Corporate Americas $50 billion promise to confront racial justice shows limits of power to catalyze change #SootinClaimon.Com

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Corporate Americas $50 billion promise to confront racial justice shows limits of power to catalyze change


After the murder of George Floyd ignited nationwide protests, corporate America acknowledged it could no longer stay silent and promised to take an active role in confronting systemic racism.

From Silicon Valley to Wall Street, companies proclaimed “Black lives matter.” JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon adopted the posture of former NFL quarterback Colin Kaepernick’s protests against police brutality and took a knee with bank employees. McDonald’s declared Floyd and other slain Black Americans “one of us.”

Now, more than a year after America’s leading businesses assured employees and consumers they would rise to the moment, a Washington Post analysis of unprecedented corporate commitments toward racial justice causes reveals the limits of their power to remedy structural problems.

Apple and AbbVie, Facebook and Pfizer, Johnson & Johnson and Procter & Gamble, and other top corporations made broad claims about what they would do, pledging to be a force for societal change and to fight racism and injustice, including violence against Black Americans.

Where and how they dedicated their money became the most visible signs of their priorities.

To date, America’s 50 biggest public companies and their foundations collectively committed at least $49.5 billion since Floyd’s murder last May to addressing racial inequality – an amount that appears unequaled in sheer scale.

Looking deeper, more than 90% of that amount – $45.2 billion – is allocated as loans or investments they could stand to profit from, more than half in the form of mortgages. Two banks – JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America – accounted for nearly all of those commitments.

Meanwhile, $4.2 billion of the total pledged is in the form of outright grants. Of that, companies reported just a tiny fraction – about $70 million – went to organizations focused specifically on criminal justice reform, the cause that sent millions into the streets protesting Floyd’s murder by a Minneapolis police officer.

The $4.2 billion in grants, to be disbursed over as long as a decade in some cases, represents less than 1% of the $525.6 billion in net income earned by the 50 companies in the most recent year, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence.

“Corporations are not set up to wield their power for the greater good as much as we give them credit for, a lot of times,” said Phillip Atiba Goff, a professor at Yale University who co-founded the Center for Policing Equity. “They are constrained by things they feel they need to do to manage their brand in a world where Black liberation does not have consensus.”

It will be difficult to assess whether corporations deliver measurable results. There is no single entity tracking the corporate promises. Nor are corporations required to report on where all of their money is going or its impact.

“Because these are pledges, there isn’t any one entity that will be holding these organizations accountable,” said Una Osili, an associate dean at Indiana University who leads the research and publication of Giving USA, the annual report of American philanthropy. While Osili is hopeful about the corporate efforts, she added: “I wonder about the follow-through – whether the will be there in three to four years to continue to lift up these issues.”

The Post analyzed data provided by 44 of the 50 most valuable companies, along with public statements and company reports, to track pledges made after May 2020 to charitable organizations as well as loans and investments.

So far, 37 companies have confirmed disbursing at least $1.7 billion of the $49.5 billion pledged. Seven of the companies that provided data on their racial justice commitments refused to outline how much they had already spent.

The analysis shows that public companies are devoting the most resources to promoting upward economic mobility for Black people, through increased opportunities for homeownership, entrepreneurship and education.

Among the investments aimed at narrowing the racial wealth gap is the $28 billion in housing and business loans in Black and Latino communities that JPMorgan Chase has pledged, with the goal of moving 40,000 families into homeownership over the next five years. PayPal is investing $500 million in Black and Latino financial institutions and venture capital funds. Google is donating $50 million to historically Black colleges and universities to increase Black representation in the tech sector.

“Education is a fairly noncontroversial, conservative impulse in terms of corporate donations,” said Robert E. Weems Jr., a professor of business history at Wichita State University, “when in fact George Floyd as a catalyst specifically had to do with criminal justice and policing.”

In the new commitments to racial justice since Floyd’s death, the companies are expanding beyond traditional philanthropy, incorporating racial justice initiatives in their regular course of business. In addition to the external financial commitments analyzed by The Post, the companies said they are diversifying their workforces up to the highest-paid C-suite jobs as well as increasing their purchases of goods and services from Black-owned businesses.

Profit-driven corporations will not propel transformational change with money alone, experts say. That will require corporate and government policy changes aimed at addressing the historic destruction of Black wealth, said Mehrsa Baradaran, a law professor at the University of California at Irvine whose research focuses on financial inclusion and the racial wealth gap.

“The answer to these massive problems is not in capitalism doing better or more. It’s not going to come from philanthropy. It’s not going to come from promises. It’s got to be a policy change,” said Baradaran, who has informally advised companies on impact investing.

“We don’t want just benevolent billionaires and nicer, softer, more-woke monopolies. We want an economic structure that allows for more mobility, and we don’t have that.”

Homeownership

At a new Chase branch in south Minneapolis, home lending advisers have begun scanning for-sale listings in Black and Latino neighborhoods, looking for properties where they could erect yard signs advertising $5,000 home buyer grants.

The grants, created to defray down payment and closing costs, are central to JPMorgan Chase’s $8 billion nationwide effort to boost Black homeownership by tens of thousands of families over the next five years in hopes of increasing generational wealth.

But the initiative by the United States’ largest bank would make only a tiny dent in a systemic problem fueled by the industry’s long history of lending discrimination. Some economists and civil rights advocates warn that it could even widen racial disparities because it explicitly targets place – not race.

That risk is especially salient in a city such as Minneapolis, which has the country’s biggest homeownership gap – 27% of Black families own homes compared to 76% of White families, according to an Urban Institute analysis of 2019 Census data.

Banks are allowed under federal civil rights law to create what’s known as Special Purpose Credit Programs to increase lending to Black consumers and other disadvantaged groups if their normal lending practices result in racial disparities.

But banks tend to craft such credit assistance programs very conservatively to avoid legal challenges – to the point where the intended beneficiaries may not always benefit the most, said Lisa Rice, president and chief executive of the National Fair Housing Alliance who serves on JPMorgan Chase’s consumer advisory council.

JPMorgan Chase’s home buyer grants are available to anyone who qualifies for a loan to buy a home in Black and Latino neighborhoods regardless of race, allowing White borrowers with more wealth than Black borrowers to access the same financial benefits. Civil rights experts say that could have the unintended effect of further increasing gentrification and displacement.

“If the problem that JPMorgan Chase is trying to solve is the wealth gap between Blacks and Whites, then they need to be aware of the fact that their strategy in Minneapolis might not get us where we need to go,” said Samuel L. Myers Jr., an economist at the University of Minnesota whose research examines the effectiveness of race-neutral remedies to racial inequality.

Bank officials say they are closely monitoring internal data on grant recipients for signs of gentrification and are prepared to adjust the program if necessary.

To make a significant difference, the homeownership grants should be tied to Black borrowers – not just majority-Black neighborhoods, some civil rights advocates and housing attorneys say.

JPMorgan Chase officials say matching financial incentives to census tracts that are predominantly Black or Latino – even if beneficiaries may be White – is the closest the bank could legally get to targeting race.

“The banks are being very judicious because they don’t want to be accused of reverse discrimination,” said Rice, who is pushing federal regulators to issue better guidance outlining how lenders can legally use race in special credit programs to boost Black homeownership. “I’ve had long conversations with JPMorgan Chase. They would like to do more. They need the regulatory framework in order to do that, and we are working to make that happen.”

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau issued an advisory in December clarifying that banks could craft credit programs designed to specifically benefit Black consumers and encouraging lenders to do so given existing racial disparities in the credit market.

Expanding homeownership depends on a complicated mix of borrowers’ savings, income and credit scores combined with the availability of credit – all of which are affected by the practice of targeting Black borrowers for subprime loans and decades of redlining, when banks denied Black borrowers or charged them more to purchase homes in minority neighborhoods.

Rice and Myers recommend that banks analyze their own lending data to discover the top reasons for loan denials to Black borrowers – then devise credit programs that address issues such as racially biased credit scoring and appraisals that undervalue homes in Black neighborhoods.

Nationally, Black applicants were more than twice as likely as Whites to be denied conventional home-purchase loans in 2019, and Black borrowers who did receive loans were charged higher rates, according to the CFPB.

JPMorgan Chase’s racial equity commitment includes $8 billion for 40,000 new mortgages and $4 billion for 20,000 refinances over the next five years. The $12 billion combined would represent a 28% increase over the bank’s home lending to Black and Latino borrowers from 2019, when $8.7 billion of the nearly $85 billion in home loans it originated went to Black and Latino borrowers, according to JPMorgan Chase.

(The bank is also allotting $14 billion in financing for affordable rental housing, $2 billion in small-business loans and more than $1 billion for philanthropy.)

“This is our largest lending commitment to Black and Latino communities,” said Mark O’Donovan, chief executive officer of home lending at Chase who is overseeing the initiative. “When you look at household formation trends in the next 10 years, there are massive opportunities in these demographics.”

Bank of America, meanwhile, has pledged an additional $15 billion toward expanding homeownership to at least 60,000 low- and moderate-income families over the next five years. Borrowers will be eligible for below-market fixed interest rate mortgages with no down payments or closing costs and grants of up to $17,500. Neither the race of the borrower nor the neighborhood is taken into account – only the income levels for the person and area, but the bank expects Black borrowers to benefit substantially because many low- and moderate-income neighborhoods are also predominantly Black.

Nationally, the 30 percentage point difference between Black and White homeownership amounts to about 5 million households. JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America account for just over 6% of the market share for home mortgage originations. Combined, their initiatives would only reach about 100,000 households over five years.

Wells Fargo, which represents nearly 5% of the market share, had made a $60 billion lending commitment in 2017 to increase the number of Black homeowners by at least 250,000 over 10 years. So far, the bank says it has made $18.6 billion in mortgages to 72,758 Black borrowers.

“These are loans they were supposed to make if they didn’t discriminate,” William E. Spriggs, a Howard University economist and chief economist to the AFL-CIO, said of the Black homeownership commitments by the nation’s banking giants. “This is small by comparison given their moral deficit and given what they make.”

JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Wells Fargo have previously settled claims for charging Black and Latino home buyers higher rates than White borrowers with similar financial profiles. All three banks had denied the allegations of discrimination.

JPMorgan Chase officials said they decided to set 40,000 additional home loans to Black and Latino borrowers as a realistic target after an analysis of census tract demographics, credit scores and bank branch presence.

To help reach the goal, the bank has begun opening branches in lower-income communities where residents have traditionally relied on payday lenders, rendering themselves credit invisible even if they made timely payments.

At the Chase branch in south Minneapolis, which opened last fall two miles from where George Floyd was killed, community lending advisers market the $5,000 grants at free home-buying seminars and through local real estate agents and nonprofits.

Experts say the grants could help borrowers who have the income to cover monthly mortgage payments but not enough in savings for a down payment. But the availability and terms of the mortgage loans offered by JPMorgan Chase – especially interest rates – will be critical to determining the impact of the initiative.

JPMorgan Chase declined to outline how many Black families have already obtained mortgages, details about the types of loans being made or the demographics of home buyers receiving down payment grants, saying the bank plans to report on its progress in the fall.

“The nation has seen these commitments be made very publicly, and we are waiting to see what these commitments result in,” said Tawanna Black, founder and chief executive of the Center for Economic Inclusion, a Twin Cities-based nonprofit that has advised JPMorgan Chase on its Minneapolis expansion. “Because it was spurred by George Floyd’s murder, how will this community change because of it?

“How will life be different in five, 10 years as a result?”

– – –

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WASHINGTON, DC - JUNE 6: Civil rights advocates march in Washington, D.C., June 6, 2020, to mourn black lives taken by Police brutality. George Floyd, an unarmed black man was killed in police custody late May. His death prompted continuing and mostly peaceful mass demonstrations across the U.S. MUST CREDIT: Photo by Astrid Riecken for The Washington PostWASHINGTON, DC – JUNE 6: Civil rights advocates march in Washington, D.C., June 6, 2020, to mourn black lives taken by Police brutality. George Floyd, an unarmed black man was killed in police custody late May. His death prompted continuing and mostly peaceful mass demonstrations across the U.S. MUST CREDIT: Photo by Astrid Riecken for The Washington Post

Black banks

The deposits started soon after George Floyd’s death: tens of millions of dollars from some of America’s largest companies to a small Black-owned credit union in Mississippi.

First came $10 million from Netflix, followed this year by $10 million each from PayPal and Nike, along with smaller deposits from Thermo Fisher Scientific and other corporations.

“We pretty much went from $0 to $54 million in corporate deposits over the past year,” said Bill Bynum, chief executive and founder of Hope Credit Union.

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The influx of corporate deposits to Black-owned banks and other financial institutions – more than $1 billion in all from the 50 companies surveyed by The Post – is supposed to enable the undercapitalized banks, historically founded to serve Black people, to make more home and small-business loans in low-wealth communities.

But the cash and corporate goodwill come with complications. Some banks were unable to absorb all the money that corporations wanted to deposit. Many Black banks lack the shareholder equity required by regulators to cover potential losses and protect deposits, which customers can withdraw at any time.

So what these banks need most is equity – long-term investments that allow them to take on more deposits that they then use to make loans.

Without additional equity, Bynum said, Hope Credit Union is limited in its ability to lend to Black families across the Deep South who are shut out from the traditional banking system. Residents in communities without access to banks and credit unions – nearly a third of Black neighborhoods nationwide, compared to just a tenth of White ones – are instead more likely to rely on predatory lenders who charge exorbitant rates for mortgages, car notes and emergency loans, research shows.

“Deposits are great, but they should be matched by a 10% contribution of equity capital,” Bynum said. “That will enable Black banks and credit unions to absorb more deposits and put them to work.”

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Many companies remain reluctant to invest the equity that banks need to mitigate risk.

“That wasn’t going to work with what we were given authority to do and what works for our business,” Netflix treasurer Shannon Alwyn said. While she said Netflix has no plans to withdraw its deposits, having that option is important. “For us, liquidity was definitely a factor.”

Her colleague Aaron Mitchell, human resources director at Netflix Animation Studio, began researching the possibility of investing in Black banks last spring, before Floyd’s murder, when he saw the disproportionate impact of the coronavirus pandemic on Black-owned businesses. He and his colleagues read “The Color of Money: Black Banks and the Racial Wealth Gap,” and spoke with the author, UC-Irvine law professor Mehrsa Baradaran, about how Black banks have been systemically starved of the capital they needed to thrive.

Two days after Floyd was murdered, Mitchell emailed Netflix CEO Reed Hastings and proposed that the entertainment giant move $100 million – approximately 2% – of its cash holdings into Black banks.

“That sounded like a meaningful number,” Mitchell said. “And looking at the amount of cash we had, it was a small enough number not to cause too many alarm bells.”

Six weeks later, Netflix transferred $10 million to Hope in a rolling three-month certificate of deposit, the company’s first deposit into a Black bank. It has since expanded its efforts beyond Black banks, moving an additional $60 million into financial institutions that support Black communities.

Few companies outside major banks such as JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Wells Fargo are making equity investments in Black banks, Bynum said. The big banks are expected by law to meet the credit needs of underserved communities, and regulators consider their record of doing so when evaluating applications for mergers, acquisitions and branch openings.

And so Bynum is turning to a U.S. Treasury program launched this spring aimed at injecting $9 billion in capital into minority and community lenders.

Bynum said he plans to apply for $108 million in U.S. Treasury funds – which would quadruple Hope’s equity. That would allow Hope to expand lending in impoverished communities across the Black Belt, offering a more affordable alternative to subprime lenders.

“The role of government is closing opportunity gaps that market forces like corporations are not equipped to adequately serve,” Bynum said. “When the market fails, government should step in. And the market has historically failed – and continues to fail – communities of color.”

When CEOs began issuing public statements in response to Floyd’s murder, Bynum had reached out to Dan Schulman, president and chief executive of PayPal, with whom he had previously traveled the country promoting a documentary about the impact of payday lending.

PayPal ultimately committed $400 million to Black- and Latino-focused financial institutions, including deposits of $10 million in Hope and $50 million in Optus, a Black-owned bank in Columbia, S.C.

Franz Paasche, one of the PayPal executives who oversaw the initiative, said the company went out of its way to structure its deposits to be helpful to Black banks. For example, PayPal directly deposited only $10 million in Optus Bank last year, with the remaining $40 million temporarily deposited in $250,000 chunks in other banks – and earning interest for Optus – until Optus was able to raise enough equity to add another $20 million to its balance sheet in July.

Dominik Mjartan, Optus president and chief executive, said he used to spend at least an hour explaining the value of Black banks to potential investors – if they even bothered returning his calls.

“Post-George Floyd that conversation is 30 seconds. You now have enough enlightened White folks who at least pretend they believe in this work. And that’s awfully meaningful to us. I don’t even question their motives. I say, ‘Yes! We’re here,’ ” said Mjartan, a White longtime community banking executive who became an investor and CEO of Optus four years ago.

Now, some of the money even comes unsolicited. But he worries the newfound interest in Black banks won’t last.

“What happens in three years if everyone calls their money back and meanwhile I’ve made a bunch of 10-year loans to Black-owned businesses on Main Street?” he said. “What a bank like ours needs is patient investors. You cannot reverse a 400-year legacy of carefully constructed systemic racism with a two- or three-year deposit.”

– – –

Criminal justice

Corporate executives called out rogue officers for repeatedly perpetrating horrific crimes against Black Americans. They condemned excessive use of force by police in Black communities. And they committed to addressing disparities in the criminal justice system.

Despite their strong statements after George Floyd’s murder, companies hesitated to pour vast sums into the core issue that sparked last summer’s racial justice demonstrations.

Compared to their support for economic mobility, they pledged much lower amounts to groups focused on criminal justice and police reform, including those connected to Black Lives Matter, the most visible movement addressing police brutality.

The issue of criminal justice reform – governed by the public sector, with less clear paths for results – may simply be too new or too divisive for corporate America, experts said.

Companies that did contribute appear more willing to put money toward efforts to change habitual offender laws and reduce cash bail than police reform, said Darren Walker, president of the Ford Foundation and with whom CEOs have consulted widely on their responses to Floyd’s murder.

“Black Lives Matter involves more issues around policing,” Walker said. “It’s a more combustible issue.”

At least 36 companies gave to criminal justice or civil rights organizations, but the donations added up to a small proportion of the total grants.

Corporations pledged only 2%, or $70 million, of the grants identified in The Post’s analysis to organizations that focused specifically on criminal justice – such as the Equal Justice Initiative, a nonprofit focused on ending mass incarceration and wrongful convictions, which drew donations from at least 18 companies.

They pledged another 2% of their donations to broad civil rights groups such as the NAACP Legal Defense and Educational Fund and the National Urban League, which work on voting rights, economic opportunity and education, as well as criminal justice reform.

Just eight of the 50 companies – Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Oracle, Coca-Cola, PepsiCo and Qualcomm – disclosed contributions to nonprofits directly connected to the Black Lives Matter movement – a decentralized social movement that includes groups such as local Black Lives Matter chapters, the Movement for Black Lives and the Black Lives Matter Global Network Foundation.

Companies are saying “we understand the business piece, we understand the education piece, but we don’t understand the piece around criminal justice and police reform and we want to learn more,” said Bruce Haynes, whose communications firm, Sard Verbinnen & Co., advised companies after Floyd’s murder.

The issue may simply be too polarizing, he said. “There’s just much less of a consensus in our society about what police reform ought to look like and how far it should go.”

Cisco CEO Chuck Robbins tweeted in June last year that the tech company would be donating $5 million to a handful of racial justice groups, including Black Lives Matter. “We need ACTION to eradicate racism, inequality, and injustice,” Robbins wrote. “This is just the beginning.”

A year later, the company has yet to donate to Black Lives Matter.

“After further consideration and assessing where we’d have the biggest impact, Cisco committed funding to several social justice organizations including NAACP Legal Defense Fund and Equal Justice Initiative,” Shari Slate, Cisco’s chief inclusion and collaboration officer, said in a written statement.

Other companies said they chose to give to long-standing partners rather than groups specifically affiliated with the Black Lives Matter movement.

Leaders within the Movement for Black Lives, a national network of more than 150 organizations, said they did not seek corporate donations – and even declined some – because they did not want the movement to be used by corporations seeking to bolster their brands.

“Many of these companies pledging to give money to racial justice efforts exploit Black workers and extract wealth from Black communities, which goes directly into the pockets of their wealthy stakeholders,” said Charles Long, who helps oversee fundraising at Movement for Black Lives.

The Black Lives Matter Global Network Foundation, which has described itself as a fundraising and grantmaking entity of the movement, declined to comment for this story.

Melina Abdullah, a Pan-African studies professor at California State University at Los Angeles and co-founder of the Los Angeles chapter of Black Lives Matter, said she would have liked to see more corporations “push the envelope on racial justice.”

“Saying Black Lives Matter is one thing,” she said, “but saying we gave money to Black Lives Matter might mean something else.” She said that while Black Lives Matter is focused on transforming policing, it also gave out grants to Black-owned businesses and Black Americans impacted by covid-19. “What if corporations had said, ‘You know what, we’re going to team up with them?’ We could have given away far more,” Abdullah said.

Among the firms that detailed their donations toward criminal justice, Microsoft pledged $51 million – the most of any company – including $250,000 to the Black Lives Matter Global Network Foundation.

The company also expanded a 2017 criminal justice initiative to include funding for a national network of violence prevention offices. Microsoft’s efforts have grown to seven full-time employees and partnerships with nearly two dozen nonprofits.

“The technology community is keenly aware of the over-incarceration in this country, in part because they are younger, more libertarian, and they view the idea of incarceration with skepticism,” Walker said.

Google parent Alphabet donated $6 million toward criminal justice reform, including $1 million to the Movement for Black Lives and $1 million to the Center for Policing Equity.

Susan Burton, co-founder of the Formerly Incarcerated Convicted People and Families Movement, said her group received its largest corporate gift ever following Floyd’s murder – a $1 million unsolicited donation from Nike’s Jordan Brand and Michael Jordan that accounts for nearly a fifth of the group’s annual operating budget. The money helped to pay fines and fees for formerly incarcerated individuals as well as register them to vote.

Yet she often found the grant application process for racial justice pledges announced by other corporations unclear and says she believes causes like incarceration are still “too far of a reach” for some companies.

Some companies said donations do not account for all the ways they have advocated for criminal justice reform over the past year. The Business Roundtable, which represents the CEOs of more than 200 companies, has dedicated nearly 20% of its advocacy budget to pushing for bipartisan legislation on police reform, a BRT spokeswoman said.

The BRT in April also launched a coalition focused on giving adults with criminal records a chance at employment, with major employers such as Walmart and JPMorgan Chase starting to recruit formerly incarcerated workers.

At AT&T, which led the BRT’s police reform initiative launched last summer, efforts by legislative and public affairs staff members to advance police reform policy have become part of their performance evaluations. AT&T’s Western region president, Ken McNeely, said teams of employees and outside lobbyists testified in hearings, wrote letters and met with lawmakers in 21 states where legislation to reform policing has since passed.

“Our financial contributions to support police reform is but a slice of the pie,” McNeely said. “We actually took a more direct route: Filing testimony or a letter of support in our name – using our brand – is in many instances more impactful than giving money to a third party.”

– – –

WASHINGTON, DC - AUGUST 03: Brandon Williams, center, who is the nephew of George Floyd speaks to Senator John Cornyn (R-TX) on Tuesday August 03, 2021 in Washington, DC. They were meeting with lawmakers for a police reform bill. MUST CREDIT: Photo by Matt McClain/The Washington PostWASHINGTON, DC – AUGUST 03: Brandon Williams, center, who is the nephew of George Floyd speaks to Senator John Cornyn (R-TX) on Tuesday August 03, 2021 in Washington, DC. They were meeting with lawmakers for a police reform bill. MUST CREDIT: Photo by Matt McClain/The Washington Post

Education

The elite historically Black colleges and universities in Atlanta attracted a corporate windfall after George Floyd’s murder, benefiting from more than $46 million of the nearly $345 million that America’s biggest companies pledged to HBCUs and other minority-serving institutions.

Bank of America gave $10 million to launch the Center for Black Entrepreneurship at Spelman and Morehouse colleges, along with other grants. Apple pledged $25 million for a 50,000-square-foot academic center and business incubator in the Atlanta University Center, whose virtual classes will be accessible to any HBCU student.

And Google in June announced a $50 million donation aimed at building the notoriously low Black representation in the tech industry, allotting $5 million each to Spelman and Clark Atlanta University.

The colleges in the Atlanta University Center weren’t the only high-profile Black institutions that drew outsize corporate attention. Companies surveyed by The Post pledged more than $8 million to Howard University, which is the wealthiest HBCU to report an endowment, at $712 million, to the National Association of College and University Business Officers. Other colleges whose endowments rank among the top 10 HBCUs – North Carolina A&T State University and Florida A&M University – drew at least $12 million and $7 million, respectively.

(Even the top HBCU endowments still trail the average 2019 university endowment of nearly $1.4 billion reported by U.S. News and World Report.)

The infusion of corporate dollars into well-known Black institutions deepens the long-standing gap between wealthier schools and lower-profile ones that have historically drawn little corporate support.

Companies identified grants to more than 50 of the 101 accredited HBCUs. At least 22 of those schools received less than $100,000 – mostly for campus improvements sponsored by Home Depot.

“Just like in all of higher education, those that are the most well-known with the largest endowments get the most money. It would be nice to have a little more parity,” said Walter Kimbrough, president of Dillard University, a small liberal arts HBCU in New Orleans.

Dillard received just under $500,000 in corporate gifts, including a $125,000 grant from PayPal to research and propose policy solutions to the racial wealth gap and a $200,000 grant from Verizon for esports development and scholarships.

Corporations look to invest in HBCUs with degree programs that fit their talent needs – often larger institutions with broad research infrastructure, said Terrell Strayhorn, provost at Virginia Union University, where he is also the director of the Center for the Study of HBCUs. He has fielded many calls from corporations over the past year seeking input on the top schools in certain research areas.

It can be challenging for corporations to build relationships with smaller schools that lack the resources to invest in marketing, Strayhorn said. “We’re going to have to think about that as a sector because it’s only going to continue to widen the gap between the haves and the have-nots among HBCUs.”

Corporate donations are often earmarked for specific programs, an understandable instinct for businesses, Strayhorn said. But he said it would help if more of the philanthropy suddenly flowing to HBCUs came without restrictions, such as the $560 million in grants that billionaire MacKenzie Scott, the former wife of Amazon founder and Washington Post owner Jeff Bezos, made to HBCUs last year. Schools are best positioned to know their students’ needs, whether that means building an on-campus child-care facility, overhauling the library or providing transportation for students, Strayhorn said.

HBCUs are engines of social mobility to the Black middle class. Although HBCUs represent only 3% of all U.S. universities, they confer 17% of bachelor’s degrees (and a quarter of the STEM degrees) earned by Black Americans, according to a recent McKinsey report crediting HBCUs for vaulting many low-income students into the top quintile of income earners.

At Dillard, three-quarters of the students are eligible for Pell Grants, federal aid reserved for the most low-income students.

Beyond direct aid to universities, companies also gave to several larger umbrella efforts to strengthen HBCUs: Cisco committed $100 million for networking, security and collaboration technology, Thermo Fisher Scientific dedicated $25 million to expand campus coronavirus testing, and Wells Fargo donated $5.6 million for financial literacy campaigns.

In addition, corporations contributed $29 million to scholarship programs directly benefiting HBCU students such as the United Negro College Fund.

Some institutions say they are starting to see their financial fortunes turn with donations that – while not on the scale of the money flowing to the big-name schools – are among the largest some have ever received from corporations, according to administrators who oversee fundraising.

The law school at North Carolina Central University in Durham received a $5 million pledge from Intel to fund a tech policy center. Intel is expected to help develop curriculum, establish certificate programs and a patent trademark boot camp, provide internships, and recruit from the law school, said Gia Soublet, vice chancellor of institutional advancement.

Fundraising from corporate donors more than tripled to $4.2 million in the second half of 2020 at Louisiana’s five-campus Southern University System, the only Black university system in the country, said Alfred Harrell, CEO of the Southern University System Foundation in Baton Rouge.

Anthony Holloman, the vice president of university advancement at Fort Valley State University in Georgia, said he believes that recent corporate pledges to HBCUs have encouraged private donors to give to lesser-known schools like his, where fundraising has doubled over the past year.

Chevron’s $1.1 million gift last fall amounts to more than double the company’s previous annual donations in its long-standing support for students pursuing careers in geosciences, Holloman said. Private donors followed with a $250,000 gift and another worth nearly half a million dollars, he said.

“When the corporate money starts to come,” he said, “that raises the ante for anyone of significant means.”

Published : August 26, 2021

Thailand’s private sector joins ‘Race to Zero’ ahead of global climate summit #SootinClaimon.Com

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https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40005262

Thailand’s private sector joins ‘Race to Zero’ ahead of global climate summit


Thailand’s business world got in training this week to cut carbon ahead of the UN’s COP 26 climate conference in November. The “Race to Zero: Meet the World’s Race to Zero Heroes for Climate Action” guided more than 400 public and private-sector organisations on practical steps towards the goal of net-zero carbon emissions.

Thailand’s business world got in training this week to cut carbon ahead of the UN’s COP 26 climate conference in November.


The “Race to Zero: Meet the World’s Race to Zero Heroes for Climate Action” guided more than 400 public and private-sector organisations on practical steps towards the goal of net-zero carbon emissions. 


Led by the UN’s Global Compact Network Thailand (GCNT), the technical webinar helped businesses take transformational action in setting climate targets by bringing together experts, sharing best practices, and providing tools for transition to net-zero emissions.


Noppadol Dej-Udom, secretary-general of GCNT and chief of sustainability for Charoen Pokphand (CP) Group, said the event will help the private sector step up against climate change, after the “code-red for humanity” warning delivered by the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report. Business-as-usual was no longer an option, which is why GCNT has made building climate preparedness and adaptation among its members a top priority, Noppadol said. 

Thailand’s private sector joins ‘Race to Zero’ ahead of global climate summitThailand’s private sector joins ‘Race to Zero’ ahead of global climate summit

Gita Sabharwal, UN Resident Coordinator in Thailand, explained that the private sector, which generates nearly 9 in 10 jobs and contributes to over 80 per cent of the country’s GDP, has an undeniable leadership role and responsibility. Although traditionally environmental spending is seen as a cost burden to the economy, a recently published IMF Paper suggests that green spending can be a green multiplier contributing between 2 to 7 times more than conventional multipliers. This is precisely why it is so critical to create an enabling environment for a green economy and business sustainability, she added. 


“I am pleased that the private sector in Thailand is taking such bold initiatives to be climate champions, with some companies already aiming to be carbon neutral over the coming decade,” said Sabharwal.

Thailand’s private sector joins ‘Race to Zero’ ahead of global climate summitThailand’s private sector joins ‘Race to Zero’ ahead of global climate summit

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Said Jens Radschinki, Regional Lead of the UN climate change convention office in Bangkok:
“Ambitious government commitments and country action is needed. To be consistent with the 1.5C-degree goal, global greenhouse gas emissions need to decline by around 45 per cent by 2030. Ahead of us lies a fundamental transformation of our economy, and private sector needs to play a key role in setting science-based targets to reduce GHG emissions.”


Businesses need a common baseline to keep their climate goals in reach, acknowledged Race to Zero members Moh Suthasiny from Happy Grocers and Dan Pathomvanich from NR Instant Produce. They shared their zero-emission targets as well as advice on raising ambition and concrete action.

Thailand’s private sector joins ‘Race to Zero’ ahead of global climate summitThailand’s private sector joins ‘Race to Zero’ ahead of global climate summit

Published : August 25, 2021

By : The Nation

First day of school indefinitely postponed for 140 million first-time students around the world – UNICEF #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/pr-news/business/40005251

First day of school indefinitely postponed for 140 million first-time students around the world – UNICEF


At least eight million of these young learners have been waiting for over a year.

Achild’s first day of school—a landmark moment for the youngest students and their parents around the world—has been delayed due to COVID-19 for an estimated 140 million young minds, UNICEF said in a new analysis released as summer break comes to end in many parts of the world.

For an estimated eight million of these students, the wait for their first day of in-person learning has been over a year and counting, as they live in places where schools have been closed throughout the pandemic.

In Thailand, too many young children entering the first grade have missed out on months of in-person instruction, and primary and secondary-age students are also absent from classrooms due to prolonged school closures in many parts of the country following the third and worst wave of COVID-19 that began in April.

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First day of school indefinitely postponed for 140 million first-time students around the world – UNICEFFirst day of school indefinitely postponed for 140 million first-time students around the world – UNICEF

“The first day of school is a landmark moment in a child’s life setting them off on a life-changing path of personal learning and growth. Most of us can remember countless minor details what clothes we wore, our teacher’s name, who we sat next to. But for millions of children, that important day has been indefinitely postponed,” said UNICEF Executive Director Henrietta Fore. “As classes resume in many parts of the world, millions of first graders have been waiting to see the inside of a classroom for over a year. Millions more may not see one at all this school term. For the most vulnerable, their risk of never stepping into a classroom in their lifetime is skyrocketing.”

The first grade sets up the building blocks for all future learning, with introductions to reading, writing, and math. It’s also a period when in-person learning helps children gain independence, adapt to new routines, and develop meaningful relationships with teachers and students. In-person learning also enables teachers to identify and address learning delays, mental health issues, and abuse that could negatively affect children’s well-being.

In 2020, schools globally were fully closed for an average of 79 teaching days. However, for 168 million students, after the pandemic began, schools were shuttered for nearly the entire year. Even now, many children are facing an unprecedented second year of disruption to their education. The associated consequences of school closures – learning loss, mental distress, missed vaccinations, and heightened risk of drop out, child labour, and child marriage – will be felt by many children, especially the youngest learners in critical development stages.

First day of school indefinitely postponed for 140 million first-time students around the world – UNICEF

First day of school indefinitely postponed for 140 million first-time students around the world – UNICEF

Seven in 10 children and young people reported poorer mental health due to the impact of COVID-19 on their lives in a 2020 UNICEF-led survey in Thailand. Following school closures, more than half said they were worried about their studies, and future education and employment.

While countries worldwide are taking some actions to provide remote learning, at least 29 per cent of primary students are not being reached. In addition to lack of assets for remote learning, the youngest children may not be able to participate due to a lack of support using the technology, a poor learning environment, pressure to do household chores, or being forced to work.

In Thailand, nearly half of all households surveyed in a 2020 study by the National Statistical Office were not ready for online learning. Fifty-one per cent did not have access to devices for online learning; 26 per cent did not have internet access for online learning; and 40 per cent of parents and caregivers said they did not have time to oversee their children’s online learning.

Studies have shown that positive school experiences during this transition period are a predictor of children’s future social, emotional and educational outcomes. At the same time, children who fall behind in learning during the early years often stay behind for the remaining time they spend in school, and the gap widens over the years. The number of years of education a child receives also directly affects their future earnings.

UNICEF urges governments to reopen schools for in-person learning as soon as possible, and to provide a comprehensive recovery response for students. Together with the World Bank and UNESCO, UNICEF is calling for governments to focus on three key priorities for recovery in schools:

Targeted programmes to bring all children and youth back in school where they can access tailored services to meet their learning, health, psychosocial well-being, and other needs;

Effective remedial learning to help students catch up on lost learning;

Support for teachers to address learning losses and incorporate digital technology into their teaching.

“Your first day of school is a day of hope and possibility—a day for getting off to a good start. But not all children are getting off to a good start. Some children are not even starting at all,” said Fore.” We must reopen schools for in-person learning as soon as possible, and we must immediately address the gaps in learning this pandemic has already created. Unless we do, some children may never catch up.”

Published : August 25, 2021

PAT sets up field hospital, community isolation centre in Khlong Toei #SootinClaimon.Com

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https://www.nationthailand.com/pr-news/business/40005248

PAT sets up field hospital, community isolation centre in Khlong Toei


PAT executives greeted Metropolitan Electricity Authority (MEA) executives, who were visiting the projects as their agency is responsible for installing the electricity system.

Afield hospital and community isolation (CI) centre are being set up at the Warehouse Stadium in Bangkok’s Khlong Toei area, under a Port Authority of Thailand (PAT) order.

On Monday, PAT executives greeted Metropolitan Electricity Authority (MEA) executives, who were visiting the projects as their agency is responsible for installing the electricity system.

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PAT sets up field hospital, community isolation centre in Khlong ToeiPAT sets up field hospital, community isolation centre in Khlong Toei

The field hospital and CI centre will serve PAT staff and locals infected with Covid-19. The field hospital has 240 beds and the CI centre has 60 beds.

Along with MEA, several other organisations are supporting the projects, namely the SCG foundation, PTTOR, Metropolitan Waterworks Authority and Khlong Toei district office.

MEA deputy governor Jaturong Suriyasasin said that his organisation was grateful to take part in the projects, and was confident that electricity services in the hospital and CI centre will be sufficient.

Published : August 25, 2021

C.P. adjusting to post-pandemic world – focuses on collaborations and overseas expansions #SootinClaimon.Com

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https://www.nationthailand.com/pr-news/business/40005176

C.P. adjusting to post-pandemic world – focuses on collaborations and overseas expansions


Unveils four strategies for post-pandemic world. Adopting ‘Platforms of Opportunity’ business model to collaborate with more Thai businesses to reach into new overseas markets

Charoen Pokphand Group (C.P. Group) Chief Executive Officer Mr. Suphachai Chearavanont, today, announced corporate business strategies to prepare for the post-pandemic world that will focus one of Thailand’s most diversified business enterprises with over 400,000 staff on accelerated overseas expansion and alliances with other Thai businesses.

Mr. Chearavanont said that the COVID-19 pandemic has “transformed the business environment, catastrophically affecting SMEs in Thailand, and at the same time also creating very large international corporations, some of which are now valued at more than the GDP of many of the world’s countries.”

He said that both of these developments “affect Thailand’s global competitive standing as well as the health of its local economy by weakening its backbone of SMEs.”

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According to Mr. Chearavanont, C.P. Group will drive four strategies that include “accelerating its investments; accelerating the pace at which the group goes global; simplifying group structures of companies for added agility and speed; as well as creating commercial platforms to increase collaboration with other businesses and growers, especially in penetrating overseas markets.”

“We must not scale back investments because of the pandemic, but, on the contrary, accelerate current and new projects as a way of creating new jobs and new contracts, especially for the more than 1.2 million SMEs and small-holder farmers with which we collaborate directly and indirectly.

“The spending of the group’s various businesses should have a flow-through effect into many communities and businesses of all sizes, combined with the almost two billion baht the group has donated for assistance since the beginning of the pandemic,” he said.

Overseas investments are also being accelerated and he expects “multiple large initiatives to progress rapidly this year that can increase the footprint of Thai businesses in international markets.”

Mr. Chearavanont said that there would also be simplification of some complex group structures of companies that are organised in 14 business groups.

“We want to enable our companies to make faster decisions on joint initiatives in a world that demands great speed,” he said.

“We must accelerate the pace at which we go global.   And we must help other Thai businesses go global with us.” – Suphachai Chearavanont, CEO C.P. Group“We must accelerate the pace at which we go global. And we must help other Thai businesses go global with us.” – Suphachai Chearavanont, CEO C.P. Group

Mr. Chearavanont added that the most important initiative in preparing for the post-pandemic world is for C.P. Group companies to “go beyond creating, producing or selling products and services, to also becoming platforms that empower SMEs and other businesses to develop new opportunities for growth in Thailand and globally.”

As a part of a programme that he called the creation of ‘Platforms of Opportunity,’ Mr. Chearavanont said that C.P. Group is developing systems that will help other Thai businesses and growers enter foreign markets by working together with C.P. Group companies.

“When any Group company succeeds in establishing itself in an overseas market, it should also help tens, hundreds, or maybe even thousands, of Thai SMEs, or farmers, or other producers to go into those markets. SMEs are generally unable to afford the risks and difficulties of trying to enter international markets. And often, they cannot succeed against the entrenched commercial networks of those countries. If we consolidate their collective capabilities on any of our commercial platforms, we can give them the power of much larger companies and help them obtain the market access that only the largest Thai corporations can secure in foreign countries. It will unlock enormous, new economic potential that will bring added prosperity to millions, while also reinforcing the C.P. Group’s footprint internationally through a win-win arrangement.”

Mr. Chearavanont said that the ‘Platforms of Opportunity’ business model is one of the best ways to strengthen Thailand’s interests in the new, post-pandemic world because “it empowers and mobilises on the global stage the capabilities of tens of thousands of SMEs and other Thai enterprises.”

“Thai companies must collaborate on a level they’ve never done before to create a collective power that can protect Thailand’s place in the future global economy. Just as the world’s giant companies in the United States or Europe or China or Japan or Korea support and strengthen their home countries and home companies while also adding value to their host countries, so, too, must we do the same, in accordance with our Three-Benefit Principle. The Principle states that the consideration of benefits should be, first and foremost, to our country of investment, second to the community, and lastly to the company, in that order,” he said.

Published : August 24, 2021

Gold drops in Thai, HK markets amid slide in Comex price #SootinClaimon.Com

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https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40005290

Gold drops in Thai, HK markets amid slide in Comex price


The price of gold in Thailand dropped by THB50 on Thursday morning.

AGold Traders Association report at 9.28am said the buying price of a gold bar was THB27,700 per baht weight and selling price THB27,800, while gold ornaments were priced at THB27,197.04 and THB28,300, respectively.


At close on Wednesday, the buying price of a gold bar was THB27,750 per baht weight and selling price THB27,850, while gold ornaments were THB27,257.68 and THB28,350, respectively.


Spot gold on Thursday morning was moving at around US$1,790 (THB58,640) per ounce after Comex gold dropped by $17.50 to $1,791 per ounce at close on Wednesday, under pressure to sell gold as a safe-haven asset after the US stock market rose for several days in a row. Investors, meanwhile, are monitoring the US Federal Reserve annual meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyoming from August 26-28 for indicators of its monetary policy direction.

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Hong Kong gold price dropped by HK$60 to $16,620 (THB69,945) per tael, the Chinese Gold and Silver Exchange Society reported.

Published : August 26, 2021

Fed meeting tempers positive sentiments driving SET #SootinClaimon.Com

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https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40005288

Fed meeting tempers positive sentiments driving SET


The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) Index rose by 1.21 points, or 0.08 per cent, to 1,601.70 on Thursday morning.

The SET Index closed at 1,600.49 on Wednesday, up 13.51 points or 0.85 per cent. Transactions totalled THB92.93 billion with an index high of 1,601.09 and a low of 1,588.37, as the SET rose for the fourth straight day.

Krungsri Securities expected the index on Thursday to rise to between 1,608 and 1,615 points amid positive sentiment of the Centre for Covid-19 Situation Administration considering easing lockdown measures and a plan to administer 100 million Covid-19 vaccine doses on citizens today.

It added that the index also gained positive sentiment from foreign funds inflows for the third straight day in response to the SET’s “Thailand Focus 2021” virtual conference, which is being held until Friday.

“However, investors’ mass sell-offs of stocks to prevent risk before the US Federal Reserve’s annual meeting would pressure the index,” Krungsri Securities said.

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It recommended selective buying as an investment strategy:

▪︎ AOT, CPN, CRC, HMPRO, AAV, BA, MINT, CENTEL, AMATA and WHA, which would benefit from the country’s reopening.

▪︎ PSL, TTA and RCL, which would benefit from a rise in freight rated.

▪︎ PTT, PTTEP, TOP, PTTGC and BANPU, which benefit from rising oil price.

Published : August 26, 2021

Baht expected to strengthen quickly in the short term #SootinClaimon.Com

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https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40005287

Baht expected to strengthen quickly in the short term


The baht opened at 32.71 to the US dollar on Thursday, unchanged from Wednesday’s closing rate.

The Thai currency is likely to move between 32.60 and 32.80 during the day, Krungthai Bank market strategist Poon Panichpibool said.

Poon expected the baht to strengthen in the short term amid hopes of an economic recovery.

The government might ease lockdown measures and foreign investors might invest in Thai stocks because the situation was stable and might be resolved soon.

Foreign investors also bought short-term bonds to gain profit from the currency.

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He said the weakening dollar had led to Asian currencies strengthening.

The dollar’s trend will be clear after the US Federal Reserve moves to decrease quantitative easing at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium.

He said the baht had strengthened quickly because exporters had sold dollars, as they were surprised by the baht’s rebound.

The baht might slow down close to its support level of 32.50 to 32.60 to the US currency. The baht might strengthen to 32.25 if the baht went lower than its support level.

Poon was worried about the Covid-19 situation in Thailand, as he was not sure if the spread of the virus had been contained because enough proactive testing was not being done.

Poon added that the baht was likely to fluctuate and weaken as the situation was not clearly better.

Published : August 26, 2021

Markets wrap: Stocks extend gain as not that many bears left #SootinClaimon.Com

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https://www.nationthailand.com/blogs/business/40005269

Markets wrap: Stocks extend gain as not that many bears left


U.S. equities were higher on a quiet day of trading ahead of the Federal Reserves Jackson Hole symposium later this week.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 gained on Wednesday, with both indexes topping record highs. The financial and energy sectors led the gains as Treasury yields and crude oil advanced. Meanwhile, stocks in Europe drifted while a gauge of Chinese tech names struggled to extend a rally.

“There are not that many bears left,” Irene Tunkel, chief U.S. equity strategist at BCA Research, said by phone. Pullbacks like last week’s are becoming “shallower and shallower” as more people buy the dip, she said. “There is very, very strong buy-the-dip mentality.”

Company earnings, expanding vaccinations and support from monetary policy have helped repair sentiment in the face of climbing delta variant cases. However, the pace of the Fed’s plans to begin tapering its asset purchase program remains a key overhang, which traders seek to get more clarity on when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell speaks virtually on Friday.

Fiona Cincotta, a senior financial markets analyst at City Index, said investors have been “flip flopping” over whether the Fed will make a taper announcement, with current consensus expecting the Fed to delay an announcement until later in the autumn, given the rising covid cases.

Investors are hoping to gain more insight into the Fed’s thinking on monetary stimulus amid a takeoff in inflation but still-mixed economic reports. The latest data Wednesday showed orders placed with U.S. factories for business equipment unexpectedly stalled in July, marking a pause in a months-long buildup in capital investment.

“Visibility into getting enough product to satisfy demand is a challenge. Managing one’s own rising cost pressures and labor shortages are another,” said Peter Boockvar, Bleakley Advisory Group chief investment officer, noting the recovery’s uncertainty. “On the other hand, for those thinking longer term, capital investments must take place.”

WTI crude oil gained, adding to Tuesday’s best two-day rally since November 2020. Gold fell below $1,800. The dollar was little changed.

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Here are some events to watch this week:

– Bank of Korea policy decision; briefing by Governor Lee Ju-yeol Thursday

– Fed officials attend the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium from Thursday through Saturday

– U.S. GDP, initial jobless claims Thursday

– July U.S. personal income and spending data Friday. Investors will scrutinize the personal consumption expenditures price index, an inflation measure closely watched by the Fed.

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Some of the main moves in markets:

– – –

– The S&P 500 rose 0.2% as of 4 p.m. New York time

– The Nasdaq 100 was little changed

– The Dow Jones industrial average rose 0.1%

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– The MSCI World index rose 0.2%

– – –

– The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed

– The euro rose 0.1% to $1.1771

– The British pound rose 0.2% to $1.3760

– The Japanese yen fell 0.3% to 109.99 per dollar

– – –

– The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced five basis points to 1.34%

– Germany’s 10-year yield advanced six basis points to -0.42%

– Britain’s 10-year yield advanced six basis points to 0.60%

– – –

– West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.1% to $68.30 a barrel

– Gold futures fell 0.9% to $1,792.90 an ounce

Published : August 26, 2021

For Fed taper, forget when it starts. Its the end that matters. #SootinClaimon.Com

#SootinClaimon.Com : ขอบคุณแหล่งข้อมูล : หนังสือพิมพ์ The Nation.

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40005265

For Fed taper, forget when it starts. Its the end that matters.


These days, all the talk in financial markets is about when the Federal Reserve will start paring its debt purchases. Whats more important, for everything from stocks to bonds to currencies, is when they will end.

There have been few major moves ahead of the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank’s virtual Jackson Hole symposium, where Chair Jerome Powell on Friday may provide insight into how and when officials will start pulling back its bond market support. That will set the timetable for how soon the Fed will raise interest rates.

The stakes are high, with the gusher of cash awash in the financial system driving U.S. stocks to record highs and Treasury yields holding just above six-month lows. Pulling back too quickly could derail the economic recovery just as the surge in the delta variant is posing a new risk. Moving too slowly could fuel the inflation pressures unleashed by the reopening from the pandemic.

“The key for markets is how quickly the Fed removes the accommodation, because that dictates how soon until we have none, which then translates into when the first rate hike comes,” said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader who founded “The Sevens Report” newsletter.

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The Fed is currently buying $80 billion a month in Treasuries and $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities, which the bank is expected to wind down before it raises interest rates. It has said it will hold those purchases steady “until substantial further progress has been made toward its maximum employment and price stability goals.”

When the Fed unwound a similar $85 billion-a-month program in the aftermath of the last recession, it took 10 months. The reductions were announced in December 2013 and began the following month, with the Fed detailing cuts by $10 billion at each policy-setting meeting, divided evenly between Treasuries and mortgage bonds. The Fed wrapped up all the buying in October 2014 and went on to lift rates in December 2015 after keeping them steady for seven years.

Essaye sees it mostly likely that tapering begins in December and doesn’t finish until the end of 2022, which he said will help fuel more gains in stocks and commodities and send the 10-year yield toward 2%.

Money-market traders are currently pricing in that the Fed will first increase rates the first quarter of 2023 — with the funds rate peaking at about 1.4%.

“When the Fed actually announces the taper, it will likely also give some degree of information on what pace it will take and how flexible or inflexible they want to be with the process,” said Guneet Dhingra, head of U.S. interest-rate strategy at Morgan Stanley. “That could provide a key signal for the rate-hike cycle — particularly with regard to the pace of the hikes.”

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Ten-year Treasury yields have drifted steadily downward since March and are now around 1.3%, not far from record lows, amid concerns that the resurgent pandemic in the U.S. could dampen the recovery. The gap between long- and short-term yields has also narrowed since hitting a more than five-year high in March, a sign of speculation that the Fed will start to withdraw its stimulus. The prospect of higher rates has boosted the dollar, driving the currency this month to its highest since November, according to the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index.

Morgan Stanley forecasts that 10-year Treasury yields will end the year at 1.8%, with the Fed beginning to taper in January and ending in October. The firm predicts the Fed’s first rate hike will come in the second quarter of 2023.

Steven Barrow, Standard Bank Group’s head of G-10 strategy, said there is more risk if the Fed delays its tapering than if it moves too soon. He said a delay could force the central bank to raise rates within just months of ending its bond purchases, which could rattle financial markets and fuel a retreat from risk that would send investors into havens like the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc.

“It would be dangerous for the Fed to do this because it needs to be in a position — from the middle of next year — to start putting out the rhetoric that they maybe raising rates,” Barrow said. “And we know it’s not out of the realm of possibilities that the Fed could lift rates some time around the end of next year. So I’m focused more on the end point for Fed tapering than the starting point.”

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard says he would like to see the tapering end by the first quarter of 2022. Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic said it should start after a few more strong job reports and wrap up faster than in past episodes.

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There’s more at stake in normalization this time around as the backdrop of near-zero rates and easing is joined by a historic debt overhang and near-record duration, indicating how sensitive the bond market is to changes in rates. That’s a risk that extends into equities, even tech stocks that soared after the onset of the pandemic. The cheap money that’s been plowed into markets globally, driving down bond yields, has stoked a search for yield that has raised signs of bubbles nearly everywhere.

“Liquidity on the margin is what matters in these markets,” said George Goncalves, head of U.S. macro strategy at MUFG Securities Americas. “So the taper will effect periphery assets, beginning with cryptocurrencies and including certain stocks and high-yield debt, more than Treasuries. These securities will have to stand on their own.”

Published : August 26, 2021