Singapore non-oil exports fall for ninth straight month in November but drop narrows to 5.9%

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Singapore non-oil exports fall for ninth straight month in November but drop narrows to 5.9%

Dec 17. 2019
Shipments were down 5.9 per cent last month, following a revised 12.5 per cent plunge in October.PHOTO: ST FILE

Shipments were down 5.9 per cent last month, following a revised 12.5 per cent plunge in October.PHOTO: ST FILE
By The Straits Times/ANN

942 Viewed

SINGAPORE – Singapore’s non-oil domestic exports (Nodx) continued to fall in November for the ninth consecutive month. But the contraction was less than analysts predicted, thanks to a small recovery in non-electronics exports.

Shipments were down 5.9 per cent last month, following a revised 12.5 per cent plunge in October, according to data released by Enterprise Singapore (ESG) on Tuesday ( Dec 17).

The figure was the best showing since February and beat analysts’ consensus forecast of a 6.4 per cent year-on-year fall, as polled by Bloomberg.

Non-electronics exports returned to growth for the first time since February this year, with a 1.3 per cent improvement owing to stronger shipments of non-monetary gold, specialised machinery and non-electric engines and motors.

But electronics products shipments plunged 23.3 per cent – or $1 billion – from a year ago, worse than the 16.4 per cent drop seen in October. Integrated circuits, personal computers and disk drives contributed most to the decline.

UOB economist Barnabas Gan said that although the 23.3 per cent drop in electronics exports may seem alarming, it comes off a high base a year earlier. Also, in value terms, exports for these products recorded the highest figure in 10 months at $3.4 billion.

“So it seems like demand for Singapore products has improved, which is comforting,” he said.

Agreeing, Maybank Kim Eng analysts Chua Hak Bin and Lee Ju Ye said the year-on-year decline in electronics exports was exaggerated by “front-loading” of orders in late 2018 after US President Donald Trump threatened further tariff hikes. Exporters shipped out larger quantities of goods as companies brought forward their orders to beat future tariffs.

“We think the electronics downturn is past its worst and a recovery, albeit sluggish, is underway. A partial US-China trade deal will help revive capital expenditure and exports, and electronics exports will likely emerge out of contraction by early 2020,” they said.

On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, exports improved by 5.8 per cent in November, after weakening by 3.1 per cent in the previous month. This was thanks to more shipments of both electronic and non-electronic products. On a seasonally-adjusted basis, the level of Nodx reached $14.1 billion in November.

On a year-on-year basis, exports to the majority of Singapore’s top markets fell last month on a year-on-year basis, except to the United States, Thailand and Indonesia. The biggest contributors to the decline were Hong Kong, the European Union and China.

On the other hand, exports to emerging markets grew by 4.4 per cent, in contrast to the 26.6 per cent contraction in the previous month. The improvement was mainly due to the Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam markets, the Middle East and Latin America.

Oil domestic exports sank by 27.5 per cent last month, while non-oil re-exports grew by 2.4 per cent from a year ago.

Overall, total imports and total exports decreased in November, but by less than the declines in October. As a result, total trade slid 5.9 per cent year on year.

Last month, Enterprise Singapore cut its Nodx forecast for the full year to between minus 10 per cent and minus 9.5 per cent, a further downgrade from the minus 9 per cent to minus 8 per cent range previously.

But it expects Nodx to pick up next year, with growth in the range of zero to 2 per cent on the back of a gradual recovery in electronics.

JPMorgan analyst Ong Sin Beng said he expects tech to help buoy Singapore’s exports in the first quarter of next year as global capital expenditure gradually recovers.

UOB’s Mr Gan noted: “Industrial production figures have also improved, which tells us that manufacturers have a rosier trade outlook, because why produce when you can’t sell.”

https://www.straitstimes.com/business/economy/singapore-non-oil-exports-fall-for-ninth-straight-month-in-november-but-drop

Judge balks at making California Uber drivers employees

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Judge balks at making California Uber drivers employees

Dec 17. 2019
A traveler uses a smartphone while waiting for ride. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by David Paul Morris

A traveler uses a smartphone while waiting for ride. MUST CREDIT: Bloomberg photo by David Paul Morris
By Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg News · Joel Rosenblatt 

427 Viewed

Uber Technologies beat back an aggressive bid to force it to treat California drivers as employees, but a judge’s ruling may allow a long-running fight over pay and benefits to gain traction in 2020.

U.S. District Judge Edward Chen declined Monday to order Uber to instantly convert drivers in its home state from contractors to employees based on an argument that it’s cheating not just workers but also the public at large.

But the San Francisco judge also refused to throw out the case, an early test of a California law aimed at gig economy companies that’s set to take effect Jan. 1. In what may turn out to be a significant threat to Uber’s business model, Chen concluded that the case presents “a plausible claim that any misclassification by Uber is willful.” Uber declined to comment on the ruling.

AB 5, signed by California Governor Gavin Newsom in September, says workers can generally only be considered contractors if they perform duties outside the usual course of a company’s business. Legal experts say the law weakens Uber’s argument that its drivers are independent contractors, and even the company acknowledges the law creates a higher hurdle.

Shannon Liss-Riordan, the lawyer representing the drivers and a longtime Uber nemesis, argued that AB 5 was passed in order to stop Uber and the rest of the gig economy from misclassifying its workers. Liss-Riordan had no immediate comment on the ruling

Chen said it’s premature to order Uber to immediately reclassify its California drivers given that arbitration agreements they signed barring them from pursuing their grievances in court will likely diminish the number who would benefit, which the judge said is still “ill-defined.”

But he refused Uber’s request to dismiss the complaint, finding the driver who filed it “could form the basis” of a lawsuit based on the 2018 Dynamex decision by California’s highest court. The ruling applies a more straightforward test to determine which workers qualify for employee status and the attendant benefits.

Legal experts widely agree that test, especially as codified by AB 5, will make it much harder for Uber to continue to deny California drivers benefits including business expense reimbursements that would ordinarily be available to employees.

The case is Colopy v. Uber Technologies Inc., 19-cv-06462, U.S. District Court, Northern District of California (San Francisco).

Boeing will halt 737 MAX production in January as FAA reviews software fix

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Boeing will halt 737 MAX production in January as FAA reviews software fix

Dec 17. 2019
File Photo: GettyImages

File Photo: GettyImages
By The Washington Post · Aaron Gregg

441 Viewed

Chicago-based aerospace manufacturer Boeing will halt production of its new 737 Max commercial jetliner in January, Boeing announced Monday.

There are no layoffs associated with the production cut, a person familiar with the decision said.

The production cut caps off a financially disastrous year for Boeing’s commercial airplanes division. The 737 Max, Boeing’s newest commercial jet, was grounded worldwide in March after a software problem played a role in two deadly crashes in Indonesia and Ethiopia. The company has been waiting for the Federal Aviation Administration to approve a software fix, but the approval timeline has been repeatedly pushed back.

“We believe this decision is least disruptive to maintaining long-term production system and supply chain health,” the company’s statement reads.

“This decision is driven by a number of factors, including the extension of certification into 2020, the uncertainty about the timing and conditions of return to service and global training approvals, and the importance of ensuring that we can prioritize the delivery of stored aircraft. We will continue to assess our progress towards return to service milestones and make determinations about resuming production and deliveries accordingly.”

The company’s announcement did not say how long the production halt would last. Although no furloughs of Boeing’s workers were announced, hundreds of companies supply parts for the Max and would be affected by the decision.

Some White House officials had hoped that there would be a bump in economic growth if Boeing was able to quickly solve its problems. Boeing’s stock dropped $14.67 to $327 by the end of trading Monday, following reports that the company was expected to suspend production of the Max. Shares of Boeing Co. stock are down 10% over the past three months.

Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross in August told CNBC that “problems” with the 737 Max had been big enough to shave 0.4% off the entire U.S. gross domestic product for a period this year. He said he expected an uptick when the problems were fixed, but it’s unclear what the impact might be if production is completely halted.

The Boeing planes have been grounded worldwide since the March 10 crash of an Ethiopian Airlines flight. It was the second crash involving a 737 Max in less than five months. In all, 346 people died in the tragedies.

Last week, a former senior manager at Boeing said he repeatedly warned company executives about production issues at the Renton, Washington, factory where the jets were being built, but his recommendations to shut down production were rebuffed.

“The factory did not have enough skilled employees, specifically mechanics, electricians and technicians to keep up with the backlog of work,” said Edward Pierson, in remarks prepared for a hearing Wednesday before the House Transportation Committee. “I witnessed numerous instances where manufacturing employees failed to communicate effectively between shifts, often leaving crews to wonder what work was properly completed.”

In October, a group of international and American aviation safety experts identified broad failures in the design and oversight of the jet’s production, including that government regulators had “inadequate awareness” of an automated system that contributed to two deadly crashes. The report by the Joint Authorities Technical Review panel said communication breakdowns, bureaucracy and staffing disparities meant that key government safety personnel did not know enough about the power of the automated feature until after tragedy struck.

Both Boeing and the FAA had deemed the now-grounded planes safe as part of a years-long certification process.

Investors who couldn’t access money in cryptocurrency exchange after CEO’s death want body exhumed

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Investors who couldn’t access money in cryptocurrency exchange after CEO’s death want body exhumed

Dec 17. 2019
By The Washington Post · Antonia Noori Farzan

946 Viewed

When Canada’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, QuadrigaCX, announced the death of its co-founder and CEO, Gerald Cotten, in January, condolences flooded in from around the world.

The company said Cotten, 30, had been nine days into his honeymoon in India, where he planned to open an orphanage, when he collapsed due to complications of Crohn’s disease.

But soon the words of support and sympathy were replaced by panicked messages from investors: Where was their money?

As it turned out, only Cotten knew the passwords to the digital wallets where cryptocurrency was stored, meaning that more than 100,000 users were unable to access at least $145 million in assets, according to Bloomberg News. As months passed and the money failed to materialize, a conspiracy theory emerged: Cotten had faked his own death and disappeared.

Now attorneys for QuadrigaCX’s investors are asking that Cotten’s body be exhumed, so that they can settle the question of whether he is really dead.

A Friday letter from Miller Thomson LLP, the Toronto firm appointed to represent QuadrigaCX users, requests that the Royal Canadian Mounted Police also conduct an autopsy on Cotten’s body, “to confirm both its identity and the cause of death.” Citing the “questionable circumstances” surrounding Cotten’s sudden passing, the attorneys note “the need for certainty around the question of whether Mr. Cotten is in fact deceased.”

As Vanity Fair reported, QuadrigaCX initially attracted users because it seemed less risky than other bitcoin trading platforms. It had been licensed by FinTRAC, the Canadian anti-money-laundering task force, and Cotten often told reporters that the fact that the exchange was based in Canada meant that investors “know where their money is going.”

But the Facebook post announcing Cotten’s death raised questions, as The Washington Post reported. Though he died in December 2018, according to his widow, it took more than a month for the cryptocurrency exchange to reveal that he had passed away. When the company finally made it public and users scrambled to withdraw their money, QuadrigaCX’s website went dark.

The company used a “cold wallet” system where cryptocurrency like bitcoin and ethereum was stored offline to protect it from hackers, and Cotten was the only person with the ability to transfer users’ money back into a “hot wallet” where they could access it. In February, when QuadrigaCX filed for creditor protection, the company said that it had been unable to unlock the “cold wallets,” leaving millions in limbo.

“The laptop computer from which Gerry carried out the companies’ business is encrypted and I do not know the password or recovery key,” Cotten’s widow, Jennifer Robertson, said in court filings, according to the Guardian. “Despite repeated and diligent searches, I have not been able to find them written down anywhere.”

Many customers became convinced that they were not simply unlucky, but instead were the victims of a sinister scheme. As online sleuths pointed out, $25 million of QuadrigaCX’s assets were frozen in early 2018, after authorities found “irregularities” in the company’s payment processes. Just days before Cotten died, however, the funds were returned to the company.

Investors started to question “the authenticity of the formal documents in a country notorious for the ease at which falsified documents can be purchased, particularly after they learned that the death certificate misspelled Cotten’s name, and that the former chairman and managing director of the company that ran the hospital had been convicted of financial fraud two months earlier,” Vanity Fair reported. Just four days before the trip, the magazine noted, Cotten had written a will.

No evidence has emerged to prove that Cotten’s death was faked. In February, his widow, who provided Canadian authorities with a copy of his death certificate, called the rumors “slanderous.”

But in recent months, the FBI and Royal Canadian Mounted Police have launched investigations into investors’ missing funds. Meanwhile, in April, QuadrigaCX began bankruptcy proceedings in Canada, and the accounting firm Ernst & Young was tasked with investigating the company’s finances and tracking down the millions that disappeared.

So far, auditors have recovered only about $33 million in Canadian dollars, the equivalent of more than $25 million in the United States. Nearly all of that money was cash, and the millions in cryptocurrency remain elusive. What the auditors did uncover, according to a June report, was evidence that funds invested in QuadrigaCX “may have been used inappropriately.”

Cotten, who appears to have overstated the company’s revenue, according to the auditors, reportedly juiced the volume of trades on the platform by creating fake accounts and using them to trade counterfeit bitcoin for real cash and cryptocurrency. He was the only one directing what happened to money that users converted into cryptocurrency, but had kept no records whatsoever since 2016.

Often, the accountants found, Cotten transferred investors’ funds into his own accounts, or used them to “fund personal assets.” He made risky trades on other cryptocurrency exchanges, and the losses began adding up. The firm’s blockchain analysts located some of QuadrigaCX’s cold wallets, only to discover that most of them were empty.

The auditors also found that Cotten and his wife used QuadrigaCX to fund a jet-setting lifestyle, buying 16 properties in Nova Scotia, a Cessna 400 plane and a yacht. According to the Globe and Mail, Robertson has said that she was unaware of her husband’s questionable financial dealings, and agreed to transfer the majority of her assets to Ernst & Young so that they can be liquidated.

The ongoing investigations have been complicated by the complex, highly technical nature of cryptocurrency. One expert who was interviewed by the RCMP told Vanity Fair that he had been shocked by the investigators’ unfamiliarity with bitcoin, and felt the case was “completely out of their wheelhouse.” And after Ernst & Young took control of QuadrigaCX’s finances, the auditors “inadvertently” transferred bitcoin valued at nearly half a million in Canadian dollars to cold wallets that no one could access.

Reporters, meanwhile, have found that Cotten had a history of questionable financial dealings, dating to when he was a 15-year-old computer whiz living in suburban Ontario. The teenager launched a site that was effectively “a bizarre cross between a Ponzi scheme and online gambling,” the Globe and Mail reported, only to shut it down as investors began clamoring for their money back. He later claimed to have refunded a significant portion.

Indian authorities maintain that Cotten, whose body was repatriated to Nova Scotia for a small closed-casket funeral, died on Dec. 9, 2018, shortly after checking into a luxury hotel in Jaipur and complaining of stomach pains. He was taken to a private hospital and initially appeared to have traveler’s diarrhea, officials told the Globe and Mail. But the next day, his condition took a turn for the worse, and he went into cardiac arrest.

Medical experts told the Globe and Mail that while dying from Crohn’s disease is extremely rare, it was possible that Cotten could have suffered from a perforated bowel and gone into septic shock. But the gastroenterologist who treated Cotten in India told the paper that no autopsy was completed, and he was “not at all” certain about what had happened.

Attorneys for QuadrigaCX’s customers have asked that Cotten’s body be exhumed before spring 2020, “given decomposition concerns.” The request appears likely to spark a legal battle, as Robertson, his widow, told Canadian media outlets in a statement through her attorney that she was “heartbroken” by the possibility and that her husband’s death “should not be in doubt.”

“It is not clear how the exhumation or an autopsy to confirm the cause of Gerry’s death from complications arising from his Crohn’s disease would assist the asset recovery process further,” she wrote.

RedRecords out to revolutionise the future of Asian pop culture

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RedRecords out to revolutionise the future of Asian pop culture

Dec 16. 2019
 Thai pop-artist and influencer Jannine Weigel

Thai pop-artist and influencer Jannine Weigel
By THE NATION

837 Viewed

AirAsia Group, a leading travel and lifestyle company in Asia Pacific and Universal Music Group (UMG), the world’s leader in music-based entertainment, have jointly launched RedRecords, an innovative new label partnership focused on signing, developing and breaking new Asian artists and elevating ‘A-pop’ globally to new audiences throughout the region and around the world.

The two companies announced the groundbreaking partnership at a press conference, held in Kuala Lumpur today (December 16).

RedRecords will focus on discovering and developing talent from Southeast Asia and throughout the wider continent and form a clear and unique sound that reflects the diverse and rich musical culture of the continent.

RedRecords will be based in Kuala Lumpur and Los Angeles and will combine UMG’s industry-leading track record in artist development with AirAsia’s regional and global marketing strength to expand A-Pop’s reach beyond national borders and languages to reach audiences around the world.

In addition to artist development and A&R, the label will provide distribution and marketing, as well as management and agency services. The label will be led by Hassan Choudhury, head of Music for AirAsia Group, who will take on the role of CEO of RedRecords.

Speaking on the announcement, Tony Fernandes, CEO of AirAsia Group said: “This announcement is incredibly important to me. It appears life has come full circle for both myself and my AirAsia brothers, Kamarudin and Nadda, whom I met through our early days in music”.

“We have already revolutionised air travel enabling everyone to fly and as we celebrate 18 years of operation for AirAsia – we are focused on transforming the airline into a global digital travel and lifestyle leader. Now we are also heading back to our musical roots to revolutionise the future of Asian pop culture and give it the world wide stage it deserves in conjunction with Universal Music to launch RedRecords”.

Sir Lucian Grainge, Chairman & CEO of Universal Music Group said: “I am delighted to announce the launch of RedRecords with Tony and his team at AirAsia. The worldwide success of Latin and K-Pop has demonstrated that in the streaming era there are no barriers to great music regardless of language. Together with the combined strategic marketing reach and resources of AirAsia and UMG, we can provide Asian artists an exciting opportunity to truly go global”.

Adam Granite, EVP/Market Development of Universal Music Group said: “We are excited to officially launch RedRecords today with AirAsia. Together we share a commitment to the long-term development and transformation of the music ecosystem within the region. A region filled with new talent that has the potential to reach almost 700 million people across Southeast Asia alone and where music is increasingly driven by a young, social and mobile-driven audience. Together we are confident that the team at RedRecords will help introduce A-pop to a new global audience, ready to embrace new talent from throughout Asia”.

Hassan Choudhury, Head of Music for AirAsia Group and CEO of RedRecords said: “This is an excellent opportunity to leverage both AirAsia and UMG’s potential in a musical journey. Having worked for both of these incredible companies, witnessing first hand their enormous strengths in their respective industries, I aim to bring the creative forces of both teams together in order to help develop the undoubted music talent that lays here in Asia.”

Marquee first signing.

At the press conference, the label announced the signing of Thai pop-artist and influencer Jannine Weigel, as its marquee first artist. Weigel, a singer, songwriter, influencer, gamer and actor has released several singles and EPs and amassed a huge following on social media, with more than 600 million views and 3.3 million followers on YouTube, in addition to 3.2 million followers on Facebook, 1.5 million on Instagram and more than 500,000 on TikTok.

On signing to RedRecords, Jannine Weigel said, “I’m so proud to be the first artist to join RedRecords and to have the support of this amazing team, which will help take my career to even greater heights. My fans are going to love all the incredible experiences that we have in store for them. I cannot wait for you to hear my new music.”

Earlier this year, UMG announced a strategic expansion of operations within the region with the launch of a new regional headquarters in Singapore.

UMG is committed to growing the entire music ecosystem throughout Southeast Asia, extending its focus and commitment to local language and domestic repertoire in order to provide music fans with the best music experience throughout the region

GHB to hand responsible borrowers Bt1,000 New Year gift

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https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30379503?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

GHB to hand responsible borrowers Bt1,000 New Year gift

Dec 16. 2019
Bank president Chatchai Sirilai

Bank president Chatchai Sirilai
By THE NATION

913 Viewed

Government Housing Bank (GHB) has launched a campaign to provide Bt1,000 as a New Year gift to its clients with a good repayment track record.

The bank will transfer the money only to their accounts, which are tied to its GHB All mobile application. The money transfer to the first group of clients will begin this month.

Bank president Chatchai Sirilai said the campaign serves the Finance Ministry’s policy of encouraging clients to have good repayment discipline and boost their purchasing power.

The eligible clients are those who borrowed not more than Bt1 million from the GHB for the first time and whose borrowing has never been considered a non-performing loan.

They should also have a good record of debt repayment in the past 48 months, with the full instalment being paid to the bank by the due date each time. Each eligible client will also need to repay his/her December loan instalment within this month.

They will have to show up at any of the bank’s branches nationwide to verify their identity and avail of the gift.

There are around 170,000 clients deemed eligible.

FWD launches industry-first claim submission service on LINE

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FWD launches industry-first claim submission service on LINE

Dec 16. 2019
Apirak Chitranondh, Chief Technology and Operations officer of FWD life Insurance

Apirak Chitranondh, Chief Technology and Operations officer of FWD life Insurance
By THE NATION

1,071 Viewed

FWD Life Insurance Public Company Limited (FWD) has launched ‘FWD Claim Submission on LINE, a new industry-first service in Thailand that allows customers to submit their medical reimbursement documents anytime, anywhere through the official FWD Thailand LINE account.

The new service is aimed at shortening the claim process and enhance convenience for its policyholders.

Customers who submit documents through LINE will receive feedback within two working days, while it normally takes up to five working days through other channels such as agents.

FWD is the first life insurance company in Thailand to allow customers to submit their medical claim reimbursement documents through LINE.

Once a customer has confirmed his/her transaction via LINE and provided the email used to register, they can claim up to Bt5,000 in medical reimbursement for up to five times per calendar year.

Currently, FWD Claim Submission on LINE supports claim reimbursement for out-patient (OPD) treatment of personal accidents and health insurance customers.

Policyholders can register for FWD Claim Submission on LINE through the official FWD Thailand LINE account.

They can also find out more about FWD’s products and services through the official FWD Thailand LINE account, as well as paying for insurance premiums via LINE Pay.

Apirak Chitranondh, Chief Technology and Operations officer of FWD life Insurance Plc, said, “FWD is committed to delivering the best possible customer experience and changing the way people feel about insurance. That’s why we develop innovative products and services with our customers’ interests in mind. We know that customers in a digitally-connected world need services that are quick, user-friendly, secure, and convenient, which were key ideas behind this launch.”

Thailand currently has 44 million LINE application fans and FWD Thailand official LINE account has 10.89 million registered customers.

PTTEP announces 5-year investment plan

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PTTEP announces 5-year investment plan

Dec 16. 2019
By THE NATION

1,349 Viewed

PTT Exploration and Production (PTTEP) has announced a five-year investment plan to focus on investing in legacy assets through its “Execute” strategy after recently acquiring projects to increase production volumes and sustain the company’s growth.

PTTEP president and chief executive officer Phongsthorn Thavisin said the company has set aside approximately Bt143 billion ($4.61 billion) for PTTEP and its subsidiaries in 2020, of which Bt82 billion is capital expenditure and Bt60.94 billion operating expenditure.

The company is allocating Bt716.2 billion under its five-year investment plan running from 2020 to 2024.

The expected compound annual growth rate during the 2020-2024 period of average petroleum sales from existing assets is around 6 per cent.

“Based on the investment plan in 2020, PTTEP expects an increase of 11 per cent of total petroleum sales compared to this year’s target,” Phongsthorn said.

The growth is the result of its Expand strategy, which includes acquisitions in Thailand, Malaysia and the Middle East.

“Most of the 2020 investment budget will be allocated to pursue its Execute strategy in order to maintain production volumes and concentrate on key development projects, besides accelerating exploration activities to add to future reserves and for the sustainable growth of PTTEP,” Phongsthorn said.

PTTEP in 2020 will focus on “maintaining its production plateau of existing projects, increase future petroleum production volumes from major development projects in Malaysia, Mozambique and Algeria, and accelerate exploration activities mainly in Malaysia and Myanmar, to enhance contingent resources for supporting long-term growth”.

The company is also focusing on innovation and technology development to support petroleum exploration, development and production activities.

PTTEP subsidiary AI and Robotics Ventures Limited (ARV) has been able to commercially launch services for both the petroleum exploration and production (E&P) industry and the non-E&P industry by employing inspection drones, swarm drones, and an Observation-class Autonomous Underwater Vehicle.

In 2020, ARV will develop robotics for commercial use, such as the Inspection-class Autonomous Underwater Vehicle, the Subsea Flowline Control and Repair Robot and the In-pipe Inspection Robot. ARV plans more than 30 development projects for upcoming years.

U.S. stocks start week on record-setting pace

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https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30379525?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

U.S. stocks start week on record-setting pace

Dec 17. 2019
By Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg · Sarah Ponczek, Yakob Peterseil 

359 Viewed

U.S. equities climbed to a new high Monday amid hopes that a partial trade deal between America and China will ease a key risk for investors heading into year-end. Treasuries and the dollar fell.

With tech and health-care leading the charge, the S&P 500 index rose in the wake of the agreement, which will see Washington reduce tariffs and Beijing increase purchases of American farm goods, although many details are still to be ironed out. In another positive sign, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s survey measure of general business conditions in the next six months jumped to a five-month high.

The Stoxx Europe 600 also hit a new peak as it jumped for a fourth day. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 index reached a 19-week high. Stocks were mixed in Asia, but equities in Shanghai rose after Chinese data showed industrial output and retail sales both exceeded expectations.

The announcement of the preliminary U.S.-China deal staved off a scheduled Dec. 15 tariff hike, a prospect that had loomed large for markets. It remains unclear how China will follow through on pledges to boost American agricultural imports, or how quickly the U.S. promise to roll back half of a September tariff hike will happen.

“Now that the ‘good news’ is here, what is next for stocks? This week should be the last week with any decent volume as investors head for home for Christmas and the New Year’s holiday,” Paul Nolte, a portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago, wrote to clients. “Slow volume should also mean modest moves in stocks, so investors should be able to sleep easy and dream of sugar plum fairies to close out a very good year.”

Still, China’s threat of retaliation against Germany if it excludes Huawei Technologies Co. as a supplier of 5G wireless equipment shows that tensions remain high elsewhere. Also, the U.S. spent Monday acting to ease Mexico’s concerns over labor monitors under the USMCA trade deal.

Elsewhere, oil hovered near a three-month high and gold held steady. Bitcoin slipped below $7,000.

Here are some key events to watch for this week:

–Policy decisions are due Thursday from the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England.

–Federal Reserve district bank presidents including Robert Kaplan of Dallas, Eric Rosengren of Boston and John Williams of New York are scheduled to speak this week.

–Revised U.S. GDP data are due Friday.

–Friday brings quadruple witching in the U.S., the simultaneous expiration date of stock index futures, stock index options, stock options and single stock futures. Expect elevated trading volume, particularly in the last hour of trading.

These are the main moves in markets:

Stocks

-The S&P 500 index gained 0.7% to 3,191.40 as of 4:00 p.m. New York time, the highest on record.

-The Stoxx Europe 600 index gained 1.4% to 417.75, the highest on record with the biggest rise in more than two months.

-The U.K.’s FTSE 100 index increased 2.3% to 7,519.05, the highest in more than 19 weeks on the largest climb in almost a year.

-Germany’s DAX index rose 0.9% to 13,407.66, the highest in almost 23 months on the biggest advance in more than a week.

-The MSCI Emerging Market index increased 0.3% to 1,089.76, the highest in eight months.

Currencies

-The Bloomberg Dollar Spot index declined 0.2% to 1,192.66, the lowest in five months.

-The euro climbed 0.2% to $1.1144, the strongest in more than six weeks.

-The British pound increased 0.1% to $1.3343, the strongest in 18 months.

-The Japanese yen depreciated 0.2% to 109.57 per dollar, the weakest in almost seven months.

Bonds

-The yield on 10-year Treasuries climbed six basis points to 1.88%.

-Germany’s 10-year yield increased one basis point to -0.28%.

-Britain’s 10-year yield gained three basis points to 0.822%, the highest in about five months.

Commodities

-West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.3% to $60.23 a barrel, the highest in three months.

-Gold was little changed at $1,476.45 an ounce, the highest in almost two weeks.

Oil near three-month high on cautious optimism over trade deal

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Oil near three-month high on cautious optimism over trade deal

Dec 17. 2019
By Syndication Washington Post,  Bloomberg · Elizabeth Low, Grant Smith 831 Viewed

Oil steadied near a three-month high on cautious optimism that a preliminary trade deal between the U.S. and China will support global fuel consumption.

Futures held near $60 a barrel in New York after settling at the highest since Sept. 16 on Friday. The deal involves China buying more American farm products and making new commitments on intellectual property, while the U.S. will suspend new levies and halve existing tariffs on $120 billion of Chinese imports. It’s expected to be signed and released publicly in early January.

While the partial trade deal leaves most of the tariffs built up over the 20-month conflict in place, it’s adding to a more positive outlook for oil prices, which were already drawing support from deeper-than-expected production cuts announced this month by OPEC and its partners. Hedge funds increased net-bullish wagers on West Texas Intermediate crude by the most in three years in the week through Dec. 10.

“The latest Christmas present for oil bulls is a long-awaited trade agreement between the U.S. and China,” Citigroup Inc. analysts including Francesco Martoccia said in a report.

WTI for January delivery was little changed at $60.08 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 8:16 a.m. local time. It gained 1.5% last week.

Brent for February settlement was 22 cents higher at $65.44 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe Exchange after rising 1.6% on Friday and 1.3% last week. The global benchmark was at a $5.39 premium to WTI for the same month.