Macron to make biggest ECB job pick for years at Bank of France #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007095


French President Emmanuel Macron must soon make the biggest decision for years to come on the makeup of the European Central Banks policymakers: whether to reappoint the Bank of France governor.

Francois Villeroy de Galhau’s six-year term expires at the end of October, and the head of state could determine as soon as this week if he should get another stint. Alternatively, Macron — who already reshaped the ECB by successfully pushing to appoint the first female president, Christine Lagarde — might opt to revamp it even further.

With Villeroy, 62, holding the seat granted to the euro area’s second-biggest economy at the Governing Council, the decision on his future is arguably the most significant before 2026, when governments must choose a successor to Vice President Luis de Guindos.

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The case to reappoint Villeroy is that he has established himself as a safe pair of hands in France, and a distinctive and influential voice at the ECB. Taking the bolder option of a new governor has its attractions too, not least before a presidential election for an incumbent who took office on an anti-establishment ticket, and who might be keen to burnish that credential.

“The default option and the path of least resistance would be to have Villeroy for the second term,” said Frederik Ducrozet, an economist at Banque Pictet in Geneva who, as a student, attended classes taught by Villeroy at Sciences Po in Paris. “That was the case in the past, if you didn’t make any obvious mistakes.”

The Bank of France and Macron’s office declined to comment on the potential reappointment.

Villeroy, a former chief operating officer at BNP Paribas, was selected by Francois Hollande, the French president Macron served under and then forsook to run for his own election in 2017.

Rather than reappoint a male veteran of France’s bureaucracy, who is also the scion of a porcelain manufacturing dynasty, Macron could pick a woman such as OECD Chief Economist Laurence Boone, who succeeded him as an economic adviser to Hollande. She would then be the only female national governor in the 19-member euro area.

France has no shortage of other esteemed economists, including Benoit Coeure, a former ECB Executive Board member who now heads the innovation hub at the Bank for International Settlements. Macron recently appointed him to review the government’s fiscal stimulus.

Villeroy, a Strasbourg-born German speaker, has fashioned a distinctive voice for France at the ECB, one he says is rooted in pragmatism rather than a hawkish or dovish camp.

Villeroy has been largely supportive of Macron’s domestic agenda, crediting the president’s overhauls of labor laws with faster hiring, and encouraging his efforts to improve training and education. On fiscal affairs meanwhile, the governor has been less critical of French deficits than predecessors.

He has even held up his record of modernizing the two-century-old Bank of France as an example to follow as the French state responds to frustrations in public consultations after the Yellow Vest protests.

Villeroy says his overhaul increased services, cut costs, and maintained a nationwide presence while reducing headcount from more than 12,000 when he arrived in 2015 to some 9,500 last year, fewer than Germany’s Bundesbank.

“We are making what citizens asked for in the Great Debate of 2019: a skilled public service close to the people, which is high performing and accessible,” Villeroy claimed in his 2021 book entitled Rediscovering Confidence in the Economy. “It’s possible, and that’s good news.”

Published : October 06, 2021

Stocks rebound, Treasurys fall ahead of jobs data #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007094


Stocks rebounded from Mondays rout and Treasuries fell as investors assessed the state of the economy before a key payroll report Friday.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 gained — led by advances in megacap tech names — while the 10-year yield spiked to 1.53%. Investors are anxiously awaiting the latest labor market data for a signal on the Federal Reserve’s next move. An ISM reading on the U.S. services sector activity came in better than expected Tuesday, likely keeping the Fed on track to announce a pullback in bond-buying.

The gains helped ease concerns of a market correction as the S&P 500 rose back above its 100-day moving average. A wall of worry has been building amid elevated inflation, fading recovery indicators, a spreading energy crisis, and U.S. political bickering. The Nasdaq 100’s gain came after a measure of its relative strength fell to the lowest since March.

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“While some parts of the stock market have declined more than others, we still have a ways to go before reaching an actual correction in the major stock indexes,” said David Bahnsen, chief investment officer at Newport Beach, California-based wealth management firm The Bahnsen Group. “It is impossible to get overly worried about these incredibly modest market declines, which are mostly concentrated in highly overpriced technology stocks.”

The S&P 500 information technology sector is down about 6% from a high in August as rising inflation and Treasury yields have prompted a rotation out of high-growth companies trading at a premium. Meanwhile, the energy sector is up 17% from a low in September as Europe braces for a winter energy crunch. European natural gas contracts soared on Tuesday to an unprecedented 114 euros per megawatt-hour, compared with 15.49 euros in February. Crude oil in New York also gained for a fourth day.

“I think we’re going to most likely continue this pattern of pretty rapid sector shifts,” said Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab. “You’ve got these rotational corrections that have been happening under the surface, and yes, the deterioration has been more significant recently in the Nasdaq, but throughout the course of this year, you’ve seen various periods where breadth deterioration was more severe in areas like the Nasdaq or small cap.”

The latest Fed commentary ahead of the U.S. nonfarm-payrolls data came on Monday from St. Louis Fed President James Bullard who said elevated price pressures may be changing the mentality of businesses and consumers by making them more accustomed to higher inflation.

“The non-farm payrolls report will be released on Friday and will give us a sense of how the Delta variant has impacted the employment environment,” said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments. “We don’t expect the report to have a meaningful market impact; covid-19 cases are also on the decline again, and Federal Reserve communication points to reducing their market support as long as the report is ‘decent.'”

The dollar rose, rebounding from a three-day sell-off. Bitcoin extended a rally, surpassing the $50,000 mark. And equities in Europe and Hong Kong rose, while those in Japan fell.

For more market analysis, read our MLIV blog.

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

– The S&P 500 rose 1.1% as of 4:01 p.m. EDT

– The Nasdaq 100 rose 1.4%

– The Dow Jones industrial average rose 0.9%

– The MSCI World index rose 0.7%

Currencies

– The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.2%

– The euro fell 0.2% to $1.1599

– The British pound rose 0.1% to $1.3625

– The Japanese yen fell 0.5% to 111.46 per dollar

Bonds

– The yield on 10-year Treasurys advanced five basis points to 1.53%

– Germany’s 10-year yield advanced three basis points to -0.19%

– Britain’s 10-year yield advanced seven basis points to 1.08%

Commodities

– West Texas Intermediate crude rose 2.1% to $79.22 a barrel

– Gold futures fell 0.4% to $1,761.10 an ounce

Published : October 06, 2021

Cabinet okays six new special economic zones in EEC #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007093


A Cabinet meeting on Tuesday has approved the establishment of six new special economic zones in the Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC), said deputy government spokeswoman Ratchada Thanadirek.

“The move was proposed by EEC Policy Committee with an aim to utilize available areas in the EEC of 15,836 rai for industrial and trading purposes,” she said. “The project will cover the areas of 5,458 rai and use a budget of Bt300.77 billion over the period of ten years (2021-2030).”

The new special economic zones are:

  1. Rojana Laem Chabang Industrial Estate, Chonburi province (698 rai). It is expected to support modern automotive, smart electronic, aviation and logistics industries.
  2. Rojana Nong Yai Industrial Estate, Chonburi province (1,501 rai). It is expected to support modern automotive, smart electronic, aviation and logistics industries.
  3. Asia Clean Industrial Estate, Chonburi province (978 rai). It is expected to support modern automotive, smart electronic, agricultural and biotechnological industries.
  4. Egco Industrial Estate, Rayong province (421 rai). It is expected to support modern automotive, robotics, digital, aviation and logistics industries.
  5. WHA Industrial Estate, Rayong province (1,498 rai). It is expected to support modern automotive, robotics, aviation and logistics industries.
  6. Banchang Digital Innovation and High Technology Centre, Rayong province (519 rai).

The Cabinet also approved the motion to increase the areas of Thammasat University EECmd Centre, a special economic zone that serves as a medical hub in Chonburi province by 18 rai, bringing the total areas of the centre to 585 rai.
 

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Labour Ministry moves to create more jobs in EEC

Investments in EEC expected to help economy grow 5 per cent

EEC infrastructure projects 41 per cent complete

Published : October 06, 2021

By : THE NATION

TNSC predicts 12% export growth in last quarter #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/blogs/business/40007079


With the economies of most major trading partners like the US, China, European Union and Japan showing signs of recovery, the Thai National Shippers’ Council (TNSC) believes exports will grow by 12 per cent in the last quarter.

TNSC chairman Chaichan Charoensuk said if the Covid-19 outbreak can be controlled then Thailand can expect to earn up to US$22 billion from exports in the last three months of the year.

However, he warned export growth may be affected if the authorities are unable to contain the virus and fully inoculate at least 50 million people by yearend.

Another obstacle is the rising freight rate, which may remain high until the end of 2022 especially for shipments to the EU and US. Also, additional costs such as peak season surcharge (PSS) may affect the cost of goods, as will the shortage of containers and storage space.

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Published : October 05, 2021

SET rises for the second day over rising oil price #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007077


The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) Index closed at 1,624.24 on Tuesday, up 9.76 points or 0.60 per cent. Transactions totalled 88.96 billion baht with an index high of 1,626.44 and a low of 1,611.42.

The index rose for the second day running after rising almost 1 per cent on Monday.

In the morning session, Krungsri Securities predicted the day’s index would fluctuate between 1,605 and 1,625 points despite rising oil price after the Opec+ panel recommended proceeding with gradual supply hikes.

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It added that the index also gained positive sentiment from rising coal price and hopes over Thailand reopening after the domestic Covid-19 cases continued to decline.

“However, uncertainty over higher inflation that would trigger the US Federal Reserve to taper its quantitative easing and raise the interest rate sooner than expected would pressure the index’s fund flow,” Krungsri Securities said.

The 10 stocks with the highest trade value today were SVT, KBANK, AOT, TRUE, GULF, BANPU, GUNKUL, CPALL, PTTEP and PTT.

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Other Asian indices were mixed:
Japan’s Nikkei Index closed at 27,822.12, down 622.77 points or 2.19 per cent.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index closed at 24,104.15, up 67.78 points or 0.28 per cent.
South Korea’s KOSPI Index closed at 2,962.17, down 57.01 points or 1.89 per cent.
Taiwan’s TAIEX Index closed at 16,460.75, up 52.40 points or 0.32 per cent.

China’s Shanghai SE Composite and Shenzhen SE Component Indices were closed for National Day.

Published : October 05, 2021

Thailand elite cardholders offered new privileges #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007054


The Thailand Privilege Card Co is launching a new “Elite Flexible One” campaign, which will make it easier for foreigners to buy property in the country. A separate “Welcome Back to Amazing Paradise” campaign has been launched to bring back existing elite cardholders, so they can contribute to the revival of the economy.

Thailand Privilege Card Company Limited under the supervision of the Tourism Authority of Thailand (TAT), launched the “Elite Flexible One” project and “Welcome back to Amazing Paradise” campaign on Monday in a bid to respond to the government’s policy to build confidence in the eyes of foreigners amid the Covid-19 pandemic.

The elite card programme offers the opportunity to obtain a long-term multiple entry visa and affords members the right to live in Thailand for up to 20 years with selections of additional complementary services and benefits. The company revealed that there are currently 14,476 cardmembers, as of the data collected until August 31.

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The company said that the “Elite Flexible One” project has been set up to help support the real estate business to attract foreign investors, including foreigners who have purchasing power and are interested in a long-term stay in the kingdom.


The company also launched the campaign “Welcome back to Amazing Paradise” to encourage foreign members to travel to the country and stay for a long time through the Phuket Sandbox programme. The campaign is aimed to boost the tourism sector in line with the TAT strategy.

Published : October 05, 2021

Baht remains unchanged despite investors’ inflation worries #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007053


The baht opened at 33.79 to the US dollar on Tuesday, unchanged from the previous closing rate.

The Thai currency is likely to move between 33.70 and 33.90 during the day, Krungthai Bank market strategist Poon Panichpibool predicted.

Poon said that investors started to worry about inflation more due to the price increasing of crude oil or natural gas, which pressured the baht to weaken. The cost and transportation of goods will be high if the energy prices stay high with the supply chain problem. It will also cause a trade balance deficit and current account deficit.

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The baht is also supported by the gold price increasing which causes investors to sell. 

However, the baht will not strengthen clearly soon in the short term.
 
Poon added that the baht might test the key resistance level of 34.00 to the dollar if the dollar strengthens. The dollar might strengthen if the employment data from NFP on Friday is great.

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Published : October 05, 2021

Gold price up for second consecutive day #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007050


The price of gold surged by THB250 in morning trade on Tuesday.

AGold Traders Association report at 9.31am said the buying price of a gold bar was THB28,150 per baht weight and selling price THB28,250, while the buying and selling price of gold ornaments is THB27,636.68 and THB28,750, respectively.

At close on Monday, the buying price of a gold bar was THB27,900 per baht weight and selling price THB28,000, while gold ornaments were THB27,394.12 and THB28,500, respectively.

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The spot gold price on Tuesday morning hovered around US$1,764 (THB59,640) per ounce after Comex gold at close on Monday rose by $9.2 to $1,767.6 per ounce due to support from the depreciation of the US dollar, including buying gold as a safe-haven asset after the fall of the US stock market.

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The Hong Kong gold price, meanwhile, rose sharply by HK$120 to $16,410 (THB71,267) per tael, the Chinese Gold and Silver Exchange Society reported.

Published : October 05, 2021

SET expected to fluctuate despite the rise in oil price #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007049


The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) Index rose by 0.44 points or 0.03 per cent to 1,614.92 on Tuesday morning, witnessing a high of 1,617.09 and a low of 1,611.42 in opening trade.

Krungsri Securities predicted the day’s index would fluctuate between 1,605 and 1,625 points despite rising oil price after the Opec+ panel recommended proceeding with gradual supply hikes.

It added that the index also gained positive sentiment from rising coal price and hopes over Thailand reopening after the domestic Covid-19 cases continued to decline.

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“However, uncertainty over higher inflation that would trigger the US Federal Reserve to taper its quantitative easing and raise the interest rate sooner than expected would pressure the index’s fund flow,” Krungsri Securities said.

It also recommended buying of the following companies’ shares as an investment strategy:

▪︎ PTT, PTTEP, TOP, PTTGC, SPRC and IVL, which benefit from rising oil price.

▪︎ Banpu and Lanna, which benefit from rising coal price.

▪︎ AOT, KBank, SCB, BBL, CPN, CRC, HMPro, AAV, BA, MINT, Amata and WHA, which benefit from the country reopening.

The SET Index closed at 1,614.48 on Monday, up 9.31 points or 0.58 per cent. Transactions totalled 78.69 billion baht with an index high of 1,619.62 and a low of 1,610.96.

Published : October 05, 2021

Oil Fuel Fund in deficit over Bt17 billion #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40007048


The Oil Fuel Fund is currently in deficit for over Bt17 billion due to liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) subsidy scheme that will last until December this year, said Energy Minister Supattanapong Punmeechaow on Monday after a meeting with the Energy Policy Administration Committee that he chairs.

The scheme has been using a budget of Bt1.4 billion per month to fix the LPG price at Bt318 per 15kg. canister since March 2020 in a bid to help alleviate people’s financial burden. Only LPG for household use will be subsidised.

“The committee has agreed to separate the LPG’s and oil fuel’s accounts from each other to efficiently manage the Oil Fuel Fund,” he said. “It is also planning to propose to the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC) to approved additional budget from the government’s Bt500 billion emergency loan, which should help the scheme to continue from October 2021 up to January 2022.”

Supattanapong further added that he has tasked EGAT (Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand) and PTT Plc to find an alternative for liquefied natural gas (LNG) that has been used as a fuel for domestic electricity generating after the price of LNG in global spot market has increased by $32-34 per million BTUs. “The Ministry will try to keep the cost of electricity generating low as much as possible to avoid creating burden to electricity users,” he added.
 

Published : October 05, 2021