Kiatnakin Phatra flags export slump as a drag on Thai economic recovery in 2023
TUESDAY, JANUARY 31, 2023
Nongluck Ajanapanya
Kiatnakin Phatra Financial Group (KKP) has suggested that Thailand address an unequal economic recovery this year, as the tourism industry is recovering while exports are falling.
KKP Research chief economist Pipat Luengnaruemitchai issued the warning while releasing the company’s earnings report on Tuesday.
He explained the overview of the country’s economy under the topic “The hope for the Thai economy amidst the global economic storm”.
He said that there are hopes for the Thai economy to recover this year as tourism is picking up and will do even better because China has reopened its borders earlier than expected.
However, with the global economy expected to grow at a slower pace than the previous year and many large business sectors at risk of recession, Thailand’s exports, another core engine driving Thai growth, are expected to slow further from the end of last year.
Exports are expected to fall in the first half of 2023 before recovering in the second half as China’s economy improves.
According to Pipat, exports will be down 1.8% from the previous year.
Pipat Luengnaruemitchai
Overall, KKP Research has raised its forecast for Thailand’s economic growth this year from 2.8% to 3.6%. However, economic risks such as the impact of the global slowdown, high inflation, central bank policy, the uncertainty of Covid-19, and geopolitical tensions must be closely monitored.
Meanwhile, the upcoming Thai election must be closely monitored too because it may introduce another variable that affects the Thai economy.
Aphinant Klewpatinond, KKP’s chief executive officer, stated that the company plans to pursue a prudent business growth strategy this year while expanding its potential customer base in response to high inflation, rising interest rates, and a global economic slowdown or recession.
He said that the challenges would have a wide-ranging impact on all customer groups and credit quality.
KKP also intends to increase Group synergy through cross-selling while leveraging its savings and investment digital platforms, such as Dime and Edge.
“At present, the Dime application has over 100,000 users, and KKP plans to collaborate with partners to grow a customer base and develop application features to better meet the needs of diverse customer groups,” he said.
Aphinant strongly believed that with a prudent strategy, the company could continue to grow smoothly.
According to its most recent quarterly earnings reports, KKP’s net profit in 2022 will be 7.602 billion baht, up 20.3% from the previous year.
The rise was primarily driven by commercial banking, which saw loan growth across all segments reach 21.4%. The capital market continued to generate good revenue, and the brokerage business maintained its top market share.
KKP’s fund management revenue increased as well, while investment business grew significantly due to equity and derivative trading in volatile market conditions.
Investment banking revenue was satisfactory, owing largely to transactions in the second half of 2022, he said, while wealth management asset under advice (AUA) was roughly 700 billion baht.
(From left) Aphinant Klewpatinond, Philip Chen Chong Tan, and Preecha Techarungchaikul
KKP’s president, Philip Chen Chong Tan, added that the bank would continue to focus on smart growth in potential customer groups and collateralised loans like auto hire-purchase and home loans.
KKP’s loan portfolio increased by 21.4% in 2022, resulting in higher interest and fee income.
In terms of this year’s plans, KKP’s president intends to expand markets for the recently launched “Rod Riak Ngern” (car for cash) and leverage banking digital channels, such as KKP Mobile and Edge, to connect banking services to KKP’s investment services.
Kiatnakin Phatra Financial Group (KKP) was formed by the merger of Kiatnakin Phatra Bank’s commercial bank and Kiatnakin Phatra Securities’ capital market business.
The group provides clients with financial resources, products, and services, such as corporate loans, real estate loans, SME loans, and retail loans such as car loans, housing loans, personal loans, investment banking, securities brokerage, wealth management, direct investment, and asset management.
Adecco has revealed that, in 2022, the average salary of office workers rose from that of the previous year, which reflected the continuous recovery of the Thai labor market in line with improved economy. As for first jobbers, the IT field enjoyed the highest salary of 80,000 Baht while logistics and marketing jobs were in high demand.
The Adecco Group Thailand, a world-leading HR solutions agency, has revealed its Salary Guide 2023 which showcases the information of minimum and maximum salaries of over 800 positions in 8 industries. Such data have been gathered from the employments of Thailand’s leading companies through Adecco. It has been discovered that, in 2022-2023, the Thai labor market has started to bounce back and become much more lively compared to the last few years during the Covid-19 pandemic. Such phenomena result from the country’s economy which starts to recover as seen in Thailand’s GDP in the third quarter of 2022 which rose by 4.5% in comparison to that of the same period in 2021. Employments have increased in various industries, e.g., manufacturing, logistics, FMCG trading, and banking & finance (FinTech).
Minimum salary of new grads has reached 15,000 Baht again
In 2020-2021, the Covid-19 outbreak triggered uncertainty in the labor market, causing the starting salary of new graduates to drop from 15,000 Baht to 12,000 Baht, and even reached the lowest point at 10,000 Baht. This year, their minimum salary has rebounded to 15,000 Baht once again. The average salary of employees with 0-3 years of experience has also been found to slightly increase to 24,000-38,000 Baht, with the maximum of 80,000 Baht for IT careers such as security analyst and software tester, followed by ERP consultant, frontend developer, programmer, process engineer, nutritionist, and credit analyst. It can be seen that most of these are the positions that require specific and specialized skills, for example, IT, digital, financial, and analytic skills. This demonstrates the importance of hard skills that working people must have and develop until they become specialists with profound knowledge. Nevertheless, in order to earn a high salary, it is indispensable for candidates or workers to be equipped with other skills as well. These include language and communication skills as well as teamwork skill which will help fulfill the candidates’ skillset so that employers are willing to pay a higher salary than normal.
Starting salary soars for employees of almost all levels while IT, logistics and marketing jobs are the hottest ones
As companies started hiring and recruiting heavily in 2022, the starting salaries of senior and manager positions also rose in the past year: 15,000 Baht to 18,000 Baht for senior positions and 20,000 Baht to 30,000 Baht for managers. The most popular career fields this year remain IT, supply chain management, and sales & marketing since they are the driving force which propels business growth amidst digital transformation, for instance, the development of new technologies to meet people’s needs nowadays, logistics as the heart of e-commerce which is the shopping trend of modern consumers with a tendency to grow continuously, or marketing which must connect online and offline platforms in an outstanding and efficient manner in order to compete with a large number of players in the market. For this reason, those who work in these career fields are in high demand for almost every industry. Employers are happy to offer high salaries to retain competent staff or to attract talented candidates to their companies.
Talent shortage gives candidates more power to negotiate
Ms. Tidarat Kanchanawat, CEO of the Adecco Group (Thailand), said that “If we look at the overall picture of the labor market in the previous year, it can be said that 2022 is the year that many companies started to recover from the Covid-19 situation, especially during Q1 and Q2 when there were a large number of job openings in various industries. Also, job transfers of talents with desirable skillsets could be seen in several career fields, which was in line with the global trend. According to Adecco’s Global Workforce of the Future 2022 report last year, 1 out of 4 employees decided to quit or change their job for higher compensation, better welfare benefits, or work policies which suited their needs better. As the number of talents is limited and insufficient for the market’s need (talent shortage), these skillful workers have more power to choose, resulting in the competition between companies to maintain capable staff and attract new talents into their organizations, also known as a talent war. Such competition is reflected in the average salary rates which are higher than last year. This is not only the adjustment to reflect the inflation rates, but it is also the strategy to retain existing skilled staff and appeal to new talents. The ones with the biggest advantage are well-rounded candidates as they have the power to negotiate both in terms of salary and other benefits. They can choose to work with the company that suits their needs the most.
As for the news about employee layoffs by several companies in the previous year which might cause many to feel concerned, in my point of view, some cases happened because such businesses or industries might really face a downturn, such as publishing or TV broadcasting businesses. The layoffs by most technology companies, on the other hand, were caused by the fact that those companies hired more staff in response to the higher-than-usual demand for products and services during the Covid-19 pandemic. However, when things began to get back to normal, the need for labor in such fields might have declined. In companies’ viewpoint, this is a good opportunity to acquire a talent pool full of capable candidates and to look for the right people to join their workforce. The most important thing for candidates is to continue to develop hard skills and soft skills under the T-shaped skills concept which is not just limited to the ability to work in their particular field, but also includes communication skill, teamwork skill, the will to fight without giving up or resilience, the ability to adapt themselves and solve problems in different situations. These are essential skills for work no matter what career you have”.
Organizations should adjust their work culture to welcome Gen Z to the labor market
“My advice for companies this year is that HR and organization leaders should gain better understanding of their employees by analyzing data for manpower planning, come up with plans to manage and develop their employees’ skills, and learn about the characteristics of Gen-Z people who are about to step in and become another significant group in their company. It is also important to find a way to adjust corporate culture in preparation for this group, for instance, to get the managers who will work with Gen Z prepared to open up to new ideas, to increase flexibility in their work policies both in terms of place and time, and to create work culture which enables people with differences in terms of age, gender, religion, etc. to work together efficiently. Companies that are able to accomplish these first will be one step ahead of others,” Ms. Tidarat added.
Asian Pacific labor market lacks STEM workers
Mr. Simon Lance – The Adecco Group Senior Vice President & Regional Head of Permanent Recruitment (APAC) also discussed about the overall picture of the regional labor market, saying that “The labor markets throughout Asia Pacific are still facing the lack of talents, especially in the fields of STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering and Math), including for senior management positions, while the industries which are growing in this region remain life sciences, healthcare & biotechnology, and renewable energy. In 2023, we should see the growth of tourism, hotel, and hospitality industries as well.
Job transfers across countries in this region tend to increase as the measures to control and prevent Covid-19 are relaxed. This also helps promote corporate image in terms of workplace diversity. Nevertheless, hiring foreigners remains a challenge as it is a costly investment for companies. It is also challenging for workers themselves as they have to get ready to adapt themselves in order to work amidst different cultures.
Still, many companies are starting to compare the pros and cons of offshoring and nearshoring employments for different functions of their organization. Some companies now become interested in shared service centers such as an IT hub or designer hub in one country which will provide its services to other branches of the company in other countries, too. This will allow them to make the most of their existing human resources, and it is another way to cope with worker shortage or high wages due to inflation which are happening in many countries.”
Bolsonaro addresses supporters after applying for US tourist visa
WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 01, 2023
Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro addressed a crowd of supporters during an event at a restaurant in the Dezerland amusement park in Orlando, Florida, on Tuesday.
Bolsonaro recently applied for a six-month tourist visa to remain in the United States, his lawyer said this week, despite calls for any US visas held by Bolsonaro to be revoked following violent protests in Brasilia.
The United States received his application on Friday last week, his lawyer, Felipe Alexandre, said, adding that Bolsonaro will remain in the United States while his application is pending.
The Financial Times first reported that Bolsonaro had requested a tourist visa.
A State Department spokesperson said visa records are confidential under US law, adding that the department cannot discuss details of individual visa cases.
Far-right Bolsonaro flew to Florida two days before his term ended on Jan. 1 and leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva took office, before the former president’s supporters stormed the country’s capital.
Supporters of Bolsonaro ransacked Brazil’s Congress, Supreme Court and presidential palace, calling for a military coup to overturn the October election that Lula won.
Brazil’s Supreme Court has agreed to open an investigation into Bolsonaro for allegedly encouraging anti-democratic protests that ended in the storming of government buildings by his supporters in Brasilia.
Earlier this month, 41 Democratic members of the US House of Representatives asked US President Joe Biden’s administration on Thursday to cooperate with Brazil’s investigation into violent protests in Brasilia and revoke any US visas held by Bolsonaro.
The State Department has said repeatedly its policy is not to discuss specific visa cases.
The State Department has said it was incumbent on an individual who entered the United States on a so-called “A” visa reserved for diplomats and heads of state to depart the country within 30 days or apply for a change of immigration status if they are no longer engaged in official business. Bolsonaro is believed to have entered on such a visa.
Two years on, Myanmar coup still committing ‘crimes against humanity’ – UN
WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 01, 2023
Two years after Myanmar’s Feb. 1, 2021, military coup, which unseated Nobel laureate Aung San Suu Kyi’s elected government, it has left a trail of upended lives in its wake.
US-based conflict monitoring group Acled says about 19,000 people died last year as a crackdown on protests led many to take up arms against the military.
Some 1.2 million people have been displaced and over 70,000 have left the country, according to the United Nations, which has accused the military of war crimes and crimes against humanity.
Myanmar’s military says it is carrying out a legitimate campaign against “terrorists.” It did not respond to requests for comment by Reuters.
The UN special envoy at the United Nations on Tuesday said it was the “second anniversary of the failure of we, as an international community, to effectively address this crisis.”
Tom Andrews, the UN special rapporteur on the situation of human rights in Myanmar, issued a report, “Illegal and Illegitimate: Examining the Myanmar Military’s Claim as the Government of Myanmar and the International Response.”
“It’s extremely important that we, as an international community, understand the extraordinarily important role that we play in either recognizing the legitimacy or the illegitimacy of the military junta and that’s what this paper is all about,” he said. “There are three things that the junta needs to sustain itself, it needs money, it needs weapons and it needs legitimacy. The junta does not have legitimacy in the eyes of the people of Myanmar.”
Thailand to finalise draft for FTA talks with EU this month
TUESDAY, JANUARY 31, 2023
Nongluck Ajanapanya
Thailand has announced plans to relaunch official free trade agreement (FTA) negotiations with the European Union (EU) this year, the Department of Trade Negotiations (DTN) said.
It also plans to accelerate the completion of four other FTAs within the first quarter of next year.
Auramon Supthaweethum, the department’s director-general, outlined the DTN’s timeline for this year at a press briefing on Tuesday.
She said the department will complete its first draft of the EU negotiation plan in the next two weeks and submit it to the Cabinet. Once the draft is approved, the department will have the authority to begin formal negotiations.
“The EU FTA will give Thailand’s private sector a competitive edge in investing and negotiating trade in the 27 EU countries, while also allowing European businesses to use Thailand as a production base to export to more countries,” Auramon said.
She revealed that the main topics on the agenda will include intellectual property protection, trade regulations and cross-border tax and customs.
FTA talks with the EU were put on hold after the 2014 coup because it was against the military takeover.
According to DTN, the EU is Thailand’s fifth largest trading partner after Asean, China, the United States and Japan.
Trade with the EU totalled US$41 billion in 2022, up 2.9% from the previous year, accounting for 7% of Thailand’s trade with the rest of the world.
Auramon also said that DTN plans to accelerate the conclusion of four pending FTA negotiations with the European Free Trade Association (EFTA), Canada, Turkey, and Sri Lanka by 2024.
“We intend to meet every two to three months so both parties can work closely together to overcome any obstacles,” she said.
Furthermore, in order to boost Thailand’s competitiveness, the department plans to continue researching the benefits and effects of FTAs with new trade partners, namely Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates, as well as African countries.
Thailand currently has 14 FTAs with 18 countries, the most recent of which was the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP).
Thailand’s trade with the 18 FTA countries came in at more than $359 billion in 2022, up 5.1% from the previous year. Automobiles, automobile accessories and parts, plastic beads, gems and jewellery, computers and electronic parts are Thailand’s key export products.
Air pollution worsens in Bangkok, rises to ‘red level’ at 4 sites
WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 01, 2023
Seventy air-quality monitoring stations reported unsafe levels of air pollution in Bangkok as of 7am today, with the number rising to 80 by noon, the Bangkok Air Quality centre said.
Four stations detected “red” levels of PM2.5.
PM2.5 refers to fine particles of dust in the air. It can penetrate deep into the lungs and cause premature death from lung and heart conditions, especially among the elderly and those with health complications.
Any level of PM2.5 above 50 micrograms per cubic metre of air (µg/m3) is unsafe. A “red” level refers to PM2.5 above 90 µg/m3.
The four stations where red levels of PM2.5 were detected are:
– Bang Na’s monitoring station in front of BigC shopping mall: 102 µg/m3
– Prawet, in front of Seacon Square shopping mall: 102 µg/m3
– Nong Khae, at Ma Charoen Intersection: 98 µg/m3
– Bang Bon, near Suksawat Market: 91 µg/m3
Ten other stations reported PM2.5 levels above 80 µg/m3:
– Yannawa, near Bank of Ayudhya head office: 88 µg/m3
– Thung Khruru, Thonburi Rom Park: 85 µg/m3
– Lat Krabang, in front of Lat Krabang Hospital: 85 µg/m3
– Thonburi, at Mahaisawan Intersection: 84 µg/m3
– Bang Khunthien, inside the district office’s compound: 84 µg/m3
– Pathuwan, in front of Samyan Mitr Town shopping mall: 84 µg/m3
– Ratburana, inside the district office compound: 82 µg/m3
– Phasi Charoen, in front of Siam University: 82 µg/m3
– Klong San, in front of the public library under King Taksin’s bridge: 82 µg/m3
– Chom Thong, inside the district office compound: 82 µg/m3
The Meteorological Department, meanwhile, warned that high PM2.5 levels could persist on Thursday as a high pressure system from China keeps wind levels low, which allows dust and other pollutants to linger. Air quality will start to improve on Saturday when strong winds from the South arrive in the capital, the department said.
Bangkok police crack down on checkpoints after actress bribe scandal
WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 01, 2023
The Metropolitan Police Bureau (MPB) has warned officers to abide by Royal Thai Police regulations on setting up and operating road checkpoints.
Station chiefs and their superiors at two levels would be made responsible for any failures to comply with these regulations, said MPB chief Thiti Saengsawang in an urgent order dispatched on Tuesday.
The order was issued after Huay Kwang police reportedly admitted to extorting 27,000 baht from a Taiwanese actress in exchange for turning a blind eye to her illegal vaping device.
Seven police officers allegedly extorted the money from Charlene An (An Yu-qing) and her friends after stopping them at a checkpoint close to the Chinese Embassy on Ratchadaphisek Road at about 1am on January 5.
The actress later told her story to Taiwanese media, sparking dismay in the Thai tourism industry as well as an extensive investigation that saw the seven policemen moved to inactive posts.
Tuesday’s order said all police checkpoints must be approved and supervised by senior officials at the inspector level or above.
Checkpoints must also abide by the Royal Thai Police’s 2023 plan for crime suppression and prevention.
Thiti also ordered station chiefs and their deputies to conduct daily inspections of police checkpoints in their jurisdiction to ensure they are complying with the rules.
BMA hospitals going solar powered as Bangkok targets net zero emissions
WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 01, 2023
Hospitals under the Bangkok Metropolitan Administration (BMA)’s Medical Division will be hooked up with solar power under an agreement signed with the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) on Tuesday.
The move aims to cut hospitals’ expenses as well as reduce emissions of greenhouse gases, said deputy Bangkok governor Tavida Kamolvej, who presided over the deal-signing ceremony.
“Bangkok would like to thank the ERC for realising the importance of public hospitals, which require a lot of power to provide quality healthcare to the people. Since hospitals use power 24/7, switching to solar energy will also greatly reduce pollution emissions,” she said.
Under phase 1 of the project, the ERC will contribute 81.5 million baht from the Electricity Development Fund to install solar power systems for 10 hospitals in Bangkok. The systems are expected to cut hospital power bills by 14 million baht per year.
The project is part of Bangkok governor Chadchart Sittipunt’s policy to create a city of net-zero carbon emissions, added the deputy governor.
“We might not achieve this target soon but at least we are moving closer,” she said.
“This is a good sign that other agencies are realising the importance of environmental issues, which should lead to more cooperation and technological innovation that make Bangkok a net-zero city faster.”
Thailand to boycott SEA Games Muay Thai after Cambodia changes name
WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 01, 2023
Thailand will boycott the kickboxing competition at this year’s Southeast Asian (SEA) Games in protest against hosts Cambodia using the sport’s local name of Kun Khmer rather than Muay Thai.
The National Olympic Committee of Thailand (NOCT) announced on Tuesday that no Thai athletes will compete in kickboxing at the regional games, hosted by Phnom Penh from May 5-17.
The NOCT added however that, to avoid a dispute between the two countries, it will not try to stop the host from organising kickboxing under its Khmer name.
Cambodia last month removed all reference to Muay Thai from the SEA Games kickboxing schedule, sparking a backlash among Thailand’s Muay Thai associations.
“We have raised the issue with the IOC and OCA and are waiting for Cambodia’s response. However, in the meantime we will not oppose the hosting of Kun Khmer, to avoid sparking an international dispute,” he said.
NOCT deputy chairman Warin Tansupasiri pointed out that Kun Khmer is not recognised by the World Anti-Doping Agency, meaning that it is not accredited by international sporting authorities.
Chaiyapak added that this year’s games would be the last time that a host country could change or add new sports, as a new SEA Games charter will come into effect in 2025 when Thailand will be the host.
“The new charter will list the main sports for SEA Games based on sports in the Olympic and Asian games while allowing only two to five local sports to be added,” he said.
Thailand, Malaysia, and Singapore – as hosts of the next three SEA Games in 2025, 2027 and 2029 – have agreed that all three games will have the same sports.
“The next three SEA Games will be the most standardised ever,” said Chaiyapak.
Prayut expresses concern over country’s image after extortion of Taiwan celeb
TUESDAY, JANUARY 31, 2023
THE NATION
To build confidence amidst the public and tourists, Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha ordered concerned agencies to look into the extortion claim against the Taiwanese actress, stressing that true offenders must be punished without exception.
“This problem is deep-rooted. We need to separate the good (police) from the bad (police), and true offenders must face punishment” he said.
When asked whether or not PM Prayut will apologise to the Taiwanese actress as this was demanded by the whistleblowing former politician Chuwit Kamolvisit, he refused to answer the question and strode towards the Thai-Khu-Fah Building.