Big business, export-oriented industries, tourism and its related businesses were among the major beneficiaries of economic expansion during this period.

Farmers, in contrast, have been hurt by relatively low market prices for their produce over the past few years, leaving most unimpressed by government measures and economic management.

Economists see some improvement during the term of the junta-backed government but are disappointed at the paucity of its major economic reforms.

The government’s economic tsar Somkid Jatusripitak has defended his course, saying last week that GDP growth that rose to 4.8 per cent in the first quarter of this year has built added momentum for the country’s reform push. Deputy PM Somkid refrained from talking about inequality and failure of wealth distribution, instead blaming political movements for interrupting economic growth.

Reforms in education and health have suffered a similar fate, with few if any benefits felt by the people. Though there has been no drastic change to the health system under four years of National Council for Peace and Order rule, experts predict that universal coverage is set to be scrapped so that only the poorest people are covered.

Despite all this, Prayut has retained a level of support even in the Northeast, a red-shirt stronghold. Here, the military has been clever enough to recruit from among low-income rural families, winning their loyalty by providing livelihoods, says Titipol Phakdeewanich, dean of political science at the region’s Ubon Ratchathani University.

“Except for the anti-coup hardcore, many people [in the region] don’t really hate Prayut although sentiment in the social media is very strong against him,” said Titipol, citing informal research he conducted in Ubon Ratchathani and neighbouring Yasothon and Amnat Charoen.

Some government policies, such as the rice price guarantee, had benefited the locals, he added.

Military withdrawal?

Paul Chambers, a lecturer at Naresuan University, identifies three scenarios which could see the military withdraw from politics:

First, a counter-coup leading to new junta leaders who allow constitutional changes for more pluralistic democracy, along with an election sooner rather than later.

Second, a repeat of 1992’s Black May massacre of peaceful civilian demonstrators, which would tarnish the image of the junta and unite the public in favour of a return to genuine democracy.

Third, a traditional institution demanding immediate democratic reforms. Chambers did not elaborate on this point.

Concerning the possibility of a counter-coup, Wanwichit Boonprong, a political science lecturer at Rangsit University, said Prayut now enjoyed overwhelming support among the military after a decade of building up its strength. Crucially, that time has also been spent cementing a chain of command, beginning with General Anupong Paochinda’s three-year tenure as Army chief and followed by Prayut’s four years in the job and then another four as prime minister, he said. Since then all three Army chiefs – generals Udomdej Sitabutr, Teerachai Nakwanich and Chalermchai Sitthisart – have been subordinates of Prayut, he added.

“I believe Prayut has already scrutinised his successors’ records to check whether he can trust them,” Wanwichit said. “So Prayut now has complete control over the military.”

Prayut’s prospects also look strong on the political front, where many of the major political parties are ready to incorporate the junta’s strategy to consolidate military power. That leaves just a few newly launched parties, along with factions in the Pheu Thai and Democrat parties, plus a tiny group of pro-democracy activists, as the only challengers to a military seeking to extend its control over the country far into the future.

This is The Nation’s last article in a special series analysing the impact of the 2014 coup.