Nod to tax waiver on Bt1,000 handout, ‘cash back’

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https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30379041?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Nod to tax waiver on Bt1,000 handout, ‘cash back’

Dec 03. 2019
Spokeswoman Narumon Pinyosinwat

Spokeswoman Narumon Pinyosinwat
By THE NATION

1,067 Viewed

The Cabinet today (December 3) approved the Finance Ministry’s proposed regulations to waive personal income tax on the financial privileges given to registered consumers, under the government’s economic stimulus package “Eat, Shop, Spend”.

This means the Bt1,000 handout and the ‘cash-back’ amount will not come into calculation for tax payment. The government spent a budget of Bt19 billion to fund the three phases of the campaign, spokeswoman Narumon Pinyosinwat said.

In the first two phases of the campaign, each registrant was given Bt1,000 and the ‘cash back’ perk while the third phase offered only cash rebate.

Lavaron Sangsnit, director-general of the Fiscal Policy Office and Finance Ministry spokesman, said recently that from the start of the campaign on September 27 to November 28, 11,761,099 people had registered under three phases with combined spending of Bt16.535 billion.

Money expo a dazzling success

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https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30379029?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Money expo a dazzling success

Dec 03. 2019
By The Nation

1,463 Viewed

Money Expo Year-End 2019, where all banks compete in offering promotions from November 28 to December 1 under the concept “Digital Orchestra”, ended with more than Bt14.2 billion in transactions during the event. As much as Bt6.8 billion went to home loans, Bt4.4 billion for SMEs, and Bt2.1 billion on life insurance and saving funds.

Financial festival organiser executive Pakanee Viriyarungsarit said people from the east side of Bangkok, including Samut Prakarn, Chachoengsao and Chon Buri, participated in the event and invested vigorously. The four-day fest witnessed investments from 27,400 applicants among 150,000 visitors.

Home loans and refinancing held the highest interest with Bt6.8 billion, after the government introduced its “Baan dee mee down” (Good house with down payment) scheme. The government will offer support in the form of Bt50,000 cash rebate from a down payment for taxpayers earning less than Bt100,000 a month.

SMEs loans came in second with Bt4.4 billion, while life insurance and saving funds of Bt2.1 billion gained the third highest interest, being the most favourable insurance saving programme in the short term, offering a payment period of 5-7 years and 10-year coverage with the internal rate of return being 2.20-3.25 per cent.

Savings lottery came in fourth with Bt700 million, followed by mutual funds of Bt120 million, the most favourable being LTF & RMF.

Pakanee said there were around 2,000 participants who registered for retails loans and 3,700 credit card registrants.

Govt launches new tax deduction scheme for long-term investment in mutual funds

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Govt launches new tax deduction scheme for long-term investment in mutual funds

Dec 03. 2019
Tax deductions will be applied between 2020 and 2024, after that the Finance Ministry will review the deductions, Finance Minister Uttama Savanayana said.

Tax deductions will be applied between 2020 and 2024, after that the Finance Ministry will review the deductions, Finance Minister Uttama Savanayana said.
By The Nation

1,699 Viewed

The government has launched a so-called super savings fund (SSF) aimed at encouraging people to invest in long-term mutual funds by offering tax deductions of up to 30 per cent of annual income.

The Cabinet approved the Finance Ministry’s proposal on the new tax scheme, Finance Minister Uttama Savanayana said after a Cabinet meeting on Tuesday.

Individual investors have to hold their units for 10 years and when they sell they are exempted from personal income tax.

The SSF will replace the long-term equity fund (LTF), which is due to expire by the end of this year.

For the SSF, tax deductions will increase up to 30 per cent of personal income but are limited to Bt200,000 a year. Individuals will get total tax deductions of not more than Bt500,000 a year, including from retirement mutual funds (RMF), provident fund, insurance policies and other types of pension funds.

The ministry does not require a minimum investment or that the investment should be made every year.

Tax deductions will be applied between 2020 and 2024, after that the Finance Ministry will review the deductions, he said.

Tax deductions for existing RMF is also revised, said Uttama.

These deductions will increase from 15 per cent of income to 30 per cent. But total tax privileges will be limited to Bt500,000 a year, including tax deductions from SSF and other types of pension funds. A minimum investment is not required. Investors however have to invest every year. But if they do not make an investment one year, their tax deductions rights for the following years of investment will remain.

“The new tax deduction scheme has been designed to support middle and lower income groups, giving them more investment and savings opportunities,” said Uttama.

He said that although tax deductions for LTF will expire in the next few weeks, investors will still get personal income tax exemptions when they sell their LTFs.

The total amount of new tax deductions is less than the former LTF and RMF – investors could get up to Bt500,000 for LTF, while the old RMF and other pension funds limited investment to Bt500,000. These old schemes have been criticised as benefiting rich people the most.

Shippers’ Council doesn’t see export growth steaming ahead

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https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30379025?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Shippers’ Council doesn’t see export growth steaming ahead

Dec 03. 2019
By THE NATION

1,173 Viewed

The Thai National Shippers’ Council has revised downward its forecast of the country’s export growth this year to between minus 3 per cent and minus 2.5 per cent, according to a council press statement on Tuesday (December 3).

The forecast is based on the assumption that the baht stays at around 33 per US dollar.

Exports in October shrank 4.5 per cent year on year to $20.75 billion (Bt627.1 billion), while imports contracted 7.6 per cent year on year to $20.25 billion, the statement added.

U.S. stocks sink on worrisome factory data and Trump’s renewed tariffs on steel, aluminum

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https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30379013?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

U.S. stocks sink on worrisome factory data and Trump’s renewed tariffs on steel, aluminum

Dec 03. 2019
File Photo:U.S. Stocks Tumble As China Trade Talks Stall

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - NOVEMBER 20: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on November 20, 2019 in New York City. As trade talks with China continue to lack resolution, frustrating investors, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day down over 100 points. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

File Photo:U.S. Stocks Tumble As China Trade Talks Stall NEW YORK, NEW YORK – NOVEMBER 20: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on November 20, 2019 in New York City. As trade talks with China continue to lack resolution, frustrating investors, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day down over 100 points. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
By The Washington Post · Taylor Telford, Thomas Heath

337 Viewed

Stocks got off to a rocky December start on Monday amid disappointing manufacturing and construction data and renewed global trade tensions.

The record bull run of the past month flamed out, with the Dow Jones industrial average declining 268 points, or .95%, to close at 27,783. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index dropped 27 points, or .86%, to close at 3113. The tech-laden Nasdaq composite was hit particularly hard, finishing at 8,567, a 97-point drop of 1.1%.

“All this trade friction is weighing on the manufacturing sector, reminding us that protectionism is not a victimless crime,” said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco.

Nine of 11 stock market sectors declined on Monday, with industrials, information technology and real estate leading the slide. All but seven of the Dow 30 blue chips finished in negative territory, with Boeing, American Express and United Technologies the biggest drags.

President Trump threw another curve ball into the trade picture Monday when he announced on Twitter that he would reinstate steel and aluminum tariffs on Brazil and Argentina. He accused the two nations of weakening their currencies to gain competitive advantage against the U.S., an oft-repeated rebuke that he’s cited in his ongoing push for lower or even negative interest rates from the Federal Reserve.

“Brazil and Argentina have been presiding over a massive devaluation of their currencies. which is not good for our farmers,” Trump said in Monday morning tweet. He then pivoted to the Federal Reserve, saying the central bank should “act so that countries, of which there are many, no longer take advantage of our strong dollar by further devaluing their currencies. This makes it very hard for our [manufacturers] & farmers to fairly export their goods. Lower Rates & Loosen – Fed!”

Stock futures had been trending up early Monday. Two surveys over the weekend showed that China’s manufacturing sector rallied to an eight-month high in November, and European manufacturing data showed a better-than-expected easing in the sector’s contraction. The strong data suggested that China’s economy could be stabilizing after months of a brutal slowdown, quieting some fears about the trade war’s toll on one of the world’s most powerful economic engines.

But Trump’s early morning announcement quickly cooled markets. By midday, all three market measures were in the red.

“The stock market’s early gains in the futures markets melted away after the President’s early morning tweet,” said Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist of MUFG Union Bank, in a note.

Then came Monday’s U.S. manufacturing report about a half-hour after trading began.

U.S. manufacturing disappointed in November, according to the Institute for Supply Management. Its manufacturing index dropped to 48.1% in November from 48.3% in October, coming in well below analyst expectations. Readings below 50% indicate business conditions are getting worse. Global trade “remains the most significant cross-industry issue,” Timothy Fiore, chair of the ISM’s manufacturing business survey committee, said in the report.

“With manufacturing being in deep trouble globally, today’s PMI reading of 48.1 could mean that the sector won’t avoid a recession, so the consumer economy would have to remain robust to sustain growth in the U.S.,” Ken Berman, a strategist with Gorilla Trades, wrote in commentary Monday.

Also on Monday, the Commerce Department reported a downward revision in September construction spending that showed a 0.3% decline instead of the 0.5% surge as originally reported.

November was a blockbuster month for Wall Street, as strong earnings and trade hopes yielded 10 record-breaking closes for U.S. indexes. The Standard & Poor’s 500 is still up nearly 25% for the year heading into a period that’s typically high-performing for stocks.

December could also bring progress on the trade front, as the terms of an agreement by the United States, Mexico and Canada could be finalized, while resolution on the first phase of a trade deal with China continues to flit in and out of reach.

Last week, Trump said that negotiators were in “the final throes” of sorting out a trade deal with China that would bring the first phase of resolution in the 16-month conflict. But over the weekend, China’s state-run newspaper, the Global Times, reported that negotiators are optimistic about a deal before the Lunar New Year in January, but that rollbacks of tariffs are essential if a deal is to be reached.

 

In an interview with Fox Business on Monday, Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said progress with China has been “one step forward, one step backward” and made it clear Trump was not looking to compromise on tariffs. Ross said Trump to move forward with the tariff increases slated for Dec. 15 if a phase one deal wasn’t inked by then.

“That won’t interfere with this year’s Christmas. Nobody’s reordering stuff after the 15th of December,” Ross said. “Retailers have stocked up. So, it’s a very good time, if we have to put more tariffs on.”

When Trump announced the reinstated the steel and aluminum tariffs, he pointed to the strength of the markets as evidence that his hard-line trade policies weren’t hurting the U.S. economy.

“U.S. markets are up as much as 21% since the announcement of Tariffs on 3/1/2018,” Trump tweeted Monday. “And the U.S. is taking in massive amounts of money (and giving some to our farmers, who have been targeted by China)!”

On Friday, a top Mexican trade negotiator said that terms of a replacement for the North American Free Trade Agreement – one of the Trump administration’s key goals – could be cemented early this week, fueling hopes that Congress could approve it before the end of 2019. The Trump administration reached an agreement with the governments in Canada and Mexico last year, but it must be approved by the House and the Senate before the changes can become official.

Trump’s renewed tariffs on steel and aluminum dealt a surprise blow to one of Brazil’s most crucial industries in a vulnerable moment for the economy, as unemployment hovers above 10% and growth continues to slow. Brazilian steel exports to the U.S. accounted for roughly $2.6 billion last year – making the U.S. one of Brazil’s biggest markets for steel – and analysts expected the tariffs to be painful.

In Argentina, where steel and aluminum exports represent roughly $700 million, the unexpected news comes as the nation is undergoing a transition of power. If the tariffs persist, they will be one of the earliest diplomatic tests to face the incoming presidency of Alberto Fernández, a leftist politician who will take office within a week.

Before leaving the White House for a trip to a NATO gathering in London, Trump told reporters he had given Brazil and Argentina “a big break on tariffs, but now I’m taking that break off.”

“It’s very unfair to our manufacturers and very unfair to our farmers,” Trump said. “Our steel companies will be very happy, and our farmers will be very happy.”

The flurry of potential trade activity is coalescing during what is typically a period of low volatility and high advances for stocks, said Sam Stovall, president of CFRA Research.

“Seasonal optimism typically gathers additional steam in the final month of the year as investors look to earnings projections for the coming year. Indeed, since 1945, the S&P 500 posted its best average return in December, along with the highest frequency of advance and lowest level of volatility,” Stovall wrote in a note to investors Monday. “Trade relations, earnings estimates and valuations will likely influence trading this month, while the angle of ascent for U.S. economic growth, along with the presidential primaries, will garner additional attention as the new year progresses.”

U.S. factories extend contraction as index misses forecasts

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U.S. factories extend contraction as index misses forecasts

Dec 03. 2019
File Photo

File Photo
By Syndication Washington Post, Bloomberg · Vince Golle

910 Viewed

America’s industrial heartbeat remained faint in November as a measure of manufacturing contracted for a fourth straight month against a backdrop of weaker orders and subdued production. Stocks and the dollar fell, while Treasuries rallied.

The Institute for Supply Management data on Monday showed the factory purchasing managers’ index unexpectedly declined to 48.1, near the expansion’s low point, from 48.3. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for an improvement to 49.2. Readings below 50 indicate activity is shrinking.

The figures show the manufacturing sector, while no longer in freefall, lacks upward momentum in an environment of corporate investment cutbacks, subdued global demand and a still-simmering U.S.-China trade war. At the same time, factory gauges in China and Germany suggested the worst may be over for the sector.

Consumer spending continues to keep the U.S. expansion going, and other reports indicate American factory activity is gradually firming. A similar PMI issued Monday by IHS Markit rose to a seven-month high of 52.6 in November, after the government reported last week that business-equipment demand climbed in October by the most in nine months.

Still, the ISM’s measure of factory orders declined in November after consecutive gains and, at 47.2, matches the lowest readings of the expansion. While 20.5% of respondents — the same as in October — reported higher orders, the share indicating lower bookings increased by 2.7 points to 31.2%. These figures signal that the surprise jump in the government’s October reading for capital goods orders and shipments may not be sustained.

Thirteen industries, including wood products, furniture, textiles and fabricated metals, reported that business shrank in November.

The ISM’s survey indicated a deeper decline in factory employment, while the gauge of order backlogs dropped to its lowest level since January 2016. That helps explain why factories can operate with leaner staffing. The group’s gauge of production, while rising for the first time since June, contracted for a fourth month.

An ISM measure of exports, after expanding in October for the first time in four months, fell back into contraction. The imports gauge also signaled a contraction, albeit a milder one than a month earlier.

The gauge of supplier deliveries was the only component above 50, indicating shipments of inputs are slowing.

An index of prices paid contracted for a sixth straight month, a sign that weak demand is holding down inflation.

Confidence in manufacturing, employment drops

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Confidence in manufacturing, employment drops

Dec 03. 2019
The Business Sentiment Index (BSI) dropped to 47.4 in November 2019, which was below the 50 threshold for eight consecutive months.

The Business Sentiment Index (BSI) dropped to 47.4 in November 2019, which was below the 50 threshold for eight consecutive months.
By The Nation

1,010 Viewed

The Business Sentiment Index (BSI) dropped to 47.4 in November 2019, which was below the 50 threshold for eight consecutive months due largely to weaker confidence in the manufacturing sector, according to a central bank report on Monday (December 2).

However, the confidence of respondents in the non-manufacturing sector held steady this month, the report said. Their order books and investment sentiment improved slightly, while the positive performance outlook edged down.

The three-month BSI fell to 52.7 due to a softened positive outlook in almost all sub-indices, especially in production and performance.

In November 2019, the BSI decreased from the previous month to 47.4, mainly driven by a pessimistic view of respondents in the manufacturing sector.

Automotive and petroleum-related sectors showed reductions in production, performance and orders because of a sluggish demand both domestic and external, as well as inconclusive trade negotiations between the US and China.

There was also a broad-based decrease in sub-indices, especially for production and performance.

In particular, respondents in the construction and machinery manufacturing sectors were less optimistic on future production and performance, in line with their investment conditions that have not recovered yet.

However, the expected BSI and almost all sub-indices remained above the 50 threshold, indicating that most respondents still expected an economic expansion in the future, the report said.

Weak domestic demand remained the most important constraint in doing business this month, consistent with the persistent deterioration of sentiment in domestic order books for six consecutive months.

Furthermore, more respondents expressed concern over economic uncertainty, which was also partly reflected by the downtrend of the performance sentiment index as well as the worsened business sentiment in employment over the last three months particularly in the manufacturing sector.

However, expected inflation in the next 12 months remained unchanged at 1.7 per cent, the report added.

Dow sinks after Trump resurrects steel, aluminum tariffs, renewing global trade worries

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Dow sinks after Trump resurrects steel, aluminum tariffs, renewing global trade worries

Dec 02. 2019
By The Washington Post · Taylor Telford

859 Viewed

U.S. markets got a rocky start to December, with the Dow Jones industrial average down more than 170 points amid poor manufacturing data and renewed global trade tensions that threaten to fizzle out recent record-breaking runs.

November was a blockbuster month for Wall Street, as strong earnings and trade hopes yielded 10 record-breaking closes for U.S. indexes. The Standard & Poor’s 500 is now up 25% for the year heading into a period that’s typically high-performing for stocks. December could also bring progress on the trade front, as the terms of an agreement by the United States, Mexico and Canada could be finalized, while resolution on the first phase of a trade deal with China continues to flit in and out of reach.

The trade picture darkened Monday after President Donald Trump announced on Twitter that he would reinstate steel and aluminum tariffs on Brazil and Argentina. He accused the two nations of weakening their currencies to gain competitive advantage against the U.S., an oft-repeated rebuke that he’s cited in his ongoing push for lower or even negative interest rates from the Federal Reserve.

“Brazil and Argentina have been presiding over a massive devaluation of their currencies. which is not good for our farmers,” Trump said in Monday morning tweet. He then pivoted to the Federal Reserve, saying the central bank should “act so that countries, of which there are many, no longer take advantage of our strong dollar by further devaluing their currencies. This makes it very hard for our [manufacturers] & farmers to fairly export their goods. Lower Rates & Loosen – Fed!”

Stock futures had been trending up before Trump’s early morning announcement. By midmorning, the Dow Jones industrial average had shed more than 200 points, or 0.7%. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index was down 0.9% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq was down 1.4%.

“The President’s tweets slapping import tariffs back on steel from Argentina and Brazil gave markets the jitters however as it is a reminder that the trade war will not be solved overnight,” said Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist of MUFG Union Bank, in a note. “The stock market’s early gains in the futures markets melted away after the President’s early morning tweet. The President reminded us yet again he is a “Tariff Man” and this long trade battle with America’s trading partners isn’t over yet.”

Futures markets had swung higher on trade optimism and signs of recovery in global manufacturing. Two surveys over the weekend showed that China’s manufacturing sector rallied to an eight-month high in November, and European manufacturing data showed a better-than-expected easing in the sector’s contraction. The strong data suggested that China’s economy could be stabilizing after months of a brutal slowdown, quieting some fears about the trade war’s toll on one of the world’s most powerful economic engines.

Meanwhile, U.S. manufacturing disappointed in November, according to Monday’s report from the Institute for Supply Management. Its manufacturing index dropped to 48.1% in November from 48.3% in October, coming in well below analyst expectations. Readings below 50% indicate business conditions are getting worse.

“Global trade remains the most significant cross-industry issue,” Timothy Fiore, chair of the ISM’s manufacturing business survey committee, said in the report.

Last week, Trump said that negotiators were in “the final throes” of sorting out a trade deal with China that would bring the first phase of resolution in the 16-month conflict. But over the weekend, China’s state-run newspaper, the Global Times, reported that negotiators are optimistic about a deal before the Lunar New Year in January, but that rollbacks of tariffs are essential if a deal is to be reached,

On Friday, a top Mexican trade negotiator said that terms of a replacement for the North American Free Trade Agreement – one of the Trump administration’s key goals – could be cemented early this week, fueling hopes that Congress could approve it before the end of 2019. The Trump administration reached an agreement with the governments in Canada and Mexico last year, but it must be approved by the House and the Senate before the changes can become official.

Trump’s renewed tariffs on steel and aluminum dealt a surprise blow to one of Brazil’s most crucial industries in a vulnerable moment for the economy, as unemployment hovers above 10% and growth continues to slow. Brazilian steel exports to the U.S. accounted for roughly $2.6 billion last year – making the U.S. one of Brazil’s biggest markets for steel – and analysts expected the tariffs to be painful.

The flurry of potential trade activity is coalescing during what is typically a period of low volatility and high advances for stocks, said Sam Stovall, president of CFRA Research.

“Seasonal optimism typically gathers additional steam in the final month of the year as investors look to earnings projections for the coming year. Indeed, since 1945, the S&P 500 posted its best average return in December, along with the highest frequency of advance and lowest level of volatility,” Stovall wrote in a note to investors Monday. “Trade relations, earnings estimates and valuations will likely influence trading this month, while the angle of ascent for U.S. economic growth, along with the presidential primaries, will garner additional attention as the new year progresses.”

Ad-hoc panel for EVs on the cards

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https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30379004?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Ad-hoc panel for EVs on the cards

Dec 02. 2019
Industry Minister Suriya Juangroongruangkit

Industry Minister Suriya Juangroongruangkit
By THE NATION

1,085 Viewed

Industry Minister Suriya Juangroongruangkit will propose to Deputy Prime Minister Somkid Jatusripitak the establishment of a national electric vehicle policy committee to steer development of the EV segment.

The minister expects the panel to get off the ground in the next three months.

It followed the suggestion of Thailand’s Potential Development Network that the government hasten transition of the Thai auto industry to the EV era.

The network proposed that the government set up an agency to draw up an EV master plan and serve as the centre of coordination.

Prayut to private sector: Accelerate investment

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https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30379002?utm_source=category&utm_medium=internal_referral

Prayut to private sector: Accelerate investment

Dec 02. 2019
Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha (Photo credit:  Royal Thai Government's website)

Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha (Photo credit: Royal Thai Government’s website)
By THE NATION

1,247 Viewed

Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha urged the private sector on Monday (December 2) to accelerate investment in December in order to lift a softening economy from the fourth quarter this year throughout next year.

Prayut made the remark as he presided over the launch of the Thailand Responsible Network.

He said that if the sector spends more every quarter, this would boost economic growth and people’s confidence.

The government has already sped up state investment in infrastructure projects via a public-private partnership.

Office of the National Economic and Social Development Council secretary-general Thosaporn Sirisumphand said the country’s economic fundamentals remained sound, despite the impacts from trade wars.

The economy had expanded on average 4 per cent per year over the past decade, he added.